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FPL Palm🌴

@fplpalm.bsky.social
446 followers 217 following 286 posts

If the robot tells me to follow you, I probably will.

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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
@stoeten.bsky.social imagine how ridiculous it would be if you, a major telecommunications company, owned a baseball team in the World Series for the first time since 1993 and your app — that people pay you to use — just error codes out all over the place while the team you own scores run after run
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
@thestrategists.ca #allmealsatswiss
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
Holding on in the mid 300ks like a boss. Thinking of maybe starting a garden here.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
Tiny green arrow means I just live here now in the 300ks. At this point I’ve been here so long it’s rent controlled. Only question this week is do I keep Slot so I can get that elusive Inactive Manager: 1 on my Season Review.
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Guy McCombe @guymc.com · 18/02/2025
📊 GW26: Arteta vs Glasner Similar means, vastly different distributions: Arteta is much more consistent: ~70% to score 8-12pts. Glasner has a much higher ceiling thanks to the table bonus potential - if you can stomach the 45% chance to score 2pts or fewer. Odds data via @robtfpl.com
Probability distribution graph comparing expected Assistant Manager points for GW26 between Mikel Arteta (Arsenal, red line) and Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace, blue line). Arteta shows a mean of 8.29 points with peaks around 8-12 points, while Glasner averages 8.25 with notable spikes at 0, 8-10, and 18-20 points. Both distributions suggest significant variance in potential outcomes.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
And now on to GW (what is it again…checks notes…) Who Cares Bringing in Bossard for Gordon. 60% of the time it works every time.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
It’s not *that* often that a 120 will get you a red arrow. So I have that to add to my accomplishments this year.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
I honestly believed I’d never live to see the day
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
The best and nicest people in the FPL analytics space, all under one roof. Excited to see what the future holds.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Well they went and did it and guaranteed two DGWs in a 5-week span. Shows what I know. Transfer haemorrhaging continues. Now to hope Spurs do some business at Anfield and we get -12 and -16 lines top!
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Green arrow yay. Spending life mired in the mid 300ks…not yay.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
Buying DCL is one of life’s great pleasures. Selling Colwill is even moreso.
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Ian W @fplstrategic.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
Looking at the possibility of blanks in GW34. Used market odds for progressing from R4 and to win FA cup to guestimate progression odds at each stage (adjusted to 100% probability). Chart (but not numbers) exclude non-PL teams. R4 progression and R5 matchups will skew these numbers vastly. #FPLvis
Premier League team progression odds for each FA Cup round.GW34 blank probability:
ARS CRY - 26%
BOU MUN - 50%
BHA WHU - 16%
CHE EVE - 35%
LIV TOT - 51%
MCI AVL - 63%
NEW IPS - 44%
NFO BRE - 25%
SOU FUL - 44%
WOL LEI - 26%
Average number of anticipated blanks: 3.8
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
GW22 — Don’t cry for me…I’m already dead
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
Finally
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
GW22 — well the inactive manager dream died in Maresca’s press conference. Have decided to follow my instinct that I used last week to dodge Isak captaincy and move the armband from Palmer to Mo. Think Colwill is a 90/0 kind of guy, so he gets the nod over Joa. Next up, burning FTs?
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
GW21 results. Small green arrow as I continue to languish in the mid 300ks. Might just buy a house here and settle down. Going for inactive manager for GW22!
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Rob T @robtfpl.com · 16/01/2025
I went back and calculated #FPL Assistant Manager points for every PL game over the last 8 seasons (and combined with pre-game market WDL odds) These are the top 100 AM scores for games played in GW24-38 between 2016-7 and 2023-24 👇 And a few quick observations below 🧵
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
Someone check that @livefpl.net’s machine isn’t on fire…
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Well, here we go again for GW21. Looking ahead to GW22 and I might have my first “inactive week” of the season the same week I get to 5 FTs ITB. FPL? Completed it, mate.
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Instinctive @fplinstinctive.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Ipswich vs. Brighton — Predicted Lineup — Will João Pedro start? — xMins and Lewis Dunk — Looking ahead to United (A) Available to read, for free: instinctive.substack.com/p/ipswich-vs...
instinctive.substack.com
Ipswich vs. Brighton
Tactical Analysis, Probabilistic Determination, and the Predicted XI
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
I think this is probably my favourite pod of the whole season. Something about that first run-through of the chips just hits…
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Well…a Forest-related red arrow. Went from 100k green on a Saturday night to a 60k red by Monday lol. Really could have used a localized blizzard over Anfield and Craven Cottage 😆
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Above Average FPL @aboveaveragefpl.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
