iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 14/07/2026

EVENTO EN LÍNEA | Reconstruir Venezuela. Transición, terremotos y la nueva relación con EE.UU. 📆 23 de julio ⏰ 10am Caracas/Washington, DC Con @philgunson.bsky.social, @maryhenjimenez.bsky.social, Ginger Jacobs, Andrés Antillano, Feliciano Reyna y @renatasegura.bsky.social Regístrate 🔽

crisisgroup.org

Reconstruir Venezuela. Transición, terremotos y la nueva relación con EE.UU. | International Crisis Group

Jueves 23 de julio de 202610am Caracas | 10am Washington, DC | 4pm BruselasRegístrese acá si desea participar en el evento.

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David Mora @dmoravera.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

Foreign Affairs invited me to write about Mexico’s security strategy after the killing of crime boss El Mencho. While editing, the Trump admin indicted Sinaloa governor Rubén Rocha and others, pushing the bilateral relationship into even more volatile terrain www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...

foreignaffairs.com

Why Mexico’s Cartels Are So Hard to Defeat

The real test of Sheinbaum’s security strategy.

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 06/07/2026

⌛️ TOMORROW | Sinaloa’s War of the Splinters: Fighting Crime in Mexico under U.S. Threat New @crisisgroup.org report 🔽

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 17/06/2026

ONLINE EVENT | What next for Venezuela? Six Months After 3 January 📅 1 July ⏰ 10 am Caracas / Washington, DC | 4 pm Brussels W/ @philgunson.bsky.social, Ginger Jacobs, Andrés Antillano, @maryhenjimenez.bsky.social and @renatasegura.bsky.social. Register here 🔽 www.crisisgroup.org/how-we-work/...

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 31/05/2026

Hoy los colombianos acuden a las urnas para elegir a su próximo presidente. Quien asuma el cargo en agosto enfrentará enormes desafíos, desde la expansión de los grupos armados y criminales hasta la presión de EE. UU. y las demandas de mayor equidad. www.crisisgroup.org/es/qna/latin...

crisisgroup.org

La derecha y la izquierda compiten por la victoria en Colombia bajo la sombra de EE. UU. | International Crisis Group

Los colombianos irán a las urnas el 31 de mayo para elegir un nuevo presidente. En esta sesión de preguntas y respuestas, los expertos de Crisis Group Glaeldys González Calanche y Víctor Aguilar Perei...

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

With delays and a razor-thin race for the second spot in the 7 June presidential runoff, Peru’s election looks set to deepen public discontent rather than calm political tensions, whatever the final outcome. www.crisisgroup.org/anb/latin-am...

crisisgroup.org

Long Wait for Results in Peru’s Elections Ratchets Up Tensions | International Crisis Group

Crisis Group expert Glaeldys González Calanche examines the reasons for the delay and the implications of the first-round outcomes for the country’s next government

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

As Colombia’s presidential vote approaches, prospects for continued dialogue with armed groups remain uncertain. In our latest Watch List 2026, @crisisgroup.org explains how the EU and its member states can help advance peace and tackle organised crime. www.crisisgroup.org/cmt/latin-am...

crisisgroup.org

Colombia’s Polls Mark a Forking Path in Peace Talks | International Crisis Group

With a presidential vote approaching, prospects for continued dialogue with armed groups to curb Colombia’s conflict are uncertain. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2026 – Spring Edition, Crisis Gr...

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 13/03/2026

The U.S. military is still conducting lethal maritime strikes against alleged drug smugglers, and may have just begun strikes on land. @bcfinucane.bsky.social analyzes the #Trump administration’s most recent war powers report about a strike in #Ecuador: www.justsecurity.org/133744/did-u...

justsecurity.org

Did the United States Just Bomb Ecuador?

The U.S. military is continuing lethal maritime strikes against alleged drug traffickers — and may now be striking on land, in Ecuador.

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Brian Finucane @bcfinucane.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

New: Strange war powers report to Congress for the recent partnered US military op in Ecuador. I interpret this as a hostilities report notwithstanding this disclaimer: "Although present for this partnered operation, United States ground forces did not come into contact with hostile forces." 1/n

Dear Mr. President:
I write to apprise you of military action taken on March 6,
2026, against the facilities of narco-terrorists affiliated with
a designated terrorist organization. This action was taken at
the invitation of, with the consent of, and in partnership with
the Government of the Republic of Ecuador.
As you know, United States Armed Forces are engaged in
operations to protect the United States by combatting
extraordinarily violent drug trafficking cartels designated as
terrorist organizations. To combat these organizations and to
deny them sanctuary and freedom of operation, we have engaged
friendly foreign nations to provide limited operational basing
of combat-equipped forces. On March 2, 2026, I separately
notified you of changes in the global posture of United States
Armed Forces in the Western Hemisphere.
At the invitation and with the consent of the Government of the
Republic of Ecuador, United States Armed Forces partnered with
Ecuadorian Armed Forces to strike on March 6, 2026, the
facilities of narco-terrorists affiliated with a designated
terrorist organization. United States Armed Forces planned and
executed this mission in a manner designed to empower a partner
nation, degrade narco-terrorist activities, and minimize
civilian casualties. Although present for this partnered
operation, United States ground forces did not come into contact
with hostile forces.
I directed this military action to advance United States
national security and foreign policy interests and to fulfill my
responsibility to protect Americans at home and abroad. I acted
pursuant to my constitutional authority as Commander in Chief
and as Chief Executive to conduct United States foreign
relations.

