Sign in

David A. Hopkins

@davehopkins.bsky.social
1K followers 207 following 27 posts

Political scientist at Boston College & (co-)author of Polarized by Degrees / Asymmetric Politics / Red Fighting Blue / Presidential Elections. Blog at Honest Graft.

PostsRepliesMedia
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Why Is Kansas So Close? honestgraft.substack.com/p/why-is-kan...
honestgraft.substack.com
Why Is Kansas So Close?
The national partisan shift back toward the Democrats since 2024 has put electoral territory that had recently slipped away from the party back within its grasp.
072
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Why Campaign Spending Is Less Important Than Everybody Thinks: honestgraft.substack.com/p/why-campai...
honestgraft.substack.com
Why Campaign Spending Is Less Important Than Everybody Thinks
As Democrats continue to lead in the polls heading into the midterm elections, the Republican case for optimism increasingly hinges on the party’s apparent advantages in independent spending resources...
000
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Does It Matter That There’s No “Resistance II”? honestgraft.substack.com/p/does-it-ma...
honestgraft.substack.com
Does It Matter That There’s No “Resistance II”?
As polling results in pivotal races continue to favor Democratic candidates in this year’s elections by increasing margins, the 2026 midterms are starting to feel distinctly reminiscent of 2018—when D...
020
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
A Defense of the Midterm Convention "Trumpapalooza": honestgraft.substack.com/p/a-defense-...
honestgraft.substack.com
A Defense of the Midterm Convention “Trumpapalooza”
Aside from the predictable cheerleading of reliably pro-Republican outlets, media treatment of this week’s midterm convention in Dallas has been critical or mocking from the moment that it was first a...
000
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
The Dubious Theory That Working-Class Voters Want Candidates Who "Look Like Them": open.substack.com/pub/honestgr...
open.substack.com
The Dubious Theory That Working-Class Voters Want Candidates Who "Look Like Them"
I vote the issues. You vote the clothes.
012
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
The Dubious Theory That Working-Class Voters Want Candidates Who "Look Like Them": open.substack.com/pub/honestgr...
open.substack.com
The Dubious Theory That Working-Class Voters Want Candidates Who "Look Like Them"
I vote the issues. You vote the clothes.
012
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Young People Are Fascinating—Just Don't Expect Them to Decide the 2026 Election: honestgraft.substack.com/p/young-peop...
honestgraft.substack.com
Young People Are Fascinating—Just Don't Expect Them to Decide the 2026 Election
Voting this year? OK, Boomer!
000
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Young People Are Fascinating—Just Don't Expect Them to Decide the 2026 Election: open.substack.com/pub/honestgr...
open.substack.com
Young People Are Fascinating—Just Don't Expect Them to Decide the 2026 Election
Voting this year? OK, Boomer!
011
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Republican Governing Mistakes Are the Great Partisan Equalizer: open.substack.com/pub/honestgr...
open.substack.com
Republican Governing Mistakes Are the Great Partisan Equalizer
The GOP's hostility to expert judgment has a political cost.
112
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Republican Governing Mistakes Are the Great Partisan Equalizer: open.substack.com/pub/honestgr...
open.substack.com
Republican Governing Mistakes Are the Great Partisan Equalizer
The GOP's hostility to expert judgment has a political cost.
112
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
Rachel Blaifeder @rblaifeder.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Huge congratulations to our 2025 Choice Outstanding Academic Titles winners - Polarized by Degrees by @mattgrossmann.bsky.social & @davehopkins.bsky.social, Intersectional Advocacy by @mperezbrower.bsky.social, and Recasting the Latin American Right by Andrés Borges, Ryan Lloyd, & Gabriel Vommaro!
154
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Five Lessons from the 2025 Election Results: honestgraft.substack.com/p/five-lesso...
honestgraft.substack.com
Five Lessons from the 2025 Election Results
“Unless the president is unusually popular, the party holding the White House will suffer significant losses in off-year elections” is a very well-established pattern, so nothing about the Democratic ...
022
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Five Lessons from the 2025 Election Results: honestgraft.substack.com/p/five-lesso...
honestgraft.substack.com
Five Lessons from the 2025 Election Results
“Unless the president is unusually popular, the party holding the White House will suffer significant losses in off-year elections” is a very well-established pattern, so nothing about the Democratic ...
