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Thomas HD

@degolierthomas.bsky.social
2.5K followers 5.4K following 19K posts

PhD Student in History| Tô doutorando em história| Scholar of the Inter-American Drug Wars in Brasil and the U.S.| Psalm 109/Salmo 109

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Reposted by Thomas HD
Lucas @pug.bsky.social · 4h
já to emocionalmente investido neles
pavi, nisha e jae de avatar seven havens
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 4h
That year, Republicans ran two Ken Paxtons, one openly and one in secret. Yet, in the end, both were exposed.
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Fietser @americanfietser.bsky.social · 4h
Pronta! Quem quer pão de queijo? ☕
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 4h
I'd like to encourage every single historian of Nazi Germany to submit an application to this job.
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 6h
Lol sort of sad the Kari Lake conspiracy wasn't true. It woudl be great for the first trans Senator to be from Texas.
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Javi @hope-incarnate.bsky.social · 8h
Korra they could never make me hate you
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Quinn Yeargain @yeargain.bsky.social · 8h
we are not doing originalist pronouns; shut the FUCK up
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 9h
There is a reason Francis was pope and Leão XIV is pope now
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Vituperative Erb @vituperativeerb.bsky.social · 9h
I think the MAGA right has misunderstood that the Catholic Church is as serious about the woke stuff as it is about the reactionary stuff
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 9h
Dang
motherjones.com
Rep. Max Miller's girlfriend was just indicted
A grand jury formally charged Jaclyn Alatrash, the congressman's partner of nearly two years, with grand theft.
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 10h
part 2
Weighted Survey Demographics
Gender
Primary History
Response
Overall
Female
53%
Male
47%
Age
Response
Overall
18-29
10%
30-49
26%
50-64
29%
65+
35%
Education
Response
Overall
Less than 4-year degree
67%
4-year degree or more
33%
Race/Ethnicity

Response
Overall
White
85%
Black or African American
10%
Hispanic or Latino
3%
Asian or Pacific Islander
1%
Other, incl. Native American
1%
Response
Overall
Oof 4
32%
1-2 of 4
42%
3-4 of 4
26%
Community Type
Response
Overall
Rural
50%
Suburban
32%
Urban
Don't know
15%
4%


Media Market (DMA)
Response
Overall
Little Rock-Pine Bluff
51%
Ft. Smith-Fay-SprngdI-Rgrs
28%
Jonesboro
6%
Springfield MO
6%
Memphis
4%
Shreveport
4%
Monroe-El Dorado
2%
Partisan Identity
Response
Overall
Republican
47%
Independent / Other
30%
Democrat
22%
General Election Participation
Response
Overal
4 of last 4
54%
2-3 of last 4
30%
0-1 of last 4
16%Methodology
Interview Dates
September 30 to October 4, 2026
Target Population

