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Dave Siegel

@daveasiegel.bsky.social
1.9K followers 536 following 44 posts

Professor of Political Science and Public Policy at Duke University.

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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
I recently reviewed a manuscript for a journal that asked that I attest to my not employing AI in my review (I had not), while at the same time allowing a paper that, by the author's own admission, was written by AI. I should've, at minimum, been informed of that before being asked to review.
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Sean Ehrlich @seandehrlich.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Florida State University’s political science department is hiring this year at the junior level in American Politics and Comparative Politics. Applicants for both jobs should have strong substantive and quant methods skills but otherwise the fields are open. The postings should be on ejobs soon.
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Mara Revkin @mararevkin.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
New working paper with @janinadill.bsky.social: "The Moral Logic of Blame for Civilian Casualties": In survey & interview data, residents of Mosul Iraq penalize the intentional killing of 5 civilians more than the unintentional killing of 125, & blame is not zero-sum: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
The best analogy to responses to AI I've seen is the Ameglian Major Cow from The Restaurant at the End of the Universe: an animal bred to want to be eaten. It succinctly summarizes my general opposition: I neither want to be eaten nor will support a system that encourages others to want to be eaten.
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
I don't think that we'd make great pets, actually.
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Happy to see that this is now out. The R package associated with the project, IRTM, can now be found on CRAN. Or can you still download it from my github. We'll continue to update it over time. This is a brief thread about what IRTM can do. 🧵 (1/7)
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
From our new issue: "Measurement That Matches Theory: Theory-Driven Identification in Item Response Theory Models" by Marco Morucci, Margaret Foster, Kaitlyn Webster, So Jin Lee, and David Siegel. #APSRNewIssue www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 01/11/2024
if you want a break from the election, we've posted a revision of our paper on pundits and ideological coalitions. bigger emphasis in this draft on the point that political ideologies aren't quite the same thing as political philosophies osf.io/xfy8r
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 27/09/2024
I said this in my first-year grad research methods class, but it bears repeating. There are people who will tell you that you are not smart enough to understand something. Those people either don't understand the nature of intelligence, don't have your best interests at heart, or both. Ignore them.
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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 18/09/2024
Just accepted at JOP w/ Daniel Naftel @kshoub.bsky.social, @jarededgerton.bsky.social, Mallory Wagner, and Skyler Cranmer. We find that patterns of gender inequality observed in formal deliberative settings extend to informal televised political discussions. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Paper title page (too long for alt text)Figure 2: Effect of Women's Numbers on the Female-to-Male Ratio of Words Spoken
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 13/09/2024
I’m pleased to announce to #polisky our forthcoming APSR article, “Measurement that Matches Theory.” In it, we introduce a Bayesian IRT framework that allows users to identify latent dimensions with substantive theoretical meaning. The paper is open access for now here: tinyurl.com/48ktz5jc. (1/8)🧵
cambridge.org
Measurement That Matches Theory: Theory-Driven Identification in Item Response Theory Models | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Measurement That Matches Theory: Theory-Driven Identification in Item Response Theory Models
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 28/06/2024
In case you don't want to watch the debate, but do want to think about elections, you can head over to journals.plos.org/plosone/arti... and check out our new paper on campaign spending (#polisky). We estimate the effects of money at the levels of both the individual campaign and the whole Congress.
journals.plos.org
Can money buy control of Congress?
Can a political party spend enough across electoral campaigns to garner a majority within the U.S. Congress? Prior research on campaign spending minimizes the importance of campaign heterogeneity and ...
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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 05/06/2024
New paper in Nature looking at the direct *and spillover* effects of Twitter deplatforming ~70k accounts following January 6th: - less misinfo for remaining users who had followed deplatformed users to circulate - some remaining users voluntarily exited www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Post-January 6th deplatforming reduced the reach of misinformation on Twitter - Nature
Difference-in-differences analysis indicates that the decision by Twitter to deplatform 70,000 users following the events at the US Capitol on 6 January 2021 had wider effects on the spread of mi...
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 16/05/2024
Since the book's on sale ($25 at press.princeton.edu/books/paperb...) it's a good time to mention to #polisky that I have an online math course at daveasiegel.com/teaching/math-course. It's got 30+ hours of video content, plus practice problems and a sample syllabus.
press.princeton.edu
A Mathematics Course for Political and Social Research
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 27/02/2024
The Behavioral Models of Politics Conference will be held at the University of Pittsburgh: 5/24-25/24, bringing together scholars to share research about analytical models of “behavioral” concepts in politics. Deadline: 3/1! Apply here: t.ly/eYPpM Conference site:  sites.google.com/view/bmpconf...
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 21/09/2023
For polisky or related fields: If you're looking for an alternative to the two week "math camp" with which many social science programs start, I put together an online, work-at-your-own-pace-over-the-summer version here: daveasiegel.com/teaching/math-course. Happy to answer questions about it.
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Dave Siegel @daveasiegel.bsky.social · 21/09/2023
It really is. Thank you for writing this, @economeager.bsky.social !
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