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@ColinPClarke

@colinpclarke.bsky.social
2.3K followers 54 following 52 posts

I study terrorism, geopolitics, international security

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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
The United States has suffered four terrorist attacks since the war in #Iran broke out. Yet our counterterrorism infrastructure continues to atrophy. My thoughts on the challenges ahead, with @colinpclarke.bsky.social in the @latimes.com.
latimes.com
Contributor: The U.S. desperately needs functional counterterrorism
America’s defenses are divided, disorganized and under-resourced at a high-risk moment during the war against Iran.
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
"The #Iran war seems to be superseding earlier grievances and instead uniting disparate extremist forces against the United States." With @colinpclarke.bsky.social for @latimes.com.
latimes.com
Contributor: The U.S. desperately needs functional counterterrorism
America’s defenses are divided, disorganized and under-resourced at a high-risk moment during the war against Iran.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
substack.com/@colinpclark...
substack.com
ColinPClarke (@colinpclarke)
I see this war ending with the IRGC still in place, albeit in a much reduced capacity. Iran will certainly be reduced in terms of its ability to threaten the region as a conventional military force. H...
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Brian J. Phillips @brianjphillips.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
This seems bad: "What the escape of at least 15,000 detainees means for ISIS" by @colinpclarke.bsky.social wapo.st/3OMW33L
wapo.st
Opinion | What the escape of at least 15,000 detainees means for ISIS
The escapees fleeing al-Hol could create the next generation of Islamic State fighters.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
I just wrote my first note on Substack substack.com/profile/1944...
substack.com
ColinPClarke (@colinpclarke)
I published this piece in The Atlantic last week, looking at the potential for Iranian or Iranian-backed terrorism in the United States. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/03/iran-terror-attack-ri...
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
As my friends @colinpclarke.bsky.social and Tim Wilson so elegantly wrote for @fpri.bsky.social in October 2022, "The ubiquity of violent rhetoric among the far-right is emblematic of another axiom–disagreement is akin to treachery and violence can have a cleansing effect."
fpri.org
Mainstreaming Extremism: The Legacy of Far-Right Violence from the Past to the Present - Foreign Policy Research Institute
The ubiquity of violent rhetoric among the far-right is emblematic of another axiom–disagreement is akin to treachery and violence can have a cleansing
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
War Against the Cartels: Prospects and Perils for the Trump Administration’s Military-Led Campaign, co-authored with Ben Connable for The Soufan Center. thesoufancenter.org/research/war...
thesoufancenter.org
War Against the Cartels: Prospects and Perils for the Trump Administration’s Military-Led Campaign - The Soufan Center
It appears the United States may be preparing to start a major, military-led counterterrorism operation against several Mexican drug cartels, and perhaps also against some gangs in Venezuela and elsew...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
thehundred.substack.com/p/the-return...
thehundred.substack.com
The Return of ISIS
#95: With Colin P. Clarke
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
Trump Announces a Deal on Phase One of a Gaza Deal - The Soufan Center
Late yesterday evening, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Israel and Hamas “have both signed off on the first Phase One of our Peace Plan.” Phase One of the Trump 20 Point Plan involves prima...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
aje.io/mo00ko
aje.io
“Critical issues” with the agreed Gaza ceasefire
“There's a lot of fingers pointing at him [Netanyahu] saying that the same deal could have been reached a long time ago.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Beyond the Drones: Confronting Russia’s Expanding Hybrid War on Europe thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
Beyond the Drones: Confronting Russia’s Expanding Hybrid War on Europe - The Soufan Center
In the past month, unidentified drones — widely believed to be Russian — have menaced Europe, intruding into foreign airspace and causing major disruptions, including temporary airport shutdowns. The ...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Hamas leaders, perhaps facing pressure from hardline Hamas militia commanders in Gaza, have expressed willingness to yield power in Gaza but have not yet agreed to the plan’s requirement that the group’s military wing disarm. thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
Hamas Responds to the Trump 20 Point Plan - The Soufan Center
On Friday, Hamas issued a formal response to President Donald Trump’s “20 Point Plan” for a resolution of the conflict in the Gaza Strip, stating conditional acceptance of parts of the Trump initiativ...