034
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Five Lessons from the 2025 Election Results: honestgraft.substack.com/p/five-lesso...
honestgraft.substack.com
Five Lessons from the 2025 Election Results
“Unless the president is unusually popular, the party holding the White House will suffer significant losses in off-year elections” is a very well-established pattern, so nothing about the Democratic ...
034
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
Scholars Strategy Network @scholars.org · 05/05/2025
When party ID outweighs #policy, what’s left to debate? “For a lot of people who are partisans, their identity as a partisan is more central to them than their position on most policy issues," says @davehopkins.bsky.social . From @zeeshanaleem.bsky.social of @msnbc.com ⤵️
msnbc.com
Opinion | What Democrats’s debate on ‘oligarchy’ is really about
Sen. Elissa Slotkin's aversion to using "oligarchy" summarizes the Dems’ crisis.
011
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Understanding the diploma divide @davehopkins.bsky.social & I were on the The Vital Center podcast in a first-of-it's-kind @niskanencenter.bsky.social pod crossover event! www.niskanencenter.org/understandin...
niskanencenter.org
Understanding the diploma divide, with Matt Grossmann and Dave Hopkins - Niskanen Center
In this podcast discussion, Grossmann and Hopkins argue that educated liberals are winning the culture war.
053
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
The Niskanen Center @niskanencenter.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
"The best work of quantitative social science I have read in many years." George Hawley reviews @mattgrossmann.bsky.social and @davehopkins.bsky.social's "Polarized by Degrees." lawliberty.org/book-review/...
lawliberty.org
The Diploma Divide – George Hawley
Education has become one of the most defining differences between America's political parties.
031
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
Boston College @bostoncollege.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
The “diploma divide” is a driver of U.S. polarization, according to Political Science Professor @davehopkins.bsky.social, co-author of a new book on the subject, who discusses it on California public radio's @kqednews.bsky.social. bit.ly/DiplomaDivide...
bit.ly
How the ‘Diploma Divide’ Polarizes the U.S. Electorate | KQED
We'll talk to David Hopkins about our education divide and its political impacts. His new book, with co-author Matt Grossman, is "Polarized by Degrees."
012
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
Jennifer Berkshire @jenniferberkshire.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
The best explanation of our current politics I’ve come across is in a new book: Polarized by Degrees: How the Diploma Divide and the Culture War Transformed American Politics. We talk to co-author @davehopkins.bsky.social in the latest @haveyouheard.bsky.social on.soundcloud.com/uzUNxzwzmueB...
on.soundcloud.com
#190 Degrees of Separation
Our biggest political divide these days isn’t race or gender but education - and that division is only getting worse. We talk to the co-author of a new book that offers the single best explanation we’
192
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
This is great news for us at BC as well! bsky.app/profile/klun...
030
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Ken Kersch was a wonderful colleague and an exceptional teacher and scholar. It's a very sad time for all of us at BC and we'll miss him terribly.
181
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
I am among the many professional colleagues quoted in Tom Edsall's latest NY Times column on the future of the Democratic Party after 2024: www.nytimes.com/2024/11/20/o...
090
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
The Niskanen Center @niskanencenter.bsky.social · 30/10/2024
. @mattgrossmann.bsky.social / @davehopkins.bsky.social examine how “culturally progressive technocracy” is sparking a backlash that’s reshaped conservative politics along the way. hypertext.niskanencenter.org/p/the-rise-o...
hypertext.niskanencenter.org
The rise of the caps and gowns
How education is transforming culture and culture is transforming politics
112
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 25/10/2024
This week, @mattgrossmann.bsky.social and I appeared on the 538 Politics podcast, discussing the partisan diploma divide and our new book Polarized by Degrees. Watch a video clip below and find the complete episode in your podcast app of choice: abcnews.go.com/538/video/ed...
abcnews.go.com
Video Is education the main dividing line in U.S. politics? | 538 Politics podcast
538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins discuss the Diploma Divide and whether college degrees have become a deciding factor in political affiliation.
051
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 24/10/2024
In the 2024 Elections, It's a Man's Man's Man's Republican Party: honestgraft.substack.com/p/in-the-202...
honestgraft.substack.com
In the 2024 Elections, It's a Man's Man's Man's Republican Party
One of the most important consequences of Donald Trump's political ascendance in 2016 was the effect it had on the political engagement of women.
