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Christian D. Rishel

@christianrishel.bsky.social
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Trek Central @trekcentral.net · 6h
🚨 EXCLUSIVE: Nacelle Reveals Renders for Gene Roddenberry & Lucille Ball #StarTrek Action Figures! Straight from #NYCC, The Nacelle Company reveals a look at the action figure 2-pack and its accessories! 🖖 Read More trekcentral.net/exclusive-na...
trekcentral.net
EXCLUSIVE: Nacelle Reveals Renders for Gene Roddenberry & Lucille Ball Star Trek Figures – Trek Central
Today, The Nacelle Company, known for its range of Star Trek Action Figures, have revealed 2 new renders from their upcoming Wave Three collection. This special action figure 2-pack celebrates the…
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 7h
Reposting this here for no reason in particular
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Kimberly Guilfoyle: The Best Is Yet To Come
ALT: Kimberly Guilfoyle: The Best Is Yet To Come
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 23h
In Opinion Almost 70 years after its inception, “The Twilight Zone” remains incredibly relevant, Alan Sepinwall writes. It tackled “prejudice, creeping authoritarianism, the dangers of humans being replaced by technology and the peril of conformity as a societal ideal in ways that still resonate.”
nyti.ms
Opinion | ‘The Twilight Zone’ Was a Warning America Ignored
With “The Twilight Zone,” Rod Serling created a durable blueprint for understanding our surreal reality.
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Not to mention another winning set of B covers by @jjlendl.com
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 05/10/2026
Most leaders know their company must change. But there is not a lot of change happening. Before asking how circularity transformation works, we ask whether it can happen at all.
circudyne.com
Possibility of Change
Last week I closed Summer Reading 2026 with a promise: this new season of the _Letter_ would examine the nature of transformation itself. I meant the anatomy of the process: what do Lean, Six Sigma, Agile, and their cousins have in common? As their successor, what would circularity need to emulate? We'll get there. But a few days of thinking about it have led somewhere more basic. Before asking how circularity transformation works, it seems fair to ask whether it can happen at all. Are firms, as presently constructed, capable of change on a scale circularity requires? The answer is a conditional _yes._ This season, we'll explore the conditions. ## The spirit is willing Every year PwC asks thousands of chief executives how they see the road ahead. It poses an incisive recurring question: if your company continues on its current path, how long will it remain economically viable? In the 2025 summary (the last time they publicly disclosed the response to that question), 42 percent said ten years or less. That is a remarkable statistic. And it is more than idle worry. In the same survey, nearly two-thirds of CEOs said they had taken at least one significant step in the past five years to change how their company makes money. Yet new businesses accounted for only about 7 percent of revenue over that span. The intent is there. The results are lacking. The 2026 survey, fielded last fall among 4,454 CEOs, shows a differential focus. On average, CEOs spend 47 percent of their calendar on matters that resolve within a year, and 16 percent on matters five years out or more. In a finding PwC itself calls counterintuitive, the CEOs most worried about their company's long-term viability spend _more_ time than their peers on the short term. The question that concerns CEOs most, by a clear margin, is whether they are transforming fast enough to keep up with technology, including AI. Only three in ten say their company tests new ideas rapidly with customers. PwC titled the closing section of its report "Dynamism or denial?" These CEOs are not fools. Last summer, citing the logic of Clayton Christensen, I argued that incumbents usually stumble while doing exactly what they were built to do, and doing it well. Next quarter's KPIs set the rhythm of what passes for good management these days. The Innovator’s Dilemma and Circularity TransformationClayton Christensen’s iconic analysis reveals why well-run companies at the peak of their powers are routinely vulnerable to disruption. We examine his thesis through the lens of circularity disruption.CircudyneChristian Rishel The _urgent_ crowds out the _important_ , and the habit is self-reinforcing. ## Seeing red from the other side of the counter If leaders are stuck, their customers are restless. They have been for a while. A Future To Look Forward ToThe linear economy traps us in novelty, obsolescence, and extraction. Circular systems offer liberation: more wealth, more beauty, more meaning.CircudyneChristian Rishel A year ago, in A Future To Look Forward To, I listed the anxieties of the moment. The first was a question: will our children be better off than us? The 2026 Edelman Trust Barometer has since given an answer. Across 28 countries, 32 percent say yes, down four points in a year. In France and Germany it is fewer than one in ten; in the United States, about one in five. Contentment follows progress, and most wealthy countries no longer believe they are making any. An exception is Australia, where the figure rose five points. Australia also has one of the densest fleets of rooftop solar on earth. Keep that in mind later in the season when we get to the catalysts of change. Underneath the numbers is something more specific. Whole segments of customers have changed what they need, what they like, and what they want, and the brands they depend on have not kept up. What they want has been moving toward enough: the precise amount that satisfies without burdening. Luxury has begun to mean joy, craft, and fit rather than scarcity. People sense the care nobody was supposed to see, as Walt Disney understood decades ago. And they notice its absence just as quickly: many serve themselves when institutions like brands and governments offer chaos instead of value. More Joy, Less WorkAbundant energy and intelligence are arriving just as the culture demands simplicity. The brand that sells “enough” will own the biggest business opportunity in history.CircudyneChristian RishelReassurance is a Strategic CapacityThe performance economy, at its best, creates the conditions for play. At its worst, it creates the conditions for vigilance.CircudyneChristian RishelAre You a Punk?When institutions produce the chaos, order becomes the rebellion. The punks of 2026 don’t sneer. They say “no thank you” and build something without you.CircudyneChristian Rishel What they get instead is manufactured dependence. A firm that has lost the capacity to serve its customers manufactures reasons for them to stay. On platforms the same decay has a less polite name. When customers balk at a worse deal, the say-do gap gets blamed on them. More often the firm has lost the imagination to make what they asked for. So customers leave, quietly. They make their old stuff last. There is no boycott and no angry letter. These conscious non-consumers don't register on anyone's dashboard, because demand models work like a metal detector: very good at finding what's there, and unable to discern what's walked away. Two-thirds of the CEOs in PwC's survey reported trust concerns last year. They can see the customers who complain. They can't see the ones who left. Douglas Holt would recognize this as a myth market, and a wide-open one at that. The mythology gap, the distance between how people live and how they want to live, is wide, and very few brands are telling a story that closes it. Gaps like this do not stay open for long. In Holt's history, the brands that became icons were the ones that sided with the counterculture first. Someone will fill this one. The rebels are already making a New Deal for themselves. What they lack are allies. Building Cultural Momentum: The Connection DomainCultural mythology shapes what people want more than rational analysis. We adopt behaviors and identities by watching others embody them successfully. Shared experiences accelerate the cultural momentum that makes circularity feel inevitable.CircudyneChristian RishelClosing the Mythology GapWhen change outpaces our stories, organizations lose coherence. Here we explore how cultural renewal shapes fitness for the Circular Century.CircudyneChristian RishelA New Deal You Can Acquire For YourselfThe circular economy means personal sovereignty over your energy, attention, time, and things. A New Deal you acquire for yourself.CircudyneChristian Rishel ## An evergreen example So is change possible? The best evidence I know comes from the example of Lean, which started off as the Toyota Production System. Toyota Production System: Lean Was Born CircularLean’s founding text by Taiichi Ohno shows that the most celebrated efficiency revolution in business history was circular from the start — and hands circularity transformation its strongest precedent.CircudyneChristian Rishel In his account, Taiichi Ohno recalls that before the oil crisis of 1973, when it came to industry's position towards Toyota's methods, he "found little interest." Inside the company, the system was already mature. Kanban had been proliferating for years. But hardly anyone outside it cared. Then the oil embargo hit. By 1974 Japan's economy had fallen to zero growth, and many automobile companies were suffering. But Toyota's fortunes were on the upswing. Suddenly everyone wanted to know its secret. There are two lessons to draw from that history. The first is hopeful: change from inside an incumbent is possible. Ohno was an executive at a family-controlled company that was about as establishment as it gets. And he changed the game anyway. The second is sobering: the remedy everyone needed waited years to be adopted. The oil embargo provided the needed motivation to drive the system's interest, but the underlying value was always there. Circularity's situation resembles Lean's in those pre-1974 years. The value is there to be captured, but the imperative to apply it does not line up with the incentive and permission structures of the people who could use it best. This season we will focus on closing that gap: how a company comes to embrace the change without waiting for the forcing function. ## Possibilities _for_ change The season follows three lines of inquiry. * **Is change possible** within existing firms to the degree circularity requires? We will take inventory of the great transformations of the last century — Lean, Total Quality, Six Sigma, Agile, and some you may have forgotten, like Y2K and omnichannel — and ask what made the durable ones last. * **What drives it?