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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 22s

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Human communities and human activities in general are ecophagic: they devour the ecosystem. Human communities and activities generate and excrete toxic wastes and oncometabolites as do malignant neoplasms." www.thriftbooks.com/w/homo-ecoph...

thriftbooks.com

Homo Ecophagus book by Warren M. Hern

Buy a cheap copy of Homo Ecophagus book by Warren M. Hern. Home Ecophagus by Warren M. Hern is a wide-ranging look at the major problems for the survival of not just the human species, but all other s...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 13h

Fortunately, 'pneumonic plague' was on my bingo card for 2026. "Patients with pneumonic plague develop fever, headache, weakness and and a rapidly developing pneumonia with shortness of breath, chest pain, cough, and sometimes bloody or watery mucous..." www.scrippsnews.com/world/europe...

scrippsnews.com

Researcher at Russian plague laboratory dies of ‘unknown’ infection

Russian authorities are responding to an incident in which a suspected dangerous infection was released as a result of a laboratory accident in Siberia and a researcher died.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 15h

I suspected Sea lioning from the first post.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 15h

I have tickets to go hear opera outside in the park starting in about an hour. It's in an area without shade. I'm reconsidering. A moment ago ...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 18h

These are not ocean temperatures

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 23h

our 'moment of doom' for Oct. 4, 2026 ~ Fountain alert! "But experts say the severity and duration of this year’s fall heatwave is extreme, and likely to become more common in the future as the climate crisis nudges global temperatures higher." www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

theguardian.com

Southern California swelters as late-season heatwave smothers region

Temperatures expected to hover around 100F in downtown LA and even hotter inland, raising concerns about wildfires

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 04/10/2026

Your 'doom quote' for today: "2024 was the hottest year ever by a considerable margin, smashing for the first time through the 1.5°C temperature barrier that the world had set as a red line just eight years earlier at the Paris climate accords." www.thriftbooks.com/w/here-comes...

thriftbooks.com

Here Comes the Sun book by Bill McKibben

Buy a cheap copy of Here Comes the Sun book by Bill McKibben. Our climate, and our democracy, are melting down. But Bill McKibben, one of the first to sound the alarm about the climate crisis, insists...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 04/10/2026

Some folks were wondering why I posted a graph showing the total number of days over 16.0C for each year when this year is not yet over. Hopefully this graph answers the question:

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 04/10/2026

The final results are in and 2026 came in 2nd place behind 2023 for the total number of days with global surface temperature above 16.0°C. 2023: 128 days 2026: 126 days Don't fret. There's always next year ...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 03/10/2026

It's not a single event that just happens, so it doesn't make sense to have a wager on it. It is a process that will play out over decades.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 03/10/2026

With temperatures expected to peak possibly over 100°F (38°C) today at my house, you will forgive me if I enjoy the latest hallucination from ECMWF for October 12th, which shows a hurricane crashing into Santa Barbara:

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 03/10/2026

Your 'bonus doom quote' for today: "Fuck this iceberg! Let's dance!" www.imdb.com/title/tt3145...

imdb.com

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 03/10/2026

Antarctic sea-ice update... Not only is Antarctic sea-ice extent at a record daily low, extent just passed 4 standard deviations below the 1991-2020 mean. Can extent get back below 6 standard deviations, like we saw in 2023? Stay tuned!

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 03/10/2026

Your 'doom quote' for today: "The problem is that nature, the independent force that has surrounded us since our earliest days, cannot coexist with our numbers and our habits." www.thriftbooks.com/w/the-end-of...

thriftbooks.com

The End of Nature book by Bill McKibben

Buy a cheap copy of The End of Nature book by Bill McKibben. Reissued on the tenth anniversary of its publication, this classic work on our environmental crisis features a new introduction by the auth...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 03/10/2026

For those keeping track of Albedo, the latest CERES data for July shows a big downward jump. The record 12-month low was set towards the end of 2023, at the height of the 23/24 El Nino. Is a new record 12-month low coming? Stay tuned.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 02/10/2026

Breaking News! y-Axis Alert! With yesterday's preliminary Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature spiking to a new record at 29.975°C, the y-axis was raised to 30.5°C. Meanwhile, the Niño 3.4 anomaly now sits at 3.33°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. Until tomorrow ...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 02/10/2026

If “apocalyptic optimism” means believing that a massively destructive global climate event will usher in a new era of environmental enlightenment, then we should hope that catastrophe arrives just as soon as possible. I’m rooting for this El Niño. Bring it on!

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 02/10/2026

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 2, 2026 ~ Will be. "Up to 1.2 billion people could be displaced by 2050, with Pacific island countries experiencing sea level rise at twice the global average, said the report released in August." www.arabnews.com/world/world-...

arabnews.com

World powers gather in Pacific to chart climate battle

Delegates from world powers are converging in the Pacific to address global warming and observe the impact on island nations. The meetings in Fiji aim to set the stage for COP31 in Turkey.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 02/10/2026

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Coastal cities face three stark choices. First they can do little or nothing and become inundated. Second, they can protect themselves by flood control measures and great dikes—for as long as they can. Third, they can relocate." www.thriftbooks.com/w/the-floode...

thriftbooks.com

The Flooded Earth: Our Future In a World... book by Peter D. Ward

Buy a cheap copy of The Flooded Earth: Our Future In a World... book by Peter D. Ward. No matter what efforts we make to halt global warming, sea level rise will be an unavoidable part of our future. ...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 02/10/2026

Breaking News! Code Yikes! September 2026 finished second hottest on record, averaging 1.63°C above the 1850-1900 baseline. 2023 still holds the top spot, with an anomaly of 1.74°C. The Climate Casino is taking the OVER on 1.80°C for October. Stay tuned!