Sampling Method
landlines, and SMS text-to-web.
Weighting
percentages and breakouts are weighted.
Number of Respondents
550 likely voters
Margin of Error
+/- 4.2% at 95% confidence
Survey Modes
web.
Likely November 2026 general election voters in Arkansas
Voter-file sample of registered voters in Arkansas, fielded to quotas on political engagement, media market and key demographics. Interviews were completed through a blend of live calls to cell phones, live calls to
Weighted by iterative proportional fitting (raking) to represent the likely November 2026 electorate in Arkansas, using targets derived from the voter file and electorate modeling. The weights balance party identification, recalled 2024 presidential vote, gender, age, education, race, age by gender, age by education, media market, community type and interview mode. Final weights are calibrated to GrayHouse's political engagement modeling, which aligns the sample with the turnout behavior of the expected electorate rather than relying on self-reported likelihood to vote alone. Counts shown in tables are rounded weighted counts;
A blend of live calls to cell phones, live calls to landlines, and SMS text-to-
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 10h
AR SEN POLL (Grayhouse) 550 LV (30 September 2026- 4 October 2026) 50% Tom Cotton (Republican) 39% Hallie Shoffner (Democrat) 4% Jeff Wadlin (Libertarian)
A GrayHouse survey of 550 likely 2026 general election voters in Arkansas, conducted September 30 to October 4, finds Senator Tom Cotton holding a double-digit lead over Democrat Hallie Shoffner, 50% to 39%, with Libertarian Jeff Wadlin at 4% and 7% undecided. With leaners, Cotton leads 51% to 40%. Shoffner's unfavorable rating has risen 10 points in two months, and a majority of Arkansas voters say they are concerned by her record on immigration and her activism. Arkansas voters are learning Hallie Shoffner's record, and they are moving away from her.
Cotton Holds a Double-Digit Lead
Q. In the election for U.S. Senate this November, who do you plan to vote for between Tom Cotton, the Republican, Hallie Shoffner, the Democrat, and Jeff Wadlin, the Libertarian?
Cotton leads Arkansas Senate race by double digits.
Arkansas statewide | Cotton +11 | Weighted n=550
50%
39%
7%
Tom Cotton (R)
Hallie Shoffner (D)
4%
Jeff Wadlin (L)
Don't know
Cotton leads the full ballot 50% to 39%, with Wadlin at 4% and 7% undecided. When undecided voters are asked which way they lean, the margin holds at 11 points, 51% to 40%. The vote still in motion belongs to Cotton's side of the electorate: the 11% of voters who are undecided or with the Libertarian backed President Trump in 2024 by 76% to 5%.
Shoffner's Unfavorable Rating Is Up 10 Points
Shoffner's unfavorable rating has risen 10 points in two months, and five of every six voters who formed an opinion of her in that time formed a negative one. 72% of voters have seen, read orheard something about her in the last few weeks, and the criticism they volunteer most often, in their own words, is her record on immigration.
What Arkansas Voters Say They Have Heard About Shoffner
Asked what they had seen, read or heard about Shoffner, voters answered in their own words:
• I saw an interview she did where she said she'd trade 5 Americans for 1 illegal. (Independent,
Little Rock)
• Wants to defund ICE. Would prefer illegal aliens over Americans. Does not support border.
(Independent, Little Rock)
• Led trans parade in other countries. Does not have clear plans. 1 illegal better than 5
Americans (Independent, Fort Smith/Fayetteville)
• She's against ICE removing illegals and she wants to open our borders. (Republican, Jonesboro)
• She is a socialist that cares about illegal immigrants over US Citizens (Republican, Fort Smith/Fayetteville)
• She is very scary to me. She does not show favor for the good of our country (Republican,
Fort Smith/Fayetteville)
• Liberal Democrat, abolish ICE, and other crap leftover from Biden (Republican, Fort Smith/Fayetteville)
• She would trade 5 Americans for 1 illegal immigrant. (Republican, Little Rock)
• She wants to give more rights to illegal aliens than Arkansas citizens (Republican, Little Rock)
• She is not for Arkansans. (Republican, Fort Smith/Fayetteville)
A Majority of Voters Are Concerned by Shoffner's Record
A majority of Arkansas voters say they are concerned by each of the following statements about
Shoffner's record.
Q. Next, here are some things you may hear about Hallie Shoffner, the
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 10h
Then my point is the term should be longer
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 10h
