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Trevor Ball

@easybakeovensz.bsky.social
1.1K followers 348 following 210 posts

Weapons Technical Analyst at Armament Research Services (ARES). Previously Bellingcat, US Army EOD.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Trevor Ball
Open Source Munitions Portal @munitionsportal.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
NEW: Test your munitions knowledge with the OSMP's Munition Identification Practice Tool A brief thread osmp.ngo/practice-too...
osmp.ngo
Munition Identification Practice Tool
Improve your munition knowledge with challenges using randomly selected imagery from the OSMP archive of munitions and remnants
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Great investigation that illustrates the vast range of death and destruction that strikes can cause depending on the munition(s) used.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
NR Jenzen-Jones and I wrote a introductory guide to crater analysis, including estimating explosive charge size and firing direction. This includes a calculator to help estimate explosive charge size. armamentresearch.com/an-introduct...
armamentresearch.com
An Introduction to Crater Analysis - Armament Research Services (ARES)
Trevor Ball & N.R. Jenzen-Jones Overview Explosive munitions often leave distinctive physical traces that can provide valuable evidence about the circumstances of an attack. Among the most informative...
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Remnants of a Storm Shadow cruise missile found after an alleged Saudi strike on Sanaa Airport in Yemen.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
GBU-39 wing remnant next to an entry hole consistent with a GBU-39 bomb at a water infrastructure building. NYT identified this photo as being taken on the roof of one of two water infrastructure buildings damaged by alleged US strikes outside Bemani, Iran. www.nytimes.com/2026/06/10/w...
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Reposted by Trevor Ball
Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 28/05/2026
Last night our @frontlinepbs.bsky.social documentary collaboration with @pbs.org , @washingtonpost.com and @evidentmedia.org covering Iran's nuclear programme won an Emmy for Outstanding Investigative Coverage: Long Form.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
Unexploded Iranian anti-ship missile warhead (left) and a warhead intercepted by the US military in 2024 (right). www.dvidshub.net/image/819871...
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Reposted by Trevor Ball
Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 26/05/2026
Footage analysed by Bellingcat and Jeune Afrique shows unexploded Russian-made cluster munition bomblets found in northern Mali - Despite Mali being a state party to the Convention on Cluster Munitions (CCM) which prohibits their use. www.bellingcat.com/news/africa/...
bellingcat.com
Banned Russian Submunitions Found After Mali's Military Announces Airstrikes - bellingcat
Unexploded Russian-made cluster munition bomblets have been found in northern Mali – despite the West African country being party to a convention that bans their use.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Iranian media have published several images of US/Israeli cluster munition dispensers and submunitions reportedly deployed during the war.
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Reposted by Trevor Ball
Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 24/04/2026
New: Bellingcat has identified at least 80 police stations and law enforcement or Basij paramilitary group infrastructure which were damaged or destroyed in the first three weeks of the United States’ and Israel’s strikes on Iran www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/04...
bellingcat.com
“Make Iran Ungovernable” – Tracking Efforts To Destroy Iran’s Police Infrastructure - bellingcat
Bellingcat has identified at least 80 police stations or infrastructure related to law enforcement agencies and the Basij paramilitary group that has been damaged or destroyed in the first three weeks of the United States and Israel’s war against Iran. Experts told Bellingcat that both countries aim to degrade the Iranian regime’s “repressive capacity”. Combined, […]
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 17/04/2026
Breaking: Kinahan cartel leader Daniel Kinahan has been arrested in Dubai. It follows a Bellingcat investigation last month that traced him to an MMA event in Dubai - providing the first proof that the cartel's leadership was still in hiding in the UAE. www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/03...
bellingcat.com
New Footage Shows Wanted Kinahan Cartel Kingpins Post-Sanctions - bellingcat
Daniel and Christy Kinahan have been photographed in Dubai, marking the most recent sighting of the wanted crime bosses since the US levied sanctions against the cartel.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 15/04/2026
In the wake of the Iranian attacks on the UAE, the country’s attorney general warned that publication of images or videos of strikes was illegal. People were also encouraged to report anyone sharing photos or videos of the strikes to authorities. www.youtube.com/shorts/J04UK...
youtube.com
How the UAE Downplays the Impact of Iran War
YouTube video by Bellingcat
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Jake Godin @godin.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
We're in a weird time with open source and commercial satellite imagery right now and Iran is under a 40-day internet blackout. As a workaround, @bellingcat.com has adapted Ollie Ballinger's remote sensing work to more easily find damaged areas in Iran: www.bellingcat.com/resources/20...
bellingcat.com
When Satellite Imagery Goes Dark: New Tool Shows Damage in Iran and the Gulf - bellingcat
Bellingcat is introducing an updated damage assessment tool — called the Iran Conflict Damage Proxy Map — focused on destruction in Iran and the Gulf .
