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ECFR European Power

@ecfrpower.bsky.social
446 followers 50 following 157 posts

ECFR's European Power programme | Ideas and analysis on Europe’s foreign policy, geoeconomics, political cohesion and role in the world. 🇪🇺 ecfr.eu/privacy/#bluesky-social

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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 16h
4/4 The broader lesson: Europe has to combine trade policy, industrial policy and economic security. It can negotiate specific disputes with Beijing, but threats of retaliation should not determine the rules under which Chinese firms sell, invest and operate in Europe.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 16h
3/4 The second and third tests are where China produces and what it controls. Chinese investment should create real industrial value in Europe, not just assembly plants. And in critical infrastructure, Europe needs clear rules on where dependence on high-risk suppliers becomes a security problem.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 16h
2/4 The first test is what China sells. Any trade deal must not stop Europe from tackling distortions elsewhere. A settlement on electric vehicles, for example, cannot mean tolerating unfair competition in batteries, chemicals, robotics or other sectors.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 16h
1/4 Europe faces a difficult China dilemma: how to protect its economy and security without triggering uncontrolled escalation, writes @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social. We argue for “stable decoupling”, defending Europe’s rules while keeping room for negotiation with Beijing. 🧵 buff.ly/nLtIP7e
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Stable decoupling: Three tests for Europe in the face of Chinese economic coercion – European Council on Foreign Relations
Europeans should defend their rules on trade, investment and infrastructure—and, in so doing, change the logic that encourages Chinese retaliation
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Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Good on the SPD, good on Boris Pistorius, for this defiant refusal to cede the territory of national pride to the far-right - on the day an AfD politician became the president of a state parliament for the first time. www.zeit.de/politik/deut...
zeit.de
SPD-Bundestagsfraktion: Ein Moment mit historischer Wucht – und Boris Pistorius erkennt ihn
Nach der Zäsur von Sachsen-Anhalt findet der Verteidigungsminister die richtigen Worte zur richtigen Zeit. Und setzt ein Signal, auf das viele lange gewartet haben.
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 22h
Europeans should defend their rules on trade, investment and infrastructure—and, in so doing, change the logic that encourages Chinese retaliation, writes @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/stable-decoupling-t…
ecfr.eu
Stable decoupling: Three tests for Europe in the face of Chinese economic coercion – European Council on Foreign Relations
Europeans should defend their rules on trade, investment and infrastructure—and, in so doing, change the logic that encourages Chinese retaliation
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 22h
Our @jeremycliffe.bsky.social joined @csis.org to discuss Germany’s politics, the rise of the AfD, the outlook for the German right and left, and what it all means for Europe. 🎧️ Listen 👇️ buff.ly/sxOotGB
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Hybrid Attacks and Political Whiplash: Germany, Greenland, and Burnham's EU Push
Max and Otto discuss Andy Burnham’s push to improve UK relations with the EU, the new deal signed by the U.S., Denmark and Greenland, and warnings of escalating Russian hybrid attacks in Europe.…
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Europeans should defend their rules on trade, investment and infrastructure—and, in so doing, change the logic that encourages Chinese retaliation, writes @tobiasgehrke.bsky.social buff.ly/nLtIP7e
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Stable decoupling: Three tests for Europe in the face of Chinese economic coercion – European Council on Foreign Relations
Europeans should defend their rules on trade, investment and infrastructure—and, in so doing, change the logic that encourages Chinese retaliation
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
For more, check out our new paper: buff.ly/qTSyJLZ
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
For more, check out our new paper: buff.ly/qTSyJLZ
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The future is fermented: How Europe can succeed in the next industrial race – European Council on Foreign Relations
The next industrial revolution will be built with microbes as much as machines. China understands this. Europe still has the science to compete but must act qui
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
3/3 Europe could become a more favorable manufacturing location if regulations are streamlined.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
2/3 The potential for tariffs on biomanufactured goods may increase as competition grows.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
1/3 Overcapacity is already affecting biomanufactured products, leading to market challenges.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
As demand fluctuates, how can companies adapt to avoid market saturation? 🧵 Key takeaways from our debate 👇️ buff.ly/gvoGsYH
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Biomanufacturing Overcapacity: A Global Concern
In this video, we discuss the challenges of overcapacity in biomanufacturing and its implications for the industry. As demand fluctuates, how can companies adapt to avoid market saturation? Dirk van…
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
@evreki.bsky.social, @asliaydintasbas.bsky.social
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
❗️ Turkey has become an embedded outsider: a middle power that builds strategic autonomy from inside the Western system. Europe should stop trying to resolve the contradiction and learn to capitalise on it. 🔗 buff.ly/3yqq2SK
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An outsider within: The paradox of the Europe-Turkey relationship – European Council on Foreign Relations
Turkey is neither drifting away from the West nor is it coming home. It has become an embedded outsider: a middle power that has learned to build strategic auto
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Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
This is a big deal. Hanning led German foreign intelligence ("C" in UK system) 1998-2005 and was state secretary in the interior ministry. The key question --> how secure are the intelligence services of a country (🇩🇪) that is becoming Europe's preeminent military power? www.ft.com/content/4c56...