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jess Davis @jessmarindavis.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
From the Insight Monitor archives, here's a look at how states employ criminals for targeted killings and transnational repression: newsletter.insightthreatintel.com/p/state-secr...
newsletter.insightthreatintel.com
State Secrets: Hiring Criminals for Targeted Killings (and more)
The intersection of state and criminal threats
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
Islamic State’s Sahel Province (ISSP) has emerged as a formidable entity in the global and African jihadist landscape, leveraging sophisticated strategies to internationalize its operations and expand its reach. thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
Does the Sahel Pose a Transnational Terror Threat? - The Soufan Center
In late February, Moroccan counterterrorism authorities arrested a dozen people accused of planning attacks on behalf of the Islamic State’s (IS) Sahel branch. The plot reportedly involved the remote ...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Winning the Battle, Not the War: Moldova’s Fight Against the Kremlin’s Hybrid Arsenal thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
Winning the Battle, Not the War: Moldova’s Fight Against the Kremlin’s Hybrid Arsenal - The Soufan Center
On Sunday, Moldova held pivotal parliamentary elections that delivered a victory for the pro-European Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS).
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
John Horgan @johnhorgan.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
The Islamic State Prison Camps in Syria are a Powder Keg by @drjchernov.bsky.social and @colinpclarke.bsky.social warontherocks.com/2025/08/the-...
warontherocks.com
The Islamic State Prison Camps in Syria are a Powder Keg - War on the Rocks
There are approximately 50,000 veteran Islamic State members and their families currently being held at 27 prisons and detention centers across northeast
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
John Horgan @johnhorgan.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Think I’ll keep this one. Thank you @colinpclarke.bsky.social and The Soufan Center for inviting me to share some thoughts at the Global Summit on Terrorism and Political Violence.
Challenge coin to commemorate lives lost in the 9/11 terrorist attacks.
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
A must-watch @velshi.com segment featuring @colinpclarke.bsky.social and @milleridriss.bsky.social covering the “incredibly dangerous” great replacement theory and its mainstreaming on the American right. One of the gravest threats to American lives today. www.msnbc.com/ali-velshi/w...
msnbc.com
The ‘incredibly dangerous’ conspiracy theory becoming increasingly mainstream on the right
The "Great Replacement” is a far-right conspiracy theory that posits elites are conspiring to replace America’s white, Christian populations with nonwhite immigrants. It has gone from fringe manifesto...
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
John Horgan @johnhorgan.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Finally, someone talking sense. Unsurprisingly, it’s the excellent @colinpclarke.bsky.social
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
A warning from @colinpclarke.bsky.social and Chris Costa amid threats from #Iran backed non-state actors: "Even as terrorism remains a live issue, there is a clear mismatch between the level of the threat and the resources allocated to combat it." @foreignpolicy.com foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/25/c...
foreignpolicy.com
Terrorism Means Something Different Now
The firewall between violent nonstate actors and conventional warfare has become highly permeable.
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Louis Klarevas @proflou.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Very proud of my former student @colinpclarke.bsky.social for his opinion piece in the @nytimes.com identifying what Iran is likely to do after being bombed by the US. One option: attacking US bases in Middle East, which is underway right now. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | How Iran Might Strike Back
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Captured Gaza records show that Iran, Hezbollah plotted with Hamas to destroy Israel www.timesofisrael.com/captured-gaz...
timesofisrael.com
Captured Gaza records show that Iran, Hezbollah plotted with Hamas to destroy Israel
New study, based on classified documents, reveals terror group's shift from defense to a multifront assault plan, culminating in October 7 invasion; warns Hamas will try again if it recovers
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
My latest for @foreignpolicy.com A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long. foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/17/i...
foreignpolicy.com
The Islamic State Is Making a Comeback
A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
My latest for @foreignpolicy.com A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long. foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/17/i...
foreignpolicy.com
The Islamic State Is Making a Comeback
A metastasizing threat will only remain localized for so long.
