Sign in

M07 - Sergi CJ

@cristobaljane.com
615 followers 205 following 4.6K posts

Political Science and International Relations. Teacher. Probably you will find me walking through South Caucasus. I ❤️ my 🚲 #WeAreNAFO.

PostsRepliesMedia
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 16h
🇱🇻 It was established during the investigation that the persons collected and transferred information to GRU on Latvia’s defence system, activities of NATO allies and different types of support towards Ukraine. vdd.gov.lv/en/news/pres...
vdd.gov.lv
VDD in cooperation with MIDD detain couple for espionage on behalf of Russia’s GRU — State Security Service
Official website of Latvian State Security Service
010
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 19h
🇬🇧 A UK-Iranian dual national has been arrested on suspicion of preparation of terrorist acts in connection with the incident at RAF Fairford, counter-terror police have said. www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Dual UK-Iranian national arrested over RAF Fairford incident
The 27-year-old man was arrested in Westminster, London, marking the sixth arrest in connection with the incident near the airbase.
010
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20h
📣 For anyone interested in this topic, I’ve updated my list of attacks and incidents on chemical and gunpowder factories located in the Russian Federation. m07intelligence.com/attacks_on_c...
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 21h
There is an incident at a Russian chemical company in Krasnozavodsk (Moscow Oblast). I ended up spending the rest of my Thursday scrolling through a local Telegram group. Time to update my list of attacks and incidents on chemical companies.
001
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 01/10/2026
📄 Rusia lleva tiempo usando a hispanohablantes para sabotajes en Europa, "entre otras cosas porque muchos tienen residencia española y pueden moverse sin visado tanto en Rusia como en la UE". www.elmundo.es/internaciona...
elmundo.es
Rusia planificó matar a Kasparov y a otros disidentes este verano en EEUU
Rusia lleva meses planeando matar al ajedrecista y líder disidente Garry Kasparov en Estados Unidos. Este verano las autoridades de EEUU comunicaron al fundador de Free Russia...
000
Reposted by M07 - Sergi CJ
Piotr Marczakowski @marrpeter.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
And NATO would consider this only if Russia would invade the Baltic states, so there you go, Russia.
011
Reposted by M07 - Sergi CJ
Dmytro Spivakov @dmytro-spivakov.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Escalation management will continue until morale improves
0256
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 30/09/2026
A dangerous incident occurred on Wednesday at the Military Police headquarters in Nowa Dęba (Podkarpackie Voivodeship). Someone sent a mysterious package. After opening it, three people were hospitalized.
rmf24.pl
Tajemnicza przesyłka w siedzibie Żandarmerii Wojskowej. Trzy osoby w szpitalu
Do niebezpiecznego incydentu doszło w środę w siedzibie Żandarmerii Wojskowej w Nowej Dębie (woj. podkarpackie). Ktoś przysłał tajemniczą przesyłkę- po jej otwarciu trzy osoby trafiły do szpitala - d...
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 30/09/2026
Russia has warned NATO it would be ready to resort to nuclear weapons if the Western alliance attempted to cut off Kaliningrad, a Russian exclave that borders the Baltic Sea 🔎 www.reuters.com/business/aer...
reuters.com
Russia sends nuclear warning to NATO as tensions rise in the Baltic
Russia has warned NATO it would be ready to resort to nuclear weapons if the Western alliance attempted ​to cut off Kaliningrad, a Russian exclave that borders the Baltic Sea.
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 30/09/2026
📄 Information operations are likely to remain a core component of Russia’s hybrid toolkit. They seek to shape perceptions, influence public and political debate, undermine confidence in institutions and media, and exploit existing divisions. stjamesbriefingroom.substack.com/p/persistent...
stjamesbriefingroom.substack.com
Persistent, deniable, disruptive: assessing Russian hybrid activity against the UK and Europe
Overall assessment
001
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 29/09/2026
📄 Updates from Bryansk: On the Trosna-Rzhanitsa railway section in the Bryansk region, the tracks were damaged at night. Source: www.kommersant.ru/doc/8989400 Translation: www-kommersant-ru.translate.goog/doc/8989400?...
kommersant.ru
Брянский губернатор сообщил о новой атаке ВСУ на железную дорогу
Подробнее на сайте
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 29/09/2026
📄 The court in Moscow detained political scientist Alexander Kynev (in the register of "foreign agents"). One of the main experts on Russian elections and regional policy is accused of selling drugs. Original source: www.bbc.com/russian/arti...
bbc.com
Политолога Александра Кынева арестовали по делу о наркотиках - BBC News Русская служба
Суд в Москве заключил под стражу политолога Александра Кынева (в реестре «иноагентов»). Одного из главных специалистов по российским выборам и региональной политике обвиняют в сбыте наркотиков.
