Sign in

Curtis Pickering

@cpickering.bsky.social
145 followers 239 following 45 posts

Cancer biologist working on translational genomics of head and neck cancer. Posts and opinions are my own.

PostsRepliesMedia
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
I was an experiment for my postdoc. The first fellow in a brand new translational research training program.
030
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Jenna Norton @jenna-m-norton.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Worth a read. Many have taken note of the growing solidarity in the science community in opposition to the OMB proposed rule. But this must be just the start. For an example, we can look to @sekahn.bsky.social, Justin Ryder & co who spoke up at ADA and were removed for it. 🧵
314454
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
The concept behind this post is absolutely correct. We shouldn’t just focus on saving science, we should grow it. Every dollar toward research grows the economy too. Let’s innovate and make discoveries.
020
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Read this post! Oct. 1, 2026 will be the death of research in the US. This plan will allow the administration to make all grant funding political. Any grant can be cancelled or blocked for not supporting administration priorities. The science doesn’t matter. Now is the time to be loud about this.
010
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
@markhisted.org wrote an informative commentary about the damage being done to NIH and research. Every concerned scientist and citizen should read this and speak up to help stop it. Talk to your colleagues about it. Call your representatives. US research is being destroyed. We used to be the best.
14310
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
The Principled Investigator @principledinvestig.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Our digest this week is focused on the NIH budget in congress. There are lots of details to understand that we try to summarize. theprincipledinvestigator.substack.com/p/the-princi...
theprincipledinvestigator.substack.com
The Principled Investigator - January 23, 2026
Weekly digest
012
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
No it did not. The baseline I used was 0% MYF.
010
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
The number of funded grants can recover to normal levels, even with MYF in the funding mix. However, temporary MYF can induce large oscillations in the number of funded grants unless there are additional interventions to modulate the swings. 13/13
042
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
In conclusion, introducing large amounts of MYF into NIH funding system will can cause dramatic reductions in the number of new grants, as we saw in FY25. Since biomedical research requires stable funding streams, these dramatic reductions are likely to cause labs to close. 12/n
187
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
In this model, the oscillations don’t go away and average around 2000 new grants per year. In reality, the large oscillations could be moderated by surging larger numbers of shorter-term grants to get the system to stabilize around the usual 2000 new grants per year. 11/n
132
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Interestingly, if FY26 recovers from 39% MYF then large oscillations are induced in the system. If there are 2 years of 39% MYF before recovering to 0% MYF, then very large oscillations are introduced with swings from 1220 new grants to 3084 grants over 3 years. 10/n
Graph of new NIH grants modeling 2 years at 39% MYF and then 0% MYF for the remaining years. Very large oscillations are introduced into the system.
152
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Any level of MYF higher than 63% will push the total number of new grants lower than FY25 (year 1 in the plot) before rebounding and oscillating. 9/n
Graph of 39% MYF for 1 year and then 80% MYF for the remaining years. Total new grants drop for 2 years before recovering.
153
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
So, what might happen in the next few years? If the MYF level increases further to anything less than 63%, the total number of new grants actually increases relative to FY25, because the amount of already allocated funds keeps decreasing for each year of MYF. 8/n
Graph modeling 39% MYF for 1 year and then 50% MYF for the remaining years. An initial drop in total grants is followed by a recovery and oscillation in future years.
122
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
This modeling shows a 31% drop in grants the first year of 39% MYF. Nature reported that NIH grants dropped 24% from the 10-year average in FY25. The discrepancy is likely due to my modeling only including 5-year grants and NIH has other lengths in the mix. 7/n
142
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
What happened in FY25 at NIH was 39% MYF. If we keep a constant 39% MYF in this model, the new grants drop to 1376 in the first year before recovering and increasing by year 5. However, the system then oscillates on a 5-year timeframe with an average of about 1990 new grants each year. 6/n
Modeling a switch to 39% MYF. Total new grants drop in the first year before recovering and oscillating in future years.
175
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
In this modeling, 100% standard system results in 2000 new grants each year. What happens during a transition between standard NIH funding and MYF funding? In a 100% MYF system, new grants drop to 400 in the first year before recovering to 2000 by year 5. 5/n
Plot of modeling new NIH grants after a switch to 100% MYF. There is a large drop in grants in the first year with a gradual recovery over 5 years.
183
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
In a standard NIH system 80% of the funds each year go to already funded grants and 20% will go to new grants. In a fully MYF system 100% of funds can go to new grants, but because each year 1 is 5x as large, the total number of new grants is equal in both systems. 4/n
153
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
I modeled a consistent NIH budget of 10,000 arbitrary grant units. New grants come out of the funds not allocated to standard NIH grants from the previous 5 years. Standard grants are 1x each year for 5 years and MYF grants are 5x in 1 year. Year 0 is 100% standard NIH system. 3/n