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
GNET @gnetresearch.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Today, Clara Broekaert and @colinpclarke.bsky.social analyse the horrific New Year's Day attack in #NewOrleans. They explore the pivotal role tech played in carrying out this - and other - Islamic State-inspired plots. gnet-research.org/2025/01/30/t...
gnet-research.org
The New Orleans Attack: The Technology Behind IS-Inspired Plots - GNET
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
My IntelBrief with @colinpclarke.bsky.social for The Soufan Center. "When explaining what his ultimate wish was, the #Nashville gunman wrote, 'A better, neater, cleaner world by eliminating all undesirables; we must aid the Aryans regardless of our race.'" thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
The Nashville Attack Displayed Several Hallmarks of Modern Terrorism
News chyrons flashed across the screen last week with reports of another school shooting in the United States, this time in Nashville, Tennessee. But this wasn’t just the latest in America’s macabre n...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Syria’s New Leader Calls on Countries to Drop Terror Designation and Lift Sanctions www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12...
nytimes.com
Syria’s New Leader Calls on Countries to Drop Terror Designation and Lift Sanctions
Ahmed al-Shara stressed diplomacy in an interview but criticized Israel’s advance into Syrian territory. A statement said to be from Bashar al-Assad, the ousted leader, defended his decision to leave ...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
How Hezbollah Diversified Its Funding my latest in @foreignpolicy.com with Clara Broekaert foreignpolicy.com/2024/11/25/h...
foreignpolicy.com
How Hezbollah Diversified Its Funding
The so-called “crime-terror nexus” is alive and well, and only multilateral cooperation can break it.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Islamic State is primed to be thorn in the side of incoming Trump administration www.theguardian.com/world/2024/n...
theguardian.com
Islamic State is primed to be thorn in the side of incoming Trump administration
The terrorist group has been looking to be active this holiday season, with online chatter about attacks increasing
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
www.voanews.com/a/foreign-fi...
voanews.com
Foreign fighters flocking to Islamic State in Somalia
Just-released report based on intelligence from UN member states warns IS affiliate is growing, gaining ground against rivals
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
The Ripple Effects of War in the Middle East Create Fertile Ground for Violence in the West thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
The Ripple Effects of War in the Middle East Create Fertile Ground for Violence in the West
The Hamas attacks of October 7 and the Israeli retaliation, part of a broader regional conflict in the Middle East, have led to a drastic increase in antisemitic and Islamophobic incidents across West...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
media.tenor.com
a man with a beard is saying bye felicia
ALT: a man with a beard is saying bye felicia
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
www.icct.nl/publication/...
icct.nl
Counter-terrorism Implications of a Second Trump Presidency
With the recent US presidential election ushering Donald J. Trump back into the White House as the 47th President of the United States, there has been much speculation on what foreign policy could loo...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
The continued threat posed by Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) aka "ISIS-K" should be among the Trump Administration's top counterterrorism priorities upon assuming office in January. www.nytimes.com/2024/03/31/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | We Still Haven’t Figured Out How to Beat ISIS
Stripping the Islamic State of its self-proclaimed caliphate is not the same as beating it.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
ISIS arrests are spiking in Canada and youths are driving the resurgence globalnews.ca/news/1085715...
globalnews.ca
ISIS arrests are spiking in Canada and youths are driving the resurgence | Globalnews.ca
Why terror plots linked to the Islamic State are increasing.
