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Eric Michael Garcia

@ericmgarcia.bsky.social
58K followers 20K following 26K posts

Reporter, MSNOW Columnist. Next book: MANLY WHILE STIMMING 03.30.27. Tar Heel He/Him EMGarcia2009@gmail.com Substack: thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com

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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 39m
Oh, the first number is whether they are above water. The second is whether they are with likely voters.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 40m
Also, Forstag is not progressive. The Blue Dog PAC endorsed him and he's running in a Trump district in #MT01. He's following a strategy I wrote about here: Democrats should talk about leagues making rules, but the government shouldn't make laws. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Democrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletes
One way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws
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Reposted by Eric Michael Garcia
Sarah Michels @sarahmichels.bsky.social · 1h
About 1,400 registered North Carolina voters will get a letter in the mail this week asking them to voluntarily remove themselves from the voter rolls or submit proof of citizenship. That’s because they were flagged by SAVE as potential noncitizens. #ncpol carolinapublicpress.org/82579/why-ar...
carolinapublicpress.org
Why are NC registered voters getting letters questioning citizenship in 2026?
NC uses dubious federal SAVE system to select registered voters for inquiry about citizenship. NC not taking them off rolls before election.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 10h
Favorable impression among Registered Voters in #TXSen since September via Marist: James Talarico 46% (+1, -6 with Likely voters) Ken Paxton 34% (-23, -22 with likely voters) Talarico took a hit in since negative ads ran, but Paxton is still bad maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/2026-m...
maristpoll.marist.edu
Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state...
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Reposted by Eric Michael Garcia
Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 13h
Billions of dollars’ worth of contracts predicting oil would fall and the S&P 500 would rise were placed about 15 minutes before Trump announced a U-turn on Iran in a post on Truth Social. CFTC staff began to investigate...then were told to lay off. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
bloomberg.com
CFTC Staff Were Told to Retract Analysis of Suspicious Oil Trades
Chairman’s adviser intervened to take over examination of lucrative bets that were made around Trump reversal on Iran power plant attack.
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Jared Holt @jaredlholt.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Our most recent installment: www.patreon.com/PostingThrou...
patreon.com
147: The Michael Tracey Question | Posting Through It
Stop us if you've heard this one before: There's a big story about sexual assault in the news and Michael Tracey has gone viral for making w
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 11h
Marist Poll #TXSen Talarico 47% Paxton 45% #TXGov Abbott 49% Hinojosa 45% maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/2026-m...
maristpoll.marist.edu
Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state...
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 11h
*Furiously hits "refresh" on Marist*
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13h
Sorry. Technical difficulties. I WILL get this down soon. Lord Willing.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13h
That's running in South Carolina for you.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13h
We're Twitching www.twitch.tv/ericmgarcia
twitch.tv
ericmgarcia - Live on Twitch
Eric Garcia is the Washington Correspondent at The Independent. He is a columnist for MS NOW. In addition, he is the author of two books on autism: We're Not Broken: Changing the Autism Conversation a...
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13h
Incidentally, Sam Forstag's focus on keeping the government out of trans athletes in sports and not butting into people's personal lives has proven to be the most effective way to talk about trans people according to researchers. #MT01 thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Democrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletes
One way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13h
Yeah, this seems to be the most effective messaging from what people who have done surveys said. A "mind your own damn business" approach combined with "let communities and leagues figure it out on their own and not the government" seems to be the message that works best.
“I think what they failed to understand is while they did have an appeal to voters, voters were mostly worried about the economy and broader things that were going on in their lives,” Erickson said of Republicans’ anti-trans ads in 2024. “And the transgender attacks were just another example of what they thought were misplaced priorities of the Democrats in the Biden administration.”

Erickson said that the most effective way to talk about transgender people has been for Democrats to talk about having rules in sports but not laws.