I am providing this report as part of my efforts to keep the
Congress fully informed, consistent with the War Powers
Resolution (Public Law 93-148). I appreciate the support of the
Congress in this action.
The Honorable Charles Grassley
President pro tempore
of the Senate
Washington, D.C. 20510
Sincerely,

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David Mora @dmoravera.bsky.social · 23/02/2026

MX Army killed El Mencho today. A win for Sheinbaum. USG is happy too. The Cartel was quick to react setting buses, trucks and businesses on fire, blockading streets and highways. Locals? Terrified. I’m in Guadalajara, a city that virtually emptied out. No public transport, people sheltered in place

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Víctor Aguilar @vmaguilar.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Perú tendrá su 8° presidente/a en 10 años. Esto escribió mi colega @glaeldys.bsky.social hace dos años: "Medidas para moderar el conflicto político y garantizar que la ciudadanía se sienta adecuadamente representada por las instituciones estatales son vitales para lograr la estabilidad en Perú".

crisisgroup.org

Conflictividad perpetua: una ruta hacia la estabilidad en el Perú | International Crisis Group

Ningún país de América Latina sufre mayores índices de insatisfacción con la democracia y las instituciones gubernamentales que el Perú. Si no hay avances para frenar la polarización política y la dis...

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

“Cuando empiezan a llevarse a los niños, ya es un sector muy difícil para recuperar el control”, dijo. “La comunidad ya está sometida, en silencio”. Nuestro último informe de @latam.crisisgroup.org explica cómo el reclutamiento de niños ha transformado el conflicto armado colombiano.

crisisgroup.org

Menores en el frente de batalla: detener el reclutamiento infantil en Colombia | International Crisis Group

En Colombia, los grupos armados y criminales han reclutado a cientos de niños y niñas, causando un daño enorme a los menores, sus familias y comunidades. El gobierno y sus socios internacionales deben...

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 12/02/2026

📑 NUEVO INFORME | Menores en el frente de batalla: detener el reclutamiento infantil en #Colombia Los grupos armados y criminales colombianos han reclutado a cientos de niños y niñas, causando un daño enorme a los menores, sus familias y sus comunidades 🔽

crisisgroup.org

Menores en el frente de batalla: detener el reclutamiento infantil en Colombia | International Crisis Group

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 05/02/2026

📌 Coming soon | New @crisisgroup.org briefing 🔽 Kids on the Front Lines: Stopping Child Recruitment in Colombia February 2026

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 26/01/2026

📽️ NEW VIDEO | Living in Fear: How Gang Violence Is Reshaping Ecuador Crisis Group’s expert @glaeldys.bsky.social explains why Ecuadorian criminal groups have grown so precipitously since 2021, and the impact of the government’s strategy to deploy the military to combat insecurity.

youtube.com

Living in Fear: How Gang Violence Is Reshaping Ecuador

YouTube video by International Crisis Group

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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 23/01/2026

NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | Ecuador Ignites Trade Spat with Colombia over Border Crime Glaeldys González Calanche explains an unexpected trade row between Ecuador and Colombia, allegedly over security along their shared frontier. www.crisisgroup.org/alr/latin-am...

crisisgroup.org

Ecuador Ignites Trade Spat with Colombia over Border Crime | International Crisis Group

Crisis Group expert Glaeldys González Calanche explains an unexpected trade row between Ecuador and Colombia, allegedly over security along their shared frontier

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Elizabeth Dickinson @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social · 14/01/2026

After US operations in Venezuela, the ELN has taken steps to ensure its interests are safe, regardless what happens in Caracas. Today I write in @nytopinion.nytimes.com, the ELN stands emboldened to threaten communities, Colombia, and US ambition in Venezuela 👇 www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Something Bad Is Brewing on Venezuela’s Border

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 02/12/2025

En breve estaremos conversando sobre la crisis de seguridad en Ecuador👇

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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 21/11/2025

📅 ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Organised Crime in Ecuador 🕐 2 December | 10am Quito | 10am New York | 4pm Brussels w/ @glaeldys.bsky.social, Karol Norona, Guido Núñez and @renatasegura.bsky.social. Registration ⬇️ us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

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Víctor Aguilar @vmaguilar.bsky.social · 16/11/2025

Ecuador votó hoy, entre otras cosas, para decidir si autoriza instalar bases militares extranjeras y la convocatoria a una Asamblea Constituyente. A espera de los resultados oficiales, no se pierdan esta columna de @glaeldys.bsky.social en el @nytimes.com sobre el contexto en el que se vota 👇🏽

nytimes.com

Opinion | Ecuador’s Iron Fist Is Failing. U.S. Troops Won’t Help.