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
US has posted several photos showing jets equipped with dispensers that can dispense BLU-91/B mines, which Bellingcat previously identified in an Iranian village on March 26. These photos were taken on April 2, so it appears the US may be continuing to deploy these mines in Iran.
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Reposted by Trevor Ball
Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 02/04/2026
Not one, but two waves of bombings appear to have struck the area of an elementary school in Minab, Iran. Local media reports 175 people were killed, mostly children. In this video we explain how we analysed footage of the attack on the first day of the US-Israeli war on Iran. youtu.be/yy9pzWul4mA
youtu.be
Video Analysis Shows Two Waves of Bombings in Iran Elementary School Strike
YouTube video by Bellingcat
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Jake Godin @godin.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Even with the two week delay in Planet imagery, can already start to see mass demolition of homes in southern Lebanon in PlanetScope imagery from March. Rab El Thalathine and Al-Aadaissah, both near the border, have seen widespread destruction when comparing imagery from March 3 and March 18.
A PlanetScope satellite image from Planet Labs from March 3 showing the Lebanon side of the Lebanon-Israel border. Three towns are labeled, Rab Thalathin, Markaba and Al-Aadaissah. There is already destruction visible in each town, though there are a large amount of buildings still standing.A PlanetScope satellite image from Planet Labs from March 18 showing the Lebanon side of the Lebanon-Israel border. Three towns are labeled, Rab Thalathin, Markaba and Al-Aadaissah. Many buildings still standing in the March 3 image, especially in Rab Thalathin, are now visibly damaged or destroyed.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
CENTCOM is contradicting BBC and NYT reporting that PrSM missiles hit Lamerd, Iran, killing 21 people. CENTCOM is claiming the video shows a Hoveyzeh missile, and is too long to be a PrSM. The shape, and dimensions aren't consistent with CENTCOM's claim.
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Reposted by Trevor Ball
Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 31/03/2026
Bellingcat, with @frontlinepbs.bsky.social, @washingtonpost.com and @evidentmedia.org, investigate the impact of the Israeli and US strikes on Iran’s nuclear programme, through on-the-ground access and open source analysis. 👇
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Jake Godin @godin.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Might be temporary, but it appears that Google may now be censoring previously-high resolution satellite imagery over Ali Al Salem Air Base — the Kuwaiti base used by the U.S. that's been targeted by Iranian drone/missile attacks. Yandex and Apple sat imagery appears uncensored so far.
A satellite image from Google Earth over part of Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait. The image is pixelated and appears downgraded from higher-resolution Airbus imagery.A satellite image from Yandex over part of Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait. The image is of normal quality.A satellite image from satellites.pro showing Apple Maps imagery over part of Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait. The image appears unaltered.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 30/03/2026
Videos of explosions have fueled misunderstanding and misinformation in the conflict with Iran, with munition types incorrectly identified amongst claims of “mystery” weapons. What can types of explosions really tell us? Read @easybakeovensz.bsky.social‘s latest: www.bellingcat.com/resources/20...
bellingcat.com
Explosive Misinformation: A Guide to Mushroom Clouds, ‘Sonic Weapons’, and Disintegration - bellingcat
Explosives test in Canada. Source: Defence Research and Development Canada.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 27/03/2026
Two new videos have emerged showing the deadly strikes that hit an IRGC compound, as well as an adjacent girls’ school, in Minab, Iran. By geolocating and verifying the footage, Bellingcat found two waves of attacks, occurring hours apart. www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/03...
bellingcat.com
Two Waves of Bombing: New Videos Reveal More Details About Iran Girls' School Strike - bellingcat
Analysis suggests there were at least two waves of strikes carried out in the area around the IRGC complex and adjacent girls' school.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 26/03/2026
The US appears to have deployed the Gator Scatterable Mine system over Kafari, a village near Shiraz, in southern Iran overnight. At least two people were killed according to local reports. www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/03...
bellingcat.com
Evidence Points to US Scattering Mines over Iranian Village - bellingcat
US appears to have deployed the Gator Scatterable Mine system over Kafari, a village near Shiraz, Iran.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 20/03/2026
Munition remnants from a strike that killed 17 people in Tiné, Chad, on Wednesday, appear to match a model previously used by Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in the war with Sudanese government forces – despite RSF denials of involvement in the incident.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 17/03/2026
A Pakistani airstrike on a drug rehabilitation centre on March 16 in Kabul killed at least 400 people and injured 250 others, according to Afghan officials. But online accounts claim that the strike targeted military infrastructure. Here's what open sources can tell us...
