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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 9h

A windy Tuesday in store for the Maritimes - particularly gusty in the Gulf of St. Lawrence region. Likely to see some moderate impacts since trees still have much of their foliage. Perhaps good time to bring in lightweight items on your property. #nswx #pewx #nbwx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Foliage change from high-resolution Sentinel satellite over northern Cape Breton comparing Aug 27 to today Oct 3. #nswx www.novaweather.net/Photos/folia...

novaweather.net

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Satellite images one week apart showing the foliage changing color over upstate NY, VT and NH. #nywx #vtwx #nhwx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

3-month review of daily max temperatures in Halifax. August was generally warmer than normal but September has been cooler than normal. Normal daytime max temp is ~23C Sept 1 and ~17C by the 30th. #nswx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Satellite snapshot showing the large low off NJ with what looks like an eye but it's really just a cleared area of shallow cloud near the center. A true eye (as in a hurricane) has heavy rain immediately encircling it. In this case the rain is WELL removed from the center.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

It's technically not a tropical storm (and has no formal name) but it will be a mess especially along the heavily-populated coastline from MA to NJ to DE. Here is a detailed meteorological analysis for those interested in the fine points.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Model depiction of major weather systems this weekend. #nswx #pewx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

2/2. On this day 30yrs exactly - 1996 Hurricane Hortense was on approach to Nova Scotia making landfall east of Halifax later that night. Streets in the Halifax area were strewn with tree debris including large limbs. Up to 150 mm (6") of rain was also measured. #nswx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

On this day 30yrs exactly - 1996 Hurricane Hortense was on approach to Nova Scotia making landfall east of Halifax later that night. Streets in the Halifax area were strewn with tree debris including large limbs. Up to 150 mm (6") of rain was also measured (below). #nswx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Although the greatest total rainfall in Cape Breton was in Victoria County (280-320 mm ~12"), it did not fall at the extreme rate there as it did in Richmond Co where the heaviest damage occurred. 23 mm/hr over ~8hrs at Sampsonville late Fri/early Sat. #nsstorm

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Latest tally of rainfall including the near-12" (1 foot) 293 mm at North River Bridge Cape Breton (between Englishtown and Ingonish). The value is not from an official ECCC site but it believed to be credible. #nswx #nsstorm kamala.cod.edu/offs/CWHX/26...

kamala.cod.edu

AWCN from CWHX

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Another sign that El Nino is very pronounced this year - very quiet Atlantic hurricane season while very active Pacific.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Tally of rain data for PEI with updates: kamala.cod.edu/offs/CWHX/aw... #pewx #pestorm

kamala.cod.edu

Recent 's from CWHX

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Latest tally of all that rainfall which has brought extensive flooding (road washouts) to Cape Breton in particular. Also power outages from wind (trees/branches). kamala.cod.edu/offs/CWHX/26... #nswx #nsstorm #NotEvenANamedStorm

kamala.cod.edu

AWCN from CWHX

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Summary of the wild thunderstorms in Ontario (especially Toronto area) on Sept 2 #onstorm #onwx kamala.cod.edu/offs/CWTO/26...

kamala.cod.edu

AWCN from CWTO

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Rainfall around the GTA over the past 12 hours (to ~6:30 pm EDT) that lead to many issues today. Based on this and several rain gauges, Orangeville-Bolton-Vaughan got hit with 80-100 mm (3-4") much of which fell over a 90-minute period. Pickering max fell earlier today #onstorm

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

MRMS radar-estimated rainfall (inches) from the early morning MCSs that impacted parts of southern ON #onstorm #onwx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

If you're still up later tonight 12-1am and the sky is clear (decent chance it will be at least partly clear) you can view the moon turning various shades of red from the eclipse. Halifax details (similar throughout Maritimes): timeanddate.com/eclipse/in/c... #nswx #pewx #nbwx

timeanddate.com

August 28, 2026 Partial Lunar Eclipse in Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Start time, end time, animation, and detailed viewing information for the upcoming eclipse in Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Ocean surface temperatures are running fairly warm off the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia now. 20C/68F not far offshore of Halifax. Part of the story with recently high humidity and dew points.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

A tropical airmass over the region.. Here are the dew point temperatures from stations around Nova Scotia this afternoon. The dew point is essentially a first-order predictor for overnight temperature and the temperature when fog will form in some areas tonight. #nswx #pewx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Cooler than normal around the Great Lakes today. Warmer than normal in the East. Anom map in degrees C.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

@six7cummins.bsky.social Hey Art - did you get close to 200 mm? capebretonweather.ca/station.html...

capebretonweather.ca

Current Station

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Latest sea surface temperatures (C) and anomaly around the Maritimes. #nswx #pewx #nbwx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 15/08/2026

