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Francisco Rodrigues

@franciscorodrigues.bsky.social
1.4K followers 436 following 103 posts

Scientist | Professor at the University of São Paulo (@uspoficial.bsky.social) | Complexity, networks, data science, epidemic models, synchronization, statistics, brain networks | More: t.co/naWoWNW9I4. (He/him) 🇧🇷 🇵🇹

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Reposted by Francisco Rodrigues
Luiza Lober @luizalober.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
New open access paper just out: 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮: 𝘀𝘆𝗺𝗯𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰 𝗿𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗱𝘆𝗻𝗮𝗺𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝘀𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺𝘀 Read the full text for free at 𝗝𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗼𝗳 𝗣𝗵𝘆𝘀𝗶𝗰𝘀: 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲𝘅𝗶𝘁𝘆: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... Authors: @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social , Beatriz Brum and myself.
iopscience.iop.org
Discovering equations from data: symbolic regression in dynamical systems
Discovering equations from data: symbolic regression in dynamical systems, Brum, Beatriz, Piva, Luiza Lober de Souza, Previdelli, Isolde, Rodrigues, Francisco Aparecido
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Our short review is available online on EPL (Europhysics Letters). Prediction and inference in complex networks: A brief review and perspectives iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
t.co
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1209/0295-5075/ae2950
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
Our new perspective on @arxiv: Prediction and inference in complex networks: a brief review and perspectives arxiv.org/abs/2512.07439
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Our new paper on ecoevorxiv: A novel semantic theory of the assembly rules of interaction networks ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v... Great collaboration with a team of ecologists and data scientists.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Our new paper on @arxiv: arxiv.org/abs/2511.12787 With @silviojrufv.bsky.social, @wcota.me , José Carlos M. Silva, and Diogo H. Silva
arxiv.org
Impacts of bridging nodes on the epidemic activation mechanisms
Bridging nodes, which connect critical components of a network, play an important role in maintaining structural integrity and facilitating communication within the network, representing indirect yet ...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
New preprint from our group: Neural networks for dengue forecasting: a systematic review www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1... #epidemics #dengue #complexnetworks #complexsystems #machinelearning #forecasting #timeseries #deeplearning
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
In a new paper on @condmatstatmech-bt.bsky.social, we introduce a novel framework for quantifying the impact of each edge (i.e. each bank–firm relationship) on systemic risk in financial systems. 👉 arxiv.org/abs/2510.03087 #complexity #economics #networks #datascience
arxiv.org
The systemic impact of edges in financial networks
In this paper, we assess how the stability of financial networks is affected by interconnectedness considering its tiniest variation: the edge. We compute the impact of edges as the percentage differe...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
New text on Medium : Chaos theory, the anguish of freedom, and the banality of evil Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy francisco-rodrigues.medium.com/chaos-theory...
francisco-rodrigues.medium.com
Chaos theory, the anguish of freedom, and the banality of evil
Unpredictability as a connecting point between science, existentialism, and political philosophy
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Our new work on Arxiv. arxiv.org/abs/2508.20257
arxiv.org
Discovering equations from data: symbolic regression in dynamical systems
The process of discovering equations from data lies at the heart of physics and in many other areas of research, including mathematical ecology and epidemiology. Recently, machine learning methods kno...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
The Economist: What Brazil can teach America www.economist.com/leaders/2025...
economist.com
Brazil offers America a lesson in democratic maturity
It is a test case for how countries recover from a populist fever
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
In a new paper, we examine Parkinson's disease using electroencephalography signals. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
🚨New paper: Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Additive effect of wildfires on hospital admission in the Pantanal wetland, Brazil
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
N𝐞𝐰 𝐩𝐚𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐩𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐏𝐡𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰 𝐄. We explore the use of 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐯𝐨𝐥𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬 (CNNs) to predict parameters in 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐨𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐝𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐬𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐬. journals.aps.org/pre/abstract...
journals.aps.org
Parameter inference in nonlinear dynamical systems via recurrence plots and convolutional neural networks
Inferring control parameters in nonlinear dynamical systems is an important task in analyzing general dynamical behaviors, particularly in the presence of inherently deterministic chaos. Traditional a...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
My EPL Highlight: Physics and machine learning: mutual benefits www.europhysicsnews.org/articles/epn... #Physics #Machinelearning #datascience #AI #analytics #Science
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
A group led by Professor Michael Mockel from Aschaffenburg University visited usy today. We had some very productive discussions in our beautiful garden. Also with prof. Thomas Peron.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
My new post: On the shoulders of giants: from the pre-Socratic philosophy to ChatGPT medium.com/@francisco-r...
