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Daniel Devine

@danjdevine.bsky.social
3.9K followers 1.2K following 1K posts

public opinion, behaviour, attitudes, &c. Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social Co-Editor, @electoralstudies.bsky.social ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs djdevine.org

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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 9h
10% of the attendees at this protest were arrested for assault, affray, and racism, and the BBC opt for it being 'mostly peaceful'.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 10h
There is something in the national mood that means people literally cannot refrain from being negative. A 7-0 win, Croatia's biggest defeat, is 'angrifying'.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Good morning to you too, BBC.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Alas
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
I assure you that this run of 'accept to reviews' is unheard of in the history of peer review.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Devolution has gone too far...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
This is the most fundamental question, though, of the scientific information system. Not publishing it feels incorrect, if that's the point of a 'scientific record'. But doing so just feels wrong.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
A part of the country's doom spiral is that before we get a chance to breathe, critical opinions (that is, not actual evidenced scepticism) is given equal airtime for any and all policy.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Because I thought this wasn't very clear on the program, I thought I'd share the post-program #epss2026 event at the ulster museum, which I'm looking forward to!
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Consistent with what we know from other riots, another has a long list of convictions including violent domestic assault.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Will there be any national coverage of how the Eid festival in Southampton is cancelled due to fears of violence, I wonder? www.dailyecho.co.uk/news/2617150...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
I mean, probably not a day too late.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
The footballing world right now
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
The lifestyle of academics equivalent to the preparations of D Day I see
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Today I'm looking forward to presenting our paper on (political) candidate evaluations, accents, and social class, at Collegio Carlo Alberto in Turin. Featuring my favorite slide of examples of the accents and a (not comprehensive) map of their prevalence...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Just a flavour, but there are currently four 'permanent' jobs on jobs.ac.uk in politics, and **not one** in the UK.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Facing a probable defeat, call into question the process and blame it on your base's outgroup.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
The UK emerging into sunshine after months of darkness
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
So every year I do a short survey with my first year British Politics students. Anyway, Labour have gone from 44% to 15%. The 'other' category - mea culpa for not adding the Greens - has gone from 18% to 41%.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
Record attendance for the south coast derby in the women's second division ⚽🔵
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
A positive end to the first week back is that the book is now fully available. It's not on their website yet, but it is on mine. I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors. Hope it's useful. 🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
The UK government can't take a position on anything - even this.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 31/12/2025
Labour has declined most amongst those in their 30s and early 40s. Those, generally more on the left, have known nothing but Tory and recession Labour. Starmer was a chance for change. It wasn't delivered. The anger is betrayal.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
It was a pleasure to attend this workshop @cevipof.bsky.social and see lots of familiar and new faces. And somehow my first trip to Paris!
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
On the budget. Do people, generally, think tax/spend is too high or too low? Up until July 2024, people were mixed, and by a margin probably wanted higher tax/spend. Suddenly, that flipped. After Labour won the election. This is of course driven by a huge flip amongst Conservatives.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
In fact, some of the best performing places, the wealthiest places in the country, have the worst outcomes for poorer boys.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Probably partly due to demographics, where this is worse is not in the 'usual places'. Poor outcomes in Berkshire, Essex, Norfolk, Sussex...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Some disastrous numbers in this new IfG report. Less than half - half - of boys eligible for free school meals meet basic standards of early-years development.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
We're now over halfway through our @sotonpolitics.bsky.social department seminars! It's been such a good line-up and very grateful for all those who've joined us - today @dafnoukos.bsky.social and last week Peter Dinesen.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
Another great @jeppjournal.bsky.social paper I'm happy to have edited is out here, on workers' descriptive representation, by @manuelwagner.bsky.social and @laurenzennser.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
In Southampton yesterday there was a national call (via Turning Point, Tommy Robinson, etc) for an anti-migrant rally. Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Although not yet available to read (January 2026!), very happy to see our book on political trust online. Co-edited with @mfair.bsky.social and available open access, we think it'll be a useful addition to the field. www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-r...
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
It was a pleasure to visit the University of Amsterdam last week, a final trip before term starts... Thanks for having me @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social @cvalebeek.bsky.social @hannesbey.bsky.social @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social and others without Bluesky!
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
Today in the British elite
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
There has been an arson attack on a hotel housing asylum seekers in Southampton. When, rather than if, someone dies, there HAS to be consequences for those who stoked these flames.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Update
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
I spoke to @newstatesman.com on the results, where my main point from the paper was that there is *no* modelling strategy that shows a positive effect for Labour.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Anyway, it's good to see that Labour's courting of the right is starting to yield dividends.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
Final view of Thessaloniki after an enjoyable #ecprgc25 @ecpr.bsky.social
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Topical street art
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 24/08/2025
8 panels across the conference 👇 Not only am I not presenting, but I'm getting to Thessaloniki tonight; any tourist-related suggestions welcome!
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
The framing of these two is something
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
Putting in budgets for research grants
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 27/07/2025
We are champions, champions of Europe 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Again, inspired by bsky.app/profile/timn..., I looked at the submissions/desk rejects for the year at @jeppjournal.bsky.social. Submissions are up exactly 100 on last year so far (200 since 2022), and desk reject stands at around 64%,up from 55% in 2022.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Of those who accept, the average time taken is almost exactly on the usual deadline (30 days), but there's quite a lot of variation at both. This includes R&Rs, so a lot of the quick ones are from those -- though some do return first reviews within a week or two.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Maybe surprisingly, a majority accept the invite. The declines are almost the same between the two journals (JEPP has an 'unavailable' option too). Just to say that the 'no response' is the worst, because it can delay things. Please respond, even (especially) if it's to say 'no'!
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