Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 39mOh, the first number is whether they are above water. The second is whether they are with likely voters. 000
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 40mAlso, Forstag is not progressive. The Blue Dog PAC endorsed him and he's running in a Trump district in #MT01. He's following a strategy I wrote about here: Democrats should talk about leagues making rules, but the government shouldn't make laws. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...thepoliticalspectrum.substack.comDemocrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletesOne way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws 5253
Reposted by Eric Michael GarciaSarah Michels @sarahmichels.bsky.social · 1hAbout 1,400 registered North Carolina voters will get a letter in the mail this week asking them to voluntarily remove themselves from the voter rolls or submit proof of citizenship. That’s because they were flagged by SAVE as potential noncitizens. #ncpol carolinapublicpress.org/82579/why-ar...carolinapublicpress.orgWhy are NC registered voters getting letters questioning citizenship in 2026?NC uses dubious federal SAVE system to select registered voters for inquiry about citizenship. NC not taking them off rolls before election. 1199
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 10hFavorable impression among Registered Voters in #TXSen since September via Marist: James Talarico 46% (+1, -6 with Likely voters) Ken Paxton 34% (-23, -22 with likely voters) Talarico took a hit in since negative ads ran, but Paxton is still bad maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/2026-m...maristpoll.marist.eduHome of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and MoreThe Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state... 3315
Reposted by Eric Michael GarciaCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 13hBillions of dollars’ worth of contracts predicting oil would fall and the S&P 500 would rise were placed about 15 minutes before Trump announced a U-turn on Iran in a post on Truth Social. CFTC staff began to investigate...then were told to lay off. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...bloomberg.comCFTC Staff Were Told to Retract Analysis of Suspicious Oil TradesChairman’s adviser intervened to take over examination of lucrative bets that were made around Trump reversal on Iran power plant attack. 6124151276
Reposted by Eric Michael GarciaJared Holt @jaredlholt.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Our most recent installment: www.patreon.com/PostingThrou...patreon.com147: The Michael Tracey Question | Posting Through ItStop us if you've heard this one before: There's a big story about sexual assault in the news and Michael Tracey has gone viral for making w 5292
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 11hMarist Poll #TXSen Talarico 47% Paxton 45% #TXGov Abbott 49% Hinojosa 45% maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/2026-m...maristpoll.marist.eduHome of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and MoreThe Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state... 9357
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13hSorry. Technical difficulties. I WILL get this down soon. Lord Willing. 090
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13hWe're Twitching www.twitch.tv/ericmgarciatwitch.tvericmgarcia - Live on TwitchEric Garcia is the Washington Correspondent at The Independent. He is a columnist for MS NOW. In addition, he is the author of two books on autism: We're Not Broken: Changing the Autism Conversation a... 2210
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13hIncidentally, Sam Forstag's focus on keeping the government out of trans athletes in sports and not butting into people's personal lives has proven to be the most effective way to talk about trans people according to researchers. #MT01 thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...thepoliticalspectrum.substack.comDemocrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletesOne way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws 411127
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13hYeah, this seems to be the most effective messaging from what people who have done surveys said. A "mind your own damn business" approach combined with "let communities and leagues figure it out on their own and not the government" seems to be the message that works best. 030
Reposted by Eric Michael GarciaMarisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 19hThis Cornell Chi Phi alum's story of being sexually assaulted as a pledge—and his ensuing mental health struggles—has really stuck with me. (Chi Phi is the fraternity where Jane Doe was gang raped.)cornellsun.comGUEST ROOM | I Lived at Chi Phi in 2012. Now I Say Tear It Down and Build Something NewJared Hoffman '15 shared his experience as a member of the Xi chapter of Chi Phi. He calls for the tearing down of the Greek system and of the Chi Phi house. 211320357
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16hI always kind of figured that public opinion on transgender rights would shift because of the strong libertarian streak in the U.S. Voters may not be entirely comfortable with trans people, but Americans like leaving people the hell alone. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...thepoliticalspectrum.substack.comDemocrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletesOne way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws 2393
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16hI didn’t get into this in the piece because of word count, but conservatives overplayed their hand on trans people when they stopped making it just about sports and focused on kicking trans people out of the military, passports and Medicaid bans thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...thepoliticalspectrum.substack.comDemocrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletesOne way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws 47418
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16hYou see this also with Zohran Mamdani keeping Jessica Tisch onboard despite protests from his left-wing base. 210
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16hVibe Check: On my way to the doctor, I heard a re-election ad from Wes Moore on the radio talking about how he focused heavily on violent crime as governor and how crime reached a 40-year low. Historically, crime has been the thing that vexed Democrats. 7292
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16hThis was supposed to be an individual Q&A with Kelley and then I reached out to Lanae after I saw another article, but yeah, I absolutely should have called a trans person. No excuse there. bsky.app/profile/eric... 150