142
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Let’s start with the modeling assumptions: A standard 5-year NIH grant, such as an R01, is budgeted at NIH as 20% of the total grant budget each year for 5 years. In contrast, a MYF grant is budgeted 100% in the first year and 0% for subsequent years. 2/n
152
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
There is a lot of talk lately about multi-year funding (MYF) at NIH. This is mostly a paperwork issue, but it can have a dramatic impact on the number of grants that get funded. I was curious how this would impact grant numbers over time, so I did some simple modeling. 1/n
Plot of modeling new NIH grants after a switch to 100% MYF. There is a large drop in grants in the first year with a gradual recovery over 5 years.
22521
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
This is an important discussion about how NIH is being destroyed from the inside. Please contact your senator and representatives and let them know what is happening.
010
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
The Principled Investigator @principledinvestig.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Here is the Principled Investigator post for this week. We also plan to have a couple extra posts this week on particularly important topics, so stay tuned. theprincipledinvestigator.substack.com/p/the-princi...
theprincipledinvestigator.substack.com
The Principled Investigator - November 14, 2025
Weekly digest
001
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
@principledinvestig.bsky.social has a new post this week with lots of good information about the destruction going on at NIH, lost datasets, impacts to healthcare, and more. It's worth a read. theprincipledinvestigator.substack.com/p/the-princi...
theprincipledinvestigator.substack.com
The Principled Investigator - November 7, 2025
Weekly Digest
010
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
I saw it in the Principled Investigator Substack, and they reference a Science article that notes an NIH presentation. open.substack.com/pub/theprinc...
open.substack.com
The Principled Investigator - October 31, 2025
Weekly digest
011
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
There are reports that the goal is to get to 100% MYF by FY27.
011
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
If you are overwhelmed by all of the attacks on science in this country and have trouble following it all, below is a new resource to digest it all. They will have weekly posts with key information. Subscribe and share it. It is run by scientists from across the country.
010
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
AZ Faust @azfaust.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
I have been thinking about "this is what NSF has meant to me" style posts and I want to talk a little about two sisters: one who had a chance to make a career in a country that had NSF/NIH and one who didn't.
23412
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Well, the AACR GENIE cBioPortal site is down to make sure it complies with the new regulations. Let’s hope it’s temporary.
Screenshot of the AACR GENIE cBioPortal website notice of being temporarily down to ensure compliance with US regulations.
031
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Chris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Those trying to understand the tariffs as economic policy are dangerously naive. No, the tariffs are a tool to collapse our democracy. A means to compel loyalty from every business that will need to petition Trump for relief. 1/ A 🧵 to explain his plan and how we fight back.
9052799713787
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Derek Lowe @dereklowe.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Another “Continuing Crisis” post, this one covering some larger principles and explaining why I’m doing these in general:
science.org
The Continuing Crisis, Part VII: An Overview
67026
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Jeremy Berg @jeremymberg.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
I am not going to call this a Bluetorial, because I do not want to sully that term (which, at least I, find joyful). Let’s call it a Orwellial.
media.tenor.com
a cartoon of homer simpson holding a card
ALT: a cartoon of homer simpson holding a card
13544235
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Jason Sheltzer @jsheltzer.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
Did you know - the medicine that President Trump takes each day to lower his risk of having a heart attack is a direct result of NIH funding? Let me explain -
162
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Harmit Singh Malik @harmitmalik.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
I think people both within science and outside science don’t fully appreciate the miracle that were the Covid-19 vaccines. How much courage it took to get the sequence out, how much work had already gone into figuring out the best viral antigen and how best to present it. 1/
9768188
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
Once upon a time, some villagers came across a large, ornate wooden box in the local woods. On the side of the box was a message: “Whatever money you put in this box will, in future, grow to become 2.5 times larger.” 1/
3236129
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Fred Guttenberg @fredguttenberg.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
A really important email from my friend Senator @chrismurphyct.bsky.social . As he says "this is a 5 alarm fire." America is under attack right now.
31875143874
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
David Shiffman, Ph.D. 🦈 @whysharksmatter.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Science (and science policy, and conservation) friends, I need your help! We are collecting *specific, clear* examples of harms caused by the Trump administration's attacks on science, to be included in an open letter. Can be links to news stories/social media posts. 🧪🦑🌎 #SciComm #SciPol
The Trump administration’s attacks on scientific funding, restrictions on Federal scientist activities, and 
indiscriminate firing have caused chaos, panic, and harm.

