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Dr David Jeffery

@drdavidjeffery.bsky.social
1.3K followers 889 following 87 posts

Senior lecturer in British politics at the University of Liverpool. Expect academic work, parkrun/triathlon spam, and graphs. Views my own 🏳️‍🌈 Book: Whatever Happened to Tory Liverpool? Free ebook (& other links)--> linktr.ee/david_jeffery

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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Admitting I've fallen behind the times and removing the suggestion of 'why not start a Facebook group chat with your peers to discuss the module topics?' from my module handbooks...
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Oh good, a nice clear answer to 'who is the main party on the right' from Survation and YouGov!
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Goodbye productivity, you can now play Doom on R. github.com/coolbutusele...
github.com
GitHub - coolbutuseless/rdoom: Doom in R
Doom in R. Contribute to coolbutuseless/rdoom development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Luca Bernardi @lbernardi.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
EPOP Liverpool 2026. Thank you all EPOPers! @psaepop.bsky.social @jontonge.bsky.social @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social
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UnHerd @unherd.com · 07/09/2026
‘Burnham’s own personality will make Healey’s job much more difficult than it has to be’ | David Jeffery unherd.com/newsroom/and...
buff.ly
Andy Burnham’s economic optimism is already unravelling
In a speech this morning, Chancellor John Healey acknowledged that achieving growth won’t be easy, insisting that fiscal discipline is his main priority. He has warned that the next Budget — his…
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UnHerd @unherd.com · 19/06/2026
‘Rupert Lowe is not the serious threat to Reform’s Right flank that many feared’ | David Jeffery unherd.com/newsroom/mak...
unherd.com
Makerfield underlines limits of Restore Britain threat
Andy Burnham has decisively won the Makerfield by-election, and will return to the Commons after almost a decade away. Barring an upset on the scale of the 2017 Tory campaign, he looks set to be…
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UnHerd @unherd.com · 15/09/2026
‘Britain’s political class would rather slowly chip away at the foundations of their country to avoid upsetting separatists’ | David Jeffery unherd.com/newsroom/uni...
unherd.com
https://unherd.com/newsroom/unionist-shame-is-opening-the-door-to-separatism/
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
The impact of the alphabet on electoral performance is real (data from 2023 locals): ⬇️Every position lower on the ballot within your party costs ~1.2 percentage points of vote share. ⬆️Being an incumbent is worth ~1.7 percentage points so being 2nd wipes out 70% of the incumbency advantage.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Updating my slides for my local government module - any guesses as to what these maps are showing?
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Me, in @unherd.com - Are Wes Streeting’s leadership hopes dead? (Yes) unherd.com/newsroom/are...
unherd.com
Are Wes Streeting’s leadership hopes dead?
Wes Streeting has never been shy about his leadership ambitions, and briefing this morning from “allies” suggests he may be gearing up for another tilt at Keir Starmer’s job. But the likelihood of the...
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Trying to organise a drinks reception in uni: - Cost of buying the drinks from (compulsory) in-house catering = £650. - Cost of buying the same drinks from the on-campus Tesco = £250. Madness.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Listening to the ghosts of Tories past - and moving to the 'centre' - is not a great idea for Kemi. If you track how Tory voters in each GE have voted in other elections, it's not clear that the Cameronite coalition has fled the Tories for centrist parties.
A grid of horizontal stacked bar charts titled “How Former Conservative Voters Have Voted Over Time.” Each panel represents a group of voters defined by the election year in which they voted Conservative (e.g. 2005 Tory Voters through 2025 Tory Voters). Within each panel, bars show the proportional distribution (0–100%) of how those voters reported voting in other general elections (2005 to 2025). Bars are colour-coded by party: Conservative (blue), UKIP/BXP/Reform (teal), Liberal Democrat (yellow), Labour (red), Green (green), Other (light grey), and Don’t Know/Would Not Vote (dark grey). Across all panels, Conservative remains the largest share in most years, with noticeable variation over time in support for UKIP/BXP/Reform, Labour, and other parties. The x-axis shows proportion, the y-axis lists election years, and the legend appears at the bottom. Source: British Election Study Waves 1–30.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Well, that's one hell of a REF impact case study over in Gorton and Denton.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
As Reform’s councillor base grows, I’m resharing our study on how party policy positions differ across England. 'How England’s new Reform councillors compare in their views to other parties' in @uk.theconversation.com theconversation.com/how-englands...