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 16/11/2025

Ecuador has turned to the military to rein in a wave of crime, but is still struggling to contain soaring violence. In my @nytimes.com piece, I explain why militarization has fallen short and argue it cannot succeed without tackling the drivers of org crime. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Ecuador Can’t Shoot Its Way to Peace

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Elizabeth Dickinson @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social · 12/11/2025

Ecuador's descent into violence offers lessons for the region about how quickly organized crime can spread, w devastating effects for civilians. My @crisisgroup.org colleague @glaeldys.bsky.social explains what happened, how gov has responded, what comes next. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

crisisgroup.org

Paradise Lost? Ecuador’s Battle with Organised Crime | International Crisis Group

For decades, Ecuador was an oasis of calm as its South American neighbours descended into drug-related crime and conflict. No longer. Without a stronger social safety net and a firmer anti-corruption ...

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 12/11/2025

Nearly two years into Ecuador's self-declared “internal armed conflict”, the country still struggles to contain soaring levels of violence. Our latest report examines the drivers behind Ecuador’s homicide surge and evaluates the government’s militarized response to organized crime.

crisisgroup.org

Paradise Lost? Ecuador’s Battle with Organised Crime | International Crisis Group

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 24/09/2025

📸 Ensayo Fotográfico | Vidas al límite: realidades cotidianas en un mundo devastado por los conflictos Una exposición fotográfica conmemora el 30º aniversario de @crisisgroup.org y muestra imágenes capturadas por sus analistas durante investigaciones de campo.

crisisgroup.org

Vidas al límite: realidades cotidianas en un mundo devastado por los conflictos | International Crisis Group

Una exposición fotográfica celebrada en el Servicio Europeo de Acción Exterior (EEAS, por su sigla en inglés) conmemora el 30º aniversario de Crisis Group y muestra fotografías tomadas por sus analist...

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Elizabeth Dickinson @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

Entering a polarizing election year, & 9yrs after the 2016 peace accord, Colombia’s transitional court laid down its long-awaited first sentences against leadership of the former FARC. 🧵 on what this means for a refreshed debate about balancing justice & peace www.jep.gov.co/Sala-de-Pren...

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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 15/09/2025

🚨 Today we’re launching eEARTH - @crisisgroup.org ’s new early warning system for resource-related conflict. Built on years of climate-security work, eEARTH combines data monitoring and field expertise to spot risks around the world before escalation. eearth.io?utm_source=b...

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David Mora @dmoravera.bsky.social · 09/09/2025

Today marks a year since the Sinaloa Cartel’s two largest factions, Chapitos and Mayos, fell into a deadly wave of infighting after the former kidnapped and rendered “El Mayo” Zambada to U.S. authorities. I visited the state recently for @crisisgroup.org and this is some of what I saw.

Local policeman on watch near a crime scene in Culiacan, Sinaloa

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 04/09/2025

On his first visit to Ecuador, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio expressed full support on security. He announced the designation of Los Lobos and Los Choneros as terrorist groups, pledged $13.5M to fight org crime, and suggested a possible U.S. military presence to address shared threats.

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Elizabeth Dickinson @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social · 03/09/2025

Tensions between the US and Venezuela have sparked growing concern in #Colombia about the possible spillover of any destabilization in Caracas. As a taste of what may come, a short🧵on the changing armed group dynamics along the 2,200km border 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

crisisgroup.org

U.S. “Anti-Drugs” Strike Stirs Fears of Venezuela Intervention | International Crisis Group

A U.S. attack in the Caribbean hit a vessel allegedly carrying drugs the Trump administration said were linked to a “narco-terrorist organisation” headed by Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. In thi...

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 18/08/2025

Historic elections in Bolivia. Surprise frontrunner Senator Rodrigo Paz, son of ex-president Jaime Paz Zamora, leads the vote and heads to a runoff with former president Jorge Quiroga. MAS loses nearly 20 years of dominance, and the left is out of the race.

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

No matter who wins, Bolivia’s next government will face major challenges: a deep economic crisis, a fractured legislature, social divides and rising social demands. The country’s stability hinges on cross-party consensus, respect for results and peaceful conflict resolution.