“In some instances, that might mean that a transgender girl might not be able to participate if it’s at a very high level of competition,” she said. “But those rules don’t need to be the same for college and kindergarten. And these ideas of just blanket bans are not actually about fairness. They’re actually just about being mean to transgender people.”
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Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 19h
This Cornell Chi Phi alum's story of being sexually assaulted as a pledge—and his ensuing mental health struggles—has really stuck with me. (Chi Phi is the fraternity where Jane Doe was gang raped.)
cornellsun.com
GUEST ROOM | I Lived at Chi Phi in 2012. Now I Say Tear It Down and Build Something New
Jared Hoffman '15 shared his experience as a member of the Xi chapter of Chi Phi. He calls for the tearing down of the Greek system and of the Chi Phi house.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 15h
Trump take pizza
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
Talk to Sydney
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
I always kind of figured that public opinion on transgender rights would shift because of the strong libertarian streak in the U.S. Voters may not be entirely comfortable with trans people, but Americans like leaving people the hell alone. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Democrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletes
One way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
I didn’t get into this in the piece because of word count, but conservatives overplayed their hand on trans people when they stopped making it just about sports and focused on kicking trans people out of the military, passports and Medicaid bans thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Democrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletes
One way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
Somehow missed this
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
You see this also with Zohran Mamdani keeping Jessica Tisch onboard despite protests from his left-wing base.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
Vibe Check: On my way to the doctor, I heard a re-election ad from Wes Moore on the radio talking about how he focused heavily on violent crime as governor and how crime reached a 40-year low. Historically, crime has been the thing that vexed Democrats.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
Of course. That's a given.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
This was supposed to be an individual Q&A with Kelley and then I reached out to Lanae after I saw another article, but yeah, I absolutely should have called a trans person. No excuse there. bsky.app/profile/eric...
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
The end of the piece goes into how moderates can talk about trans people. I point to THREE centrist Democrats who figured out how to talk about trans people. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
You are right. No excuse for that. This interview with Kelley was supposed to be for the Indy for a Q&A weekend read, so wanted to not have it go to waste. But I could have called someone. No excuse for that. I'm sorry for that.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 17h
And if you thought I wasn't going to try and talk about the thorniest stuff in my newsletter now that I am a free man, you don't know me. thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Democrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletes
One way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 17h
Thanks man. It sucks big time. I am grateful people have reached out about new opportunities. But losing a job and a livelihood stinks.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 17h
THE POLITICAL SPECTRUM: Democrats still trip up talking about transgender athletes in sports. So what's the best way for them to appeal to moderate voters and not abandon trans people? Edits by @four4thefire.bsky.social thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Democrats are still trying to figure out how to talk about transgender athletes
One way to do it? Talk about rules, not laws
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 19h
Adam Hamilton raised $10.6 million in the third quarter of 2026 across his Senate campaign and his joint fundraising committees. www.politico.com/live-updates...
politico.com
Hamilton reports $10.6M Q3 haul for Kansas Senate race
It comes as both parties rush resources into the deep-red state.
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Joseph Zeballos-Roig @josephzeballos.bsky.social · 21h
Have you received a $90 Medicare premium rebate or a $500 ACA refund check recently? If so, I’d love to talk to you for an MS NOW story! My DMs are open for getting in touch 📬
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 22h
Somehow missed this last month: Abigail Spanberger told a crowd at PrideFest that she killed an effort by Glenn Youngkin that would have limited transgender students' ability to play sports and use facilities. www.wvtf.org/news/2026-09...
wvtf.org
Spanberger quietly kills Youngkin-era transgender rulemaking effort
“There’s no legal authority to move forward with rulemaking and prior administrations may have tried to create lanes and we’re not doing that,” Gov. Abigail Spanberger said.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 23h
Citizens of Latin American countries overwhelmingly dislike Israel. But its voters consistently vote for pro-Israel right-wingers. So what gives? www.theamericanconservative.com/how-israel-c...
theamericanconservative.com
How Israel Conquered the Latin American Right
From Bukele to Bolsonaro, the region’s conservatives have learned to love Zionism.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 23h
It was his cats.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
I keep making the case that in a decade, Georgia will vote like Virginia is voting now and North Carolina will vote like Georgia is now. Would y'all be open to a piece about why I think this is the case?
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
AP-NORC poll shows about 6 in 10 U.S. adults believe Trump is either illegally profiting or unethical but not illegal. Only about 2 in 10 think Trump is doing nothing wrong, while a similar share say they don’t know enough to say. apnews.com/article/ethi...
apnews.com
Trump says he cares for Americans. They think he's more focused on his wealth, an AP-NORC poll finds
A new AP-NORC poll shows that most Americans think Donald Trump is profiting off the presidency in unethical or illegal ways and is focused more on adding to his personal wealth than helping the count...
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
This is an underrated aspect of it! Trump used rallies as a way to test what messages worked. Now, he is increasingly cloistered and only hanging out with his staff and tech bros. He’s not talking with the front row joes.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
I have been saying this for a while! We saw this in New Jersey last year.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Oh hi praise. Thank you
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
The one state where a rural voter polling miss could make a difference is Iowa, where some polls show Ashley Hinson leading and others show Josh Turek with a slight lead. If rural Republican voters are not picking up the phone or lying about their 2024 recall, it becomes hard to poll Iowa.
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Andrew Donaldson @four4thefire.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
From @ericmgarcia.bsky.social new effort The Political Spectrum which you should all subscribe to & support "Fall is the time when politics junkies and casual voters pay more attention and campaign ads flood everyone’s airwaves. So people just want some sign about what exactly is going to happen."
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Just how far off could the polls be?
‘There's not a single pollster out there that is decent that isn't obsessing about this question,’ Natalie Jackson said
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Absolutely a possibility and I am not even joking
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Mary Peltola raked in $17 million over the last three months, her campaign shared first with POLITICO, a sizable haul for the Democratic challenger in one of the biggest Senate battlegrounds. www.politico.com/live-updates...
politico.com
Mary Peltola raises $17M in Q3 in Alaska’s Senate race
The significant sum comes as Alaska becomes a pivotal Senate battleground.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
They deserve each other
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Pollsters push your undecideds challenge: impossible
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Right?!?!
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
New ReconMR/Siena poll shows slight improvement for for Abbott and Paxton but still within the 4.4 percent margin of error. #TXSen Talarico 48% Paxton 44% (Was Talarico 49% Paxton 43% in September) #TXGov Greg Abbott 48% Gina Hinojosa 47% (Was Hinojosa 49 Abbott 45) reconmr.com/wp-content/u...
reconmr.com
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
In hindsight gonna delete. Misread data
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Yeah, you’re right. Throw it in the average
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Yeah in hindsight, it looks like it
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Fair point. You’re probably right. This was my initial reaction
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