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 29/09/2026
📄 A must-read article from Inform Napalm: A hypothetical exploitation cycle for intelligence of this kind could look as follows: gain access — accumulate information — analyze production cooperation — identify critical dependencies — apply non-kinetic effects — conduct physical strikes.
informnapalm.org
AOMZ strike: what it reveals about Russia’s defense industry
Ukraine’s strike on AOMZ highlights how internal documents can expose suppliers, missile programs and vulnerabilities across Russia’s defense industry.
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 29/09/2026
📄 Russia hit the building with a Geran-5, a jet-powered drone that functions as a small cruise missile. At the same time, a jet Shahed flew into Kyiv and circled the target at almost 3 km altitude, he said. It served as a mesh relay. euromaidanpress.com/2026/09/28/r...
euromaidanpress.com
Russia is launching a faster Geran-5 at Ukraine that satellite jamming may no longer knock off course, a monitoring channel says - Euromaidan Press
The drone can steer by images of the terrain below, and its extra speed makes it harder for interceptors to catch, though Ukrainian officials have not confirmed the system.
010
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 28/09/2026
🔎 TASS: the enterprise that burned up near Yaroslavl has a license for the production of pyrotechnics Source: tass.ru/obschestvo/2...
tass.ru
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 28/09/2026
🇬🇧 Five British men in their twenties is entirely consistent with a state-directed operation, entirely consistent with a domestic plot owing nothing to any state, and entirely consistent with several other possibilities I could name but won’t. blackwidowsecurity.substack.com/p/outside-th...
blackwidowsecurity.substack.com
Outside the Wire
Understanding the suspected terror plot near RAF Fairford
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 28/09/2026
🇦🇿 On 23 September, president Aliyev signed a pardon decree covering 20 convicts, among them French businessman Martin Ryan. The release came less than a day after the European Union agreed to remove Russian-Uzbek billionaire Alisher Usmanov from its Russia sanctions list at France’s insistence.
azerbaijanbulletin.substack.com
Weekly Bulletin: Issue 159
20-27 September, 2026
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 28/09/2026
Several updates focused on railway infrastructure. Source: t.me/E_V_Kovalchu...
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 27/09/2026
I've spent my Sunday reading a book about the S-300P and making a diagram of its tactical and strategic execution🫡
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 26/09/2026
🇪🇪 Su principal foco sigue siendo Ucrania, pero no descartaría que en un año probarán si el artículo 5 sigue vigente", nos dicen fuentes militares de la base. www.elindependiente.com/internaciona...
elindependiente.com
Estonia, un David sin miedo frente a Rusia: en la frontera más caliente de Europa
El más pequeño de los países bálticos está lejos de amilanarse ante las provocaciones de Moscú: apuestan por invertir en defensa e innovación
010
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 26/09/2026
🇱🇻 Severed cables, damaged cabinets, and the elements are not stopping the construction of the eastern border: work is moving forward. ⏺ Original source: www.rs.gov.lv/lv/projekts/...
rs.gov.lv
Pārgriezti kabeļi, bojāti skapji un dabas stihija neaptur austrumu robežas izbūvi: darbi virzās uz priekšu
Apzināti bojāti kabeļi, sabotēti sadales skapji un nesenās vētras radītie postījumi — Latvijas austrumu robežas viedās infrastruktūras izbūve norit nemierīgos…
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 26/09/2026
🇦🇺 The incident was known inside government before it became public. Australian Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy said he had been aware of it well before the first reports. defensehub.substack.com/p/f-35-parts...
defensehub.substack.com
F-35 Parts Were Diverted to Hong Kong. Accident or Intelligence Operation?
Intelligence | A diverted parts shipment exposed a custody gap in the F-35's global support network, while the cause remains under investigation
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 26/09/2026
📣 Somos cuatro frikis siguiendo la degradación de radares y baterías de defensa en el krai de Krasnodar y en el óblast de Rostov, pero os puede ser útil. A continuación adjunto mi presentación expuesta en 13 Rue del Dniéper. Link: t.me/cristobaljan...
010
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 25/09/2026
Testing Orlivka map on Arma Reforger. It was extremely stressful.
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 25/09/2026
Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast. m07intelligence.substack.com/p/intelligen...
m07intelligence.substack.com
Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast
8/26
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 25/09/2026
Chernaya Iskra (Black Spark) has released footage of an IED detonation in Novomoskovsk (Tula Oblast). A methanol tank was probably damaged in this operation. Previously, on 20 September, a separate IED attack damaged a railway track switch in Taganrog (Rostov Oblast).