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

Tensions remain high ahead of Bolivia’s vote. Morales supporters say the process isn't fair or free, and while his calls for mobilization have lost steam, the risk of violence and unrest persist. Still, Bolivians are committed to defending the process. t.co/ED9UHfiDVQ

t.co

https://acleddata.com/report/bolivia-braces-tense-elections-ruling-party-implodes

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

With MAS dominance at risk, President Arce has pledged to respect the results and ensure a peaceful transition regardless of who wins. Preliminary results are expected on election night, while official tallies may take up to 3 days. eldeber.com.bo/pais/arce-va...

eldeber.com.bo

Arce: “Vamos a entregar el Gobierno sin importar quién es” el ganador de las elecciones

El Jefe del Estado asegura que no dejará de hacer política y que morirá siendo socialista

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

Nearly 40,000 security forces will be deployed to protect the vote, focusing on Santa Cruz, La Paz, and Cochabamba. Meanwhile, over 2,000 observers will monitor the elections. The EU leads the largest electoral observation mission.

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

The road to the polls has been turbulent, with demonstrations, blockades, and clashes involving MAS and pro-Morales supporters backing his candidacy. Tensions peaked in June, when clashes left 8 dead (police officers and protesters), and dozens injured. www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-CF...

youtube.com

Bloqueos y choques con autoridades tensan la carrera electoral en Bolivia • FRANCE 24 Español

YouTube video by FRANCE 24 Español

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

The ruling left-wing MAS party is fractured by infighting between Evo Morales and President Arce, threatening its dominance. With the official candidate Eduardo del Castillo polling poorly, the stage is set for major political change. t.co/UJqXLqJCGz

t.co

https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/andes/bolivia/counting-costs-bolivias-high-level-schism

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

Eight male candidates are running for the presidency. While polling in Bolivia has historically been unreliable, recent surveys suggest opposition figures such as Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga are among the frontrunners. t.co/Ui3gkJFnyu

t.co

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/15/a-political-shift-ahead-what-to-know-about-bolivias-presidential-election

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

7.9 million Bolivians are eligible to vote. Participation is expected to be high, as voting is mandatory. To win outright, a candidate must secure over 50% of votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. But with no clear frontrunner in the polls, a runoff in October is likely.

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

Polls will be held amid the country’s worst economic crisis in decades, with soaring inflation, plummeting gas production, depleted dollar reserves, and fuel shortages. For many, this election is a crucial chance to reset the country’s economic course.

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

🇧🇴 Bolivia will hold general elections this Sunday that could mark a turning point in the nation’s trajectory. Voters will elect a new President, Vice President, and all members of the legislature for the 2025–2030 term. 🧵

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Crisis Group Latinoamérica @latam.crisisgroup.org · 29/07/2025

NUEVA PUBLICACIÓN | La maldición del oro: Minería y violencia en el sur de Venezuela La minería ilegal de oro está causando estragos en el sur de Venezuela. Aunque es difícil persuadir a Caracas, los gobiernos extranjeros deben presionar por medidas para frenar los daños que conlleva.

crisisgroup.org

La maldición del oro: Minería y violencia en el sur de Venezuela | International Crisis Group

La minería ilegal de oro está generando un daño cada vez mayor en el sur de Venezuela, a su delicado ecosistema y a su población. Frenar este daño es responsabilidad del gobierno de Caracas. Los gobie...

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Víctor Aguilar @vmaguilar.bsky.social · 09/07/2025

Esta semana, con @glaeldys.bsky.social, hemos tenido el privilegio de estar en Quito conversando con distintos sectores acerca de la situación de seguridad y cómo el país está enfrentando la rápida y alarmante erupción de la violencia del crimen organizado en Ecuador.

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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 27/06/2025

On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months. In our new edition we focus on #BurkinaFaso, #Iraq, the #KoreanPeninsula, and the #Taiwan Strait ⬇️ www.crisisgroup.org/burkina-faso...

crisisgroup.org

On the Horizon: June-November 2025 | International Crisis Group

This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Burkina Faso, Iraq, the Korean Peninsula and the Taiwan Strait, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next...

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Bolivia’s Ombudsman has called on the government and political leaders to engage in dialogue to prevent further escalation of the conflict and secure agreements that ensure fair elections on 17th August, tackle the economic crisis, and safeguard human rights. 6/6

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Morales, in turn, claims that the protests have been criminalised and warns that removing the blockades will provoke greater rebellion and further insurrection against the government. 5/6

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Evo Morales is barred from running due to a 2023 Constitutional Court ruling that set a two-term limit for presidents. He failed to register his candidacy in May, preventing his participation in the upcoming elections. 4/6

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Glaeldys González @glaeldys.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

The government argues that the blockades are a pressure tactic aimed at forcing authorities to allow Evo Morales to run for a fourth term in the 17 August presidential elections. 3/6

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