We need *specific* examples of harms caused 
by these policies to include in an open letter. 
Grants cut, projects cancelled, jobs lost.

Feel free to send news stories, blog posts, or social media posts that mention these, as well as original contributions. 

Please send to WhySharksMatter @ gmail or DM me
25412336
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Jack Iwashyna @iwashyna.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
Over on LinkedIn, the head of the Executive Secretariat of the NIH -- a central part of NIH leadership 🧪🩺-- resigned with a lettter worth reading www.linkedin.com/posts/nathan...
February 18, 2024
TO:
Dr. Matthew Memoli, Acting Director, NIH
CC:
John Burklow, Chief of Staff, NIH
Julie Berko, Director, OHR, NIH
FROM:
Nathaniel James Brought, Director, ES, NIH
SUBJECT: Resignation
Dear Dr. Memoli,
On July 3, 2001, I stepped off a bus on Marine Corps Recruit Training Depot Perris Island. Scared out of my mind, I stood on a pair of freshly painted yellow footprints, raised my right hand, and recited the oath of enlistment:
I, Nathaniel James Brought, do solemnly swear that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice. So help me God.
For the last 23 years, 7 months, and 15 days, I like to believe I have faithfully carried out the duties of each office to which I've been appointed in my military and civilian service to this nation. That Service has taken me from the Marine Corps to 3 different federal departments, spanned 3 continents, included service in one war zone, and has included:
• For the Marine Corps and the National Security Agency, I worked on intelligence operations at the highest classification levels using bleeding edge intelligence tools to ensure America's special operators put boots-to-asses on America's enemies overseas (including commendations crediting my work for the kill or capture of dozens of terrorists), ensuring America's policy makers were able to track the movement of dangerous dualnuclear technology across international borders, and monitored the flow of terrorist financing across the international banking system.
• Utilized information from all-source intelligence to ensure the continued security of America's homeland from international and domestic threats.
• Worked with some of the finest lawyers in the world to ensure America's security operations were effective, while upholding the rights of all those who interacted with them.
• Ensuring that America's rural communities had access to programs like rural development loans, farm aid, and that America's children wouldn't be hungry as they sat in their classrooms and tried to learn.
• Most recently, and frankly most dear to my heart, working with each of you here at the National Institutes of Health to advance the future of science and medicine. Not for Americans. Not for any one group of people. But for ALL of humanity.
I am unbelievably proud to be able to say that there are Americans who are alive, and terrorists who are not, because of the work I've done to serve this nation. I am proud to say that my service to this country has allowed me to ensure that my children have never faced the struggles of poverty that I grew up with. That service didn't begin because of some great altruistic impulse or drive. I didn't grow up saying "I want to do the great work that needs to be done to weave the fabric of America and ensure her people are not only safe, but healthy." Frankly, that service began because I was poor, and I was inspired. I grew up as a free lunch kid who lived in project housing. It was my fellow Americans who made sure I wasn't hungry in class and that I had enough food to excel academically the way I did. It was Americans who had more than we did that made sure I had good schools to attend where I could learn things that expanded my mind.
As I approached the end of high school, I dreamed of going to college and figuring out how to make a living that would allow me to do more tha…to go to college. I knew my grades weren't good enough to compete for scholarships with kids who were as smart as me but also had private tutors and didn't have to work after class to be able to drive their brand-new cars to our school each day. So, I gave up. I nearly failed my senior year of high school with an attendance failure, even though I only needed two classes to graduate. I didn't see the point. What was the point of learning calculus? So it would be that much harder when my dream of being a brain surgeon died not because I was incapable, but because I didn't have the means to make it come true? I resigned myself to being one of the working poor. I resigned myself to needing a spinal fusion before I was 50, like my father, because he literally broke his back trying to make his dreams come true. The example of my father didn't inspire me at that time. It reminded me of the futility of trying to escape the rung of the social ladder I had been born onto. No matter how smart or "gifted and talented" I may have been, I saw no path that led me to a place where I could realize my potential. So, instead I accepted that it would be wasted.
