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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 15/03/2026

🧵Thead About two weeks after the start of the American-Israeli war against the Iranian regime, the scene remains unclear. Despite the killing of its Supreme Leader, It does not appear that the Islamic Republic's system is close to collapse, nor does it seem that the two allies in Washington and

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 06/03/2026

🧵Thread As six days pass since the American–Israeli war against Iran began, the exchange of words and rhetoric continues. The end of this war remains unclear in both its scope and timing, while the conflict expands to include most of the geography of the Middle East.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 08/11/2025

Diplomacy as a Prelude to War: The Strategic Chess Game Between Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran While Egyptian officials are intensifying their communications with the Lebanese state, the latest of which was an emergency visit by the head of Egyptian intelligence, Hassan Rashad,

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

Syria After Assad: Governance, Security, and Diplomacy in Post-War Syria Analyzing Al-Sharaa’s Emerging Strategy On his first visit to Moscow, Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa appeared composed and ready to open a new page in Syrian-Russian relations.

middleeastindepth.substack.com

Syria After Assad: Governance, Security, and Diplomacy in Post-War Syria

Analyzing Al-Sharaa’s Emerging Strategy

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 19/08/2025

Thread 🧵 On August 5th, the Lebanese government approved the decision to withdraw Hezbollah's weapons, and on August 7th, the government approved the American paper, also known as the Barrack paper. After these two decisions,

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

Thread 🧵 About nine days ago, tensions in the Druze-majority province of Suwayda in southern Syria began to escalate into street fighting, clashes, and Israeli military activity, threatening to assassinate interim Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa and destroying the Syrian General Staff building.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 15/07/2025

Thread 🧵 While the obstacles are diminishing to reach a temporary ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip between the Israeli government and Hamas, with indications that this temporary cessation could be a first step towards ending the war that has

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Thread 🧵 In light of the current developments in Syria and the Israeli military escalation, I will provide a brief analysis of these developments, which are directly linked to the clashes that

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

Thread 🧵 A few hours before The New York Times published details of the Israeli military operation the IDF were preparing to target parts of Iran's nuclear program, I confirmed that the Israeli government was expanding its target bank in Iran, and that Trump's invitation to

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

Thread 🧵 While the United States continues to build up its air, defense, and missile capabilities in the Middle East and its surrounding areas, and while the Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip continues without decisive results, Netanyahu's visit to Washington took place, followed a few

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

Thread 🧵 On the evening of April 2, Hama and T4 military airports in central Syria were subjected to Israeli airstrikes, which led to the complete destruction of both airports. Israeli media outlets reported confirmations from Defense Ministry officials that the

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

Thread 🧵 In a television interview with the advisor to the Iranian Supreme Leader and his special envoy, Ali Larijani, he warned that any American or Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear program would force Tehran to develop nuclear weapons.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 29/03/2025

Thread🧵 Yesterday morning, two Grad missiles were launched from southern Lebanon towards northern Israel. One was intercepted by the Iron Dome, while the other fell inside Lebanese territory. This is the second missile attack in a few days without any Lebanese party claiming responsibility, and with

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

🧵 After more than 530 days of war in the Gaza Strip and a pause of over a month before it reignited, the political and military landscape today appears extremely complex. An analytical reading of the political scene and diplomatic offers to end or temporarily halt the war between Israel and Hamas.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 23/03/2025

Thread 🧵 Yesterday morning, six Katyusha 107 rockets were launched from southern Lebanon towards Israeli territory. Three of them landed within Lebanese territory, while the Iron Dome intercepted the other three.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 17/03/2025

Thread 🧵 About 47 raids were carried out by the US Air Force the night of March 15th against Houthi militia (Ansar Allah) positions in the Yemeni governorates of Sana'a, Sa'dah, Ma'rib, Hajjah and Al Bayda.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 08/03/2025

Thread 🧵 On the evening of Thursday, March 6th, groups of former officers and members of the Assad regime army carried out an organized attack targeting military sites, police stations, and security patrols belonging to the new Syrian administration in the Alawite-majority Syrian coastal region.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 01/03/2025

Thread 🧵 Yesterday evening, members of the Syrian General Security, part of the new Syrian administration, were attacked by fighters belonging to a militia called the “Jaramana Shield Brigade”, which led to the death of one of the security personnel and the injury of others.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Thread 🧵 Yesterday, during a graduation ceremony for IDF officers, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made a number of important remarks addressing three key issues: Syria, Gaza, and Lebanon. An analytical reading of these statements and their impact on the map of the region.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 18/02/2025