theconversation.com
How England’s new Reform councillors compare in their views to other parties
Reform councillors are more aligned with Greens when it comes to building more houses but take quite different views on crime and tax and spend.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Nothing says 'start the week right' like a journal sending a paper rejection at 8:39 on a Monday! #thingscanonlygetbetter
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PSA Conservatism Studies Specialist Group @psaconservatism.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
CfP: Baldwin & a Conservatism seminar series - mailchi.mp/6b149a8cbcab...
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
It's a pleasure to be at the University of Tours for a conference on the future of the Conservative Party, in memory of our colleague Agnés Alexandre-Collier. The @psaconservatism.bsky.social specialist group is also sponsoring a roundtable on the future of British conservatism.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Spent the morning geeking out on the Dutch elections - a bad night for Geert Wilders, but not as bad for the populist radical right generally. We also saw some shuffling among the centre - collapse of the Christian democratic NSC boosted the CSA and liberal D66. #Netherlands
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
"A clear divide exists in local government along overlapping economic and cultural lines. Reform councillors typically take the most rightwing positions (except on the NHS) followed by the Conservatives, including on tax & spend." Top survey research from @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social & Mitya Pearson.
theconversation.com
How England’s new Reform councillors compare in their views to other parties
Reform councillors are more aligned with Greens when it comes to building more houses but take quite different views on crime and tax and spend.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
New article out in @uk.theconversation.com! What are the big divides among GB councillors? How England’s new Reform councillors compare in their views to other parties theconversation.com/how-englands...
theconversation.com
How England’s new Reform councillors compare in their views to other parties
Reform councillors are more aligned with Greens when it comes to building more houses but take quite different views on crime and tax and spend.
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Dr Andrew S. Roe-Crines 🏳️‍🌈 @andrewcrines.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Happy Birthday! It was an excellent workshop with lots of great papers from a sampling of chapters & wider discussions. The weather also held up nicely so we had lunch on the Square! I'm certain the book will be a valuable contribution to leadership & #Conservative studies. @livunipol.bsky.social
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Celebrating my final day of being 32 by hosting an academic workshop at @livunipol.bsky.social for our upcoming book 'The Truss and Sunak premierships: the challenges of party renewal in the post-Johnson Conservative Party', with @andrewcrines.bsky.social.
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Research@LivUni @livuniresearch.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
MPs voted to legalise assisted dying in England and Wales on June 20. 56 MPs switched their vote between rounds, but how did religion affect their choice? #UoL's @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social investigates in our latest article written for @theconversation.com. 👉 theconversation.com/assisted-dyi...
theconversation.com
Assisted dying: 56 MPs switched their vote between rounds – here’s how religion affected their choices
A group of MPs switched their vote between second and third reading, with those identifying as religious more likely to end up opposing the law change.
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
👏 @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social
theconversation.com
Assisted dying: 56 MPs switched their vote between rounds – here’s how religion affected their choices
A group of MPs switched their vote between second and third reading, with those identifying as religious more likely to end up opposing the law change.
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Political Studies Association @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Thanks to our brilliant academic speakers @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social‬ ‪@liverpooluni.bsky.social‬ @and Cristina Leston-Bandeira @universityofleeds.bsky.social‬ who spoke at yesterday's Seminar for UK #Teachers: The Work of a Peer with @ukparliament.parliament.uk
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Dr Andrew S. Roe-Crines 🏳️‍🌈 @andrewcrines.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Great reps from @livunipol.bsky.social, meeting MPs, journalists, & our brilliant professional #alumni networking in #Westminster! A great way into a professional career is through #postgraduate study, such as our Public Admin Policy MA! www.liverpool.ac.uk/courses/publ... @prfandrwrssll.bsky.social
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LSE Blogs @lseblogs.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Following the recent #UK-#EU summit, #Britain is moving closer to the EU again. So why does the idea of Britain rejoining the customs union, single market or the EU itself still seem so unlikely? Mitya Pearson @uni-of-warwick.bsky.social & @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social‬
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Is the UK-EU reset a step to Britain rejoining the single market?
