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Gemma Tetlow

@gemmatetlow.bsky.social
4.7K followers 64 following 66 posts

Executive Director, Research & Innovation, Institute for Government Formerly Economics Correspondent at the Financial Times and Programme Director at the Institute for Fiscal Studies

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Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
Cath Haddon @cathhaddon.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Fantastic to see both of the brilliant @emmanorris.bsky.social and @gemmatetlow.bsky.social recognised in this year's Women in Westminster top 100. Both are incredibly impressive colleagues and I've learnt so much from them. www.politicshome.com/in-focus/wiw...
politicshome.com
Women in Westminster
Women in Westminster
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
I am very proud to be listed on the Women in Westminster: The 100 list for 2026 alongside so many amazing women Thank you @thehousemag.bsky.social #WiW100
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
This looks like an exciting opportunity for the right person - Programme Manager for the Huth Initiative for a New Political Economy at LSE jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
HINPE Programme Manager
HINPE Programme Manager, , <p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></em></p> <p style="text-align: center;"><str...
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 11/12/2025
A strong OBR is in everyone’s interests In our latest comment, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social tells us why replacing Richard Hughes with someone seen as more compliant to the government’s views would bring a high cost to the government and the country www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/stro...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
A strong OBR is in everyone’s interests | Institute for Government
The chancellor should appoint a strong chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility to replace Richard Hughes.
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Jill Rutter @jillongovt.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Reeves needs to avoid a patsy OBR Chair. (to paraphrase) New @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @instituteforgovernment.org.uk blog on the need to maintain a strong, independent institution, even if its very annoying sometimes www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/stro...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
A strong OBR is in everyone’s interests | Institute for Government
The chancellor should appoint a strong chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility to replace Richard Hughes.
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Hannah White @drhannahwhite.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
I'm really delighted to announce that- in a restructure of the @instituteforgovernment.org.uk’s senior team - I've appointed @gemmatetlow.bsky.social to the new role of Executive Director of Research & Innovation & @alexgathomas.bsky.social to the new role of Executive Director of Impact & Influence
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
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UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
‼️Budget week is finally here, which means one thing... 🤓Our economics panel will be meeting to unpack what's in the Autumn Statement With @anandmenon.bsky.social, @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @benchu.bsky.social Sign up👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
ukandeu.ac.uk
UKICE Lunch Hour: Assessing the budget - UK in a changing Europe
Join our expert economics panel as they dissect the details of the Autumn Statement.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 25/11/2025
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025 🚨 As Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures, what formal announcements have we had so far and what can we expect in the next 24 hours? Follow our live blog for our analysis of the chancellor's plans www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Do follow along for great insights from @jillongovt.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social and @martha-ford.bsky.social
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
In a new departure, we @instituteforgovernment.org.uk are going to be live blogging the Budget all through tomorrow. The live blog is now live and we will be sharing our pre-Budget thoughts there, followed by responses once we hear the CX's speech www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 24/11/2025
Work with us! 🚨 We are looking for a Partnerships Manager to lead the business function within our partnerships team. ⏰ Applications close on Monday 8 December at 11:00. Find out more about the role and how to apply www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/about-us/car...
A job advert.

Partnerships Manager

Join our team and help us make government more effective!  

Permanent position starting as soon as notice period allows.

Salary: £48,000 to £52,000, depending on skills and experience 
Deadline: Monday 8 December, 11:00am