Thread 🧵 On the 12th of this month, the Syrian SANA news agency reported a phone call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa, during which Putin congratulated al-Sharaa on the presidency during the transitional phase.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

Thread 🧵 While eyes in Lebanon and for those interested in Lebanese affairs are directed towards the borders with Israel, with February 18 being the scheduled date for the IDF to withdraw to their positions prior to last September, developments at

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

Thread 🧵 While the ceasefire in Gaza continues and the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas takes place, the Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam announces his government formation in Beirut. These hopeful developments unfold alongside the Trump administration's actions against Iran's

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

Thread 🧵 A car bomb exploded yesterday in the city of Manbij, located in the eastern countryside of Aleppo, northern Syria. The blast killed approximately 15 civilians, most of whom were women, making it the deadliest attack in Syria since the fall of the Assad regime. While social media users

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 01/02/2025

Thread 🧵 In a first-of-its-kind event, at approximately 11 PM last night, an Israeli force that had penetrated the vicinity of the village of Tranjah, located in the disengagement zone in southern Syria, was exposed to gunfire from the Syrian side,

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

Thread 🧵 In his speech today, Abdul Malik al-Houthi, the leader of the Ansar Allah militia, known as the Houthis, , affirmed that they are monitoring developments in the West Bank and Gaza. He warned that the failure of the ceasefire agreement would lead to a resumption of attacks by the militia.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Thread 🧵 While Syrian cities are still celebrating the fall of the Assad regime and Damascus is crowded with Arab and Western officials announcing the beginning of a new phase for Syria, the file of eastern Syria remains a thorny dilemma that could explode at any moment.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

Thread 🧵 While the eyes of the world were fixed on Gaza, the ceasefire agreement and the release of the Israeli hostages held by Hamas after about 460 days of war, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was in Moscow signing a comprehensive strategic

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 13/01/2025

Thread 🧵 About three weeks ago I had confirmed that we were closer than ever to reaching a deal that would end the war in the Gaza Strip and release the Israeli hostages held by the Hamas militia.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 10/01/2025

Thread 🧵 General Joseph Aoun is the fourteenth president of the Lebanese state, after more than two years of vacuum and internal political struggle and international and regional movements.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 09/01/2025

Thread 🧵 Αt dawn on December 7th, 2024, less than 24 hours before Bashar al-Assad fled the Syrian capital Damascus, while the Syrian armed opposition forces were still stationed on the outskirts of Homs, the Free Syrian Forces stationed in the al-

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 09/01/2025

Thread 🧵 One day before the Lebanese Parliament convenes to elect a president, and twenty days before the expiry of the 60-day deadline agreed upon for a ceasefire between Hezbollah and

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 05/01/2025

Next Wednesday, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani will go on an important visit to Tehran. Al-Sudani will carry with him several thorny files, most notably the file of the Iraqi militias supported by the IRGC.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 05/01/2025

Thread 🧵 On January 3, 2020, General Qassem Soleimani was killed in a raid carried out by the US Air Force. Soleimani was not just the commander of the Quds Force, one of the brigades of the IRGC, but he was a cornerstone of Iran's project in the Middle East.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Thread 🧵 Last March, Saudi Arabia signed, with Chinese mediation, a memorandum of understanding with Iran. Many observers considered this memorandum a concession by Riyadh in the face of the Iranian rise, which was at its peak in the Middle East.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Thread 🧵 While the official Iranian media and the speeches of the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei try to present regional developments as a summer cloud that Tehran will disperse, we as researchers monitoring the political, military and security movements internally,

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

Thread 🧵 A month after the signing of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah militia with American mediation, a reading of the scene on the Israeli-Lebanese border between what was accomplished and what was not accomplished and the chances of success of this agreement.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

A few days ago, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan arrived to meet with Ahmed al-Shara’a, leader of the new administration in Damascus, in the first visit of an official to post-Assad Syria.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

While the foreign ministers of Turkey, Iran and Russia were meeting in Doha on Saturday the 7th of this month to discuss developments in the Syrian arena in search of some kind of deal, Bashar al-Assad, in coordination with Moscow, was transferring the rest of his money to the Russian Khmeimim base.

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Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي @evacool.bsky.social · 13/12/2024

#EXCLUSIVE An exclusive interview with the head of the Syrian Coalition, the most important political platform for the Syrian opposition, Mr. Hadi Al-Bahra, about several files, most notably Syria’s future, chemical weapons, and relations with neighbouring countries.

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