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François Heisbourg

@fheisbourg.bsky.social
13K followers 191 following 2.5K posts

Senior adviser (Europe), IISS, Special adviser, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique

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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 1h
⚡️Ukrainian drones reportedly hit Sberbank data center in Russia Ukrainian defense company Fire Point commented in a social media post on Wednesday morning, saying 'You didn’t think it would stop with just Yandex, did you?'
kyivindependent.com
Ukrainian drones reportedly hit Sberbank data center in Russia
Ukrainian defense company Fire Point commented in a social media post on Wednesday morning, saying 'You didn’t think it would stop with just Yandex, did you?'
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
Poulet Volant @pouletvolant3.bsky.social · 6h
Guerre d'Ukraine | 13/10/26 Secteurs : 🌐 Update Drobysheve-Kolodiazi (OPSEC)🔹U261013-1121 🌐 Dobropillia🔹U261013-1130 #UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine
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FRANCE 24 @france24.com · 42m
🇺🇦 - 🇷🇺 Les Russes refusent tout cessez-le-feu sur les sites énergétiques en Ukraine. La nuit dernière, ils ont pris pour cible les trois centrales thermiques de Kiev. Des civils sont également morts
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 43m
Genius shyster and shills at work. But this horror show could unfold if Putin's friends and MAGA'S favorites win in France, Germany and Italy
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 1h
Eleven of 17 Starlink antennas at a secure site near Sofia were deliberately set on fire by two masked individuals, Bulgarian MP Ivaylo Mirchev says. The antennas provide Starlink satellite communications. Mirchev criticized the government’s silence and questioned its response to Russian sabotage.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 4h
Pull the other one, Dimy
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 4h
Europe & Ukraine are 100% dependent on the US for so-called SEW ( shared early warning ) . A complex european multi-tier programme (JEWEL) isn't due until the 2030s. An interim gestationary satellite using proven French infrared technology could be lofted promptly but no decision has been made.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 4h
Unwise move by Luxembourg 🇱🇺
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 7h
⚡️ US senators urge Trump to drop Russian diesel deal, use Graham's sanctions law. "This deal is a gift to our adversary and a betrayal of our Allies; it should be rescinded," reads the letter signed by six Democratic and six Republican senators.
kyivindependent.com
US senators urge Trump to drop Russian diesel deal, use Graham's sanctions law
"This deal is a gift to our adversary and a betrayal of our Allies; it should be rescinded," reads the letter signed by six Democratic and six Republican senators.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 7h
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1694 1. Musk reins in Starlink 2. US missile launch sharedearly warning was apparently withheld from 🇺🇦 In both cases there is no in-place European 🇪🇺 alternative 3.Big attack vs 🇺🇦 energy infrastructure last night 39 Iskander-M Onyx Zircon. Only 4 down 115/128 strike drones down/out
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 8h
⚡️ 'Ostentatious disrespect' — Zelensky says Russia defied Trump's energy ceasefire with latest missile strike. "The strike was entirely deliberate and demonstrative in its scale," President Volodymyr Zelensky said, adding that "Russia does not consider the American President's statements strong."
kyivindependent.com
'Ostentatious disrespect' — Zelensky says Russia defied Trump's energy ceasefire with latest missile strike
"The strike was entirely deliberate and demonstrative in its scale," President Volodymyr Zelensky said, adding that "Russia does not consider the American President's statements strong."
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 8h
⚡️ 'This cannot be a coincidence' — Ukraine's Starlink access restricted without warning, Zelensky adviser says. Ukraine relies on Starlink to operate its mid-strike drones in Russian-occupied Ukraine.
kyivindependent.com
'This cannot be a coincidence' — Ukraine's Starlink access restricted without warning, Zelensky adviser says
Ukraine relies on Starlink to operate its mid-strike drones in Russian-occupied Ukraine.