ft.com
Former German spy chief arrested for treason
Ex-intelligence head August Hanning suspected of selling state secrets to foreign power
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
To reduce its dependency on Russia, Armenia is diversifying its foreign policy. Until peace with Azerbaijan is secured, Europeans need to provide Yerevan with extra support, writes @mariasimeonova.bsky.social buff.ly/cw0A3Jo
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How Europeans can support the south Caucasus’s last democracy - European Council on Foreign Relations
To reduce its dependency on Russia, Armenia is diversifying its foreign policy. Until peace with Azerbaijan is secured, Europeans need to provide Yerevan with e
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
For more, read our new paper: buff.ly/qTSyJLZ
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The future is fermented: How Europe can succeed in the next industrial race – European Council on Foreign Relations
The next industrial revolution will be built with microbes as much as machines. China understands this. Europe still has the science to compete but must act qui
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
3/3 The shift from importer to exporter will alter global power dynamics, affecting trade relationships.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
2/3 Innovations in biomanufacturing are changing the food supply chain, with examples like bovine lactoferrin production.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
1/3 China is increasing its agricultural self-sufficiency, focusing on local sources for animal feed.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
How could China become a net food exporter in the next decade, also impacting countries like Australia and Brazil? 🧵 Key takeaways 👇️ buff.ly/D8LyjXA
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China's Shift to Food Self-Sufficiency
China's agricultural transformation is set to reshape global food markets. In this video, we explore how China could become a net food exporter in the next decade, impacting countries like Australia…
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Discover how Turkey's unique position as an embedded outsider shapes its strategic decisions and relationships with global powers 👇️ @evreki.bsky.social buff.ly/YZriPfc
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Turkey's Embedded Outsider Status
Explore the concept of embedded autonomy in Turkey's foreign policy. Discover how Turkey's unique position as an embedded outsider shapes its strategic decisions and relationships with global…
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
4/4 Europe therefore needs a more transactional approach: cooperate where interests overlap, link benefits to reciprocal commitments, and limit access when Ankara acts against fundamental European interests.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
3/4 Future EU-Turkey alignment may depend less on pressure from Brussels and more on events. Wars, regional crises and shifts in the wider geopolitical environment are likely to shape where interests converge, or pull apart.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
2/4 For Europe, Turkey is both essential and autonomous. Its geography, military capabilities and diplomatic reach make it an important security partner. But Ankara also wants room to pursue its own interests, including with actors Europeans often cannot reach.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
1/4 Turkey is likely to remain an “embedded outsider”: closely tied to Europe and NATO, but unwilling to choose a single geopolitical camp. That posture is not just about today’s leadership, it may even outlast it.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
4 main takeaways from our webinar: The Embedded Outsider: Turkey as a Middle Power and its Relations to Europe A 🧵 @asliaydintasbas.bsky.social, @evreki.bsky.social, @galipdalay.bsky.social, @anthonydworkin.bsky.social buff.ly/IxQzQIQ
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https://buff.ly/IxQzQIQ
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 04/10/2026
The UAE built its power by turning itself into a hub that binds it to every great power at once. The war with Iran has tested this strategy and is forcing a rethink in Abu Dhabi. ecfr.eu/publication/little-venice-l…
ecfr.eu
Little Venice, little Sparta: The UAE’s statecraft meets the war on Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations
The UAE built its power by turning itself into a hub that binds it to every great power at once. The war with Iran has tested this strategy and is forcing a ret
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
4/4 Europe therefore needs a more transactional approach: cooperate where interests overlap, link benefits to reciprocal commitments, and limit access when Ankara acts against fundamental European interests.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
3/4 Future EU-Turkey alignment may depend less on pressure from Brussels and more on events. Wars, regional crises and shifts in the wider geopolitical environment are likely to shape where interests converge, or pull apart.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
2/4 For Europe, Turkey is both essential and autonomous. Its geography, military capabilities and diplomatic reach make it an important security partner. But Ankara also wants room to pursue its own interests, including with actors Europeans often cannot reach.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
1/4 Turkey is likely to remain an “embedded outsider”: closely tied to Europe and NATO, but unwilling to choose a single geopolitical camp. That posture is not just about today’s leadership, it may even outlast it.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
buff.ly/7VUM4eR
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Associate membership could transform EU-Canada ties. First, Brussels has to define it – European Council on Foreign Relations
Canada’s enthusiasm for closer EU ties is real, and so is the EU’s need for allies beyond America. But as long as the EU’s offer of “associate membership” to Ca
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
