Why a former Republican megachurch pastor is tied with Roger Marshall in a state Trump won by 16

Democrats are tied in Kansas, and that's not even the worst news for Republicans

The White House is spending more than $1 million of your money to air campaign ads

Take the poll seriously, throw it in the average, and remember the political winds are still at Jackson's back

We are now just 40 days from Election Day.

Networks are pulling their cameras after Trump banned CNN, MS NOW, and Politico.

YouTube video by Commonwealth Club World Affairs of California

A new poll finds voters are more motivated to oppose him than in 2018—and they're punishing every candidate tied to his agenda.

Trump just picked the wrong side of the issue of our time

New polls show Democrats narrowly ahead in Michigan and Maine — and the crosstabs are better than the discourse.

The GOP is throwing Trump a convention in the middle of a midterm he's dragging down — and Democrats couldn't have scripted it better.

Three reasons this race might be closer than South Carolina's history suggests

Plus: swing voters vs. new voters, blue-wave math, Schumer, investigating Trump, and Erika Kirk on Summer House

He still wins 97% of his primaries. The exceptions are the story.

He made you pay for illegal tariffs. Now he's refunding the corporations and stiffing you. Democrats should scream it from the rooftops.

Why the panic is understandable, why it's overblown, and how Abdul El-Sayed wins anyway.

He still wins 97% of his primaries. The exceptions are the story.

The Democratic Establishment went all in for Stevens, tonight we find out if it worked.

He's selling Wall Street early access to market moving information

The 2026 midterms are about affordability. Trump just told the country that relitigating 2020 matters more.

What Trump said about CNN wasn't a gaffe. It was a confession.

What Mallory McMorrow's exit means for Michigan's Senate primary

Plus a discussion of the Electoral College and the Senate map

What the socialist earthquake says about the party, the rise of the left, and whether Democratic leaders should panic

Even if Trump strikes a deal with Iran, mush political damage has been done

The Murdochs are about to have massive influence on what millions of Americans watch

Why the most successful Democrat of his generation is worth studying again

Political junkies obsess over the tactics. The outcome will be decided by something bigger.

Ken Paxton is a scandal-plagued nominee. James Talarico is a generational talent. The structural environment is better than 2018. This is the shot.

Trump's revenge tour just made the GOP's midterm problem a whole lot worse.

Trump's coalition is cracking, the Iran War is a drag, and Democrats hold a double-digit midterm lead.

More Americans now call him weak than strong. The strongman era is over.

This morning's ruling killed four Democratic pickups, but there's still hope

Trump is focused on everything but lowering prices

Trump is focused on everything but lowering prices

What today's ruling actually does, why it matters more than the headlines suggest, and which states are about to redraw their maps.

A new Florida map could backfire for the Republicans

An end to war in Iran won't solve Trump's political problems

Democrats show what happens when you fight fire with fire

A 40-point swing in 14 months — and it's not the voters everyone's writing about.