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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025

This suggests that something other than COVID is responsible for the excess deaths now, or that deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection in children are being wrongly attributed to some other pathogen on death certificates

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025

Excess deaths from disease in school-aged children have been elevated since May of 2022 and show no sign of diminishing Note that the number of monthly COVID deaths (yellow line) plus expected deaths (white line) does not reach the black line (actual deaths)

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025

As you can clearly see here, deaths in school-aged children are now a year-round phenomenon And it's getting worse, not better. Take a look at the data labelled "incomplete data" It's incomplete because all of the death certificates haven't been counted there The numbers will go up

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025

Monthly deaths from disease in school-aged children (5-17yo) Prior to the pandemic, deaths from disease in children were extremely seasonal -- peaking around Jan/Feb of every year COVID changed that pattern dramatically

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 04/06/2025

COVID vs. Influenza report In May 2025: 180 people died from their influenza infections 643 people died from their SARS-CoV-2 (COVID) infections (4x influenza)

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 29/05/2025

Given HHS has decided to stop recommending SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations in children but continue recommending Influenza vaccinations... ...I submit: Total deaths due to three infectious pathogens in children, 2020-present: COVID: 2,046 Influenza: 875 RSV: 190

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025

The maximum vaccination rate is given on this chart: For 12-17yo, 63% of the population received at least one initial COVID vaccine For those 5-11: 34% For those 2-4: 5.5% For those 0-1: 4% And that was as of two years ago. Virtually no US child has had a vaccination within the last year

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025

Pediatric SARS-CoV-2 vaccination rates in the USA are virtually nonexistent At this point it's safe to say that while most children have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 multiple times, most children are also not vaccinated against the SARS-CoV-2 virus

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025

Viral infection are a significant cause of chronic heart disease as well as acute events such as stroke or cardiac arrest We see this in the data. Pediatric >cardiovascular mortality< for instance corresponds nicely with periods of high viral infection in children

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 28/05/2025

Absolutely incredible The arguments in favor of NOT vaccinating children against SARS-CoV-2 are: 1. Children have long immune memories. So no more annual flu vaccine for kids? 2. Children are repeatedly & serially infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Each infection is actually a vaccination

But the question of whether children need annual vaccines to protect against the latest circulating variants is more contentious.
Children might not benefit as much as adults would from a yearly shot because their immune systems can remember vaccinations for much longer, said Dr. Michael Mina, a former professor of epidemiology at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health who has extensively studied Covid. Another argument against annual shots is that most children in the United States now have some degree of protection from previous infections or vaccinations.

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025

"Covid shot no longer recommended for healthy kids and pregnant women" 1. SARS-CoV-2 continues to be the leading cause of death from infectious disease in healthy kids 2. Pregnant women by definition have impaired immune function and are one of the highest-risk groups for SARS-CoV-2 infection

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025

"Covid [vaccination] no longer recommended for healthy kids and pregnant women" 1. SARS-CoV-2 is the leading cause of death from infectious disease in children 2. Pregnant women have impaired immune function and are one of the highest-risk groups for SARS-CoV-2 infection This is just evil

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025

Yeah, except we don't see that happening in any age bracket other than those aged 45-74 years old For all other ages, particularly the young, mortality continues at a very high rate

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 27/05/2025

Excess Deaths vs. COVID infections 2020-present I calculate 25,104 excess deaths from disease and 33,727 a-cause excess deaths for 2023 705K excess deaths in 2023 is simply not credible at any level

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025

Yes, sadly the pandemic is ongoing for one class of people -- those aged 5-17 It's stopped for us older adults But for children it keeps on going, relentlessly When are we going to talk about this? I'm guessing it's an Inconvenient Truth So, never?

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025

That's the same chart as I did for all ages except it's now restricted to the 5-17yo age group Why does that chart look so different than the all-ages one? More important, why does it look like the pandemic did not end in February 2024 for children? Here's why

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025

Those charts were for deaths in ALL ages Since most people wait until they are old to die, the statistics in that chart are flooded by the ordinary, expected, deaths of old people and old people die, as I said, all the time So take a look at this chart

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025

Note that the black and white lines converge again in February of 2024 Does that mean the SARS-CoV-2 ("COVID") pandemic only lasted from 2020-2024? No. And I am going to tell you why...

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025

Until January 2020, actual deaths were identical to what we expected But then the lines began to diverge The gap between the lines is "excess" death if the black line is above the white line It's NEGATIVE excess deaths if the black line is below the white line So simple even I understand it

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 26/05/2025

Here's an example of excess death analysis The white line represents the number of deaths per month that we EXPECT, given history The black line represents the ACTUAL number of deaths each month Expected vs. Actual Yes, it's as simple as that

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 24/05/2025

Weekly COVID vs. Influenza report SARS-CoV-2 infection has again pulled away from flu as the leading cause of significant ongoing mortality In May of 2025: 732 died of the flu 1,475 died of COVID (two times (2x) the rate of flu) April of 2025: COVID has killed four times (4x) more than flu

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 14/05/2025

What people are missing here is not that college students cheat on exams (they always have) But that it's apparently trivial to write examinations that AI can't pass Think about that

Earlier this semester, an NYU professor told me how he had Al-proofed his assignments, only to have the students complain that the work was too hard. When he told them those were standard assignments, just worded so current Al would fail to answer them, they said he was interfering with their "learning styles." A student asked for an extension, on the grounds that ChatGPT was down the day the assignment was due.
Another said, about work on a problem set, "You're asking me to go from point A to point B, why wouldn't I use a car to get there?" And another, when asked about their largely Al-written work, replied,
"Everyone is doing it." Those are stories from a 15-minute conversation with a single professor.