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 02/10/2026

The July data just released by CERES shows the Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) at *only* 1.22 million Hiroshimas per Day (HpD), down from 1.25 million HpD in June. The EEI should continue declining over the next few months as El Niño increases outgoing longwave radiation.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 01/10/2026

Not sure about the Crystal 8-Ball, but the Climate 8-Ball says absolutely not.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 01/10/2026

Records come and records go. But this is one for the ages. The preliminary Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly is now at a record 3.23°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. This crushes the previous daily record set in 1982 by over 1.14°C. The Climate 8-ball is looking up.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 01/10/2026

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 1, 2026 ~ Tipping or tipped? "A fast-warming ocean thins the ice shelves, weakened shelves break apart, and glacier ice flows into the ocean faster. Each step makes the next one easier." theconversation.com/antarcticas-...

theconversation.com

Antarctica’s ice loss is locked in, and extra snowfall won’t save it – that’s bad news for low-lying coastal areas elsewhere

The Antarctic ice sheet’s future depends how a chain of events plays out. A new study finds the evidence points in one direction.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 01/10/2026

Breaking News! Code UFB!!! Antarctic sea-ice extent just set a new record daily low on Sept. 30, beating the previous record set in 2023 by over 15,000 km². Current extent is 3.85 standard deviations below the 1991-2020 average.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 01/10/2026

Sounds like a project you want to do.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

A single day may break 4.0C, but it is very unlikely that any monthly average will peak above 3.8C. The daily peak is forecast for mid/late November.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

Maybe a day will make it, but not a month.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

The more you know. The global oceans are warming by the equivalent heat of about one million Hiroshima bombs per day. If wishes were fishes, they'd all be suffocating about now.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

Breaking News! The preliminary Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly for Sept. 29th came in at 3.18°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. This marks yet another record all-time high and the 123rd consecutive record daily high at 1.1°C above the previous daily record set in 1997.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: 365 million Hiroshimas. "The explosive addition of thermal energy, which was almost 40 times greater than all the energy humanity used that year, comes amid far-reaching changes to the deep water bodies fundamental to life on Earth."

theguardian.com

World’s oceans absorbed record heat equal to 40 times annual global energy use

The injection of thermal energy comes amid an increasing rise in sea levels and continuing acidification

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

Your 'moment of doom' for Sept. 30, 2026 ~ Uncharted! "A series of deadly heat waves from May to August overwhelmed Germany’s healthcare ... and led to an estimated 16,000 heat-related deaths during the summer, the most heat mortalities ever recorded in the highly developed country."

insideclimatenews.org

Mass Heat Wave Deaths in Europe Show Climate Extremes Are Outpacing Adaptation Efforts - Inside Climate News

As preparedness lags, many regions around the world could be overwhelmed by rising temperatures, climate experts warn.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

Your 'doom quote' for today: "A general warming trend is expected because of rising greenhouse-gas emissions, but this sudden heat spike greatly exceeds predictions made by statistical climate models that rely on past observations." www.nature.com/articles/d41...

nature.com

Climate models can’t explain 2023’s huge heat anomaly — we could be in uncharted territory

Taking into account all known factors, the planet warmed 0.2 °C more last year than climate scientists expected. More and better data are urgently needed.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 29/09/2026

Your 'moment of doom' for Sept. 29, 2026 ~ defenestration "The window for action is narrowing, and delayed or poorly designed restoration will increase long-term costs, exacerbate inequalities and risk locking landscapes into unsustainable trajectories." www.theguardian.com/environment/...

theguardian.com

UN warns of ‘narrowing window’ to restore world’s forests

Food and Agriculture Organization urges governments to make forest restoration a national priority

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 29/09/2026

I will be speaking tonight to the Fallbrook Climate Action Team via Zoom at 6:30 Pacific time. Feel free to join us! Here's the link to register: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 29/09/2026

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Our challenge is will we be too late. That's our challenge. It's not a question if, it's a question how do we do this now? The window is still open ... it's narrow, but it's still open." youtu.be/2HUor5EOFeI?...

youtu.be

Has the world lost the fight against heat? - The Climate Question podcast, BBC World Service

YouTube video by BBC World Service

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 28/09/2026

Your 'bonus doom quote' for today: "The First Rule of Climate Week -- You Do Not Talk About Climate Change." www.youtube.com/watch?v=hajv...

youtube.com

What They Don’t Tell You About NY Climate Week

YouTube video by Climate Chat

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 28/09/2026

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today ~ Sign it! "Climate change, biodiversity loss, land and freshwater degradation, pollution, and unsustainable production and consumption are destabilizing the Earth system that supports all life." docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 28/09/2026

For the last 3 days the Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly has been hodling steady in record territory at about 3.10°C above the 1991-2020 baseline, well ahead of the previous record anomaly of 3.03°C set on November 19, 2015. The Climate 8-Ball thinks everything is fine.

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