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
Euronews @euronews.com · 8h
Oil prices rose as fresh attacks in the Middle East fuelled supply concerns. European gas prices hovered near a four-year high, while Asian shares were mixed and European stock futures edged lower.
l.euronews.com
Oil prices rise after reported attacks on ships in Strait of Hormuz
Oil prices rose as fresh attacks in the Middle East fuelled supply concerns. European gas prices hovered near a four-year high, while Asian shares were mixed and European stock futures edged lower.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 7h
Ce soir à 18h
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
An important contribution to the debate on the shape of the post transatlantic order in Europe. The possibility and risk of the emergence of a new German question is viewed as being at the heart of the matter.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1693 1. While POTUS voids US sanctions, the EU launches new sanctions package 2. 5 Iskander M and 9 Bandeerol vs Ukraine 88/108 strike drones down/out (58/74 jet propelled strike drones down)
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 12/10/2026
⚡Ukrainska Pravda demands investigation into Austrian police conduct after journalists' detention.
kyivindependent.com
Ukrainska Pravda demands investigation into Austrian police conduct after journalists' detention
Tkach is known in Ukraine for his investigations of high-level corruption. He alleged that the arrest could have been retaliation from subjects of his investigations, who could have manipulated Austri...
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 13/10/2026
Last month, French President Emmanuel Macron called on top European players to forge a new “alliance” to strengthen collective satellite capacity. The real target of the let’s-team-up message? Elon Musk’s Starlink.
politico.eu
How Europe plans to squeeze out Starlink
European players are banding together to put the brakes on the U.S. giant’s dominance over satellite connectivity.
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 13/10/2026
Trump insisted Russia and Ukraine agreed to his energy ceasefire, saying: “They agreed. You know why? Because I said, ‘You agree.’” Asked about reported Russian violations, he said violations had occurred “on both sides” and that he believes Putin and Zelensky both support it. #Ukraine
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
Hans Tino Hansen @hanstino.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Today's two Russian attacks on vessels just outside Bulgarian territorial waters and following last week's attack near Romanian TTW mark a dangerous Russian escalation track that may lead to direct involvement of the two countries & NATO. This may well be the Russian game plan to test this.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Wondering we will seize sanctions-breaking ships bringing 🇷🇺 diesel to 🇺🇸
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 13/10/2026
France boarded the tanker DF Peak more than 450 nautical miles south of Réunion, Macron says. The vessel is suspected of sailing under a false flag and involvement in illicit fuel transport. Macron said France is determined to combat the “ghost fleet.” #France
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
Indeed
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Guardian @theguardian.com · 12/10/2026
Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue
theguardian.com
Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue
Ukrainian leader says he was surprised by Trump’s ‘energy ceasefire’ announcement, which was posted as Russian drones hit Kyiv * Europe live – latest updates Volodymyr Zelenskyy has vowed to respond to Russia’s continuing attacks on the Ukrainian power grid as European leaders rally around Kyiv amid a feud with Donald Trump over Ukraine’s strikes on oil refineries. Speaking to a gathering of European security officials in Warsaw on Monday, the Ukrainian president said Ukraine would retaliate if strikes on its power grid continued: “If Russia does not agree to an energy ceasefire this winter, we will respond.” Continue reading...
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
The correct response to this would be to make all the evidence used to draw the conclusion public, then challenge Farage to respond, otherwise people will just pick their opinions on the matter based purely on who they trust.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1691 1. 🇷🇺 strikes Kharkiv power plant shortly after Trump's purported energy cease fire 2. Trump threatens to suspends US arms deliveries to 🇺🇦. Reminder: Europe plus 🇨🇦+🇭🇲 pays for 100% of arms transfers to 🇺🇦 3. 89/121 strike drones down/out, of which 55/76 jet propelled
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 11/10/2026
⚡️Russia struck Kharkiv's power plant shortly after Trump announced 'energy ceasefire.’ Ukraine's Presidential Office confirmed that the attack occurred after U.S. President Donald Trump announced an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
kyivindependent.com
Russia struck Kharkiv's power plant shortly after Trump announced 'energy ceasefire'
Ukraine's Presidential Office confirmed that the attack occurred after U.S. President Donald Trump announced an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 11/10/2026
⚡️US threatens to halt weapons procurement for Ukraine over strikes on Russian energy sites, FT reports. The reported pressure preceded President Donald Trump’s announcement on Oct. 11 that Moscow and Kyiv had agreed to stop attacks on each other’s energy infrastructure.