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 13/05/2025

Weekly influenza vs. COVID report In April 2025 (last month), COVID killed more than twice as many people as influenza For three months flu bested COVID but, like the turtle and the hare, COVID wins in the end This ends the flu's brief but attention-grabbing bid to outdo COVID Image

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 07/05/2025

Weekly COVID vs. Influenza report Jan/Feb/Mar each saw more deaths from influenza than COVID -- a first However, April gets us back to an old familiar pattern with COVID once again causing at least twice as many deaths per month as influenza (1,134 COVID deaths/584 Flu deaths)

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

Well, ok where are the greatest numerical increases? Sadly, it's in cancer Pediatric cancer had been in a free-fall prior to the pandemic Now it's going up I don't know what's driving this other than the obvious: viral infection

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

We see that deaths from mental and behavioral issues was 82+% higher than expected in 2024. But that translates to only 20 extra deaths BTW, if you think that suicides among school-aged children increased during the pandemic then you are wrong They decreased, substantially

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

COVID mitigations dramatically lowered the number of kids dying from influenza, RSV, etc. What other causes of mortality from SARS-CoV-2 infections are suggested by the data? Percentage wise the greatest increase in mortality among children has to do with substance abuse

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

COVID mitigations (work-from-home, virtual schooling, social distancing, masks, etc.) all had a PROFOUND effect in reducing mortality from all respiratory pathogens In 2021 alone, 163 FEWER children died of respiratory disease than expected based on the pre-pandemic baseline

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

If we drill down a little, we notice something Deaths from airborne pathogens (respiratory disease) actually PLUNGED in school-aged children in 2020 and 2021 110 fewer children died in 2021 of influenza than was the pre-pandemic normal

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

For example: In 2021 there were 221 more school-aged deaths than normal In 2022 it was 522 more deaths In 2023 it was 445 more deaths In 2024 it was 470 more deaths

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

Excess deaths from disease among school-aged (5-17) children remain highly elevated In every year since 2022, deaths from disease in school-aged children have been running 13% higher than they were pre-pandemic 13% increase translates into roughly 500 extra deaths per year

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 30/04/2025

COVID vs. Influenza weekly report Monthly deaths from influenza exceeded those from COVID in January/February/March of 2025 -- the first time that monthly deaths from influenza exceeded COVID Unfortunately April 2025 saw a return to the old pattern with monthly COVID deaths now again exceeding flu

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 21/04/2025

"his trip to Greenland was a fucktacular disaster. he ended up confined to a US military base, because no Greenlander wanted him near their furniture. but here's how you know JD done really shit the bed: even the Pope wants no part of him." Brutal www.jefftiedrich.com/p/pope-snubs...

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 16/04/2025

Trumpnomics vs. the Great Depression -- which caused more damage? Trumpnomics is lagging the Great Depression but building downward momentum Plenty of time to catch up

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 13/04/2025

In February of 2025: 6,534 died of the flu (average 1999-2025 is 4,500 per year) 3,000 died of COVID (average of 2020-2025 is 45,000 per year (10x flu) So far this year: 14,000 have died from flu 10,000 have died from COVID

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 13/04/2025

Weekly flu vs. influenza report Highlights: This is the first "flu" season since the pandemic began in which deaths from influenza exceed deaths from SARS-CoV-2 infections In fact, 2024/2025 will go down as the deadliest influenza season in at least twenty five years

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

Told you The World is healing

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

Race to the bottom! The Depression Dow has opened a large gap in the race to the bottom If your $500K portfolio today had followed the trajectory of the Dow in the Great Depression, you would have $328K - a loss of $172K But because Trump caved, your loss today is only $53K FOR NOW

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

Faine isn't a stranger The US government is preparing, right now, to send American citizens who are critical of the government into foreign torture prisons Every time I come cross someone who is not screaming, I have to poke them with a stick to see if they're dead They usually are, in some way

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

That's not what the disagreement is about The disagreement is about using a term that is fungible with "probably" instead of the much more accurate "will" Why say something is "probable" when Trump just two days ago said he WILL begin deporting American citizens? It's not probable, it's certain

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

Feasible means possible That's what I think feasible means Saying the Trump administration could feasibly disappear American citizens when the actual Trump administration has said not only is it feasible but that they are going to do it What do you think feasible means?

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

It looks like this in absolute numbers Note that because of confounders, the number (502) should be considered a floor and that the actual number of excess deaths is larger Again, more than 500 children died in 2024 than necessary because adults refused to mask or vaccinate them

Expected Deaths: 3,752
Actual Deaths: 4,254
Difference (excess): 502

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

Friday Excess Death Report As of this week, excess deaths from disease in school-aged children were 13% above normal This equates to roughly 500-1,000 MORE children dying every month of disease in the USA that were dying before the pandemic

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

JESUS FUCKING CHRIST stop the "it's feasible" They are absolutely, 100%, positively moving towards internal and external deportation of American Citizens who engage in speech that is not flattering to the administration They are 100% clear that this is the direction in which they are headed

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 11/04/2025

Manufacturing employment in the US grew steadily under the Obama administration

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Gregory Travis @gregorytravis.com · 10/04/2025

Day one of our RACE TO THE BOTTOM sweepstakes is over Today the Dow fell from 41,000 to 39,593 and our portfolio lost $5K The Dow is off to a slow start now, compared to how it went during the Depression But there is still time to catch up! See you tomorrow!

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