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Looks like this is likely the first public video of the US LUCAS, a drone modeled after the Iranian Shahed, striking a target.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 12/03/2026
De Telegraaf, the Netherlands’ largest newspaper, recently published an interview with a woman promoting €1,600 seats on private evacuation flights from Dubai. Bellingcat found that her image was likely AI-generated, and flight data suggests no such plane took off. www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/03...
bellingcat.com
AI Used to Promote Non-Existent Evacuation Flights From the Middle East - bellingcat
A Dutch newspaper published a story about private evacuation flights from Dubai, but the photo shows signs of AI generation and the flights appear never to have existed.
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Reposted by Trevor Ball
The New York Times @nytimes.com · 11/03/2026
Breaking News: The U.S. was responsible for a missile strike on an Iranian elementary school, an ongoing military investigation found. The inquiry said the strike — which Iranian officials said killed at least 175 people, most of them children — was the result of a targeting mistake.
nyti.ms
U.S. at Fault in Strike on School in Iran, Preliminary Inquiry Says
Outdated targeting data may have resulted in a mistaken missile strike, according to the ongoing military investigation, which undercuts President Trump’s assertion that Iran could be to blame.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Thank you to @slair.bsky.social and @bcfinucane.bsky.social for taking the time to provide their expertise for this piece.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 11/03/2026
Bellingcat has geolocated eight videos showing US Tomahawks cruise missiles in Iraq heading towards Iran. The missiles appear to be flying low across valleys and were most likely fired from the Mediterranean sea, an expert told us. www.bellingcat.com/news/middle-...
bellingcat.com
Tracing Tomahawks: US Missiles Bound for Iran Spotted Over Iraq - bellingcat
Geolocated videos show Tomahawk missiles heading for targets in Iran.
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Giancarlo Fiorella @giancarlofiorella.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Trump's assertion here that the Tomahawk is "generic" and that "Iran has some Tomahawks" is absurd and a lie. The only party to this conflict that operates the Tomahawk is the United States. Read our analysis into the Tomahawk strike in Minab here: www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/03...
bellingcat.com
Video Shows US Tomahawk Missile Strike Next to Girls’ School in Iran - bellingcat
New video footage shows a US Tomahawk missile hitting an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) facility in Minab, Iran, on Feb 28, showing for the first time that the US struck the area. The footag...
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Reposted by Trevor Ball
Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 09/03/2026
Images published by Iranian state media show remnants of a US Tomahawk missile at a girls’ school in Minab. It’s not possible to independently verify the provenance of the remnants from this imagery alone. But Bellingcat previously detailed how a Tomahawk missile hit a structure next to the school.
RemnantsCircuit board remnant (top) with a reference image (below)
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Open Source Munitions Portal @munitionsportal.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
There are nearly 30 verified images of Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TLAMs) in the OSMP archive, including from Syria, the U.S. bombing campaign in Yemen last year, and the ongoing Iran war. See them all here: osmp.ngo/model/tomaha... bsky.app/profile/bell...
osmp.ngo
OSMP: RGM/UGM-109 Tomahawk Land Attack Missile (TLAM) series
A tool for researchers, journalists and practitioners trying to learn more about munitions and their use and impact in conflicts.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 08/03/2026
New video footage shows a US Tomahawk missile hitting an IRGC facility in Minab, Iran, on Feb 28, showing for the first time that the US struck the area. The footage also shows smoke already rising from the vicinity of the girls’ school, where 175 people were reportedly killed, including children.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
Two experts told me they hadn't seen a bomb before in Israeli service, that it could be a bomb designed to destroy chemical weapons. The US and IDF declined to answer specific questions about it, including if they assessed Iran had a chemical weapons program. www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/03...
bellingcat.com
The Incendiary Bomb Never Seen in Israel Before - bellingcat
The Israeli Air Force (IAF) has dropped 5,000 bombs on Iran since the United States and Israel launched an attack last week, according to a statement by the IAF on March 4. Bellingcat has monitored we...
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
www.reuters.com/world/middle...
reuters.com
Exclusive: US investigation points to likely US responsibility in Iran school strike, sources say
Military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school that killed scores of children on Saturday, two U.S. officials told Reu...
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Since this article and thread, remnants of more munitions, and false claims have continued to appear. Short thread of some I saw yesterday: US SM-3 Blk 1 series missile debris (MK 104 DTRM, second stage rocket motor) found in Turkey, following a US interception www.turkiyetoday.com/region/turki...
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 04/03/2026
A satellite imagery analysis conducted by Bellingcat shows that at least 15 police stations or police-related buildings were targeted in strikes conducted in Tehran between March 1 and March 3. www.bellingcat.com/news/middle-...
bellingcat.com
Satellite Imagery Reveals Strikes on Iranian Police Stations - bellingcat
The US has released a list of military targets in Iran, including IRGC headquarters and missile systems. But Bellingcat has reviewed strikes against another type of target inside the Islamic Republic ...