001
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social · 09/10/2024
I've written about the "diploma divide" in White political behavior from a variety of angles, but I think once the dust settles from the 2024 election people will accept educational attainment is the *dominant* cleavage among White Americans. fs.wp.odu.edu/jzingher/pub...
fs.wp.odu.edu
Journal Articles | Joshua ZingherJournal Articles | Joshua Zingher
(2022) "Diploma Divide: Educational Attainment and the Realignment of the American Electorate," forthcoming in Political Research Quarterly   Educ ...
382
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 01/10/2024
Just published today in Governing magazine, @mattgrossmann.bsky.social and I have a new article identifying the ways that the diploma divide is redefining American politics. It's a distillation of the argument in our new book Polarized by Degrees: www.governing.com/magazine/the...
governing.com
The Most Important Divide in American Politics
Democrats receive increasing levels of support from college-educated Americans, but this has triggered a populist backlash and sharpened polarization.
0127
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 26/09/2024
I'm thrilled that Polarized by Degrees, my new book with @mattgrossmann.bsky.social, is now available! We explain how the rise of the "Educultural Realignment" in the 21st century has redefined the American parties' constituencies, policies & styles of governing: www.cambridge.org/us/universit...
35418
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 11/09/2024
Post-Debate Wrap Up: Not Much to Learn, But a Clear Story Forms honestgraft.substack.com/p/post-debat...
honestgraft.substack.com
Post-Debate Wrap Up: Not Much to Learn, But a Clear Story Forms
1.
000
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 05/09/2024
Polarized by Degrees is here! For #APSA2024 attendees, we have an Authors Meet Critics panel with @juliaazari.bsky.social, Suzanne Mettler & Josh Zingher today at 10:00 am in Loews Hotel Commonwealth C, and @mattgrossmann.bsky.social & I will be signing books Friday at 3:30 at the Cambridge UP booth
262
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 23/08/2024
Democratic Convention Wrap-Up: 16 Years Later, It's Still Obama's Party: honestgraft.substack.com/p/democratic...
honestgraft.substack.com
Democratic Convention Wrap-Up: 16 Years Later, It's Still Obama's Party
In both substance and style, Democrats partied like it's 2008
011
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 07/08/2024
What the Tim Walz Pick Tells Us About Kamala Harris: open.substack.com/pub/honestgr...
open.substack.com
What the Tim Walz Pick Tells Us About Kamala Harris
Like other presidential candidates in the past, she's thinking about more than just winning the election.
042
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 29/07/2024
Honest Graft: Did Dumping Biden Make the Democrats Un-Democratic? Yes...and No open.substack.com/pub/honestgr...
open.substack.com
Did Dumping Biden Make the Democrats Un-Democratic? Yes...and No
Is democracy served when violating established procedural norms actually gives most citizens what they want?
323
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 22/07/2024
Honest Graft: Biden Decides to Drop Out: The View from Political Science honestgraft.substack.com/p/biden-deci...
honestgraft.substack.com
Biden Decides to Drop Out: The View from Political Science
What can we learn about politics from another unprecedented event?
064
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 26/06/2024
The newest episode of The Odd Years Podcast with Amy Walter (of the Cook Political Report & PBS) features a fun conversation with @mattgrossmann.bsky.social and me about our forthcoming book Polarized by Degrees. It's available via podcast apps or this link: www.cookpolitical.com/CPR-access/o...
cookpolitical.com
The Odd Years Podcast
Listen and follow:
034
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 23/04/2024
I recently spoke with Angelina Parrillo of the Boston Globe about the growing difference in how Republicans and Democrats view the field of higher education and the value of a college degree — a gap confirmed by a new poll by the Globe and Emerson College: www.bostonglobe.com/2024/04/11/m...
010
Reposted by David A. Hopkins
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 11/04/2024
Blurbs are in for my next book with Dave Hopkins: Polarized by Degrees: How the Diploma Divide and the Culture War Transformed American Politics. Thanks so much! Pre-order here: www.cambridge.org/us/academic/...
042
David A. Hopkins @davehopkins.bsky.social · 05/03/2024
Sinema really was a true maverick/oddball -- a type that used to be much more common in Congress but is now vanishing. Most high-level politicians' behavior is easily explainable by identifying their immediate strategic incentives, but she was a rare and fascinating exception.
391