I am aware. I phrased it wrong. I think a single term at a time is bad
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 12h
Man, that is some vintage xenophic racism.
Whiteness of a Different Color: European Immigrants and the Alchemy of Race by Matthew Frye Jacobson
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 12h
Do the Mexican Sexenio for example
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 12h
oh my god she's talking race science about scandanavians
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 12h
I just think if you are limited to a single term it should probably be longer
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 12h
27. NY-21 Blake Gendebian
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 12h
Man I will say either Virginia needs to make the terms 5-6 years or figure out a way to make re-election a thing
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 13h
the 2028/2030 cope
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Jack Jenkins @jackjenkins.me · 15h
NEW: The head of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops has issued a statement firmly condemning plans to livestream the execution of Nidal Malik Hasan. Archbishop Paul Coakley calls the decision “a barbaric promotion of a culture of death and must be reconsidered.” www.usccb.org/news/2026/us...
United States
Conference of
Catholic Bishops
READINGS
WASHINGTON - Yesterday, the U.S.
Department of War announced that the firing squad execution of Nidal Hasan, the man convicted of killing 13 people and injuring 32 at Fort Hood, Texas in 2009, would be publicly livestreamed. Archbishop Paul S. Coakley, president of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops issued the following statement sharply condemning the decision of the U.S. government:
"It is with shock and great sorrow that I have learned of the Department of War's decision to publicly livestream the execution of Nidal Hassan. Our God is the God of life. In no way can Hassan's actions be condoned but this decision is a barbaric promotion of a culture of death and must be reconsidered. The word of God exhorts us: 'do not repay anyone evil for evil' (Romans 12:17). The public execution even of one who has done grave harm will only further undermine the moral fabric of our nation and be a blight on the conscience of its people.United States
Conference of
Catholic Bishops
READINGS
"It is with shock and great sorrow that I have learned of the Department of War's decision to publicly livestream the execution of Nidal Hassan. Our God is the God of life. In no way can Hassan's actions be condoned but this decision is a barbaric promotion of a culture of death and must be reconsidered. The word of God exhorts us: 'do not repay anyone evil for evil' (Romans 12:17). The public execution even of one who has done grave harm will only further undermine the moral fabric of our nation and be a blight on the conscience of its people.
"I pray for the intercession of Our Lady of Good Counsel that we as a nation may always choose life even in the most trying times and circumstances."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 13h
Beto O'Rourke led Abbott in a single poll in november of 2021 a year before the election in 2022. Gina Hinojosa has led Abbott in 4 polls since September. That is to say, this is a competitive race.
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 13h
Augusto Cury é uma bosta
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 14h
I hope he goes out for brisket and doesn't try to make his own to celebrate paxton's eventual loss
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 14h
Man is not going to Ken Paxton fundraisers
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Robert Downen @robertdownen.bsky.social · 14h
At a certain point it is hard not to take it very personally that no one has leaked me Paxton audio.
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 14h
www.semafor.com/article/10/0...
semafor.com
‘Got to be more careful’: Paxton leaks prompt Republican handwringing
The Senate nominee’s campaign isn’t fatally wounded, but this week has exacerbated perceptions of disarray in a tight race.
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 14h
God, Cornyn is having such schadenfreude right now
“Paxton has always relied on his base and a strong statewide ticket to carry him across the finish line. He’s never played anywhere near this level and doesn’t understand the magnitude of effort being expended on his behalf to try to win this race,” Steven Law, former leader of the Senate Leadership Fund super PAC, told Semafor.

Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, said of Paxton: “Got to be more careful when you run with the big dogs.”
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Robert Downen @robertdownen.bsky.social · 14h
Brutal morning of headlines for Ken Paxton.
New York Times: Inside Ken Paxton’s Private Testimony About His Money
A leaked deposition from a fraud inquiry in 2014 provides insight into the Senate candidate’s growing wealth and his tactics for defending himself.ProPublica: Ken Paxton’s Security for Travel Cost Taxpayers Millions. Just 1 in 6 of His Trips Had a Stated Business Purpose.CNN: ‘He wants me to lose’: Paxton complains about lack of support from Cornyn in leaked audio
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 14h
Former 4 term City Council-woman and mayor Pro-tem of Duncanville TX, a Dallas suburb, endorses James Talarico for Senate.
youtube.com
Dorothy Burton for Talarico
YouTube video by Republicans4Talarico
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"All that comes as a relief. For too many years, we’ve been whipped up to hate our fellow Texans. It’s exhausting. In the room with Goodwin, our blood pressure dropped back to a safe level. All of Texas could use that."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"We have no doubt that, if elected, Goodwin could be similarly ruthless in pursuit of her working-for-everyday-Texans agenda — but also that she’d prefer to cooperate, that she values finding compromises everyone can live with and that she respects people who don’t share her positions."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"And when we're just not educating a huge chunk of our society? Right now, over half of our teachers aren't certified. The environment in our schools is not good, and the problem starts at the top.”
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
“Ninety percent of the kids in the state go to public school,” she says, pointing out that private-school vouchers drain money out of the public-school system. “What's gonna happen down the road when they fall apart?
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"She has a solid plan to put healthcare in reach of those who can’t afford it. She wants our cash-starved public schools to receive more money per student. Before giving permits to resource-guzzling data centers, she wants to fix Texas’ strained water system."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"In the Texas House, [Vikki Goodwin] has represented a district in western Travis County since 2019, and bless her, she appears to be the anti-Patrick, earnest and wonky to the point of dullness. She doesn’t speak in soundbites. She talks about the complexities of balancing competing interests."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"Or since OB-GYNs have fled Texas, leaving Mom to wait months for a gynecologist’s appointment?" "We’re no longer free people living in the free state of Texas. We live in Patrick’s world, ruled by Patrick’s laws. What we actually want doesn’t matter."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"But are Texas families really freer now that Patrick’s favored version of the Ten Commandments is posted on Junior’s classroom walls? Or now that Grandpa can no longer buy the THC vape that eased his arthritis?"
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"And why on earth would we trust Patrick, in particular, to clean up state government? Patrick, who did everything in his vast power to get slimy Ken Paxton off the hook after the state House voted to impeach him? That was giving corruption a green light under the Texas Capitol's pink dome."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"He calls for cleaning up waste, fraud and abuse, and honestly, we wouldn’t be surprised if there’s a lot of that in state government. But if that crud is there now, it’s because it piled up over the decades that Patrick and other Republicans have been utterly in charge."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"With his mighty power to set the Senate agenda, Patrick could have vastly improved life for everyday Texans. Our schools are starved for money, and he could have championed the big, structural overhaul that Texas school finance desperately needs. Instead, he pushed book bans and school vouchers."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"Dan Patrick was elected lieutenant governor — arguably the most powerful job in Texas government — in 2014. And dang, the Chronicle was right not to endorse him."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
The Houston Chronicle has endorsed State Representative and Democratic nominee Vikki Goodwin to be the next Lieutenant Governor of Texas!
houstonchronicle.com
Dan Patrick is out of touch with Texans. Vote for Vikki Goodwin. | Endorsement
We’re no longer free people living in the free state of Texas. We live in Dan Patrick’s world, ruled by Patrick’s laws. What we actually want doesn’t matter.
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"Abbott "vetoed funding to feed hungry kids. He shut down access to abortion, which left some women with high-risk pregnancies to suffer or even die without the emergency care they needed. He engaged in cheap theatrics done at real expense to Muslims, migrants and members of the LGBTQ+ community."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"After 12 years of Abbott’s tenure as governor, Texans deserve a leader who will work to uplift the many, not the few. Hinojosa is ready to bring that change. We recommend voters pick her Nov. 3."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"Austinites know Hinojosa as a fierce advocate for public education, at first on the Austin school board and then for a decade in the statehouse. We strongly recommend Hinojosa as the fresh leadership needed to ensure state government works for the benefit of Texans."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
"The Lone Star State has the highest number of people who lack health insurance. While Gov. Greg Abbott touts Texas as the “energy capital of the world,” we lead the nation in the number of people whose utilities get shut off because they can’t afford to keep the lights on."
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
The Austin American-Statesman has endorsed State House Representative and Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa to be the next Governor of Texas!
statesman.com
Hinojosa would make Texas’ governor’s office work for Texans | Endorsement
Gov. Greg Abbott has used his power to advance partisan priorities. Rep. Gina Hinojosa would focus on schools, families and accountability, the Editorial Board writes.
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Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 15h
Ah, so bribery was the Dairy Queen "u kno what" that Chuck Grassley was telling us about.
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