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 24/09/2026
🇵🇱 A fire at a Starlink ground station near the Polish capital is being investigated as possible arson after the facility, which helps provide internet connectivity to Ukraine, was damaged late Wednesday.   tvpworld.com/95558261/pol...
tvpworld.com
Arson suspected after fire at Polish Starlink site
The gateway station also ensured internet security in Ukraine.
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 24/09/2026
Updates from Krasnodar Krai: “…mass attacks on logistics infrastructure facilities, suspension of ports and violations of shipping have led to the inability of agricultural producers to sell significant volumes of products. “ Original source: www.kommersant.ru/doc/8973726
kommersant.ru
Кубань не вывозит
В Краснодарском крае ввели режим ЧС из-за проблем с вывозом сельхозпродукции
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 23/09/2026
Perdonad la autistada, pero el próximo viernes en 13 Rue del Dniéper os hablaré de un tema bastante interesante: la degradación de radares y baterías de defensa en el krai de Krasnodar y el óblast de Rostov. Hay cosas curiosas e interesantes que merecen la pena mencionar😊
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 23/09/2026
Lectura obligada de Inform Napalm: «Mangas»: el nuevo dron pesado ruso, sus desarrolladores y la pista que lleva al NRTK «Kurier» informnapalm.org/es/dron-ruso...
informnapalm.org
Dron ruso Mangas: desarrolladores, patente y vínculo con el NRTK Kurier | InformNapalm
InformNapalm rastrea el origen del dron ruso «Mangas», su fabricante, la patente de Chingis Dambiev y sus vínculos con los desarrolladores del NRTK «Kurier».
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 23/09/2026
Thus, in the case of Operation Vivaldi, a perfect coincidence of a number of factors occurred: Western geolocators were silent, Russian osinters were silent, Ukrainian media were silent, and lower-level Russian headquarters were silent.
texty.org.ua
Як росіян пошили в дурні. Чому російський Генштаб місяцями не знав про український наступ поблизу Лимана
Використання російської культури крадіжок та окозамилювання начальства дало Силам оборони хороші результати. Вирахувавши поведінкові особливості ворожого керівництва, нашим військам вдалося …
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 23/09/2026
📄 Freyja offers a different industrial model: combine existing technology, diversify suppliers and make components replaceable. Its open architecture is intended to allow different European and Ukrainian technologies to operate within the same system. warbrief.substack.com/p/the-arsena...
warbrief.substack.com
The arsenal matters more than the individual weapon
War Brief covers the strategy, doctrine and weapons shaping contemporary warfare—and explains why they matter.
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 23/09/2026
🇦🇺 The proposal outlines an online-safety regime aimed at implementing preventative measures against tech-platforms and social media giants for “harmful” material as part of online services. intelligencedigest.substack.com/p/intelligen...
intelligencedigest.substack.com
Intelligence Report 018/2026 - Rising societal concerns of ‘mass censorship’ of proposed algorithm legislation
Subject: Digital Duty of Care or Orwellian subterfuge?
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 23/09/2026
Yesterday I published my intelligence assessment on the destroyed air-defence and radars in Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast. It is important to note the several layers based on the targeted airfield. I hope that my assessment will be useful to intelligence practitioners.
m07intelligence.substack.com
Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast
8/26
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 22/09/2026
📄 According to Seznam Zprávy, Czech police detained and questioned Russian nationals Vitaly Chashchukhin and Igor Dolmatov, whom the outlet’s journalists identified as working for Rybar, a Telegram channel with ties to the Russian Defense Ministry.
meduza.io
Czech police order Russians who filmed in Europe for the pro-war Telegram channel Rybar to leave the country — Meduza
According to Seznam Zprávy, Czech police detained and questioned Russian nationals Vitaly Chashchukhin and Igor Dolmatov, whom the outlet’s journalists identified as working for Rybar, a Telegram chan...
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 22/09/2026
I’ve finished my intelligence assessment on OWA-drone attacks against radars, air-defence and EW systems in Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast. m07intelligence.substack.com/p/intelligen...
m07intelligence.substack.com
Intelligence Assessment: Degradation of the Crimean Air-Defence Radar Network and Expansion of OWA-Drone Operations into Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast
8/26
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 21/09/2026
La ofensiva contra las refinerías ha sido buena, Ucrania lleva años haciéndolo y funciona, mientras que Rusia no puede hacer lo mismo. www.lavocedelpatriota.it/es/rusia-est...
lavocedelpatriota.it
«Rusia está en guerra contra la OTAN»: Una entrevista con el analista Clément Molin
Clément Molin es un analista francés especializado en fuentes abiertas y estudiante de Relaciones Internacionales en la Universidad Católica de Lille. Su cuenta en X, con más de 130000 seguidores, es ...
