Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 16/04/2026Why do people think the movie Jurassic Park holds special wisdom, rather than just being an entertaining film? This is not a serious argument against resurrecting dinosaurs. 200
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 18/03/2026Interesting emerging narrative 001
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 18/03/2026If anyone’s wondering what Marc Andreessen is up to, he recently posted this on Twitter: 050
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 18/03/2026“A mind is a terrible thing to waste” -UNCF “A mind is a terrible thing” -Marc Andreessen 000
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 18/03/2026In a large upset, LTF (the OpenAI-Andreessen super PAC) takes a major loss in IL-02, where they backed Jesse Jackson Jr. Notably Jackson is famously corrupt, and I wonder if LTF’s toxic AI money fed into existing negative sentiments towards him. 140
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 17/03/2026I see Marc Andreessen has progressed from criticizing EAs and Catholics and is now railing against [checks notes] people who think 2413
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Marc Andreessen losing all his money by investing in all the wrong AI companies - call that AI safety by default 1190
Reposted by Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name)hikikomorphism @hikikomorphism.bsky.social · 13/08/2025If you can substitute "hungry ghost trapped in a jar" for "AI" in a sentence it's probably a valid use case for LLMs. Take "I have a bunch of hungry ghosts in jars, they mainly write SQL queries for me". Sure. Reasonable use case. "My girlfriend is a hungry ghost I trapped in a jar"? No. Deranged. 493239771
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 11/01/2026A few thoughts on Claude Opus 4.5: First off, in absolute terms, this is a pretty big step up. Anthropic is showing they have juice, and things are going faster than previously expected. At the very least, this should dispel all recent talk about how AI was entering a slowdown 2151
Reposted by Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name)Alexander Berger @albrgr.bsky.social · 09/01/2026A reminder that we're hiring for several really important roles at Coefficient Giving! Learn more here: coefficientgiving.org/about-us/ca... 081
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 06/01/2026AI accelerationists are in a bit of a bind, in that their views are deeply unpopular; by aggressively fighting for them they also raise the salience of AI politically, which hurts their cause 140
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 05/01/2026Graph showing AI becoming higher salience to voters (more to the right on the graph). According to this data, AI is now higher salience than climate change, and approaching the salience of gas prices 173
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 04/01/2026Oh wow - OpenAI’s Greg Brockman was the single largest donor to Trump’s super PAC over the past 6 months. I knew OpenAI/Brockman were trying to flex their muscles politically to block all meaningful AI regulations, didn’t realize they had literally become Trump’s largest donor 281
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 24/11/2025I think more OpenAI employees should be aware of the very bad-faith political activities that OpenAI is supporting through Greg Brockman’s funding of the Andreessen-OpenAI super PAC cluster (Twitter’s location verification has a known bug, but Leamer doesn’t care about the truth.) 170
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 21/11/2025Things are looking smoothly exponential for AI over the past several years, and I continue to think this is the best default assumption (until the AI R&D automation feedback loop eventually speeds everything up) 3162
Reposted by Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name)Senator Dick Durbin @durbin.senate.gov · 19/11/2025Republicans already tried to ban states’ ability to regulate AI in their Big, Ugly Bill. That ban was voted down 99-1. Their new political maneuver would be a free pass to Big Tech, and it must be stopped again. 10224
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 19/11/2025The guy who mocks the pope and funds gambling and porn apps thinks a ban on state AI laws is great! Seems like basically every normal person hates this idea - hopefully politicians recognize it for what it is and don’t side with Andreessen 180
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 19/11/2025Hot take but if AI accelerationists are actually worried about a patchwork of state regulations, they should work w/ those who want guardrails to craft serious federal rules. Don’t just try to sneak a standalone blanket moratorium into a must-pass bill behind closed doors 090
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 15/11/2025Good collaborative piece between the authors of AI 2027 and those of AI as Normal Technology on areas of shared agreement t.co/h82vvrYRPMt.cohttps://asteriskmag.substack.com/p/common-ground-between-ai-2027-and 0193
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 15/11/2025If you jog in these sneakers it’s called a training run 0200
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 12/11/2025This whole Andreessen thing is a good reminder that you shouldn’t confuse vice with competence. Just because the guy is rude & subversive does not mean that he has intelligent things to say 0100
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Feels like the dam has broken on people in the tech community airing grievances with Andreessen. Honestly makes me feel better about the direction of the tech community writ large 170
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 10/11/2025You might think that while Marc Andreessen is a jerk, at least he's been far ahead of the curve on AI. If you think that, though, you'd be wrong – Andreessen was pretty slow to realize what was happening with AI, and many of his predictions on the topic since have been way off 0112