4/4 For this to work, Brussels now needs to turn the political gesture into a real offer: define what associate membership means, set clear objectives and a timetable, and make sure it complements — rather than confuses — the EU’s existing enlargement process.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
3/4 Defence is where this could become most concrete. Canada could deepen its role in EU defence cooperation and, most ambitiously, become part of Europe’s defence technological and industrial base. This could give both sides more capacity and reduce dependence on the US.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
2/4 The opportunity is bigger than an expanded trade deal. Associate membership should be narrow but deep. Stopping short of single-market access, while creating much closer cooperation on security, defence and resilience.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
1/4 Canada’s interest in closer ties with Europe is real. And so is Europe’s need for reliable partners beyond the US. But the EU’s new offer of “associate membership” still lacks a clear definition. Without one, it risks becoming little more than symbolism. 🧵 buff.ly/7VUM4eR
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Associate membership could transform EU-Canada ties. First, Brussels has to define it – European Council on Foreign Relations
Canada’s enthusiasm for closer EU ties is real, and so is the EU’s need for allies beyond America. But as long as the EU’s offer of “associate membership” to Ca
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
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The un-ordered UN order – European Council on Foreign Relations
As European leaders hobnob with their counterparts at the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly, they must think carefully about how to navigate a
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
4/4 Europe needs to adapt: work with these new coalitions, defend a narrower set of rules it can credibly uphold, and focus its political capital on problems where cooperation can still deliver. In an un-ordered world, the question is not only how to reform institutions but how to get things done.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
3/4 Multilateralism is therefore not disappearing. It is changing. Middle powers are building new forms of cooperation through initiatives on climate finance, infrastructure and mediation, often outside the traditional institutions Europe is used to working through.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
2/4 Europeans still tend to behave like architects: defending rules, institutions and carefully designed frameworks. But many other powers increasingly act like artisans: improvising, building new coalitions and repurposing whatever still works.
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
1/4 The international order is not simply breaking down. It is becoming “un-ordered”: a world in which states increasingly act without reference to a common framework. For Europe, that requires a different kind of multilateralism. 🧵 buff.ly/VLEo95r
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The un-ordered UN order – European Council on Foreign Relations
As European leaders hobnob with their counterparts at the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly, they must think carefully about how to navigate a
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The UAE is not abandoning connectivity. It is trying to make it more resilient, more secure and better suited to a far more volatile region. Watch the full discussion: buff.ly/GAfdqsf
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The UAE’s statecraft meets the war on Iran
For two decades the United Arab Emirates has built its influence on connectivity: ports, air links, finance and data centres that made Abu Dhabi and Dubai difficult to bypass. The 2026 war with Iran…
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Check out the full recording of the webinar here 🔗 buff.ly/IxQzQIQ
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The paradox of the Europe-Turkey relationship
Turkey hosted this year’s NATO summit and fields the alliance’s second-largest army, arms Ukraine while trading with Russia, and remains an EU candidate whose accession talks collapsed years ago.…
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Explore the evolving Turkey-Western relationship in the context of geopolitical shifts and security concerns. Listen to the insights by @galipdalay.bsky.social 👇️ buff.ly/lbqk0Cz
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Turkey's Role in European Security
Explore the evolving Turkey-Western relationship in the context of geopolitical shifts and security concerns. In this video, we delve into how historical ties and current events shape Turkey's role…
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Europe needs to stop waiting. It should start using the interdependence that already exists around common projects and enforceable terms, write @asliaydintasbas.bsky.social and @evreki.bsky.social buff.ly/h1RKwlA
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An outsider within: The paradox of the Europe-Turkey relationship – European Council on Foreign Relations
Turkey is neither drifting away from the West nor is it coming home. It has become an embedded outsider: a middle power that has learned to build strategic auto
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ECFR European Power @ecfrpower.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Restoring a fading order is not the right foundation for a sustainable policy on international cooperation. Instead, Britain should put its experience, expertise and diplomatic influence on the side of innovation in international politics, writes @anthonydworkin.bsky.social buff.ly/COwhEXw
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Middle powerhouse: A new blueprint for British internationalism – European Council on Foreign Relations
Britain is the custodian of a global order that no longer exists. Its international approach should now centre innovative cooperation and building strong coalit
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