medium.com
On the shoulders of giants: from the pre-Socratic philosophy to ChatGPT
The evolution of knowledge and the myth of the lone genius.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 03/05/2025
In our new paper, we show that caries may be the first warning sign of chronic diseases . journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... #caries #networks #diseases #PublicHealth #NCDs
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 03/05/2025
In our new paper in Scientific Reports, we use a machine learning workflow to analyze drug-induced changes in neuronal biosensor data using complex network measures. #Neuropharmacology #AI #GraphTheory www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Machine learning and complex network analysis of drug effects on neuronal microelectrode biosensor data - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Machine learning and complex network analysis of drug effects on neuronal microelectrode biosensor data
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 18/04/2025
Great to see that our work on #multilayer #networks was one of the most-read papers in Methods in Ecology and Evolution: 🔖A new centrality index designed for multilayer networks besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... With Marco Mello and Nastaran Lotfi.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
🚨 Applications open to study high-order complex networks in beautiful Natal. 🏖️ www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail... 🔖 Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July). 🏖️ Natal: www.youtube.com/watch?v=klEy...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
In our new paper, we show how machine learning can accurately diagnose depressive disorders from EEG data. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Revealing patterns in major depressive disorder with machine learning and networks
Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a multifaceted condition that affects millions of people worldwide and is a leading cause of disability. There is a…
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
🚨 Complex Networks beyond Pairwise Interactions: From Theory to Applications ✅ Three-day school (25 June - 27 June) followed by a three-day workshop (30 June - 2 July). 🌍 In Natal, Brazil. www.iip.ufrn.br/eventsdetail...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
✅ The "𝐈𝐈 𝐒𝐜𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐥 𝐨𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐮𝐬 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐃𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬" will take place from May 12-18, 2025, at IFT-UNESP in São Paulo, sponsored by ICTP-SAIFR. 🚨 Limited funds are available to cover travel and local expenses. www.ictp-saifr.org/smidd2025/
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
In our new paper, we employ network analysis to examine community disputes in post-civil war Mozambique. By analyzing a range of conflicts—from domestic disputes to wartime accusations—we reveal the deep-rooted tensions that persist in the Gorongosa district. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
In our new paper in the Proceedings of the Royal Society A, we use machine learning techniques to predict dynamic variables in complex networks. royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/... With @ymoreno.bsky.social , Thomas Peron, Colm Connaughton, and Jürgen Kurths
royalsocietypublishing.org
A machine learning approach to predicting dynamical observables from network structure | Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Estimating the outcome of a given dynamical process from structural features is a key unsolved challenge in network science. This goal is hampered by difficulties associated with nonlinearities, corre...
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Reposted by Francisco Rodrigues
Sam Scarpino @scarpino.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
The NetSciX 2025 talks are live streaming on YouTube. Prof @barabasi.bsky.social from @nunetsi.bsky.social is up in 20 minutes! You can find the full program here: netscix2025.iiti.ac.in?page_id=1028 We’re +10.5 hours here in Indore from Boston. www.youtube.com/live/frY8luh...
youtube.com
YouTube
Share your videos with friends, family, and the world
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
In a new paper on arXiv, we introduce a principled Bayesian framework for identifying power-law behaviour. Our methodology does not reject the scale-free hypothesis in many cases where the KS test does, contributing to a more precise evaluation of the scale-free hypothesis. arxiv.org/abs/2311.11200
arxiv.org
Beyond the Power Law: Estimation, Goodness-of-Fit, and a Semiparametric Extension in Complex Networks
Scale-free networks play a fundamental role in the study of complex networks and various applied fields due to their ability to model a wide range of real-world systems. A key characteristic of these ...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
In our new paper in NJP, we study a SIRS model with gamma-distributed recovery times. We show that the epidemic lifetime on star graphs follows a non-universal power law and is shortened as the number of phases increases. with @silviojrufv.bsky.social iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org
Consequences of non-Markovian healing processes on epidemic models with recurrent infections on networks - IOPscienceSearch
Consequences of non-Markovian healing processes on epidemic models with recurrent infections on networks, José Carlos Morares Silva, Diogo Henrique Silva, Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues, Silvio C Ferreira Jr
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
In our new paper in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, we quantified the gap between expected and observed dengue cases in Brazil. We used an interrupted time series approach, incorporating predictions generated by machine learning models. With @kroster.bsky.social journals.plos.org/plosntds/art...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
In our new paper in Physical Review E, we explore transfer entropy (TE) as a tool to study the evolution of population contact patterns in epidemic processes. journals.aps.org/pre/abstract... with @ymoreno.bsky.social, Tiago Martinelli, and Alberto Aleta #complexnetworks #complexity #networks
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
🚨 Just published in the Brazilian Journal of Physics! 🚨 The dynamics of Complex Financial Networks (CFNs) in our latest review. 🕸️💸 📌 Key topics: Contagion processes Systemic risk & interconnectedness Measuring systemic risk link.springer.com/article/10.1...