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Sune Engel Rasmussen @suneengel.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Israeli airstrikes are hitting deep into Lebanon, targeting single Hezbollah members among displaced families, killing scores of civilians. Such attacks have made Lebanese wary of sheltering Shias. Some say that's exactly what Israel wants. Our story: www.wsj.com/world/middle... #iran #israel
wsj.com
Israeli Strikes in Lebanon Stir Fears of Sectarian Strife
Lebanon’s religious fault lines are straining as Israel’s war with the Hezbollah militant group grinds on.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Fight and Talk as Conflict Continues to Rage Across the Middle East thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
Fight and Talk as Conflict Continues to Rage Across the Middle East
Negotiations to end the fighting between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah appear to be reaching an endgame. The conflict, which has raged since the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack, has caused the displacem...
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Aaron Y. Zelin @azelin.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Hizballah infographic on its ops the past two months
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/u...
nytimes.com
Biden Allows Ukraine to Strike Russia With Long-Range U.S. Missiles
With two months left in office, the president for the first time authorized the Ukrainian military to use the system known as ATACMS to help defend its forces in the Kursk region of Russia.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 16/11/2024
Quantum Computing and the Evolving Cyber Threat Landscape thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
Quantum Computing and the Evolving Cyber Threat Landscape
Malicious cyber activity and cyberattacks have surged in 2024, partly driven by the rapid advancement and low cost of relevant technologies, making attacks more sophisticated, faster to deploy, and mo...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
Ok, looks like I'm about to become more active on this site. Feel free to follow me for analysis on terrorism, counterterrorism, U.S. foreign policy and all things national security-related.
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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 08/09/2023
Per @colinpclarke.bsky.social interesting that many of these global flashpoints are occurring along keystone linkages that are becoming more important as global supply chains reorient. thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2...
thesoufancenter.org
IntelBrief: Bordering on Instability: Global Flashpoints that Could Lead to Escalation
While the international community has been focused on preventing further escalation of the war in Ukraine since Russia’s February 2022 invasion, other flashpoints around the globe should not be igno...
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 02/09/2023
Our latest Soufan Center infographic #BRICS
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
Jacob Ware @jacobware.bsky.social · 29/08/2023
My latest, with @colinpclarke.bsky.social in the LA Times, analyzes how far-right terrorists choose their targets—and argues that furious, bipartisan condemnation in the wake of white supremacist terrorism is essential in preventing future violence.
latimes.com
American political leaders have a hard time condemning racist shootings like the one in Jacksonville...
United fronts in the face of far-right violence have the potential to deter would-be copycats. Meaningful gun reform seems unimaginable, but we should be able to get the rhetoric right.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 16/08/2023
www.nytimes.com/2023/08/16/us/polit…
nytimes.com
Coup in Niger Upends U.S. Terrorism Fight and Could Open a Door for Russia
The military takeover could force the Pentagon to withdraw 1,100 American troops and close drone bases in the West African country.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 12/08/2023
Always cool to see it in print @nytimes.com
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 11/08/2023
"The Wagner Group Is Always Ready for a Coup," my latest for the NY Times assessing the fallout from the coup in Niger and what it might mean for Wagner Group www.nytimes.com/2023/08/11/opinion/…
nytimes.com
Opinion | The Wagner Group Is Always Ready for a Coup
The ouster of Mohamed Bazoum by Niger’s military presents an important opportunity to Russia’s Wagner group.
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Reposted by @ColinPClarke
@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 04/07/2023
My thoughts for the New York Times on Prigozhin's aborted mutiny in Russia and what Putin may seek to do next www.nytimes.com/2023/07/04/opinion/…
nytimes.com
Opinion | Putin Created a Beast, and Now He Has No Idea How to Rein It In
After Yevgeny Prigozhin’s failed mutiny, Vladimir Putin must now figure out what to do with Wagner troops in Latin America, the Middle East and Africa.
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 05/08/2023
Our latest Soufan Center inforgraphic: Russia-Africa Summit
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@ColinPClarke @colinpclarke.bsky.social · 03/08/2023
www.newsweek.com/us-nightmare-scena…
newsweek.com
U.S. in "nightmare scenario" as Niger coup gives Wagner Group opportunity
The Russian mercenary group could benefit from the current turmoil in the western African country.
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