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/current-vacancies/
partnerships-manager
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 21/11/2025
What are the legal implications of Labour’s new asylum reforms? Former permanent secretary of the Government Legal Department @sirjjkc.bsky.social examines some of the main legal implications of the proposals www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/lega...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
What are the legal implications of Labour’s new asylum reforms? | Institute for Government
Some of the government’s proposals are thin on details, others are likely to be tested in the courts.
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Hannah White @drhannahwhite.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Looking forward to speaking at @raeng.org.uk Policy Fellowships Showcase on Monday! Do sign up to join us!
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Tim Durrant @timdurrant.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Looking forward to this discussion later - do join us at 12.30
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Shaina Sangha @shaina-sangha.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
As the covid inquiry gears up for Module 9 on economic policy, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and I have a new @ukri.org-funded @instituteforgovernment.org.uk report out on Epi-econ modelling for pandemics. We set out why govt needs to invest now 1/🧵 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Combined epidemiological and economic modelling | Institute for Government
The pandemic showed the need for government to improve its use of modelling.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 21/11/2025
NEW REPORT | Combined epidemiological and economic modelling: How can government better prepare for future pandemics? @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @shaina-sangha.bsky.social reveal how the government needs to improve its use of modelling. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Combined epidemiological and economic modelling | Institute for Government
The pandemic showed the need for government to improve its use of modelling.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Thank you to colleagues @imperial-jameel.bsky.social and @lshtm.bsky.social for their support on this work, and to @ukri.org for funding. Thanks also to the many experts who spoke to us and to IfG colleagues for reviewing (and improving!) earlier drafts of the paper.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Govt needs to 1️⃣establish a network of external epi-econ researchers 2️⃣strengthen X-govt governance for pandemics 3️⃣develop at least one in-house model 4️⃣create dedicated research funding streams for pandemics 5️⃣create formal structures ahead of time for epi-econ evidence synthesis at the top of govt
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
There are challenges for govt using these models: analysis is siloed in depts between econ and epi; challenge handling complexity or uncertainty in analysis; govt could ‘use and abuse’ models by over relying on them for perfect solutions in complex scenarios.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Better use of more developed epi-econ models could help next time. Can be used as decision-making tools surfacing trade-offs during pandemics. Also for prep, testing policies under diff scenarios, identifying trade-offs, inflection points & unintended consequences & valuing preparatory investments.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
I know this might sound niche but one key problem during Covid was a failure to join up public health expertise and economics - too often this was seen as a straight trade-off, rather than interacting systems where decisions in one feed back to the other.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Hot on the heels of yesterday's Covid inquiry report on decision making, @shaina-sangha.bsky.social and I have a new report out today looking at how combined epidemiological-economic modelling could help government better prepare for future pandemics www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Combined epidemiological and economic modelling | Institute for Government
The pandemic showed the need for government to improve its use of modelling.
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UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
📆 ONE WEEK TO GO 📆 🍂 Once again our expert economics panel are meeting to dissect the details of the chancellor's Autumn Statement With @anandmenon.bsky.social, @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @benchu.bsky.social Sign up👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
ukandeu.ac.uk
UKICE Lunch Hour: Assessing the budget - UK in a changing Europe
Join our expert economics panel as they dissect the details of the Autumn Statement.
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Sophie Metcalfe @sophiemetcalfe.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
NEW: Report from me and @nehaldavison.bsky.social on how and why boys from low-income families get left behind in their early years 🧵⬇️ www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
The opportunity gap facing boys from low-income families at age 5 and beyond | Institute for Government
Early attainment gaps mean some boys don't just start behind, they stay behind.
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Nick Davies @njdavies.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
NEW: Labour inherited public services in crisis. Performance had fallen, investment had been cut + spending plans were undeliverable. It's made some progress, providing stability and positive long-term plans. But it has been undermined by poor prep in opposition and lack of co-ordination in govt 🧵
RAG table showing ratings for 9 public services. It includes the following summaries for progress since the 2024 election:
General practice - Progress on salaried GPs, but no steps taken to make partnership more attractive
Hospitals - Government has set out high-level ambitions and reduced competing priorities, but no detail of implementation
Adult social care - Largely ignored. Ending the care visa route without a workable solution for Fair Pay Agreements could cause workforce shortages
Children's social care - Government has set out a clear and ambitious vision for reform and has backed it with relatively generous funding
Homelessness - Early signs are encouraging, but government has yet to set out its homelessness strategy
Schools - Government's plan to reduce inequalities in schools and tackle teacher shortages are unclear, and the crisis in SEND services casts a long shadow
Police - Government has made limited progress in increasing neighbourhood officer numbers and has yet to announce details of planned reforms
Criminal Courts - Increasing court sitting days was welcome, if done too late, but the government has yet to announce a longer-term plan
Prisons - Rapid action addressed the immediate population crisis, but there has been limited progress towards a longer-term solution
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Dan Neidle @danneidle.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Here's a chart of the marginal tax rate for someone with two kids. They pay 53% tax on every £ they earn between £60k and £80k. 62% on every £ they earn between £100k and £125k. 9% more if they've a student loan This is from our tax calculator: buff.ly/CFoExUX
