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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 15/03/2026

🧵Thead About two weeks after the start of the American-Israeli war against the Iranian regime, the scene remains unclear. Despite the killing of its Supreme Leader, It does not appear that the Islamic Republic's system is close to collapse, nor does it seem that the two allies in Washington and

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 06/03/2026

🧵Thread As six days pass since the American–Israeli war against Iran began, the exchange of words and rhetoric continues. The end of this war remains unclear in both its scope and timing, while the conflict expands to include most of the geography of the Middle East.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 19/08/2025

Thread 🧵 On August 5th, the Lebanese government approved the decision to withdraw Hezbollah's weapons, and on August 7th, the government approved the American paper, also known as the Barrack paper. After these two decisions,

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

Thread 🧵 About nine days ago, tensions in the Druze-majority province of Suwayda in southern Syria began to escalate into street fighting, clashes, and Israeli military activity, threatening to assassinate interim Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa and destroying the Syrian General Staff building.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 15/07/2025

lasted for more than 640 days, the political atmosphere in Lebanon and Iran appears less positive. A geopolitical reading on three fronts: Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

Thread 🧵 A few hours before The New York Times published details of the Israeli military operation the IDF were preparing to target parts of Iran's nuclear program, I confirmed that the Israeli government was expanding its target bank in Iran, and that Trump's invitation to

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

Thread 🧵 While the United States continues to build up its air, defense, and missile capabilities in the Middle East and its surrounding areas, and while the Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip continues without decisive results, Netanyahu's visit to Washington took place, followed a few

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

Thread 🧵 On the evening of April 2, Hama and T4 military airports in central Syria were subjected to Israeli airstrikes, which led to the complete destruction of both airports. Israeli media outlets reported confirmations from Defense Ministry officials that the

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

An analytical reading of the of the rising tensions between Iran, Israel, and Washington recently, exploring possible scenarios and the regional stance.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 29/03/2025

The missile attack targeted the town of Kiryat Shmona in northern Israel. The two launchers are similar to those used in a missile attack from southern Lebanon toward northern Israel in April 2023, which was not claimed by any party in Lebanon.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 29/03/2025

Hezbollah militia denying any role in this attack. An analytical reading of who could be behind this attack and the implications of this escalation that prompted the Israeli government to bomb Beirut's southern suburbs for the first time since the signing of the ceasefire agreement last November.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

🧵 After more than 530 days of war in the Gaza Strip and a pause of over a month before it reignited, the political and military landscape today appears extremely complex. An analytical reading of the political scene and diplomatic offers to end or temporarily halt the war between Israel and Hamas.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 23/03/2025

Thread 🧵 Yesterday morning, six Katyusha 107 rockets were launched from southern Lebanon towards Israeli territory. Three of them landed within Lebanese territory, while the Iron Dome intercepted the other three.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 17/03/2025

Thread 🧵 About 47 raids were carried out by the US Air Force the night of March 15th against Houthi militia (Ansar Allah) positions in the Yemeni governorates of Sana'a, Sa'dah, Ma'rib, Hajjah and Al Bayda.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 08/03/2025

Thread 🧵 On the evening of Thursday, March 6th, groups of former officers and members of the Assad regime army carried out an organized attack targeting military sites, police stations, and security patrols belonging to the new Syrian administration in the Alawite-majority Syrian coastal region.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 01/03/2025

Thread 🧵 Yesterday evening, members of the Syrian General Security, part of the new Syrian administration, were attacked by fighters belonging to a militia called the “Jaramana Shield Brigade”, which led to the death of one of the security personnel and the injury of others.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Thread 🧵 Yesterday, during a graduation ceremony for IDF officers, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made a number of important remarks addressing three key issues: Syria, Gaza, and Lebanon. An analytical reading of these statements and their impact on the map of the region.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 18/02/2025

Thread 🧵 On the 12th of this month, the Syrian SANA news agency reported a phone call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa, during which Putin congratulated al-Sharaa on the presidency during the transitional phase.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

Thread 🧵 While eyes in Lebanon and for those interested in Lebanese affairs are directed towards the borders with Israel, with February 18 being the scheduled date for the IDF to withdraw to their positions prior to last September, developments at

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

Thread 🧵 While the ceasefire in Gaza continues and the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas takes place, the Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam announces his government formation in Beirut. These hopeful developments unfold alongside the Trump administration's actions against Iran's

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

Thread 🧵 A car bomb exploded yesterday in the city of Manbij, located in the eastern countryside of Aleppo, northern Syria. The blast killed approximately 15 civilians, most of whom were women, making it the deadliest attack in Syria since the fall of the Assad regime. While social media users

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 01/02/2025

coming days will bring surprises. So, who is the Islamic Resistance in Syria?