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 09/11/2025POV: You’re Marc Andreessen 060
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 09/11/2025Hot take but it was only a matter of time before Andreessen would go from hating on EAs to hating on Catholics. You can’t mock the idea of *trying to be a good person* without getting into fights with most value systems 1120
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 09/11/2025The pope: “you should probably be a good person” Marc Andreessen: “this is an attack on me and everything I stand for” 1456
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 09/11/2025Andreessen really doubling down on mocking Catholics 050
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 09/11/2025Andreessen is so dogmatically against working on decreasing risks from AI that he’s now mocking the pope for saying tech innovation “carries an ethical and spiritual weight” and that AI builders should “cultivate moral discernment as a fundamental part of their work” 0171
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 17/09/2025Recently, major AI industry players (incl. a16z, Meta, & OpenAI’s Greg Brockman) announced >$100M in spending on pro-AI super PACs. This is an attempt to copy a wildly successful strategy from the crypto industry, to intimidate politicians away from pursuing AI regulations.🧵 1102
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 10/08/2025Kind feel like there were pretty similar steps in improvement for each of: GPT2 -> GPT3, GPT3 -> GPT4, and GPT4 -> GPT5. It’s just that most of the GPT4 -> GPT5 improvement was already realized by o3, and the step from there to GPT5 wasn’t that big 060
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 09/08/2025GPT-5 didn’t live up to OpenAI’s hype, but it is *exactly* in line with extrapolations from prior AI advancements. Go ahead and discount future statements from OpenAI/Altman, but you should still expect the fast AI progress that we’ve been seeing to continue 1274
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 08/08/2025If you’ve been predicting AI was about to hit a wall for years… and then progress continues to be exponential… you can’t really claim a win here. Sure, people predicting it was super-exponential also can’t claim a win, but, uhhhh 140
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 06/08/2025New SOTA results from Opus 1100
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 05/08/2025Kinda weird that the same people who argue the most mild of AI reporting or transparency requirements will “enable China to outcompete the US in AI” also argue restrictive GPU export controls will just drive China to invent highly efficient algorithms to compensate 140
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 05/08/2025Agree with Garrison here. It’s probably the case that, if humanity sticks around for millennia, we’re ~destined to build AGI eventually. But there’s no reason humanity is sure to build it ~as soon as we can, and those saying so are trying to create a self-fulling prophecy 171
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 04/08/2025How much of industry opposition to the Chip Security Act is b/c reqs are “burdensome” to implement… and how much is that semiconductor companies want to be able to maintain plausible deniability about where their chips end up, so they can keep indirectly selling to China? 030
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 03/08/2025Looks like from a mental health perspective, you want to make sure to do at least ~2hr/wk of light exercise (eg jogging) or ~1hr/wk of vigorous exercise, and there’s not much benefit to going beyond that. 3131
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 27/07/2025Coal baron arguing that instead of giving everyone UBI like he had previously promised, “what if we just gave them each a free steam engine?” 040
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 25/07/2025Three-sentence horror story: Your car swerves off the road and crashes. You wake up, floating on a cloud, and think, “Is this heaven?” You hear, “it’s not just heaven—it’s a personalized utopia!” 070
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 25/07/2025Woah Zuckerberg has a $300M estate in Hawaii?! That’s like 1/3 the cost of an AI researcher! 050
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 26/05/2025It’s been an entire 5 weeks - I think we need an update to this chart 070
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 26/05/2025Surprised and pleased to see this - Dario (Anthropic CEO) hints that he’s against the proposed 10 year state-level AI regulation ban: 2153
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 25/05/2025Many claim AGI timelines are 2030 or bust, b/c compute scaling will hit production limits in ~2030. These limits exist, but I think the point is overstated. First, algorithmic efficiency improvements have been large & can allow for effective scale up. Second, “unhobblings” could take multiple years. 1292
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 25/05/2025Guy on the right is sad he can no longer use a computer, wishes he had spent more time working on his b2b SaaS startup when he was younger 3273
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 23/05/2025Every now and then I think of this quote from AI risk skeptic Yann LeCun 2111
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 21/05/2025I feel like this is an unreasonable expectation for the product 1191
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 19/05/2025Has anyone done a deep dive on the “actually ice cream is healthy” research results? What’s going on there? 360
Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) @daniel-eth.bsky.social · 16/05/2025[e/acc voice] “at long last, we’ve built ‘it’ from hit book ‘If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies’” 0140