iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 22h

🇬🇧 A UK-Iranian dual national has been arrested on suspicion of preparation of terrorist acts in connection with the incident at RAF Fairford, counter-terror police have said. www.bbc.com/news/article...

bbc.com

Dual UK-Iranian national arrested over RAF Fairford incident

The 27-year-old man was arrested in Westminster, London, marking the sixth arrest in connection with the incident near the airbase.

M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 22h

📣 For anyone interested in this topic, I’ve updated my list of attacks and incidents on chemical and gunpowder factories located in the Russian Federation. m07intelligence.com/attacks_on_c...

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 23h

There is an incident at a Russian chemical company in Krasnozavodsk (Moscow Oblast). I ended up spending the rest of my Thursday scrolling through a local Telegram group. Time to update my list of attacks and incidents on chemical companies.

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 01/10/2026

📄 Rusia lleva tiempo usando a hispanohablantes para sabotajes en Europa, "entre otras cosas porque muchos tienen residencia española y pueden moverse sin visado tanto en Rusia como en la UE". www.elmundo.es/internaciona...

elmundo.es

Rusia planificó matar a Kasparov y a otros disidentes este verano en EEUU

Rusia lleva meses planeando matar al ajedrecista y líder disidente Garry Kasparov en Estados Unidos. Este verano las autoridades de EEUU comunicaron al fundador de Free Russia...

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Reposted by M07 - Sergi CJ

Piotr Marczakowski @marrpeter.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

And NATO would consider this only if Russia would invade the Baltic states, so there you go, Russia.

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Reposted by M07 - Sergi CJ

Dmytro Spivakov @dmytro-spivakov.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Escalation management will continue until morale improves

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 30/09/2026

Russia has warned NATO it would be ready to resort to nuclear weapons if the Western alliance attempted to cut off Kaliningrad, a Russian exclave that borders the Baltic Sea 🔎 www.reuters.com/business/aer...

reuters.com

Russia sends nuclear warning to NATO as tensions rise in the Baltic

Russia has warned NATO it would be ready to resort to nuclear weapons if the Western alliance attempted to cut off Kaliningrad, a Russian exclave that borders the Baltic Sea.

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 30/09/2026

📄 Information operations are likely to remain a core component of Russia’s hybrid toolkit. They seek to shape perceptions, influence public and political debate, undermine confidence in institutions and media, and exploit existing divisions. stjamesbriefingroom.substack.com/p/persistent...

stjamesbriefingroom.substack.com

Persistent, deniable, disruptive: assessing Russian hybrid activity against the UK and Europe

Overall assessment

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 29/09/2026

📄 Updates from Bryansk: On the Trosna-Rzhanitsa railway section in the Bryansk region, the tracks were damaged at night. Source: www.kommersant.ru/doc/8989400 Translation: www-kommersant-ru.translate.goog/doc/8989400?...

kommersant.ru

Брянский губернатор сообщил о новой атаке ВСУ на железную дорогу

Подробнее на сайте

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 29/09/2026

📄 A must-read article from Inform Napalm: A hypothetical exploitation cycle for intelligence of this kind could look as follows: gain access — accumulate information — analyze production cooperation — identify critical dependencies — apply non-kinetic effects — conduct physical strikes.

informnapalm.org

AOMZ strike: what it reveals about Russia’s defense industry

Ukraine’s strike on AOMZ highlights how internal documents can expose suppliers, missile programs and vulnerabilities across Russia’s defense industry.

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 29/09/2026

📄 Russia hit the building with a Geran-5, a jet-powered drone that functions as a small cruise missile. At the same time, a jet Shahed flew into Kyiv and circled the target at almost 3 km altitude, he said. It served as a mesh relay. euromaidanpress.com/2026/09/28/r...

euromaidanpress.com

Russia is launching a faster Geran-5 at Ukraine that satellite jamming may no longer knock off course, a monitoring channel says - Euromaidan Press

The drone can steer by images of the terrain below, and its extra speed makes it harder for interceptors to catch, though Ukrainian officials have not confirmed the system.

🔎 TASS: the enterprise that burned up near Yaroslavl has a license for the production of pyrotechnics Source: tass.ru/obschestvo/2...

tass.ru

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blackwidowsecurity.substack.com

🇬🇧 Five British men in their twenties is entirely consistent with a state-directed operation, entirely consistent with a domestic plot owing nothing to any state, and entirely consistent with several other possibilities I could name but won’t. blackwidowsecurity.substack.com/p/outside-th...

Outside the Wire

Understanding the suspected terror plot near RAF Fairford

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azerbaijanbulletin.substack.com

🇦🇿 On 23 September, president Aliyev signed a pardon decree covering 20 convicts, among them French businessman Martin Ryan. The release came less than a day after the European Union agreed to remove Russian-Uzbek billionaire Alisher Usmanov from its Russia sanctions list at France’s insistence.

Weekly Bulletin: Issue 159

20-27 September, 2026

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 27/09/2026

Several updates focused on railway infrastructure. Source: t.me/E_V_Kovalchu...

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I've spent my Sunday reading a book about the S-300P and making a diagram of its tactical and strategic execution🫡

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 26/09/2026

🇪🇪 Su principal foco sigue siendo Ucrania, pero no descartaría que en un año probarán si el artículo 5 sigue vigente", nos dicen fuentes militares de la base. www.elindependiente.com/internaciona...

elindependiente.com

Estonia, un David sin miedo frente a Rusia: en la frontera más caliente de Europa

El más pequeño de los países bálticos está lejos de amilanarse ante las provocaciones de Moscú: apuestan por invertir en defensa e innovación

M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 26/09/2026

🇦🇺 The incident was known inside government before it became public. Australian Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy said he had been aware of it well before the first reports. defensehub.substack.com/p/f-35-parts...

defensehub.substack.com

F-35 Parts Were Diverted to Hong Kong. Accident or Intelligence Operation?