There is support in the UK for closer relations with the EU, but there remain major obstacles to taking more ambitious steps like rejoining the single market.
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LSE European Politics @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
💥 New: Is the UK-EU reset the first step toward Britain rejoining the single market? ✍️ Mitya Pearson @uni-of-warwick.bsky.social‬ & @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social‬
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Is the UK-EU reset a step to Britain rejoining the single market?
There is support in the UK for closer relations with the EU, but there remain major obstacles to taking more ambitious steps like rejoining the single market.
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
"What do MPs really think about immigration? We surveyed them to find out" @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social and Mitya Pearson
theconversation.com
What do MPs really think about immigration? We surveyed them to find out
Members of the public are more likely than MPs to think immigration has been too high in recent years.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Ahead of the assisted dying vote on Friday, I'm in @uk.theconversation.com looking at how religion, party, and demographics influenced the 2nd reading vote. Assisted dying bill: religious MPs were more likely to oppose law change in first round of voting theconversation.com/assisted-dyi...
theconversation.com
Assisted dying bill: religious MPs were more likely to oppose law change in first round of voting
MPs will soon vote on Kim Leadbeater’s assisted dying bill. Analysis of the second reading shows how religion, identity and party shaped support and opposition.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Liverpool might seem solidly Labour but Reform could soon become the city's main opposition. This map shows 2nd-placed parties from the 2014/15 local elections - north Liverpool is almost as purple as our wheelie bins (...and might explain Dan Carden’s shift towards blue Labour)
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Dr Andrew S. Roe-Crines 🏳️‍🌈 @andrewcrines.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
NEW! Delighted to have a new article in Parliamentary Affairs that deals with the topic everyone is talk about - #Badenoch's election as @Conservatives leader! With @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social and Tim Heppell, the article can be found here: academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a... @livunipol.bsky.social
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
🚨 We've got a new journal article out analysing bases of support in the Conservative Party leadership election. 🧐The decline of ideology as a key determinant of MPs' voting behaviour is striking. 🤓and since the contest ended in Nov, this is a quick turnaround for academia!
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Patrick Smith @drpaddysmith.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Quick comparison to the population at large, because I was curious. MPs % first, then Wikipedia's % from combined census data from 2021-22: Christian 54.7 vs 46.53 None 36.4 vs 37.75 Muslim 3.9 vs 5.97 Jewish 2 vs 0.41 Sikh 1.9 vs 0.79 Hindu 0.9 vs 1.59 Buddhist 0.2 vs 0.43
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
🚨Today, MPs are voting on assisted dying. Religion plays a key role in this debate - but until now, we haven’t had good public* data on MPs’ religious affiliations. So I built a dashboard to fix that: 🔗https://davidjeffery.shinyapps.io/mp-religion/ ⬇️ Here's the breakdown of the religion of MPs
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Dr Emily Jones @jonesemily.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Calling all Disraeli fans 📢📢 Our new edited volume is out now, Open Access! Ft. essays by @jonparryhis.bsky.social @davidjeffery.bsky.social, Peter Ghosh, Freya Johnson, Alex Middleton and many, many more. Please share! journals.openedition.org/cve/15440
journals.openedition.org
101 Printemps | 2025 Benjamin Disraeli (1804‒1881): His Lives and ...
Les articles réunis dans ce volume sont issus du colloque de la SFEVE sur « Benjamin Disraeli (1804-1881) : His Lives and Afterlives » organisé les 25 et 26 janvier 2024 par Catherine Marshall, en...
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Very glad that my article 'Competing Disraeli-isms: Tory Democracy and One-Nation Conservatism' is now out in Cahiers victoriens et édouardiens (and here's me meeting the man himself in Ormskirk on Saturday) 🔗 doi.org/10.4000/13qsw
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
Very excited by the @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social new Reactionary Politics specialist group - great to have a group dedicated to the study of me.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Liverpool half-marathon was amazing - got round in 1:22:43, shaving 5 mins off my pb from 2014 (though running past my flat was mentally tough...)