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16hThe end of the piece goes into how moderates can talk about trans people. I point to THREE centrist Democrats who figured out how to talk about trans people. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-... 220
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16hYou are right. No excuse for that. This interview with Kelley was supposed to be for the Indy for a Q&A weekend read, so wanted to not have it go to waste. But I could have called someone. No excuse for that. I'm sorry for that. 1120
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 17hAnd if you thought I wasn't going to try and talk about the thorniest stuff in my newsletter now that I am a free man, you don't know me. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...thepoliticalspectrum.substack.comDemocrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletesOne way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws 2181
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 17hThanks man. It sucks big time. I am grateful people have reached out about new opportunities. But losing a job and a livelihood stinks. 010
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 17hTHE POLITICAL SPECTRUM: Democrats still trip up talking about transgender athletes in sports. So what's the best way for them to appeal to moderate voters and not abandon trans people? Edits by @four4thefire.bsky.social thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...thepoliticalspectrum.substack.comDemocrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletesOne way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws 92910
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 19hAdam Hamilton raised $10.6 million in the third quarter of 2026 across his Senate campaign and his joint fundraising committees. www.politico.com/live-updates...politico.comHamilton reports $10.6M Q3 haul for Kansas Senate raceIt comes as both parties rush resources into the deep-red state. 3449
Reposted by Eric Michael GarciaJoseph Zeballos-Roig @josephzeballos.bsky.social · 21hHave you received a $90 Medicare premium rebate or a $500 ACA refund check recently? If so, I’d love to talk to you for an MS NOW story! My DMs are open for getting in touch 📬 088
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 22hSomehow missed this last month: Abigail Spanberger told a crowd at PrideFest that she killed an effort by Glenn Youngkin that would have limited transgender students' ability to play sports and use facilities. www.wvtf.org/news/2026-09...wvtf.orgSpanberger quietly kills Youngkin-era transgender rulemaking effort“There’s no legal authority to move forward with rulemaking and prior administrations may have tried to create lanes and we’re not doing that,” Gov. Abigail Spanberger said. 210818
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 23hCitizens of Latin American countries overwhelmingly dislike Israel. But its voters consistently vote for pro-Israel right-wingers. So what gives? www.theamericanconservative.com/how-israel-c...theamericanconservative.comHow Israel Conquered the Latin American RightFrom Bukele to Bolsonaro, the region’s conservatives have learned to love Zionism. 4282
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026I keep making the case that in a decade, Georgia will vote like Virginia is voting now and North Carolina will vote like Georgia is now. Would y'all be open to a piece about why I think this is the case? 211284
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026AP-NORC poll shows about 6 in 10 U.S. adults believe Trump is either illegally profiting or unethical but not illegal. Only about 2 in 10 think Trump is doing nothing wrong, while a similar share say they don’t know enough to say. apnews.com/article/ethi...apnews.comTrump says he cares for Americans. They think he's more focused on his wealth, an AP-NORC poll findsA new AP-NORC poll shows that most Americans think Donald Trump is profiting off the presidency in unethical or illegal ways and is focused more on adding to his personal wealth than helping the count... 16418
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026This is an underrated aspect of it! Trump used rallies as a way to test what messages worked. Now, he is increasingly cloistered and only hanging out with his staff and tech bros. He’s not talking with the front row joes. 1131
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026I have been saying this for a while! We saw this in New Jersey last year. 120
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026The one state where a rural voter polling miss could make a difference is Iowa, where some polls show Ashley Hinson leading and others show Josh Turek with a slight lead. If rural Republican voters are not picking up the phone or lying about their 2024 recall, it becomes hard to poll Iowa. 2334
Reposted by Eric Michael GarciaAndrew Donaldson @four4thefire.bsky.social · 13/10/2026From @ericmgarcia.bsky.social new effort The Political Spectrum which you should all subscribe to & support "Fall is the time when politics junkies and casual voters pay more attention and campaign ads flood everyone’s airwaves. So people just want some sign about what exactly is going to happen."thepoliticalspectrum.substack.comJust how far off could the polls be?‘There's not a single pollster out there that is decent that isn't obsessing about this question,’ Natalie Jackson said 311615
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Absolutely a possibility and I am not even joking 0100
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Mary Peltola raked in $17 million over the last three months, her campaign shared first with POLITICO, a sizable haul for the Democratic challenger in one of the biggest Senate battlegrounds. www.politico.com/live-updates...politico.comMary Peltola raises $17M in Q3 in Alaska’s Senate raceThe significant sum comes as Alaska becomes a pivotal Senate battleground. 0548
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Pollsters push your undecideds challenge: impossible 1210
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026New ReconMR/Siena poll shows slight improvement for for Abbott and Paxton but still within the 4.4 percent margin of error. #TXSen Talarico 48% Paxton 44% (Was Talarico 49% Paxton 43% in September) #TXGov Greg Abbott 48% Gina Hinojosa 47% (Was Hinojosa 49 Abbott 45) reconmr.com/wp-content/u...reconmr.com 6301
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Yeah, you’re right. Throw it in the average 110
Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Fair point. You’re probably right. This was my initial reaction 100