Intelligence | A diverted parts shipment exposed a custody gap in the F-35's global support network, while the cause remains under investigation

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 26/09/2026

📣 Somos cuatro frikis siguiendo la degradación de radares y baterías de defensa en el krai de Krasnodar y en el óblast de Rostov, pero os puede ser útil. A continuación adjunto mi presentación expuesta en 13 Rue del Dniéper. Link: t.me/cristobaljan...

Testing Orlivka map on Arma Reforger. It was extremely stressful.

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m07intelligence.substack.com

Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast. m07intelligence.substack.com/p/intelligen...

Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast

8/26

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⏺ Source 1: t.me/chernayaiskr... ⏺ Source 2: t.me/atesh_ua/11459

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 24/09/2026

Chernaya Iskra (Black Spark) has released footage of an IED detonation in Novomoskovsk (Tula Oblast). A methanol tank was probably damaged in this operation. Previously, on 20 September, a separate IED attack damaged a railway track switch in Taganrog (Rostov Oblast).

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🇵🇱 A fire at a Starlink ground station near the Polish capital is being investigated as possible arson after the facility, which helps provide internet connectivity to Ukraine, was damaged late Wednesday. tvpworld.com/95558261/pol...

tvpworld.com

Arson suspected after fire at Polish Starlink site

The gateway station also ensured internet security in Ukraine.

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 24/09/2026

Updates from Krasnodar Krai: “…mass attacks on logistics infrastructure facilities, suspension of ports and violations of shipping have led to the inability of agricultural producers to sell significant volumes of products. “ Original source: www.kommersant.ru/doc/8973726

kommersant.ru

Кубань не вывозит

В Краснодарском крае ввели режим ЧС из-за проблем с вывозом сельхозпродукции

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Perdonad la autistada, pero el próximo viernes en 13 Rue del Dniéper os hablaré de un tema bastante interesante: la degradación de radares y baterías de defensa en el krai de Krasnodar y el óblast de Rostov. Hay cosas curiosas e interesantes que merecen la pena mencionar😊

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The arsenal matters more than the individual weapon

📄 Freyja offers a different industrial model: combine existing technology, diversify suppliers and make components replaceable. Its open architecture is intended to allow different European and Ukrainian technologies to operate within the same system. warbrief.substack.com/p/the-arsena...

warbrief.substack.com

War Brief covers the strategy, doctrine and weapons shaping contemporary warfare—and explains why they matter.

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intelligencedigest.substack.com

🇦🇺 The proposal outlines an online-safety regime aimed at implementing preventative measures against tech-platforms and social media giants for “harmful” material as part of online services. intelligencedigest.substack.com/p/intelligen...

Intelligence Report 018/2026 - Rising societal concerns of ‘mass censorship’ of proposed algorithm legislation

Subject: Digital Duty of Care or Orwellian subterfuge?

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m07intelligence.substack.com

Yesterday I published my intelligence assessment on the destroyed air-defence and radars in Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast. It is important to note the several layers based on the targeted airfield. I hope that my assessment will be useful to intelligence practitioners.

Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast

8/26

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 22/09/2026

📄 According to Seznam Zprávy, Czech police detained and questioned Russian nationals Vitaly Chashchukhin and Igor Dolmatov, whom the outlet’s journalists identified as working for Rybar, a Telegram channel with ties to the Russian Defense Ministry.

meduza.io

Czech police order Russians who filmed in Europe for the pro-war Telegram channel Rybar to leave the country — Meduza

According to Seznam Zprávy, Czech police detained and questioned Russian nationals Vitaly Chashchukhin and Igor Dolmatov, whom the outlet’s journalists identified as working for Rybar, a Telegram chan...

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 22/09/2026

Honestly, I really enjoyed the processing, so I hope it gets better engagement than my last article on Russian military and state vehicles. Intel nerds, this one’s for you 😉

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M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 22/09/2026

I’ve finished my intelligence assessment on OWA-drone attacks against radars, air-defence and EW systems in Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast. m07intelligence.substack.com/p/intelligen...

m07intelligence.substack.com

Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast

8/26

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Better insights 🔎 ⏺ Source: t.me/volyamedia/2...

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Verdächtige Truppenbewegungen: Was treibt Putin an der Nato-Grenze?

Third, Moscow might also want to send a signal intended to unsettle the West and call into question its support for Ukraine . "A combination of these is also conceivable," says Kiesewetter. ⏺ Original source: www.bild.de/politik/ausl... ⏺ Translation: www-bild-de.translate.goog/politik/ausl...

bild.de

Russland baut Militärstrukturen an der Westgrenze aus. Was treibt Putin an? Neue Vorbereitungen, Gotland und Deutschlands Kliniken im Kriegsfall.

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Second, it could be preparation for a "coordinated escalation by Russia against individual NATO states on its western border."

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🧵Kiesewetter sees three possible explanations for the preparation of additional hospital beds: First, it could be about supporting Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine in light of the persistently high casualties.

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Lufi - Disroot file uploader

NB: I have used an indicators matrix from an old intelligence course. I think it could be useful for intelligence enthusiasts😉 Source: upload.disroot.org/r/vpF5Vq9C#E...

upload.disroot.org

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