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Giancarlo Fiorella @giancarlofiorella.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
There is smoke rising from the vicinity US Consulate in Dubai after it was allegedly struck by an Iranian drone a short while ago. Geolocation of the video filming location below from @easybakeovensz.bsky.social: 25.259, 55.318 t.me/sepah_quds/2...
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
As the war enters it's fourth day, more remnants and misinformation continues to be posted online. There's a couple that didn't make it into the article.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 03/03/2026
Israel used 2,000+ bombs in the first 30 hours of the Iran war; the US struck 1,000+ targets in the first 24 hours. Iran responded with at least 390 missiles and 830 drones in the first two days. Bellingcat has tracked the munitions used by all sides so far: www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/03...
bellingcat.com
“Bombs will fall Everywhere”: The American, Israeli and Iranian Weapons Being Deployed in Middle East - bellingcat
Bellingcat has been monitoring strikes across the Middle East and has identified a wide variety of weapons that have been used in the conflict so far, including missiles and drones.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
Remnants of the actuator section of an Iranian MIM-23 HAWK air defense missile, reportedly found near Ahvaz, Iran. These US made missiles were given to Iran decades again.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
DoD has posted several photos of munitions being loading onto aircraft participating in strikes again Iran, including JSOWs, 500-pound bombs, 2,000-pound 'bunker busters', and several Tomahawks being launched by the USS Frank E. Petersen Jr. These photos were taken February 28 according to DVIDS.
AGM-154 JSOW500-pound bombs with JDAM guidance kits. BLU-109 2,000-pound "bunker busters" with JDAM guidance kits. Tomahawk missile launching, with smoke trails visible from prior launches
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Short thread about some of the many incidents where civilians have already been caught in the crossfire following US and Israeli strikes on Iran, and Iran retaliatory drone and ballistic missile attacks.
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Jake Godin @godin.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Further damage from Pakistan airstirkes visible in Feb 27 2026 SkySat imagery from @planet.com in Kandahar, as noted by @easybakeovensz.bsky.social. First set of images show destroyed warehouses near 31.4766, 65.8707. Second set is to the west and shows destroyed buildings near 31.4794, 65.8516.
An October 28 2025 SkySat image from Planet Labs showing part of a military base near Kandahar's airport. There is no visible damage to any of the dozens of military buildings that are visible.A February 27 2026 SkySat image from Planet Labs shows two warehouse buildings that were destroyed by airstrikes from Pakistan in a military base near Kandahar's airport.An October 28 2025 SkySat image from Planet Labs showing part of a military base near Kandahar's airport. There is no visible damage to any of the dozens of military buildings that are visible.A February 27 2026 SkySat image from Planet Labs shows three warehouse buildings that were destroyed by airstrikes from Pakistan in a military base near Kandahar's airport.
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 27/02/2026
Pakistan bombed Kabul overnight, as well as two other provinces, as tensions rose with Afghanistan’s Taliban government. Planet SkySat imagery obtained by Bellingcat shows the aftermath of the strikes on a military base in Kabul.
December 13 2023, skysat imagery of the military compound in Kabul (before any airstrikes)February 27th 2026 skysat imagery of the military compound in Kabul (after the airstrikes)
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 18/02/2026
With @evidentmedia.org and Hind Hassan we detail the part American-made munitions play in Israel’s operations in Gaza. We collected data on the use of three munitions produced solely in the US and found hospitals, schools, homes and civilian infrastructure were hit. www.youtube.com/shorts/5J8M9...
youtube.com
U.S.-made weapons used by Israel in Gaza
YouTube video by Evident Media
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Airwars @airwars.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
When 'Twitter randos' hold the U.S. military to account 'How flight tracking data explains failed maritime rescue efforts' By Airwars' @tomi-mcc.bsky.social in partnership with @nickturse.bsky.social and @theintercept.com airwars.org/how-flight-t...
airwars.org
How flight tracking data explains failed maritime rescue efforts
How 'Twitter randos' proved false claims of
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
In 2024 drone incursions at the US-Mexico border were estimated at over 1,000 a month without airspace closures.
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
This AJ article is wrong about explosions and explosives in several fundamental ways. This "phenomenon" the article mentions is due to the shock wave caused by the explosions, not due to the heat generated. www.aljazeera.com/features/202...
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Trevor Ball @easybakeovensz.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
MK-84 2,000-pound bomb with a JDAM kit hitting a building in Gaza after an IDF notice. Bellingcat recently asked the IDF about the lack of evacuation distances in public evacuation notices in Gaza, which are included in notices in Lebanon, so interesting to see a 100m distance in the notice here.
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