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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 11h

"U.S. natural gas production reached a record high in July 2026" -EIA

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 11h

"Aggregated to the level of the labs, we see retention falling almost across the board from 2025 to 2026." -OpenRouter

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 12h

"Analyst coverage and market cap are correlated" -Phil Mackintosh, Nasdaq

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 12h

"A third of U.S.-listed companies have one or zero analysts covering them" -Phil Mackintosh, Nasdaq

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

"The Energy sector has never mattered more for stock market returns. Over the last 252-days (one year) the S&P 500 lost 5.5% on Energy up days, a record low. The index gained 21.3% on Energy down days, a record high." -Rob Anderson, NDR

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

"Interest rate-sensitive sectors are now the most oversold they have been in five years." -Real Investment Advice

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Short interest (as % of shares outstanding) in the Russell 2000 has risen to the 99.8th percentile. JPMorgna via Blake Millard

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

"Global food prices extended gains in September, reaching the highest since November 2022 as mounting geopolitical and weather disruptions roil the farm sector." -BBG

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

"Breakeven payroll growth--the growth we'd need to keep the unemployment rate unchanged--is functionally 0 right now, so in that context a +51K three-month trend is slightly expansionary." -Ernie Tedeschi, Stripe

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"The median estimate for total nonfarm payroll employment for the month of September 2026 is 90,000." -John Butters, FactSet

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"Coding tasks are much more likely to be running on a model released in the last 60 days when compared to AI work in other fields like content writing, classification tagging, or customer support." -OpenRouter

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"Everyone is talking about AI on earnings calls ... The key question is whether all this talk about AI turns into real spending and measurable productivity gains." -Torsten Slok, Apollo

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"AI Spend FALLS in the latest Ramp AI Index. Price cuts at the frontier, in addition to cheaper and more efficient models at standard and lite levels, are pushing down the cost of using AI. Open source models remain <5% of business spend." -Ara Kharazian, Ramp

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"Corporates are still largely in their Q3 earnings blackout, but the buyback window begins to reopen on October 15. From there, the corporate bid should build through earnings season and accelerate into November" -Scott Rubner, Citadel

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Despite this cohort's persistently bearish sentiment, AAII allocation to stocks rose last month to the highest since December 2017. Allocation to cash also dropped to the lowest since December 2017.

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"Credit spreads just hit 100-day highs and crossed above their 50-day average ... When spreads widen like this, stocks tend to suffer." -Hamilton

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The US Dollar Index broke out to the highest levels since Apr'25.

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

SPX "just had a +14% Q2 followed by a positive Q3. And how has Q4 been during every previous year with a similar setup?" -OddStats

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The equal-weight S&P 500 is on track for its 7th consecutive weekly decline. The only other time that's happened was in the middle of the 2022 bear market.

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The "gap between index-wide calm and single-stock chaos is nothing new for traders, but lately it's grown extreme, reaching the widest level since the height of the dot-com crash in 2000" -Jess Menton, BBG

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate for Q3 GDP growth dropped to 3.7% from 5.0% on Sep 25. via Augur Infinity

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

"Major upward revisions to the personal saving rate, but still a disconcerting fall to a low level this year" -Samuel Tombs, Pantheon Macro

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

"If we look back at the last 40 years, it is notable that the 5 most recent US expansions all rank in the top 7 longest expansions since business-cycle dating began." -Jim Reid, Deutsche Bank

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

"Per the Fed model below ... if the 10-year yield rises to 6%, that suggests an equity P/E ratio of 16x. It is currently 19-20x. A 4-point drop in the P/E ratio is a 20% valuation haircut, but if it's offset by 30% earnings growth" -Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

"I'm not seeing many new lows in Tech and Financials. In fact, I'm seeing almost none." -Matt Cerminaro, Chart Kid Matt

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

"For the month of September, equity ETFs are averaging about $3bn per day. That is meaningfully down from the over $7bn that we saw earlier in the summer" -Todd Sohn, Strategas

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

"In the first eight sessions since the Fed rate hike, utilities, gold, silver, and the Bloomberg Spot Commodity Index have posted their worst performance on record when compared with every tightening cycle since 1973." -Turning Point Market Research

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

"Labor differential-share of consumers saying jobs are 'plentiful' minus share saying jobs are 'hard to get'-is at narrowest in more than five years" -Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"The growth of websites made by AI has been noticeable since 2023. Now every third webpage created has some part attributable to AI." -Exponential View

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"The outbreak of war in the Middle East and the resulting surge in energy prices have prompted a hawkish shift among many of the world's major central banks" -Ned Davis Research

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"At his June and July press conferences, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh followed the same pattern as previous Fed chairs, but in September, he took fewer questions and gave shorter, more focused answers, letting the rate hike speak more for itself." -Torsten Slok, Apollo

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"Using PMI data dating back to January 2010, our regression model estimates that the Global Composite PMI could rise to roughly 54.6 this month. If realized, that would mark its highest level since November 2021 and extend the momentum already visible through the summer." -JPM

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"Over the last 90 years, the S&P 500 has produced an average return of 17% in the 12 months following midterm elections." Goldman Sachs via Mike Zaccardi

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Last week, "21 of the 28 net new lows came from Utilities, Staples, and Real Estate ... So yes, breadth stinks. But where it stinks matters. Or, as our friend Larry Thompson recently put it best: If breadth is bad, don't own breadth!" -Duality Research

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"US Pensions are modeled to SELL $33bn of US equities. $33bn to sell ranks in the 97th percentile amongst all buy and sell estimates in absolute dollar value over the past three years. 33bn ranks in the 98th percentile going back to Jan 2000." -Cullen Morgan, Goldman Sachs

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"Sentiment in the equity market remains remarkably constructive despite sharply rising bond yields ... SPX 1M skew is trading in the 5th percentile low currently as investors rotate out of hedges and into upside calls." -Mandy Xu, Cboe

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"We don't need to go all the way back to the GFC to notice that this kind of divergence can be a harbinger of bad times for equity markets." -Jim Carroll, Vixology

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"At the end of June, when the 10-year hit its most recent bottom, consensus forecasts for third-quarter growth sat at 1.9%. Now, with the quarter nearly over, economists project the U.S. economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.8%." -Josh Schafer, Barron's

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"Markets have begun to accept the idea that getting inflation down to 2% will require tighter monetary policy, which means higher interest rates." -Brian Nick, NewEdge Wealth

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"If every household used AI agents to optimize the return on their cash balances, banks could lose a large share of the cheap deposits they rely on to make loans, which would be a problem for the entire financial system." -Torsten Slok, Apollo

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"Baby Boomers currently account for 53.0% of total US household net worth. Together with the Silent Generation, they account for 64.0% of household net worth." -Yardeni

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"Publicly traded companies represent a tiny share of the total number of companies producing crude oil and natural gas in the United States, but they make up a large share of U.S. production." -EIA

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"Fiscal deficits since 2020 now total over $14 trillion - over a period when the unemployment rate has averaged only 4.7%" -Simon White, BBG

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"Spending on AI infrastructure by the five largest US hyperscalers is set to increase by more than half next year to $1.2 trillion, according to strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc." -Bloomberg

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Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

"Where would 10-year yields be if the bond market were actually worried about inflation?" -Jim Reid, Deutsche Bank

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