** My bet is that the push comes from below, from customers who have quietly started repairing, keeping, and non-consuming. Our institutions that once promised order now produce chaos. That is the _casus belli_ of today's counterculture. * **What catalyzes it?** Here we return to the Three Dynamos — distributed power, ambient intelligence, and recombinant matter — the bill of materials for the Circular Century. Ohno began at the end of the line and worked backward, letting each process pull what it needed from the one before it. In time the pull reached all the way to the dealer's showroom. This season starts at the end too: at the Last Moment of Truth, the moment a product's first life ends and something must happen next. It is the moment the customer knows the product best. It is where a product either goes on to another life or simply stops. And it is the only place a claim of circularity can be checked. ## The takeaway Most leaders already know they must change. This season asks what it takes for a company to actually do it. The best answer we have says to start at the end. _Below the line are practitioner insights reserved for Dynamo members — the people building plenty with us. If you're reading as a guest, you're welcome here. But the best seats are saved for the builders._ Join the Dynamos * * * ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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Starfleet Design 🖍🖖 @starfleetdesign.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Ah yes, it's Spocktober 🖖
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Ron Filipkowski @ronfilipkowski.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The moment Jack Smith realized Eric Schmitt was talking about the wrong game.
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 28/09/2026
A season spent with canonical works on circularity, systems, strategy, Lean, and craft.
circudyne.com
Summer Reading 2026
## Summer 2026 series conclusion This season of _the Circudyne Letter_ marked the beginning of what I intend to make an annual tradition: summer reading. A time to revisit books I haven't read in a while (this time through the lens of circularity transformation), or make time for books I should have read by now but haven't. I was keen to get a broader understanding of some of the foundational works of circularity, and return to some familiar works that have influenced my thinking about how to advance the transformation. Writing this as I am during a September nor'easter, summer seems a long time ago. But the takeaways are still fresh. > 🔜 Next week the _Letter_ begins its sixth season, in which we will examine the nature of transformation architecture itself. Brace yourself for change. ## Throughlines ### There is no data from the future One of the conceits of the present moment I'm keen to help moderate is the substitution of data for imagination. Data is a popular bet settler and argument ender, and has its place in guiding decisions. But what happens when data is not available — as is the case with the future? Meadows, Forrester, Popper and Kuhn, and Fadell each arrived at this notion in their particular way. And of course, Martin has popularized the bifurcation of business knowledge based on the availability of data. ### Known limits Perhaps it's primacy bias, but one of the indelible remarks of the season came from Stahel in his introductory invocation of Saint-Exupéry's admonition: > When you want to build a ship, do not begin by gathering wood, cutting boards and organising work gangs, but rather create the longing for the sea, awaken within men the desire for the vast and endless sea. The founders of circularity, and the disciplines that precede and undergird it, can be well understood by the limits they saw in their project. Their list of known unknowns is long, and almost always revolves around the behavior of human beings, their understanding of complicated ideas, and their ability to change. Stahel saw the need to make men long for circularity, and then set out to persuade them of it instead. The desire for the vast and endless sea — as it were — beats in far too few hearts. That's our challenge. ### The lineage of modern circularity It's a straight line back from Stahel to Meadows to Forrester. Forrester is a curious node in the system map of intellectual history; not only can _the_ _Limits to Growth_ crowd trace back to him, but also today's move-fast-and-break-things algorithm builders. Based on his book, I think Forrester would embrace the former but lament its villainization of growth, and be shocked by and possibly aghast at the chaos unleashed by the latter in the pursuit of growth. This may explain why circularity has not taken hold in the Silicon Valley culture to the degree one might have expected. ## Notable takeaways Ohno's origin story of Lean exposed hard points upon which to extend its principles into the realm of circularity. Alexander, McLuhan, and Fadell showed how to make objects in the Circular Century beautiful, legible, and buildable. Chip and Dan Heath offered a digestif: how to wrap it all up into a story that sticks. Quite by accident, the syllabus of this season exemplified the theory of art and science that Forrester put forth: that art comes first, science organizes and compresses it; and yields the foundation for new art. ## The Season at a glance ### Circular foundations The founders tackle questions of limits, waste, and time. The Circular Economy: A User’s GuideThe summer reading season opens with Walter Stahel’s introductory text — a book that reaches for what’s still missing: a longing for the circular economy.CircudyneChristian RishelCircularity Summer Camp: The Movement’s Founding TextsThe founding texts of circularity — Benyus, McDonough & Braungart, and Stahel — read together. Three merit badges earned, and one still on the table.CircudyneChristian Rishel ### Systems A shared understanding and vocabulary of stocks, flows, and feedback; thoughts on paradigm shifts. Thinking in SystemsDonella Meadows built an exquisite analytical toolkit, then told us exactly where its utility ends. The future can only be envisioned, not analyzed.CircudyneChristian RishelIndustrial Dynamics: The Wellspring of CircularityThe summer reading series arrives at the wellspring: Jay Wright Forrester’s 1961 book, the bedrock beneath circularity’s systems thinking.CircudyneChristian RishelThe Logic of Scientific Revolutions — The Circudyne LetterTwo esteemed points of view on the nature of progress, how it applies to strategy, and what it means for circularity transformation.CircudyneChristian Rishel ### Strategy How to choose a future without perfect information; why it's risky not to choose; why good management, in the wrong circumstances, is often the culprit. Playing to Win — The Circudyne LetterStrategy is a choice, so you might as well choose to win. For circularity leaders, the framework offers an opportunity and a moment of truth.CircudyneChristian RishelThe Innovator’s Dilemma and Circularity TransformationClayton Christensen’s iconic analysis reveals why well-run companies at the peak of their powers are routinely vulnerable to disruption. We examine his thesis through the lens of circularity disruption.CircudyneChristian Rishel ### Lean The celebrated efficiency revolution, and the seed of circularity that it contains. Toyota Production System: Lean Was Born CircularLean’s founding text by Taiichi Ohno shows that the most celebrated efficiency revolution in business history was circular from the start — and hands circularity transformation its strongest precedent.CircudyneChristian Rishel ### Craft, media, build Systems-level beauty; what McLuhan meant by media; and a repeatable method for making (and improving) new-to-world products. A Pattern Language — making places that serve human needsChristopher Alexander built a language for making places that serve human needs beautifully and economically. It doubles as a manual for choosing well where no data exists — the exact position circularity strategists occupy today.CircudyneChristian RishelUnderstanding Media: Why Circularity Needs a Media StrategyMarshall McLuhan is as pertinent today as he was in 1964, and the reason is his definition of media, which is broader than ours. Circularity transformation needs a media strategy in his sense of the word. Here is what he meant.CircudyneChristian RishelBuild: Fadell’s Repeatable Method for Disruptive ProductsCircularity transformation needs a cornucopia of new-to-world products, made quickly and well. Tony Fadell’s method for making them is repeatable.CircudyneChristian Rishel ### A digestif Turning all of the above into something people can swallow. Made to Stick: Circularity Needs More Cannes, Less DavosCircularity is a complicated idea that needs to be simplified to be remembered. The Heath brothers wrote the book on that, and it points to a story we should have been telling all along.CircudyneChristian Rishel ## Parting thought The science of circularity is far ahead of its art. I think that's the problem. It's time to tell the story. > 📬 _Thank you for reading along this summer._ * * * _Next season we examine best practices in transformation architecture. Dynamo members support the mission and receive unabridged content._ Join the Dynamos
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Let’s make this the next Coyote vs. Acme.