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Dr Andrew S. Roe-Crines 🏳️‍🌈 @andrewcrines.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Delighted to wholeheartedly recommend my friend, colleague, & research co-author @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social for election to the @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social Executive Committee! He is a hardworking, dedicated, & highly organised scholar who will bring energy to the #PSA Exec! Vote for David!
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Very excited to be running to be a trustee of the @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social - an association that has opened so many doors for me and massively enriched my academic career. Here's my pitch 👇🏻 happy to answer any questions members might have, publically or via DMs.
My pitch to be PSA trustee: 

I have the experience and vision to contribute to the PSA’s growth over the next three years as a trustee. If elected, I would focus on understanding why many colleagues choose not to join the PSA; how our offer to members can be improved; sharing best practices among specialist groups, and ensuring diverse perspectives are heard around the PSA trustee table.

In terms of experience, I was a co-opted trustee in 2023-24 tasked with running focus groups and surveys to understand members’ perspectives on the PSA’s goals, strengths, and areas for improvement - these findings informed the Strategic Plan. I also helped organise the Annual Conference in Liverpool and designed the conference mobile app, which prioritised accessibility for the first time. I have sat on the ECN committee and co-convene two specialist groups, which have both seen significant membership growth and therefore I understand the opportunities and challenges facing specialist groups.
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
This is a wise and measured take by @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social, with links to some fascinating research. Do give it a read.
theconversation.com
How should Labour and the Tories respond to the populist right? Lessons from Europe
The evidence suggests traditional parties that ape the populist radical right’s policies risk boosting their rivals instead of reclaiming voters.
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Humanities & Social Sciences, UoL @livunihss.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
The right is on the rise across Europe. How should Labour and the Tories respond? @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social from @livunipol.bsky.social investigates theconversation.com/how-should-l...
theconversation.com
How should Labour and the Tories respond to the populist right? Lessons from Europe
The evidence suggests traditional parties that ape the populist radical right’s policies risk boosting their rivals instead of reclaiming voters.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
It's me, in the Conversation, wading into the populism debate. How should Labour and the Tories respond to the populist right? Lessons from Europe theconversation.com/how-should-l... via @uk.theconversation.com
theconversation.com
How should Labour and the Tories respond to the populist right? Lessons from Europe
The evidence suggests traditional parties that ape the populist radical right’s policies risk boosting their rivals instead of reclaiming voters.
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
They say things move slowly in academic publishing, but just *four* months after the Tory leadership election concluded our article - Backing Badenoch: The Conservative Party Leadership Election of 2024 - has been accepted for publication in Parliamentary Affairs 🥳🥳
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Had a great time talking to the (packed out!) Liverpool History Society about the decline of Tory Liverpool and the potential for Reform to make an impact in the city.
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Colm Murphy @colmpm.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
The full @politicalquarterly.bsky.social special collection on the 2024 UK General Election is now available: a formidable group of historians, political scientists, and analysts. Very glad to have co-edited it with @pjsloman.bsky.social and Ben Jackson. politicalquarterly.org.uk/collections/...
politicalquarterly.org.uk
The 2024 UK General Election
The 2024 general election was a landslide in the true sense of the word, as the collapse in Conservative and SNP support allowed Sir Keir Starmer to take power with a large parliamentary majority. Thi...
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
And it's the day before my birthday so feel free to ambush me with cake (and suitcases full of wine)
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
The two @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social specialist groups I co-convene are now on Blusky - give them a follow! Politics and History: @psapolhistory.bsky.social Conservatism Studies: @psaconservatism.bsky.social
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Dr David Jeffery @drdavidjeffery.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Reminder about my talk to the Liverpool History Society, 11am, Tuesday 18th Feb @ The Adelphi on... unsurprisingly... 'Whatever Happened to Tory #Liverpool?' Cover slide image goes hard (12 May 1967):
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