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Reposted by Francisco Rodrigues
Miguel Hernan @miguelhernan.org · 23/12/2024
Upgrade your #causalinference arsenal. A revision of our book "Causal Inference: What If" is available at miguelhernan.org/whatifbook Thanks to everyone who suggested improvements, reported typos, and proposed new citations and material. Enjoy the #WhatIfBook plus code and data. Also, it's free.
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Dr. Verónica Espinoza @verukita1.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
📕 The Atlas for the Aspiring Network Scientist by Michele Coscia is amazing! 👉Available as a free electronic PDF: networkatlas.eu #Networkscience #Datavisualization #ArtificialIntelligence
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
New story on Medium: medium.com/@francisco-r...
medium.com
The great mystery of mathematics
Why is maths the language of the universe?
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
My new story on Medium: 𝗞𝗲𝗽𝗹𝗲𝗿: 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝘀𝗰𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝘀𝘁 What can one of the greatest geniuses in physics teach us about data analysis and artificial intelligence? medium.com/@francisco-r...
medium.com
Kepler: the first data scientist
What can one of the greatest geniuses in physics teach us about data analysis and artificial intelligence?
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Dillon Eastoe @dillon-eastoe.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
A new paper by Paulo R Guimarães Jr and Carlos J Melián featured in JPhysComplexity's 'Focus on Complexity in Ecological Systems', guest edited by our Editorial Board member @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org
Dynamics of ecosystem services along ecological network seascapes - IOPscienceSearch
Dynamics of ecosystem services along ecological network seascapes, Paulo R Guimarães Jr, Carlos J Melián
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 30/11/2024
My new story on Medium: The age of complexity How to look at the world’s big problems through the lens of complexity. francisco-rodrigues.medium.com/the-age-of-c... #complexity #data #networks #physics #mathematics #epidemics #modelling
francisco-rodrigues.medium.com
The age of complexity
How to look at the world’s big problems through the lens of complexity.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
𝗜𝘀 𝗶𝘁 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝗱𝘆𝗻𝗮𝗺𝗶𝗰𝘀? In this new paper, we use recurrence plots to train convolutional neural networks with the task of estimating the defining control parameters of non-linear systems. arxiv.org/abs/2410.23408 with @luizalober.bsky.social
arxiv.org
Predictive Non-linear Dynamics via Neural Networks and Recurrence Plots
Predicting and characterizing diverse non-linear behaviors in dynamical systems is a complex challenge, especially due to the inherently presence of chaotic dynamics. Current forecasting methods are r...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
A new student on campus.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Our paper at the EPL is available online. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Complexity was seen in a negative way in the 90s. Fortunately, complex networks came along to show that John Horgan was wrong in his book "The End of Science". Complexity is not just a metaphor.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
I've just finished reading this monumental book. It deals with the origins of inequality and the influence of Native American culture on Western thought. The authors challenge everything we know about the origins of agriculture, property, cities, democracy, slavery and civilisation itself.
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
A book that, although a little old, is still very useful for understanding complex systems. I studied this book many years ago, when I was still a PhD student, and I still use it in my classes. It's available for free online. necsi.edu/dynamics-of-... #complexity #complexsystems #networks
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Rick Betzel @richardfbetzel.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
Haven’t seen one of these yet. Let me know who I missed!https://go.bsky.app/PR8rVkF
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Reposted by Francisco Rodrigues
Alison L Hill @alisonhill.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
bsky.app/starter-pack...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
The event will also include a workshop covering current research in the field. Apply for the school until Nov 23 and register for the workshop until Dec 14. There is no registration fee and limited funds are available for travel and local expenses. www.ictp-saifr.org/sscmbd2025/
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
List of complexity and network scientists active on BlueSky. Thanks @manlius.bsky.social !
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
Our new paper on the Journal of Complex Networks. academic.oup.com/comnet/artic...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 01/11/2024
Our new preprint on arxiv is out. We present a methodology that leverages recurrence plots as input data for training convolutional neural networks to estimate the control parameters governing two distinct nonlinear systems: (i) the Logistic map and (ii) the Standard map. arxiv.org/abs/2410.23408
arxiv.org
Predictive Non-linear Dynamics via Neural Networks and Recurrence Plots
Predicting and characterizing diverse non-linear behaviors in dynamical systems is a complex challenge, especially due to the inherently presence of chaotic dynamics. Current forecasting methods are r...
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Francisco Rodrigues @franciscorodrigues.bsky.social · 29/10/2024
In our latest publication in PLOS One , we present a multiclass classification method designed to aid in the diagnosis of autism spectrum disorder and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, conditions with rising prevalence globally. journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
journals.plos.org
Multiclass classification of Autism Spectrum Disorder, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, and typically developed individuals using fMRI functional connectivity analysis
Neurodevelopmental conditions, such as Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), present unique challenges due to overlapping symptoms, making an accurate dia...
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