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Pete Woods @thatpetewoods.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
I keep seeing negative reviews of Strange New Worlds season 4 and I don’t get it. I haven’t seen the latest episode yet, but overall I’ve had a lot of fun this season. I even liked the soap opera episode which I was convinced I would not enjoy.
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Star Trek SNW: Pike Cooks & Relaxes
ALT: Star Trek SNW: Pike Cooks & Relaxes
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Made to Stick is the Heaths' guide to overcoming "the Curse of Knowledge" in order to make complicated ideas memorable. Even though Chip Heath was one of my professors in business school, somehow I missed the book when it came out. To conclude Summer Reading 2026, I'm fixing that now.
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 14/09/2026
Circularity transformation needs a cornucopia of new-to-world products, made quickly and well. Tony Fadell's method for making them is repeatable.
circudyne.com
Build
The summer reading series, like the season it's named for, is nearing its close. For this penultimate week I chose _Build_ by Tony Fadell, the product manager and entrepreneur behind the iPod, the iPhone, and the Nest thermostat. ‎Build‎Business & Personal Finance · 2022Apple BooksTony Fadell The series has been heavy on theory and strategy. Circularity depends on both, so I hope you understand the emphasis. But _Build_ is a pivot toward execution, and it arrives at the right moment. We have spent a summer with Christensen on why incumbents fail to disrupt themselves, with Martin on how to choose a future before the data exists, and with Ohno on how a discipline outlasts its founder. Fadell exemplifies these and more, and gave us a map to follow. I'm interested in his perspective because he is arguably our foremost, and most consistent, creator of disruptive products. What makes his record worth studying is less the stature of the products (exalted as they are) than the fact that he did it three times, at three companies, and can explain the method. Circularity transformation is a disruptive prospect that has to please customers even as it moves quickly. It needs a repeatable playbook for making crowd-pleasing, new-to-world products. _Build_ offers one. ## The book in brief Fadell organizes the book along the arc of his career: the noble early failure at General Magic, the journeyman years at Philips, the iPod and iPhone at Apple, and the founding of Nest. The chapters are short and have fun titles ("Assholes," "I Quit," "Heartbeats and Handcuffs"), and each carries a story from his arc. The through-line is the "General Magic problem," what he calls building the right technology a decade too soon, alleviating a pain point that does not yet exist for most people. I recall General Magic with a fondness that borders on reverence. Yet, I've never actually held, let alone used, its product. That's because Palm beat them with a far less ambitious product that they actually delivered. That failure is the fuel of Fadell's fire to this day. It is the shared inspiration for almost every imperative presented in the book: find the "why" before the "what"; make the intangible tangible; ship V1 to early adopters, fix it in V2, build the business in V3; and when the landscape is about to shift under you, shift it yourself. Disrupting the iPod with the iPhone is the canonical example of self-disruption, and his telling of that is a canonical reference for Christensen's theory. Why Self-Disrupt?The environmental imperative is the reason to begin. This is about why you’ll be glad you did it. Have to versus get to. Part I of a two-part conclusion.CircudyneChristian Rishel He writes as a practitioner rather than a theorist, but the theory is apparent for anyone who has read Christensen and Martin. Fadell's lived experience is disruption theory with the names filled in. ## Shoveling data into the void Fadell is interested in decisions. He sorts the big ones into two kinds. Data-driven decisions can be studied and defended, and most of the team will agree. Opinion-driven decisions are the ones you make "without the benefit of sufficient data to guide you or back you up." His rule is that a first-generation product is governed by the second kind of decision, whether the team likes it or not. "If a product is really new, there's nothing to compare it to, nothing to optimize, nothing to test." Teams that keep asking for research anyway are, in his phrase, shoveling data into the void. "There was never going to be enough data to make an assured choice." I accept the distinction and push back on his choice of words. "Opinion" implies caprice, a because-I-said-so. What Fadell is describing is _judgment_. A lack of data does not mean uninformed. Data is not distributed evenly across every decision space; it clusters where the past has already happened. Disruption means new-to-world, and new-to-world means real feedback lies in the future. There can be no data from the future, which is where our Circular Century currently lives. What stands in for data is judgment, and Fadell tells us what makes judgment feel assured rather than arbitrary: vision. "Vision provides assurance" is my gloss of his approach, and the sequence holds its magic. For V1, vision first, customer insight second, data third. For V2, once there are paying customers, the order flips. His own example is the iPod's move to Windows, which he and his colleagues had to win against Steve Jobs with revenue numbers. The vision had done its work; it was time to put it third. Two things make this more than a vocabulary quibble. First, Fadell's version of A/B testing is the cleanest statement of a point I made previously: you can test where the Buy button goes, but "if the basic functionality can flex and change depending on the whims of an A/B test, then there is no core." That is why I've argued that "What would have to be true?" is a better opening question than "How might we?" for disruptive work. “What Would Have To Be True?”You cannot A|B test your way to system change. Why circular transformation requires asking ‘What Would Have to Be True?’ instead of ‘How Might We?’CircudyneChristian Rishel Second, he identifies what makes judgment something other than one person's opinion. The superpower of every great product manager, he says, is empathy. I've called it a strategic capacity. He calls it a job requirement. Empathy Is a Strategic CapacityIt enables worldbuilding where time and value are not yet fixed, providing a path to product–market fit before markets, metrics, or demand signals exist.CircudyneChristian Rishel ## Promethean glimpses The collection of prototype photos is one of the book's most charming ingredients. The first iPod's was a chunk of styrofoam. The early iPhone prototypes bear little resemblance to what shipped. The Nest box, printed and held and rewritten a year before launch, is where the story of the product was written, because the physical limits of the cardboard package forced the team to decide what a customer should understand first, second, and third. Fadell credits design thinking by name, and the evidence is on the page: prototyping aligned the team, managed progress, and kept the customer's welfare in the room. I won't second-guess that emphasis. But reading him I kept thinking of something Roger Martin says about prototypes. Although there is no data from the future, you can steal a slice of it and run an experiment. That is what a prototype is: a Promethean glimpse of a possible future, smuggled into the present where it can be handled. Fadell's habit of writing the press release before the product is the same kind of theft with words. If you launched today, could you send it out and have it be mostly true? That's how you know when you're done. The practice calls to mind Julian Bleecker's design fiction, with its whimsical artifacts from the future made to provoke the imagination. What Fadell adds is discipline: the artifact exists to manage internal stakeholders on a product, to get engineering and marketing and the CEO to see the same thing before it exists. That is worldbuilding at product scale. The question for circularity is what happens when the audience for the prototype is the customer. ## The package is hot, the pavilion is cool Fadell has a rule of compression. It's his ticket to simplicity: ideas must be distilled down in order to fit certain formats and contexts. Packaging is a microcosm of the marketing. A complex feature on the Nest thermostat that took 150 words to explain resolved down to three: Rush Hour Rewards. "You can't say everything everywhere." His messaging architecture, a grid of pains and painkillers and the emotional and rational reasons to buy, exists so that every touchpoint says one true thing. And his customers do not distinguish among those touchpoints: "your advertising and your app and your customer support agents, all of it is your company. Your brand. All of it is one thing." That is a product guy's reformulation of the Lee Clow axiom "everything a brand does is media." The Element of Integration: Crafting Circular AdvantageIn