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 12/11/2025
In two weeks' time, Rachel Reeves will deliver her second budget as chancellor. Join us online on 26 November for our instant reaction to the chancellor's plan for the economy - with @danhaile.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/autumn...
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UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
🚨 NEW EVENT 🚨 We've assembled our experts economics panel to dissect the details of the Chancellor's budget 💻 Online 📆 Thurs 27 Nov, 1pm GMT With @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, @benchu.bsky.social & @anandmenon.bsky.social ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
ukandeu.ac.uk
UKICE Lunch Hour: Assessing the budget - UK in a changing Europe
Join our expert economics panel as they dissect the details of the Autumn Statement.
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Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
Sam Macrory @sammacrory.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
Has Rachel Reeves rolled the budget pitch? And how did former chancellors manage expectations? Fascinating @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast with @stewartwood.bsky.social Giles Winn @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/rach...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Rachel Reeves and the art of pitch rolling the budget | Institute for Government
Former Treasury advisers Stewart Wood and Giles Winn reveal how chancellors prepare the ground for budget day.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
I discuss this - and other questions about how chancellors can roll the pitch for Budget tax changes - in this week's @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast, with @jillongovt.bsky.social and former SpAds Giles Winn and Stewart Wood www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/rach...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Rachel Reeves and the art of pitch rolling the budget | Institute for Government
Former Treasury advisers Stewart Wood and Giles Winn reveal how chancellors prepare the ground for budget day.
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 06/11/2025
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system, says @gemmatetlow.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/cros...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform | Institute for Government
It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
For too long, growth-enhancing tax reforms have been prevented by the intense political heat that surrounds any such changes. This new report should help create space for this and future governments to make much-needed improvements www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/cros...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Cross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform | Institute for Government
It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
A very interesting new report, coordinated by @centaxuk.bsky.social, is co-authored by nine think tanks from across the political spectrum and sets out 7 packages of tax reform that all agree would make the UK tax system "fairer, more effective and more pro-growth” centax.org.uk/tax-reforms-...
centax.org.uk
Tax Reforms for Growth | CenTax
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Guardian article here: www.theguardian.com/politics/202... And top tips on how to do tax reform from @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
The 2025 budget and beyond: How Rachel Reeves can approach tax reform to help drive growth | Institute for Government
A big autumn approaches for the chancellor.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Good to see Reeves defending the importance of SR settlements (where changes should be avoided). But disappointing if this means using highly optimistic assumptions re. future tech efficiencies (eg £45bn) to pencil in spending cuts beyond the SR period rather than confronting the need for tax reform
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FDA Union @fdaunion.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
IfG Chief Economist @gemmatetlow.bsky.social outlines that currently pension contributions make up around 20% of the total public sector remuneration package, compared to 8% in the private sector. Is this the most effective balance and does there need to be flexibility? #Lab25
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 30/09/2025
Should public sector pay and pensions be reformed? Join us at #Lab25 at 15:45 to hear from @timleunig.bsky.social @fdagensec.bsky.social @fdaunion.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, Paul Whiteman and @drbenpaxton.bsky.social - Clyde Room, ACC www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...
An image ad for an IfG event
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Join us at 15:45 at LPC to discuss how public sector pay and pensions might be reformed. With Dave Penman @fdaunion.bsky.social @timleunig.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and Paul Whiteman
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
...but no indication of which taxes might rise. Understandable that CX cannot pre-empt Budget announcements in conference speech but it does mean the biggest questions facing the CX were left unanswered today. Today's announcements (mainly details on youth guarantee) were small.
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Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
As trailed in the papers earlier, Reeves's speech did roll the pitch for tax rises in the Budget - pointing to 14 years of weak growth creating a fiscal problem and the foolhardiness of simply ignoring fiscal constraints (she said there was "nothing progressive" about that)...
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Institute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 24/09/2025
Follow our autumn budget 2025 page for more in the lead up to Reeves' second budget as chancellor on Weds 26 November www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/autumn-budge... Follow the team @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
Autumn budget 2025 | Institute for Government
On Wednesday 26 November, Rachel Reeves will deliver her second budget as chancellor.
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Thomas Pope @tompope.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
New @instituteforgovernment.org.uk report by me, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social on how Reeves should approach tax this Autumn With tax rises inevitable, Reeves should reject path of least resistance and embrace tax reform 1/3 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
instituteforgovernment.org.uk
The 2025 budget and beyond: How Rachel Reeves can approach tax reform to help drive growth | Institute for Government
A big autumn approaches for the chancellor.
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Ben Paxton @drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Great article from Meg Hillier, and a message more politicians need to hear. Pinning all responsibility for the UK's fiscal problems on the OBR is not only misguided, but risks damaging economic and fiscal credibility
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