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20/09/2026
🧵Kiesewetter sees three possible explanations for the preparation of additional hospital beds: First, it could be about supporting Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine in light of the persistently high casualties.
101
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20/09/2026
🇪🇪 I've been analysing the main indicators from the last few months in Estonia. At this point, there are insufficient signs for "concern". The FSB alerts were published four days ago and will remain active from 16 to 26 September.
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20/09/2026
Coses.
111
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20/09/2026
Some of the published information this week is clearly related to pre-designed civil protection plans. Honestly, it’s good to see human resilience policies being developed, and we don’t have to be scared of such events. Original source: infosecurity24.pl/za-granica/z...
infosecurity24.pl
Z Wilna do Polski. Litwa szykuje plan ewakuacji
Litwa przygotowała plan ewakuacji ludności na wypadek zagrożenia militarnego lub poważnego kryzysu. Jeden z trzech głównych kierunków ewakuacji mieszkańców Wilna prowadzi w stronę Polski. Władze wojew...
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20/09/2026
Good news: Partisan operations using IEDs are coming back. Atesh members detonated a remote-controlled explosive device on a track switch in Taganrog, Rostov Oblast. Source: t.me/atesh_ua/11459
110
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20/09/2026
"Shaheds" can use the LTE networks of Belarus to transmit data about the EW - "Flash". Original source: uazmi.org/news/post/19...
uazmi.org
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 20/09/2026
It's pretty interesting to discover that English subtitles were added to the Third Army Corps Vivaldi operation video. youtu.be/7NhwOZxU0QQ?...
youtu.be
Росіяни не знали, звідки буде удар: Третій корпус проводить наступальну операцію «Вівальді»!
YouTube video by Третій армійський корпус
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 19/09/2026
🧵Honestly, I don't know why some political commentators are discussing UAV attacks on the Alabuga drone factory in Tatarstan. It was attacked in the past and it will be attacked in the future.
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 19/09/2026
🇫🇮 Four drones have fallen inside Finland so far this year, Stubb told private Finnish broadcaster MTV in an interview on Wednesday.   tvpworld.com/95452570/fin...
tvpworld.com
Stubb warns Finns to prepare for Russian drones
The Finnish president said Moscow is conducting hostile operations against European countries, saying there are two types of war.
001
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 19/09/2026
En 2026 observamos tanto operaciones de sabotaje y atentados contra generales en la profundidad de la retaguardia rusa como operaciones de ataque exitosas de las Fuerzas de Defensa de Ucrania contra puestos de mando rusos en las zonas de combate. informnapalm.org/es/marcha-fu...
informnapalm.org
Generales rusos muertos en la guerra contra Ucrania: 16 casos
InformNapalm documenta 16 generales rusos muertos en la guerra contra Ucrania entre 2022 y 2026, con casos verificados, cronología y atentados.
010
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 18/09/2026
🇱🇹 As Russia’s threats toward Western Europe have intensified, the investigation has uncovered how a Cuban salsa teacher who built a family in Russia allegedly used social media to recruit people looking for work and draw them into a terrorist network. www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
lrt.lt
Cuban salsa teacher linked to alleged Russian terror network across Europe – investigation
Two years ago, a Cuban man living in Russia allegedly helped organise a terrorist attack in Lithuania on the orders of R...
000
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 17/09/2026
Interesting interview: If we talk specifically about our product, we had a certain percentage of drones that passed through three echelons of Russian air defense and had successful hits. But I think we need an even better percentage. We want to have at least a 75% hit rate.
nv.ua
Еволюція українського Барса. Відверте інтерв'ю NV з виробником таємної ракети-дрона, яка вже успішно атакувала Москву
Українська ракета-дрон Барс була анонсована у 2024 році, проте її перші фото з’явилися лише нещодавно. Параметри виробу та його ціна залишалися секретом. Кореспондент NV зустрівся з&nbs...
100
M07 - Sergi CJ @cristobaljane.com · 17/09/2026
📄 If European countries can learn to detect threats together, share information quickly and agree on how to respond, they begin building the machinery of common defence before they have agreed on what common defence should ultimately become. warbrief.substack.com/p/europe-nee...
warbrief.substack.com
Europe Needs a Doctrine for the Space Between Peace and War
War Brief covers the strategy, doctrine and weapons shaping contemporary warfare—and explains why they matter.
010