which we use Apple as a lens to understand the power of treating brand, strategy, and organization as a single unit. Circular business models require this same unified approach to succeed—tomorrow’s integrated firms will represent an evolutionary step beyond today’s models.CircudyneChristian Rishel It also connects to Marshall McLuhan, whom we read last week. McLuhan is the reason I think Fadell's compression applies to the message and not to the medium. A package sells what is in it. A press release fits on a page. Both are hot media, filled in for you. Fadell, as much as anyone, helped make the Apple keynote format what it is: a hot medium of unusual power, where the messaging platform and the product heartbeat merge into a singular go to market event, and the story rehearsed daily for months drove the product itself. It works for Apple. Understanding Media: Why Circularity Needs a Media StrategyMarshall McLuhan is as pertinent today as he was in 1964, and the reason is his definition of media, which is broader than ours. Circularity transformation needs a media strategy in his sense of the word. Here is what he meant.CircudyneChristian Rishel What circularity is selling is different. It is not a single product but a way of living. That calls for a cool medium, the kind the audience participates in. Alex McDowell says the worldbuilder's job is not to imagine the world and show it, but to build a street corner in that world and put the participant on it. Worldbuilding for Circular Transformation | CircudynamicsWorldbuilding creates experiential prototypes of circular futures, releasing emotional energy that powers transformation beyond logic.CircudyneChristian Rishel A World's Fair pavilion does that. It promotes a feeling, a multisensory what-if that the visitor walks through at her own pace. Even that needs economy of thought. Nobody remembers what Pepsi's expo pavilion said about Pepsi in 1964. Everyone remembers the song ("It's a Small World"). Nobody remembers General Electric's product claims; everyone who visited them there remembers that there's "A Great Big Beautiful Tomorrow." The refrain is Fadell's compression applied to a feeling: there is goodness in the world, and we're making it better. The package and the pavilion are both true, and both needed. The package sells the product. The pavilion sells the world the product belongs in. * * * ## Four of five Early in the book Fadell lists the characteristics of a company likely to change the status quo. It is wholly new, or combines existing technology in a way the competition can't make or understand. It solves a real pain that a lot of people feel daily. The technology can deliver on the vision, infrastructure included. Leadership is not dogmatic about what the solution looks like. And it thinks about the problem in a way that's new, but makes sense the moment you hear it. Readers of this Letter will notice that four of those map onto the domains of Circudynamics without strain. The novel combination is Craft. The daily pain in a large market is Connection. The deliverable technology is Catalysts. And the non-dogmatic leadership is Horizons, in which the strategy assumes the outcome first and serves that. The path is held loosely; empathy steers it in V1 and data in V2. Fadell's word for it is not being dogmatic. Steve Jobs' frame was strong opinions, loosely held. The domain missing from the list is Living Futures, and I don't think that is an accident. Fadell learned the method at a company that pursues an integrated product strategy, which leaves it structurally uninterested in worlds beyond its ecosystem. Apple could build the best expo pavilions on Earth if it chose to. As it has drawn its strategy, it has no reason to. The fifth characteristic, then, is ours to supply. ## The last step Fadell draws the customer journey as a chain. It begins when someone first hears of your brand and ends, in his words, "when your product disappears from their life, returned or thrown away, sold to a friend or deleted in a burst of electrons." Every step in between is a place the customer can stumble, and his most useful advice is to prototype all of it, the box and the install and the support call, with the care you lavish on the device. The Nest screwdriver, a dollar-fifty tool in every box that the accountants wanted cut, is the emblem: it was a marketing expense and a support expense wearing a COGS line item's clothes, and it made the install a buttery, warm, joyful experience. His chain stops one step short, and I mean it as a tribute to extend his logic to the final possible step. Where he writes "returned or thrown away," a circular business writes the Last Moment of Truth: the moment a product's first life ends and something has to happen next. In a linear journey that moment is terminal. In a circular one it is a handoff, and it is where the next customer's journey begins, on the resale listing, at the atelier counter, in the refill. Where the linear funnel has one entrance, the loop has many. Fadell already knows the post-sale journey matters; he just draws it as retention. Close the loop and the same prototyping discipline he applies to the box applies to the return. But Fadell is clear about one thing. Nobody buys the method. Nobody buys the Toyota Production System, but it is the secret sauce that makes possible products like the original Lexus LS400. Superior to and less costly than the Mercedes it sought to displace, the first Lexus made its customers feel happy _and_ smart for choosing it. And nobody will buy circularity. They will buy the "painkilling" solution a circular business makes possible, or does better than its linear counterpart. Fadell's test for that is unforgiving: does it solve a pain people feel this week, or is it a vitamin? I don't yet know which product will be the Lexus of the Circular Century. That feeling the LS400 gave its customers points us in a number of directions. I took a few guesses in the Carousel of Plenty. What I conjecture is that when it does arrive, it will have been built the way Fadell builds in _Build_ , with one more step — LMOT — at the end. * * * _The bench is reserved for Dynamo members, the people building plenty with us. If you're reading as a guest, you're welcome here. The rest of the build is below._ Join the Dynamos! ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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anj @forecastoctopus.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
STAR TREK 💫 60 years of these guys….. #startrek #startrek60 #startrekday
painting of kirk, spock, mccoy, and the enterprise on a space background with star trek written at the top
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Pasquinel 🦇🎃👻 @pasquinel.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
STAR TREK: TOS - Behind the Scenes (5/5) In honor of its 60th anniversary today #StarTrek #TOS #Scifi #BehindtheScenes #OTD #Television #60s #Vintage #Photography #TrekSky
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Pasquinel 🦇🎃👻 @pasquinel.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
STAR TREK: TOS - Behind the Scenes (4/5) In honor of its 60th anniversary today #StarTrek #TOS #Scifi #BehindtheScenes #OTD #Television #60s #Vintage #Photography #TrekSky
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Pasquinel 🦇🎃👻 @pasquinel.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
STAR TREK: TOS - Behind the Scenes (3/5) In honor of its 60th anniversary today #StarTrek #TOS #Scifi #BehindtheScenes #OTD #Television #60s #Vintage #Photography #TrekSky
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Pasquinel 🦇🎃👻 @pasquinel.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
STAR TREK: TOS - Behind the Scenes (2/5) In honor of its 60th anniversary today #StarTrek #TOS #Scifi #BehindtheScenes #OTD #Television #60s #Vintage #Photography #TrekSky
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Pasquinel 🦇🎃👻 @pasquinel.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
STAR TREK: TOS - Behind the Scenes (1/5) In honor of its 60th anniversary today #StarTrek #TOS #Scifi #BehindtheScenes #OTD #Television #60s #Vintage #Photography #TrekSky
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Starfleet Design 🖍🖖 @starfleetdesign.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Here's the first of two little things I've made to celebrate 60 years of a television show that became more television shows (plus some movies) and sometimes dropped some nuggets of actual wisdom. Happy #StarTrekDay to all who celebrate. 🖖
A recreation of a classic poster that reads:

All I need to know about life I learned from Star Trek

Below that is an illustration of the original series Enterprise. And below that is a justified list of quotes and aphorisms divided by delta bullet points. The list reads:

• Seek out new life and new civilizations
• Logic is the beginning of wisdom, not the end
• There’s no such thing as a Vulcan death grip
• Even in fear, you can still step forward
• It is possible to commit no mistakes and still lose. That is not a weakness. That is life
• Never trust a planet that looks exactly like Earth
• It’s a long road
• There are four lights!