Unfortunately we've got a red flag in the camp tonight so no podcast, no stream. No major rush, plenty of time before the next GW. We'll try and be back tomorrow, we'll keep you updated. #FPLCommunity
media.tenor.com
a red flag is flying in the wind with a cloudy sky in the background
ALT: a red flag is flying in the wind with a cloudy sky in the background
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 04/01/2025
GW20 and the rolling continues. Likely to roll again into 21. Info value >>>>
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
A nice concise read through some of the key questions each GW. You might reasonably disagree with some of the choices, but the presentation is very focused and helpful.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
Well…I’ll take the green arrow, but the double clean wipe certainly put a damper on the progress I could make slogging through OR. I assume there won’t be an adjustment made to some assist or bonus point from three days ago now, but you never know!
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Simon @analyticf.pl · 29/12/2024
Yeah I definitely think the costs are not symmetrical. Some lenses that I have developed over the season that have been helpful: 1) Probability of taking a hit later in the season should feed into your FT value now. (FT saved is hit avoided) ->
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
GW19 Struggled with picking between JP and Semenyo and with choosing Mo cap over Palmer cap. About to start losing ground on the WCers now, but it’ll be silly season too when hopefully I can start to make a comeback!
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Green arrow but still struggling with OR. Probably rolling with an eye towards getting Muñoz and likely Alisson. Not this week though.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
Something @planetfplpod.bsky.social said stuck with me while I was looking at options: The best Saka replacement is Isak (for non-owners). Had to work back from there and what was affordable when shifting Raul to Isak. The quest for 5 FTs is a roguelike in my case 😆
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
Did I lose to a guy in the cup who got Ola Aina in off his *second* bench spot? Course I did. OR: somewhere forgettable in the 500ks Seems like it’s Saka and Raul on the chopping block now. Ay carumba.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
Think I’m locked now. Can’t really justify spending my only FT on Castagne or Iwobi. Don’t think Andersen starts and do think if he doesn’t he cameos. So here we are. Completely ruined my team in 3 weeks of transfers lol.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
41. Rank bad. Just an easy 30 points under deadline EV. Cool cool. Time to roll transfer…
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
I just keep staring at it
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
Rayan Aït-Nouri since GW7: 18 points 2.0 points per match 19 goals conceded 1 clean sheet And Peter has the rest…
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
Do Cunha bonus points get “Solanke zoned” for post-whistle punches?
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
GW16 Probably won’t change before deadline. Even if Gab is leaked to be on the bench he’s still starting 😆
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
It is with no small amount of sorrow that we say goodbye to Bruno from our FPL team. Rest easy, king. I will own you again.
media.tenor.com
a man in a suit and tie is sitting in front of a blind
ALT: a man in a suit and tie is sitting in front of a blind
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AlexVolloFPL @alexvollo.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Gabriel spotted at Arsenal training ground #FPL
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Question for @livefpl.net — around the office, do you call this checkbox toggle the “Meupiyou Switch”?
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
Well. Nice. “But Palm, they haven’t done the autosubs yet.” “Don’t worry about it.”
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
Got up at 4am just to roll transfer and adjust bench. I for one am glad the Towers haven’t moved deadline, mostly so I don’t have to see this team anymore…
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
I guess I’ll likely set my alarm for 5:15 to see about postponement. Either way I’m rolling and just holding out hope that Gab will play. Will swap cap to Palmer if EVELIV is off. Really wanted to chase some outcome variability against a lot of E1K with Saka there, but I think I’ll bottle it.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
On the bright side, none of my benched defenders are likely to match Stephens’ or Dawson’s -4s…
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Emil 🇩🇰 @emilfpl.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Chelsea XI prediction for gw14. Probably the hardest one to predict all season with this being the first midweek rotation for the "A" team. I think the core of the team stays the same, but 4-5 changes will be made. Some interesting decisions on Jackson v Nkunku and what shape he'll go with...
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Alastair McKeever @tedlassoregen.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Have seen a few considering Semenyo vs. Kluivert this week for FPL and I have a bit of a crush on Bournemouth so thought I might throw a thread together. 🧵
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
It’s quite a turnaround to go from 17 points at close of day yesterday to 85 today. This game, sometimes. I got very very lucky.
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Apropos of the imminent price drops, the difference between 4.4 DEFs and 4.3 DEFs is a fucking chasm…
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FPL Palm🌴 @fplpalm.bsky.social · 30/11/2024
Question for anyone in interested in #fpl price changes. I see this message on fplstatistics.com.
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