kyivindependent.com
US threatens to halt weapons procurement for Ukraine over strikes on Russian energy sites, FT reports
The reported pressure preceded President Donald Trump’s announcement on Oct. 11 that Moscow and Kyiv had agreed to stop attacks on each other’s energy infrastructure.
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WarTranslated (Dmitri) @wartranslated.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Ukraine's FM Sybiha told Germany's Wadephul that Russia hit Kharkiv's TPP-5 hours after announcing an energy truce. He reaffirmed Ukraine's readiness for a full ceasefire if Russia stops attacks and urged more military aid, EU accession progress, and use of frozen Russian assets.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
A rightly unrepentant Frank Fukuyama delivers an important book (read the awesome last chapter if nothing else, though the amusing account of his tussle with French 1970s deconstructionists shouldn't be missed). Spoiler: prospects for rhe last man aren't great.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Glucksmann's excellent primary score will make it very difficult for François Hollande to stand as a pinch-hitter for the mainstream left. As a presidential candidate, Glucksmann has yet to prove that that he has rhe requisite charisma.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Une branlée (bien méritée) pour Olivier Faure (14%) et une conséquence politique majeure: il sera très difficile pour François Hollande de se présenter face au score sans appel de Glücks. Mais que saura faire ce dernier bien peu charismatique avec son excellent résultat?
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 10/10/2026
⚡️️️️️️️Update: Death toll in Russian airstrike in Zaporizhzhia rises to 20. At least 20 people have been killed after Russia dropped five guided bombs on a residential neighborhood in Zaporizhzhia early on Oct. 10. The victims include three children.
kyivindependent.com
Russian guided bombs hit Zaporizhzhia residential neighborhood, killing at least 20, injuring 18
Three children were among those killed by a Russian airstrike in the early hours of Oct. 10. Some victims were trapped for hours beneath the rubble as rescuers searched for survivors.
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Reposted by François Heisbourg
The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 10/10/2026
⚡️️️️️️️US demands Kyiv halt refinery attacks, threatens to suspend intelligence sharing. During recent talks, the Ukrainians were told that Washington would cut off intelligence sharing that has helped Kyiv identify and strike targets inside Russia, one person present told the Kyiv Independent.
kyivindependent.com
Exclusive: 'It felt like a trap.' How Ukraine was blindsided by Trump's Putin pivot
When U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner told Ukraine's delegation on Oct. 9 that President Donald Trump was preparing to lift sanctions on Russian diesel exports, the Ukrainians struggled to ...
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
How strange! Nobody takes Trump's statements on trust these days.
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 11/10/2026
❗️The EU is preparing tougher visa restrictions for Russian tourists over hybrid security threats, Politico reports. The European Commission plans proposals in the new year. Around 478,000 Schengen tourist visas were issued to Russian citizens last year, many allowing multiple entries. #EU
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
This isn't starting well
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 11/10/2026
⚡️Ukraine welcomes Baltic push to ban Russian grain transit through EU. "It is important to see this initiative now being advanced at the EU level," wrote Agriculture Minister Taras Vysotskyi.
kyivindependent.com
Ukraine welcomes Baltic push to ban Russian grain transit through EU
"It is important to see this initiative now being advanced at the EU level," wrote Agriculture Minister Taras Vysotskyi.
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 11/10/2026
⚡️Ukraine will only stop attacking Russian oil as part of an energy ceasefire, Zelensky says. "The real cause of the war in Europe is Russia, and Russia alone. It is already possible today to halt the attacks on our energy sector, but Putin does not want to do so," Zelensky said.
kyivindependent.com
Ukraine will only stop attacking Russian oil as part of an energy ceasefire, Zelensky says
"The real cause of the war in Europe is Russia, and Russia alone. It is already possible today to halt the attacks on our energy sector, but Putin does not want to do so," Zelensky said.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Teump says he's secured a mutual 🇷🇺 🇺🇦 energy ceasefire Waiting for Putin's confirmation...