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 01/02/2025

Thread 🧵 In a first-of-its-kind event, at approximately 11 PM last night, an Israeli force that had penetrated the vicinity of the village of Tranjah, located in the disengagement zone in southern Syria, was exposed to gunfire from the Syrian side,

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

Thread 🧵 In his speech today, Abdul Malik al-Houthi, the leader of the Ansar Allah militia, known as the Houthis, , affirmed that they are monitoring developments in the West Bank and Gaza. He warned that the failure of the ceasefire agreement would lead to a resumption of attacks by the militia.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Thread 🧵 While Syrian cities are still celebrating the fall of the Assad regime and Damascus is crowded with Arab and Western officials announcing the beginning of a new phase for Syria, the file of eastern Syria remains a thorny dilemma that could explode at any moment.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

Thread 🧵 While the eyes of the world were fixed on Gaza, the ceasefire agreement and the release of the Israeli hostages held by Hamas after about 460 days of war, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was in Moscow signing a comprehensive strategic

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 13/01/2025

Thread 🧵 About three weeks ago I had confirmed that we were closer than ever to reaching a deal that would end the war in the Gaza Strip and release the Israeli hostages held by the Hamas militia.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 10/01/2025

Thread 🧵 General Joseph Aoun is the fourteenth president of the Lebanese state, after more than two years of vacuum and internal political struggle and international and regional movements.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 09/01/2025

Thread 🧵 Αt dawn on December 7th, 2024, less than 24 hours before Bashar al-Assad fled the Syrian capital Damascus, while the Syrian armed opposition forces were still stationed on the outskirts of Homs, the Free Syrian Forces stationed in the al-

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 09/01/2025

Thread 🧵 One day before the Lebanese Parliament convenes to elect a president, and twenty days before the expiry of the 60-day deadline agreed upon for a ceasefire between Hezbollah and

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 05/01/2025

Thread 🧵 On January 3, 2020, General Qassem Soleimani was killed in a raid carried out by the US Air Force. Soleimani was not just the commander of the Quds Force, one of the brigades of the IRGC, but he was a cornerstone of Iran's project in the Middle East.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Either these two projects will compete for influence in the region or cooperate. In my opinion, Trump’s policy in the Middle East is what will determine the shape of Turkish-Israeli relations on the one hand and the shape of the new Middle East on the other.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Thread 🧵 Last March, Saudi Arabia signed, with Chinese mediation, a memorandum of understanding with Iran. Many observers considered this memorandum a concession by Riyadh in the face of the Iranian rise, which was at its peak in the Middle East.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Here, I would like to express my solidarity with the brave Italian journalist Cecilia Sala, who is still detained by the Iranian regime to this day, and I demand international action to release her immediately. #FreeCeciliaSala

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Thread 🧵 While the official Iranian media and the speeches of the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei try to present regional developments as a summer cloud that Tehran will disperse, we as researchers monitoring the political, military and security movements internally,

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 02/01/2025

A reading of the next Iranian move in the Middle East, the title of which is chaos and escalation. x.com/evacool_/thr...

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

Thread 🧵 A month after the signing of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah militia with American mediation, a reading of the scene on the Israeli-Lebanese border between what was accomplished and what was not accomplished and the chances of success of this agreement.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

A reading of the perspectives of the Middle Eastern countries, the European Union and the US between concerns and hopes in the next stage.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

the Democrats lost the presidential elections, Assad refused to normalize relations with #Turkey, Qassem Soleimani was killed four years ago. And the Syrians have not surrendered.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

At dawn on Sunday, December 8, before the Syrian capital, #Damascus, the Syrian armed opposition announced the fall of the #Assad regime and the end of the Assad family’s rule over #Syria.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

What happened before Hama liberation is not the same as what comes after it.👇 x.com/evacool_/sta...

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

formation of an Arab coalition to fight terrorist groups in Syria. In return, Assad would make concessions on the refugee and Captagon files and exit from the Iranian axis. The offer was rejected by the Arabs due to the lack of an American green light.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

Assad also secretly gave #Moscow the green light to activate the plan to transfer his money to #Russia.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

On the other hand, Araghchi asked Assad to accept concessions to Turkey and to the Syrian political opposition to gain time and stop the collapse. Assad did not agree or object. Araghchi left Damascus on Sunday evening for #Ankara.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

Emirates, and #Russia in search of a de-escalation and a halt to the movement of the Syrian armed opposition.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

In Tehran, the atmosphere became more tense, and in #Turkey, Ankara gave the green light to the Syrian National Army forces to move against the SDF forces in the northern Aleppo countryside.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

and #Tehran began to feel concerned and communicate with officials in #Damascus to understand what is happening.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

That evening, the opposition forces were 10 km away from the strategic city of Aleppo. Politically, while the battles were raging in northern Syria, Assad had left Syria on a secret trip to Moscow. The visit was for personal reasons and was not related to what was happening in Aleppo province.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

An explanation of the timeline from November 27th until Assad fled Damascus at dawn on December 8th, with information that I was able to collect about the international, regional and field movements.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 13/12/2024

#EXCLUSIVE An exclusive interview with the head of the Syrian Coalition, the most important political platform for the Syrian opposition, Mr. Hadi Al-Bahra, about several files, most notably Syria’s future, chemical weapons, and relations with neighbouring countries.

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