The pressure gradient between Tropical Storm Lala near Hawaii and high pressure to the north is creating very gusty winds across Hawaii - even with the storm center a ways off to the south. Gusts in knots. #Lala

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

High temperatures today: 33-35C (91-95F) #nswx

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Reposted by Chris Fogarty, PhD

Rodney Barney @rcbstormpost.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

=NEW ALL-TIME RECORD= Port aux Basques checking in with a high of 28.2°C today, Aug 6, 2026. 🥵 This breaks the previous reliable record of 27.2°C (Aug 5, 1911 & Aug 9, 1970) for warmest ever at the location. Data since 1898. 🌡️ Quite a contrast to the eastern side of the island! #nlwx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Toasty temps around the region so far today (2pm) including 31C in Halifax and 32 in a couple spots inland (88-90F). #nswx #pewx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Hot day Wednesday ... here are some temperatures expected by late afternoon. Humidity levels will be fairly reasonable at least. #nswx #pewx #nbwx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

Some very heavy rainfall and thunderstorms on Sunday in Ontario - particularly the Niagara Peninsula. up to 150 mm/6" under a day dd.weather.gc.ca/20260803/WXO...

dd.weather.gc.ca

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Latest sea surface temperatures around our region. #nswx #pewx #nbwx

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Reposted by Chris Fogarty, PhD

Dakota Smith @weatherdak.bsky.social · 30/07/2026

This is at least the 2nd time I've seen something like this. If there's a smarter, tropical person that can better describe why these happen... would love that.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

During El Nino years, the Pacific tropical zones are hyperactive. Currently 'Bavi' threatens the southern Japanese Islands. The large typhoon also has concentric eyewalls and the storm is deviating right of the forecast track. #ZoomEarth view with radar:

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

Watch the dendritic pattern of valley fog over New York state dissipate this morning as the sun rose (lower right in the animation): #nywx novaweather.net/Videos/CODNE...

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

Temperature summary later this afternoon - well above normal in the North while cool/wet in New England.

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Reposted by Chris Fogarty, PhD

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

Sunday 12:32 pm: Just Because Department: Typhoon Bavi is tracking toward Rota, ~halfway between Guam to the south, Saipan to the north. Edge of eye is ~59 miles from Rota, Saipan, 75 miles from eye edge with 86 mph gusts. 140 mph winds shown by radar at ~8,000’ altitude.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

CASGO - Super-Res Reflectivity Tilt 1 3:47 PM ADT Super-Res Velocity Tilt 1 3:47 PM ADT #NBStorm #NSStorm #PEStorm thunderstorms in parts of NB PEI and NS x.com/Cyclone_Foga...

x.com

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Summary of Canada Day July 1 weather extremes in southern Ontario: kamala.cod.edu/offs/CWTO/26... #onwx #onstorm

kamala.cod.edu

AWCN from CWTO

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Heads up for potential for heavy downpours particularly Thursday morning accompanied by lightning. 3"/75mm in 3 hours is possible as per model output below. Very difficult to predict where the worst downpours will be. #nswx #pewx #nsstorm

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

Lots of lightning over Cape Breton this morning! Here is a history mapping of detected strikes. #nswx #nsstorm

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

Snapshot of the heat over in Europe. Air temps 10-15C above normal in many areas.

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Wavey clouds this evening over Halifax/Dartmouth (Asperitas, I believe) #nswx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 14/06/2026

Very wet for the balance of the week in parts of TX and LA with a trough/convective system in the region - regardless of whether it becomes a tropical storm. weather.gov/hgx/

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Reposted by Chris Fogarty, PhD

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

I'm preparing a presentation related to the National Hurricane Center's "cone of uncertainty", which was first used 24 years ago. At the end, I have a couple slides to highlight my history of work in the hurricane risk & communication arena. Strange to see it all in one place, going back to 2010!

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 07/06/2026

Gusty north winds tomorrow - the kind to catch your vehicle door and ding the one parked next to you (happened to us one windy June day 5 yrs ago 😣😅). Dry air also and high ~18C in Halifax area. #nswx

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Reposted by Chris Fogarty, PhD

Michael Fischer @mikefischerwx.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

It's the first day of hurricane season in the Atlantic. TC-ATLAS now features a real-time monitoring page with geostationary and microwave satellite data, real-time surface observations, and objective model forecasts from Google DeepMind. michaelfischerwx.github.io/TC-ATLAS/rea...

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

Bit of a temperature gradient forecast across Nova Scotia Wednesday afternoon 😯 #nswx

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Chris Fogarty, PhD @cyclone-fogarty.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

A mixture of 'gravity waves' (cloud pattern) at various altitudes. These are akin to ripples in the sand at the beach. Different levels in the atmosphere where the temperature increases with height often give rise to these. #nswx #pewx

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