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The Japan Times @japantimes.co.jp · 11/10/2026
A media association survey has found that the proportion of people in Japan who think the United States is the biggest threat to world peace came to 26.8%, the second highest after China, cited by 32.5%.
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François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1691 1. Regime change? Trump asserts that 🇺🇦 needs a new president 2. 3d Yandex data center kaput in Vladimir oblast 3 15 killed in Zaporizhia bombing 4. 95/116 strike drones down/ out ( 94 jet propelled/49 down)
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Agence France-Presse @afp.com · 10/10/2026
🇺🇦 Des frappes russes sur la ville de Zaporijjia dans le sud-est de l'Ukraine samedi ont fait 15 morts, selon le dernier bilan des autorités. La Russie a intensifié ses frappes contre le territoire ukrainien ces derniers mois, faisant un nombre croissant de victimes civiles ⤵️
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 10/10/2026
⚡️️️️️️️'He better damn well stop' — Trump slams Zelensky for attacking Russian refineries, says Ukraine should get 'new president.' "I think it's time for Ukraine to get a new president," Trump said when questioned about his deal to ease sanctions against Russia in exchange for diesel.
kyivindependent.com
'He better damn well stop' — Trump slams Zelensky for attacking Russian refineries, says Ukraine should get 'new president'
"I think it's time for Ukraine to get a new president," U.S. President Donald Trump said when questioned about his deal to ease sanctions against Russia in exchange for diesel.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
“Western intelligence agencies have warned Europe’s defence bosses that Russia is stepping up efforts to assassinate them, prompting companies to increase personal security around their top executives.” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Russia steps up bid to kill European defence chiefs, spy agencies warn
Companies increase personal security for top executives as Kremlin orders expansion of sabotage and ‘hybrid’ operations
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 11/10/2026
Former Vice President Mike Pence, who served under Trump from 2017 to 2021, condemned Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian fuel, calling it a lifeline for Putin’s war machine. “Putin doesn’t want peace. Putin wants Ukraine,” Pence said, urging Trump to rescind the deal. #Ukraine
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McDaragh @mcdaragh.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
There is no mask - Trump's world view is always and everywhere shaped by his immediate perceived personal interests. Right now it's getting Russian diesel so Ukraine is the bad guy. He barely has object permanence yet alone analytical nuance.
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 10/10/2026
Breaking News: At least 12 people were killed and 50 more were injured in a Houthi attack on an airport in the Saudi capital, officials said. The strike was the deadliest attack in a Gulf Arab country since the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran began in February.
nyti.ms
Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh Airport Attacked Again, After Days of Houthi Strikes
The strike on Saturday was the deadliest attack in a Gulf Arab country since the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran began in February, and forced the airport to temporarily suspend operations.
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 10/10/2026
⚡️️️️️️️'Will only lead to more slaughter' — bipartisan backlash erupts in US over Trump-Russia diesel deal. Lawmakers from both major parties argued the move would undermine recent sanctions, provide Moscow with billions in revenue, and contradict efforts to pressure Putin to end the war in Ukraine.
kyivindependent.com
'Will only lead to more slaughter' — bipartisan backlash erupts in US over Trump-Russia diesel deal
Lawmakers from both major parties argued the move would undermine recently enacted sanctions against Russia, potentially provide Moscow with billions of dollars in revenue, and contradict Congress's e...
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ABC News Bot (unofficial) @abcnewsbot.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Multiple people are wounded and flights grounded after a second attack on King Khalid International Airport in the Saudi capital.
abc.net.au
Several injured, flights cancelled after second attack on Saudi airport
Multiple people are wounded and flights grounded after a second attack on King Khalid International Airport in the Saudi capital.
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