• The first duty is to the truth
• Go fast!
• When you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains must be the truth
• We are all explorers
• It’s difficult to work in groups when you're omnipotent
• Sometimes, hope is a choice
• Fortune favors the bold
• It’s easy to be a saint in paradise
• Don't believe in no-win scenarios
• We all deserve to belong somewhere
• Keep your shirt tucked in, go down with the ship, and never abandon a member of your crew
• Boldly go where no one has gone before!
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
I had a chance to see this at an early screening and found it quite moving. Good prep for the 25th anniversary of 9/11. Debuts tonight on CNN cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com/2026/05/13/c...
cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com
CNN Films Present New Documentary Short “Top of the World”
CNN Films and TIME Studios today announced Top of the World, a new documentary short from filmmakers Betsy West and Julie Cohen.
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 07/09/2026
Marshall McLuhan is as pertinent today as he was in 1964, and the reason is his definition of media, which is broader than ours. Circularity transformation needs a media strategy in his sense of the word. Here is what he meant.
circudyne.com
Understanding Media
One of my foundational beliefs in starting Circudyne was: circularity needs more Cannes than Davos. More creativity than policy. Imagining more things people want than mandating stuff they're told they need. To support this claim, this week I'm covering _Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man_ by Marshall McLuhan. Understanding Media: The Extensions of ManUnderstanding Media: The Extensions of Man - Kindle edition by McLuhan, Marshall. Download it once and read it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man.AmazonMarshall McLuhan (Author) Format: Kindle Edition The book has thirty-three chapters. The last thirty-one are case studies, taken one medium at a time. The first two chapters are the theory, and the theory is where I'll focus. ## The book in brief McLuhan was a Canadian professor of English who, in the early 1960s, became one of the most famous public intellectuals in the world. He has a fantastic cameo in _Annie Hall_. He is remembered for the phrase, "the medium is the message." The argument behind the catch phrase is what survives scrutiny sixty years on. The argument goes like this. A medium is any extension of ourselves (hence the subtitle _The Extensions of Man_). The wheel extends the foot. Clothing extends the skin. Writing extends the eye and money extends the hand. Electricity extends the central nervous system. Every one of these prostheses changes the scale, the pace, or the pattern of human affairs, and that change, not whatever the medium happens to carry, is its message. The content of a medium, he says, "is like the juicy piece of meat carried by the burglar to distract the watchdog of the mind." By that definition, gunpowder is a medium. Napoleon "understood the grammar of gunpowder," and McLuhan means it literally. Money is a medium. The electric light is a medium with no content at all, which is why nobody regards it as one. And a television network is a medium regardless of what it broadcasts, which is where McLuhan picks a fight. General David Sarnoff of RCA had said that the products of science are neither good nor bad in themselves; it's how they're used that counts. McLuhan calls that "the voice of the current somnambulism," and rewrites the sentence with firearms in place of television to show it doesn't work. A technology never simply adds itself to what we already are. It rearranges us. ## A word that shrank We use the word "media" now to mean the content business. McLuhan specifically delineated the two. But we ignore the distinction constantly, because we are drowning in content. Content is king. The extensions of man have multiplied so fast that they demand more content than any previous generation could produce. But the misnomer has shrunk our understanding. When we say media we mean channels and feeds and the people who fill them. McLuhan meant the prosthesis itself. _Everything a brand does is media_ , Lee Clow said, and the line only works in McLuhan's sense: the packaging, the retail architecture, the product design are all extensions of the brand into the customer's life. Their message is what they do to the scale and pace and pattern of that life, whatever the campaign says. The Element of Integration: Crafting Circular AdvantageIn which we use Apple as a lens to understand the power of treating brand, strategy, and organization as a single unit. Circular business models require this same unified approach to succeed—tomorrow’s integrated firms will represent an evolutionary step beyond today’s models.CircudyneChristian Rishel Once we restore McLuhan's meaning of the word, three things come into focus: AI, mythology, and strategy. ## A medium we can only see as a technology McLuhan closes his introduction with a prediction. After the mechanical age extended our bodies in space and the electric age extended our nervous system around the planet, "we approach the final phase of the extensions of man," which he calls "the technological simulation of consciousness, when the creative process of knowing will be collectively and corporately extended to the whole of human society." He wrote that in 1964. It is an uncanny one-sentence description of artificial intelligence written as media theory, not computer science. We talk about AI as a technology and as an economic force. We rarely talk about it as a medium, which is the thing it most obviously is: an extension of thought, which will change the scale, pace, and pattern of everything it touches, regardless of what anyone uses it for. Scale, pace, and pattern are his words. He would probably say that the content — the chatbots and the images and the code — is the meat for the watchdog. For our purposes, AI is a component of the Three Dynamos, the enabling technologies that converge to make the Circular Century possible: Ambient Intelligence, Distributed Power, and Recombinant Matter. Reading McLuhan encourages me to think about all three as media. Each is a prosthesis. Each will rearrange us. The question is what discipline arrays them. ## We are as gods Four years after McLuhan wrote _Understanding Media_ , Stewart Brand opened the _Whole Earth Catalog_ with "We are as gods and might as well get good at it." I think these are related ideas. The extensions of man confer powers that every earlier civilization reserved for the gods. That is why the oldest stories we have are about mortals mingling with gods, borrowing their powers, cheating them, paying for it, and coming home. Stephen Fry, introducing his _Odyssey_ , notes that the Trojan War was "a mortal enterprise," suffered and endured by ordinary people with the gods intruding at the edges, and that the _Odyssey_ begins where the war ends: a profoundly human story with gods and monsters playing their part. That blending of the earthly and the heavenly is what ancient and modern audiences alike want from myth. It's clear why. A myth is a case study in successful passage from one world to another. _We did it before; we can do it again._ That is the _regenerative_ power George Lucas reached for when he decided, after making two angry films, that pessimism only makes people accept the conditions that prevail, and that what the country needed was to "regenerate optimism." He read Campbell, saw what needed doing, and did it, without a commission, as an artist. McLuhan says the serious artist is the only person who can encounter new technology with impunity, because the artist is the expert in changes of sense perception. In McLuhan's sense, Lucas is a serious artist. Douglas Holt has shown that brands become icons by siding with a cultural longing and giving it a voice; I've called the distance between how people live and how they want to live the Mythology Gap. Holt's diagnosis and Lucas' prescription are possible because of McLuhan's diagnosis. The media people are reaching for right now, like an _Odyssey_ in theaters, are the tribal, oral, participatory forms that predate Plato. People are not looking for better arguments. They are looking for a formative myth to carry them from this world to the next. The brands that supply one will extend themselves into the future as icons. Closing the Mythology GapWhen change outpaces our stories, organizations lose coherence. Here we explore how cultural renewal shapes fitness for the Circular Century.CircudyneChristian Rishel * * * ## What McLuhan means by a media strategy Every brand is doing media already, in the full sense. The strategy question is whether it is doing it on purpose. McLuhan's metaphor for that question is temperature. A _hot_ medium is high definition, filled in for you, and asks little: print, radio, film, the lecture. A _cool_ medium is low definition and has to be completed by its audience: the telephone, the seminar, the cartoon, the television of his day. Hot media are low in participation. Cool media are high in participation. He also observed that the mechanical age was fragmentary and centralist while the electric age is "integral and decentralist in depth," and that the electric acceleration, unlike every specialist technology before it, retribalizes. Put those together and a pattern appears that fits the Circular Century almost too well. _Decentralized is cool is