Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 19/12/2025Timelapse of a severe downslope wind storm in Boulder, Colorado. Clouds cresting over the Front Range and cascading downward. The "dust front" with the strongest winds kept sweeping eastward from the base of the foothills. A peak wind gust of 71 mph was recorded at my location during the event.youtube.comMountain Wave & Downslope Wind Storm Dynamics in Boulder, CO (Dec 17, 2025)YouTube video by Huey7191 030
Reposted by Falko Judt AGU (American Geophysical Union) @agu.org · 18/12/2025Join us for a critical conversation on the future of U.S. atmospheric science. UCAR President Antonio Busalacchi hosts this town hall on what’s at stake if NSF NCAR is dismantled. buff.ly/jR6tGwo 18451
Reposted by Falko Judt Dennis Mersereau 🛰️ @wxdam.com · 17/12/2025Advancing the science of meteorology isn't liberal or conservative, it's common sense. Fight for your forecast--and the research that makes it possible. Some thoughts I put together today on the administration's NCAR destruction announced today:damweather.comWeather research is a lifesaving effort. Don't let Trump's team destroy it.Fight for your forecast--and the research that makes it possible. 03624
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 26/09/2025Press release about our ongoing forecast demonstration with a global 3.75-km MPAS: news.ucar.edu/133040/scien...news.ucar.eduScientists eye hurricanes, rainfall in global high-def | NCAR & UCAR News 010
Reposted by Falko Judt Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 24/09/2025Four days before Typhoon Ragasa’s rainbands hit Taiwan, the 3.75-km MPAS predicted >36" of rain in the mountains—while the 15-km parallel run only showed up to 24". By better resolving Taiwan’s terrain and upslope rainfall, the high-res run shows the value of higher resolution in complex terrain. 021
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 22/09/2025While our experimental 3.75-km MPAS forecast did not move the storm as quickly as in reality—placing it farther east and farther from land—it nevertheless captured a super typhoon before the system was even named #Ragasa 👉 project.mmm.ucar.edu/real-time-fo...project.mmm.ucar.eduMMM Real-Time ForecastsMMM real-time forecasts from MPAS, WRF, IFS, and GFS models 020
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 17/09/2025Today's tidbit from @ncar-ucar.bsky.social's experimental 3.75-km MPAS forecasts: An active train of African easterly waves. - a squall line over western Africa - a tropical storm near 30°W - another less well defined tropical system near 45°W 👉 project.mmm.ucar.edu/real-time-fo... 150
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 05/09/2025MPAS brings Hurricane Kiko close to Hawaii (as a 45-kt tropical storm) in ~4 days creating some interesting topographical flow features 👉 project.mmm.ucar.edu/real-time-fo... Variable: 10-m Winds, Domain: Hawaii 040
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 05/09/2025🌍 The MMM lab at @ncar-ucar.bsky.social is running experimental realtime forecasts with a global 3.75-km MPAS model. Goal: Highlight the power of global km-scale models for weather prediction from local to planetary scales, incl. tropical cyclones. 👉 project.mmm.ucar.edu/real-time-fo... 24513
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 24/03/2025Tired of guessing how many core-hours your MPAS run will devour? My new script (github.com/falkojudt/mp...) helps you to get the numbers.github.comGitHub - falkojudt/mpas-cost-estimator: Calculates core-hour and storage requirements for MPAS simulations.Calculates core-hour and storage requirements for MPAS simulations. - falkojudt/mpas-cost-estimator 010
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 05/01/2025Trade wind cumulus at work, transporting moisture from the boundary layer into the free troposphere 010
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 24/11/2024A beautiful mild late autumn day by Boulder creek. So, what’s going on meteorologically? #cowx 110
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 17/11/2024Great example of a “cyclone train”, where each storm takes a similar path to the previous one. Big question is: are these “trains” predictable on S2S time scales (weeks in advance)? 040
Falko Judt @cloudprophet.bsky.social · 22/10/2024Flying is such a privilege. I can spend hours 👀 all the landmarks and the weather from above… (1) Golden, CO and its table mountains (2) Berthoud Pass (3) Rocky🏔️ after the first ❄️, barren South Park in the background (Copper ⛷️ peaks out, too) (4) Fog moving into dry hills near San Francisco 030