Sign in

Garrett Hinck

@garretthinck.bsky.social
125 followers 222 following 33 posts

PhD candidate at Columbia, studying security, nuclear weapons, space, cyber and intelligence. Formerly @ Carnegie Endow Check out my writing here: strategicdefense.substack.com

PostsRepliesMedia
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
1) Report launch! My colleague Ted Fujimoto and I looked how the rise of proliferated, space-based ISR and AI are affecting strategic stability, with a focus on U.S.-China. A quick summary of our main findings here:
152
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
berkeleyrisk.bsky.social @berkeleyrisk.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Join BRSL and @councilonstrategicrisks.org next week for a webinar on @garretthinck.bsky.social and Ted Fujimoto's forthcoming paper on how AI capabilities for intelligence surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) promise to radically augment the detection, tracking, and targeting of military assets.
111
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
Andrey Baklitskiy @baklitskiy.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
UnderSecT DiNanno: "China has used decoupling method to decrease the effectiveness of seismic monitoring to hide their activities from the world. China conducted one such yield producing nuclear tests on June 22 of 2020"
144
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Good take- one way you can guess that the concept of "grand strategy" is somewhat flimsy is that the question of "how do we know if a grand strategy is good or not" tends to lead to rhetorical contortions that would make fun pasta shapes.
000
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
Andrey Baklitskiy @baklitskiy.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Axios reports a draft agreement has been reached in Abu Dhabi between Witkoff/Kushner and Russian officials on sticking to New START limits after treaty expiration. Still needs to be approved by Trump, but seems likely. Deus ex machina www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
axios.com
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
New START is the last major guardrail constraining the nuclear arsenals of the two countries that together hold some 85% of the world's warheads.
074
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Good thread. I’d add that while the loss of transparency via inspections is significant, that has not been in effect for years at this point and would be less important anyway as new Russian systems are developed that fall outside the treaty limits.
152
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
The basic problem with the United States' call for Europe to lead on conventional forces while it takes care of nuclear deterrence.
78719
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
SpaceNews @spacenewsinc.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
The overlooked space race: keeping satellites alive U.S. Space Command’s push for “dynamic space operations” — the ability to maneuver in orbit without worrying about running dry — demands logistics the military has never had.
spacenews.com
The overlooked space race: keeping satellites alive
U.S. Space Command’s push for “dynamic space operations” — the ability to maneuver in orbit without worrying about running dry — demands logistics the military has never had.
083
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
I'm back up at Strategic Defense with a look at the extension of New START and the politics of linkage that will likely determine its fate. Check it out and let me know what you think! open.substack.com/pub/strategi...
open.substack.com
New START Extension: The Political Side of Arms Control
Maybe the real arms control was the friends we made along the way?
020
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
No idea if this will mean actual testing of weapons or of old (or new) delivery systems, based on the qualifier of matching Russia/China. Likely they don't know yet (or perhaps don't know the difference). www.npr.org/2025/10/30/g...
npr.org
Trump suggests the U.S. will resume testing nuclear weapons
President Donald Trump appeared to suggest the U.S. will resume testing nuclear weapons for the first time in three decades, saying it would be on an "equal basis" with Russia and China.
000
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
Fmr DNSA Anne Neuberger argues that, in response to the Chinese cyber threat, the US needs to establish a "new cyber-deterrence policy". This side-steps an important question: what should be the limits of adversary cyber espionage against the US? Article: www.foreignaffairs.com/china/china-...
foreignaffairs.com
China Is Winning the Cyberwar
America needs a new strategy of deterrence.
110
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 20/04/2025
Happy #caturday !
080
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
Rebecca Plevin @rebeccaplevin.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Following a loud public outcry about job cuts at the National Parks Service — and a relentless media campaign from outdoors enthusiasts across the country — it looks like the Trump administration has blinked. via @jackdolan.bsky.social
latimes.com
Trump administration backtracks on eliminating thousands of national parks employees
Following a loud public outcry, and relentless media campaign from outdoors enthusiasts, the Trump administration has reversed course on a plan to eliminate thousands of seasonal workers at the Nation...
231297465
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
Gravel Influencer @gravelinfluencer.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
This comment on r/fednews really stood out to me. Trump and Musk want people to think they're firing do-nothing "bureaucrats," but they're really getting rid of people dedicated to serving this country and keeping it operational. I hope these stories get told.
I lost my job. USDA Forest Service.


My probation was up next week.


I did everything right. I took a GS-7 role with a master’s degree just to get my foot in the door. I spent years doing seasonal fieldwork for low pay, working in remote places, gaining experience, and building skills, just for a chance at a permanent position. I was about to be a GS-9. I wrote NEPA reports. I conducted field surveys. I worked fire support. I dedicated myself to this work because I believed in it.


Public lands don’t manage themselves. The wildlife, watersheds, and forests we protect don’t just stay protected without people on the ground making it happen. My coworkers and I took on that responsibility, often in places most people never think about but that matter more than they know.


And now? Just like that, I’m out.


Edit: I’ve consistently supported progressive policies and have voted Democrat in every national and local election since I was 18. I do appreciate folks asking, I have some coworker having a serious 'leopards ate my face' moment right now.
219139264788
Reposted by Garrett Hinck
Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
ABC: “.. Multiple current and former employees described the situation as ‘a national security crisis.’” @abcnewsgo.bsky.social abcnews.go.com/Politics/liv...
59188594067
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
My new post for Strategy Defense looks at how psychology and strategy interact in debates on nuclear weapons, specifically whether there has been a "nuclear revolution". Plus I cover some ongoing developments with missile defense - check it out here: open.substack.com/pub/strategi...
open.substack.com
It's All In Your Head: Psychology and Strategy
What we can and can't learn from taking human psychology seriously in strategy
010
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
The second part to my post covering Trump's missile defense plans is now out, including discussion of the new EO: open.substack.com/pub/strategi...
open.substack.com
Under the Dome Part II: Strategy and Reality
Unpacking the new executive order and considering the broader strategic picture
100
Garrett Hinck @garretthinck.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
Announcement! I've started a blog - Strategic Defense - where I'm writing about issues involving strategic forces, technology, and international relations. My first post is live and looks at Trump's call for the US to have its own "Iron Dome". Check it out here: open.substack.com/pub/strategi...
open.substack.com
Welcome / Under the Dome - SDI Redux?
This post is somewhat in lieu of an introduction.
020