participatory is tribal_. A power plant five states away is hot; the solar panel you own is cool. A fast food drive-through is hot; the neighborhood kitchen is cool. A subscription that enshittifies on schedule is hot; the repairable durable good you maintain is cool, and the community it engenders looks a lot like a tribe forming around order. Clayton Christensen would recognize the same pattern as disruption from the low end, closer to the user, good enough, and growing. This is why circularity transformation needs a media strategy. The Three Dynamos make the tribe materially possible. What the tribe lacks is the formative myth to rally around. That myth has to arrive first, as perception, before the demand is measurable. I argued several seasons ago that the funnel starts earlier than awareness, and that if we want different outcomes we have to intervene earlier, at the level of experience. McLuhan explains why. "Everybody experiences far more than he understands. Yet it is experience, rather than understanding, that influences behavior, especially in collective matters of media and technology, where the individual is almost inevitably unaware of their effect upon him." Most brands today _receive_ perception. They measure the demand that already exists because it can be sized, and they arrive too late in the funnel to affect anything. The alternative is to _shape_ it, which means participating in the myth rather than responding to it. Disney understood this when he built on fairy tales. Apple understood it when it planted itself at the crossroads of technology and the liberal arts. _Everything a brand does is media._ ## Discipline, not destination Circudyne promotes "a world without waste," and it would be easy to mistake that for the goal. It isn't. Elimination of waste was never Toyota's purpose either. Taiichi Ohno's book is explicit that higher imperatives came from the Toyoda family: raise the originality and consciousness of Japanese industry, catch up with America in three years, develop human ability to its fullest capacity. Waste elimination was the organizing principle that arrayed the tools toward those ends. Circularity plays the same role. It is the discipline by which we point the prostheses at goals worth having, and the goal at the top of the list, as I've argued before, is joy, which among other things offers a gracious exit from the hedonic treadmill. McLuhan would ask whether any discipline can hold a medium to a purpose, since media rearrange us while we use them. I don't have a theory of progress to offer against that. I have the observation that Toyota is still _muda_ -free decades after Ohno, that Disney and Apple still embody their founders' values imperfectly enough that people keep asking what Walt or Steve would do, and that progress has never been a steady state anyway. What we can expect of ourselves is the initiative to start the project in earnest. We'll be lucky to have McLuhan's problem one day. It will mean the transformation is under way. * * * _McLuhan would say the rest of this letter is a cool medium: it needs you to complete it. Dynamo members, the people building plenty with us, read on. If you're reading as a guest, you're welcome here. But the best seats are reserved._ Join the Dynamos. * * * ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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Jake Black @jakeboyslim.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
I’m watching so much Star Trek between now and Tuesday. #StarTrek60
static.klipy.com
Beavis and Butt-Head Star Trek Parody
ALT: Beavis and Butt-Head Star Trek Parody
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 31/08/2026
Christopher Alexander built a language for making places that serve human needs beautifully and economically. It doubles as a manual for choosing well where no data exists — the exact position circularity strategists occupy today.
circudyne.com
A Pattern Language
‎A Pattern Language‎Arts & Entertainment · 2018Apple BooksChristopher Alexander A logical consequence of living in a world where things are disposable is that the cost of ugliness goes down. If an object fails to please the eye or otherwise delight the senses, you can just wait to replace it. As objects become more durable — fixtures in our lives — that cost goes up. So good design matters in the Circular Century. I’ve always been struck by Jony Ive's frequent use of the word "intention." He speaks often of designing with intent. I wanted to see where the language of intent comes from. So this week I read one of his influences, _A Pattern Language_ by Christopher Alexander. It provided an interesting counterpart to last week’s book: _Toyota Production System_ by Taiichi Ohno. Ohno’s book is about building abundance in a context of scarcity by using systems. This one is too. ## The book in brief _A Pattern Language_ was published in 1977 by Alexander and his colleagues at Berkeley. It is one half of a single work; _The Timeless Way of Building_ is the theory, and _A Pattern Language_ is the practice. The practice is 253 patterns, arranged from the scale of regions down to decor. Each pattern names a problem that recurs in our environment, then gives the core of its solution — stated, in the book's words, "in such a way that you can use this solution a million times over, without ever doing it the same way twice." The patterns form a network. Each one is completed by the larger patterns above it and completes the smaller ones below it. Alexander draws the consequence in a sentence I marked as the essence of the book: when you build a thing, "you cannot merely build that thing in isolation, but must also repair the world around it, and within it, so that the larger world at that one place becomes more coherent, and more whole." Two pieces of the machinery matter most for our purposes. First, every pattern is offered as a hypothesis. Alexander marks each with asterisks that "represent our degree of faith." Two asterisks claim an “invariant” — a property of every well-formed solution to that problem, expected to endure for 500 years. One asterisk claims progress toward understanding. No asterisk is an open admission: we have not solved this one. And a rule of use follows: when in doubt about a pattern, leave it out. Second, the language can be spoken as prose or as poetry. Compress many patterns into one dense place and you get "the most ordinary economy of space" — and, Alexander says, the only way to make "buildings which are poems." Economy and beauty are one act. Ohno would have understood. ## A language I recognized Regular readers know that we maintain a canon. One entry is Systemic Beauty: the design discipline that makes a circular system worth living with across decades. It has three elements. Compositional Logic — the parts compose in space. Instructional Design — the system teaches itself to its user. Timelessness — the parts compose in time, so old elements give continuity while new ones add capability. I assembled that trio to apply to products in the context of circularity: products as services, products that last a long time, products built for loving maintenance. Reading Alexander, I found a counterpart, written half a century earlier, derived from buildings. Alexander’s rule Structure Follows Social Spaces (205) is compositional logic for place-making. The pattern format itself — problem, evidence, instruction — is instructional design; the book teaches the reader to build without gatekeepers. The two-asterisk invariants are the essence of timelessness. I want to be careful about what this convergence means. Alexander did not anticipate our framework, and we did not borrow his. He wrote for place-makers. We write for object-makers. He could distill his patterns from 10,000 years of places that already work. Our exemplars do not exist yet, so we must reverse-engineer them from the future — asking, with Roger Martin, what would have to be true. Two pattern languages, built from different disciplines, with similar grammar. ## Confidence pips The asterisks deserve special attention, because they solve a problem afflicting strategists looking towards an uncertain future — which means pretty much all of us. Martin borrows two of Aristotle's intellectual virtues: _episteme_ , the systematic knowledge that can be taught and replicated, and _phronesis_ , the practical wisdom required where precedent does not apply. The boundary dictates the approach. Before acting on any analysis, ask whether you are willing to assume the future will be identical to the past. If yes, follow the analysis. If no, do not use it. 