Ultimately, the reason I find myself here today, rather than in the place I saw as my only end, is because of another young man who committed to serving his country. Shamefully, I do not remember his name, but there was a young corporal from the United States Marine Corps who had been assigned as a recruiter in Reading, Pennsylvania at that time. This man spoke to me about my plans for my future during lunch one day at school. I told him I planned to do what my father had done. Work hard jobs until my body broke down, maybe start a struggling business, and try to do what I could to stay above the poverty line and off welfare. I told him I hoped to be successful enough that my kids never had to watch me use food stamps at the grocery store. It had been hard to watch my mom go through that. How sad is that? I was a smart young 18-…
461251641
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Jeremy Berg @jeremymberg.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
Short update on NIH The situation is very confusing, a not just to me. Folks who were told the were to be terminated did not receive any communication for a day and a half, people who were “on the list” have not received anything as of yet. Some folks who had been terminated have be reinstated 1/2
media.tenor.com
a man standing in front of a crowd with the words everybody panic
Alt: a man standing in front of a crowd with the words everybody panic
212430
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
George Takei @georgetakei.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
Captures it perfectly.
436376569733
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
I am hiring for my lab at Yale. We study the translational genomics of head and neck cancer. I’m looking for a postdoc or scientist with experience in cell and molecular biology. Genomics or mouse experience is a bonus. No official posting is up, just contact me if interested.
11211
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Jeremy Berg @jeremymberg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Bluetorial: The rationale for the “NIH” indirect cost “plan” is based on misunderstood (unintentional or intentional) accounting and math The value of real government transparency
media.tenor.com
a cartoon of homer simpson holding a card
ALT: a cartoon of homer simpson holding a card
719680
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Judd Legum @juddlegum.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
BREAKING On Monday, Popular Information broke the news that the NIH had frozen virtually all grant funding in violation of 2 federal court orders On Wednesday, NIH leadership distributed a memo, acknowledging that its funding freeze was illegal and directing staff to resume issuing grants.
popular.info
BREAKING: NIH admits funding freeze is illegal, will resume issuing grants
An internal memo issued February 12 was obtained by Popular Information.
361261027730
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Meg Tirrell @megtirrell.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
Federal judge expands block on NIH indirect cost rate cut to institutions nationwide after additional lawsuits www.cnn.com/2025/02/11/p...
cnn.com
Federal judge expands block on Trump administration effort to cut public health funding | CNN Politics
The Trump administration’s effort to cut back on federal funding for the National Institute of Health for research programs at universities and medical systems has been blocked nationwide.
33019
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Katie Phang @katiephang.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
NEW: Federal judge in Massachusetts enters Emergency Temporary Restraining Order blocking Trump Administration from cutting health research grant money, including 15% cap on overhead costs. www.documentcloud.org/documents/25...
documentcloud.org
NIHTRO021025
8254661344
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
We also have an internal website with a timeline of events and guidance related to grants from different parts of the government. Leadership here seems to be doing a good job so far in these uncertain times.
010
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Another email from Yale mentioned their public declaration in the court filing today and their efforts with lawmakers. They also emphasized their commitment to research.
110
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Ardem Patapoutian @ardemp.bskyverified.social · 10/02/2025
Petition to Reverse the NIH Indirect Cost Cap initiated by Tom Maniatis. Please amplify Sign the Petition: chng.it/kK2HMP5pGk "Share with Leadership & Faculty. Reach out to professional societies, biotech and pharma leaders, and philanthropic organizations to raise awareness and mobilize support."
chng.it
Sign the Petition
Petition to Reverse the NIH Indirect Cost Cap (NOT-OD-25-068)
9157139
Reposted by Curtis Pickering
Josh Gerstein @joshgerstein.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
BREAKING: 22 states sue NIH over Trump administration's new 15% cap on overhead for federal research grants. Suit filed federal court in Boston contends lifesaving research 'will grind to a halt' under the policy. Doc: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
storage.courtlistener.com
6133391140
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Part of the word from the Yale School of Medicine is, "Please know that leaders from Yale and universities across the United States are collaborating to respond to this guidance, exploring all avenues." Hopefully that means something will happen soon.
110
Curtis Pickering @cpickering.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
I’m generally starting with the fact it is a cut, but I’m trying to be prepared for anyone who says that grants from foundations and drug companies get a lower rate.
110