📐 Data-centered decision-making carries a strong bias against decisions that require hard-to-acquire data. And there is no data from the future. So the future gets discounted. Alexander's asterisks embody epistemic degrees of confidence. Two asterisks mark the places where the past is deep enough to trust — where the whole history of human dwelling offers proof of concept. The unstarred patterns hand the problem back to your judgment, and say, _Go_. The modern enterprise has organized itself around the opposite habit. Data-centered decision-making carries a strong bias against decisions that require hard-to-acquire data. And there is no data from the future. So the future gets discounted. The longer horizon becomes less knowable, so the shorter one wins by default. Our built world shows the results: places built down to a budget rather than up to a purpose. Alexander offers the alternative: heuristics, expressed as such, ranked by declared faith, open to improvement by anyone. A system for industrializing the creation of beautiful work — and for justifying humanistic service at scale. (He expresses confidence in terms of faith, which is kind of interesting. That’s given me something to think about.) ## What the book means to me Alexander built his language for towns facing economic ruin. Ohno built his system in a country recovering from obliteration. Circularity answers imperatives of its own. The revealed pattern: constraint is the parent of the beautiful outcome, not its enemy. That is why the argument in favor of circularity should not be one of denial. Circularity decouples value creation from resource extraction by daring to imagine the alternative, and the abundance it creates is a clear-eyed embrace of a finite planet. The Earthrise photograph and Carl Sagan’s Pale Blue Dot soliloquy are celebrations, not lamentations, of finiteness. The beauty of our home, seen at any scale, is a function of its fragility. To make a durable, lovely home here — at once in defiance of that fragility and in harmony with it — is the fullest expression of consciousness I can conceive. The point is not to survive, but to live. Not just as individuals; as a planet full of different forms of sentient beings. We should not sacrifice that potential to the exigencies of the workweek and the pull of the lowest common denominator. The resignation to take what comes is a disease. Books like _A Pattern Language_ are part of the cure. Alexander wrote it, he says, "as a first step in the society-wide process by which people will gradually become conscious of their own pattern languages, and work to improve them." That is as fine a description of this letter's ambition as I could write myself. * * * ## The long lead time The Towns patterns are where the book's critics wince. World government of independent regions. Farmland open to all. Scattered work. It is easy to file this under 1970s Berkeley and move on. I think that understanding is a mistake — and the mistake is instructive. These patterns (to which Alexander assigned numbers, see below) did not fail on the merits. They failed on timing. The centralizing technologies of the twentieth century — steel and stamping, then chip fabrication — undermined Scattered Work (9). Big box retailers overtook Individually Owned Shops (87). Platform enshittification replaced Small Services Without Red Tape (81). The economics of the era ran against the grain of the patterns, and the incumbents those economics created have concentrated resources to prolong their moment. But the pendulum has reached its apogee. The enabling technologies of the Circular Century — Distributed Power, Ambient Intelligence, Recombinant Matter — are _de_ centralizers, just as the grid, the automobile, and mass production were centralizers a century ago. Read Alexander's Towns section again with that lens, and it stops being a utopian artifact. It becomes a catalog of what is about to become buildable. The forces of decentralization are arrayed in favor of order now; it is the incumbents who deal in chaos. Are You a Punk?When institutions produce the chaos, order becomes the rebellion. The punks of 2026 don’t sneer. They say “no thank you” and build something without you.CircudyneChristian Rishel * * * _Alexander says no pattern can live in isolation — and neither can this letter. The rest is for Dynamo members, the people building plenty with us. If you're reading as a guest, you're welcome here. But the best seats are reserved._ Join the Dynamos. ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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Reposted by Christian D. Rishel
Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 24/08/2026
Lean's founding text by Taiichi Ohno shows that the most celebrated efficiency revolution in business history was circular from the start — and hands circularity transformation its strongest precedent.
circudyne.com
Toyota Production System
‎Toyota Production System‎Business & Personal Finance · 2019Apple BooksTaiichi Ohno My first impression of circularity, when I encountered it, was how much it resembled Lean. I had done Lean engagements as a consultant earlier in my career, and by then the firm I worked for was promoting Lean well beyond its original reputation as a cost-reduction method. Lean had come to be understood as a path to organizational health, and organizational health correlates with enterprise value. Firms seeking higher enterprise value were advised to try Lean if they hadn't already, in the hope of earning a higher multiple. Sustainability, meanwhile, was a cost center. As I saw the practice in those days, it was oriented toward mitigating bad behavior rather than creating new kinds of beneficial value, and I doubted its long-term prospects inside any profit-oriented organization for exactly that reason. So when I found that circularity achieved sustainability goals while closely resembling the method that led to organizational health and enterprise value, I sensed an undiscovered concatenation. My training confirmed the prior: I had been taught to begin Lean engagements with value chain analysis, and that is precisely where my circularity training began too. Ever since, I have written about, spoken about, and tested the proposition that circularity is the logical extension of Lean — what I call Lean 2.0. This week I went to the source and read what is arguably the Old Testament of Lean: Taiichi Ohno's _Toyota Production System_. The book confirmed the thesis more literally than I expected. ## The book in brief Ohno wrote the book in 1978, and it offers far more historical context than I anticipated. He was conscious of lineage. He spends a good part of the book on Henry Ford and the Ford process, and on Alfred Sloan and the way General Motors bent the automobile business away from Ford's original principles. Ohno placed Toyota in that sequence: Ford, then General Motors, then Toyota. The cultural context matters just as much. In August 1945, Toyoda Kiichirō, then president of Toyota, declared that the company must catch up with America in three years or Japan's automobile industry would not survive. The productivity gap was said to be nine to one. Ohno asked the obvious question: could an American really exert nine times the physical effort? Surely the Japanese were wasting something — and if the waste could be eliminated, productivity should rise by a factor of ten. That question was the spark of the Toyota Production System (TPS). It was postwar national pride put to productive purpose, and it was born of necessity rather than abundance. The other thing Ohno was reckoning with was the world of 1978 itself. The book returns again and again to the "low growth" period — the oil crisis had ended the era when any manufacturer could lower unit costs through mere volume. Fordism ran on pure economies of scale: big lots, standardized product, wringing the most out of every die change. Ohno argued that TPS was uniquely suited to a world where that logic was too rigid to adjust to a low-growth environment. A system built for an age of constraint is precisely what an age of constraint calls for. ## An effect mistaken for a cause The famous numbers in the book concern tool changes. In Detroit, switching dies on a press could take the better part of a shift, which placed a premium on standardization and big lots. Toyota drove the same changeover down to as little as three minutes. That opened the line to different models and variants interspersed with one another, and to the load balancing at the core of how TPS works. But Ohno is clear that quick changeovers were an effect of the system rather than its cause. Toyota's sales process was far more tightly integrated with production than Detroit's, so Toyota could see that every car is sold one at a time, to one buyer, who regards it as an individual product. Production had to respect that. The system followed from the demand, and the demand was for variety, of kind and in volume. ## The two pillars TPS rests on two pillars. The first, "autonomation" — distinct from automation — is a clever blending of human and machine. Ohno's machines stop themselves the moment they detect an abnormality, which means a worker no longer stands watch over one machine but moves among many. Detroit made people behave more like machines; Ohno's arrangement made people more powerful, more flexible, and more multi-skilled. The dexterity of the worker and the intelligence of the machine reinforce each other. The second pillar is kanban. Ohno's kanban is distinct from the chart the contemporary lexicon has named after it. In Ohno's meaning, it was a slip of paper in a vinyl envelope that traveled with every part — carrying what the part is, where it came from, where it goes, how many are needed. What struck me is that kanban is metadata for things in the real world. It reminded me of YAML frontmatter in a Markdown document: the object carries its own description and intent. And the discipline had inbuilt limits. Nothing moves without its kanban, defective parts must never be passed to the next station, and the autonomous machines stop on any fault. The effect is that the line has its own reflex — that's the "autono-" in autonomation. The legend that any Toyota worker can stop the line understates the fact — the system stops itself, without requiring judgment or courage at the moment of failure. ## Looking backwards up the line It was Ohno's unique perspective that gave me the book's biggest thrill: a foreshadowing of the reverse logistics that power the Circular Century. Ohno tells us he has "always tried to view things upside down," and the invention of just-in-time is his masterpiece of inversion. In his _status quo ante_ , the flow supplied materials from an earlier process to a later one. Ohno reversed it: the later process goes to the earlier process and withdraws only what it needs, when it needs it, in the quantity it needs — and the earlier process makes only what was withdrawn. The kanban provides the communication channel. The whole system, from finished car back to raw material, is pulled from the end rather than pushed from the beginning. Ohno used reverse-logistics thinking to solve for efficiency in forward production. The founding gesture of Lean was to make the factory think backwards — to let the downstream state command the upstream flow. Circularity applies the identical logic one step further: the disposed product, moving back against the current, commanding what gets made, remade, and recovered. That loop was always present, if latently so, in Lean's DNA. It was simply cut short at the loading dock, where the value chain stopped, and where responsibility was handed to the customer and the landfill. This is why I no longer present Lean 2.0 as an analogy. It is a continuation. The most celebrated efficiency revolution in business history was, at its origin, a circular one. There is a second inversion worth mentioning. Ohno read Ford's legacy as something to embrace and extend, not subvert. He admired Ford's "brilliant inverse conceptions" — Ford asking whether cotton was really the best material for the job when flax was a locally sourced and better-suited material. Readers of Playing to Win will recognize the perspective. Ohno, and Ford, posed a variation of what Roger Martin refers to as the most important question in strategy: what would have to be true? It is also the reasoning posture Horizons asks of every circularity strategist. ## A revolution in consciousness Ohno offers a curious phrase to describe a sine qua non for implementing TPS: "a revolution in consciousness." Holding inventory was once wisdom — a hedge, a granary. He declares the hoarding instinct obsolete: industrial society must develop the courage, or rather the common sense, to procure only what is needed, when it is needed, in the amount needed. Almost half a century later, I cannot improve on that sentence as a statement of circularity principle. He also saw that waste compounds — excess workers, equipment, and product generate secondary waste, the cost of managing what should never have existed. We would call these externalities. And notably, when Toyota's method reached its suppliers, Ohno's people went and taught them. Contrast that with the current fashion of burdening suppliers with scope 2 and 3 targets and calling it engagement. The transformation Ohno demanded was a change of attitude before it was a change of tooling — which is, as it happens, the position this letter has argued from its first issue. We've often lamented that the circularity transformation lacks its Toyota — its emblematic proof of concept. In providing this authoritative portrait of Lean's, we can better understand the standard that circularity's exemplar has to reach. * * * ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
This classic still has much to teach us, not only about strategy but about people too. There is a lot of work to be done to build the circular economy. Lucky for us, the late and beloved Prof. Christensen still has answers on how to make disruptive change.
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 10/08/2026
Strategy is a choice, so you might as well choose to win. For circularity leaders, the framework offers an opportunity and a moment of truth.
circudyne.com
Playing to Win
This season's Roger Martin appreciation theme culminates with _Playing to Win_ (2013), the eponymous volume based on the strategy framework copiously cited in these letters and relied upon in our transformation architecture. Credited both to A.G. Lafley and Martin, the book is a memoir as much as a manual: the story of P&G's choices between 2000 and 2009, told by the chief executive who led it and the strategist he called his "alter ego and partner." ‎Playing to Win, Expanded with Bonus HBR Articles‎Business & Personal Finance · 2025Apple BooksA.G. Lafley I am a regular and, obviously, ardent reader of Martin's practitioner essays, so much of the book was as expected. But there were at least a couple of enlightening surprises: an origin story, which I will cover below; and a realization about what kind of object this book is. It is a realized artifact of strategy. And it was refreshing to dive back into the world of P&G in its heyday. There was also one major unexpected synthesis about moments of truth that is of particular relevance to the task of circularity transformation. ## Five choices — and a product Strategy, the authors insist, is a dynamic concatenation of questions to be answered: What is your winning aspiration? Where will you play? How will you win? What capabilities must be in place? What management systems are required? The middle pair — where to play, how to win — is the heart, and the five form a cascade in which choices at the top set context for the ones below, while the ones below reach back up and revise the top. As innovation, _Playing to Win_ is sustaining. It presents itself as an agile synthesis of prior work: it cites Michael Porter's five forces and activity system, the fork between cost leadership and differentiation. The book is dedicated to Peter Drucker, whose immortal lesson is translated into P&G's house dialect: the consumer is boss. The cases are lively and relatable — Olay rebuilt to serve a new segment, Gillette learning India by shaving alongside its customers, a diaper priced for parity with an egg. The remarkable thing about this book is that it exemplifies its method. It is a product, not a treatise. Lafley's objective was to make strategy accessible across an organization, easier to communicate, repeatable at every level, from the company to the category to the function. Both authors praise the approach in terms you would use for a well-designed good. P&G codified its brand-building craft as a framework called BBF 1.0 and shipped upgrades through 4.0, the way it shipped Tide improvements — or software updates. For Lafley and Martin, the practitioner is their consumer. Their prescription fits a credible diagnosis. It is accessible, without sacrificing depth. ## Ego is the enemy (of strategy) The most delightful part for me was learning the origin story of a keystone concept. Early in his career, Martin sat with a mining company facing a brutal choice: shut the operation down, or invest to save it. He had a strong view about which option was best. He had just dealt with a client who fatefully and catastrophically ignored his advice in a comparable situation; that experience weighed heavily and he wondered if the cycle was about to repeat. It stressed him out. Then came his career-making realization. It did not matter "a whit" what he thought. The people around the table — the mine managers on one side, head office managers on the other — were the ones who would have to act. His opinion, however good, could not do the acting for them. His job was to serve them. Out of that diminution of ego came the "most important question in strategy": what would have to be true? Not _what do I believe_. Not _who is right_. For each option on the table: what would have to be true — about customers, about capabilities, about costs — for this possibility to be a great choice? The question removes the self from the argument so the argument can work. In the process the book builds around it, skeptics are asked to name the exact source of their skepticism instead of denouncing the idea. No one owns a possibility, so no one has to die on a hill for one. Opinions about whether the conditions are true are, in the authors' word, counterproductive; the work is identifying the conditions and testing the shakiest one. Last week I called Martin a philosopher's strategist, or a strategist's philosopher. He lives up to that again this week. The fact that the Playing to Win approach to strategy came from an act of ego destruction comes as no surprise. The philosophy and the strategy are the same move. The story provides an unexpected coda for last week's letter. A Popperian conscience is hard for humans because refutation feels personal; what-would-have-to-be-true is falsification with the self taken out. And notice what the question can do that its complement can't: _what is true_ can only contemplate things that already exist. _What would have to be true_ can contemplate things that do not exist yet. There is no data from the future. But there are conditions, and conditions can be tested. ## The edge of the map By its authors' own designation, PTW is a strategy machine rather than an innovation machine. Lafley kept innovation with separate advisors — the book credits Clayton Christensen and Innosight on disruption, and Connect + Develop for open innovation — and the strategy choice cascade is quieter about what to do when the playing field itself must be invented. There is an interesting point of entry for radical innovation, though. In the discussion of segmentation, the authors observe that the accepted industry maps are imperfect — like the old maps of a flat world, with edges you could sail off — and they instruct the reader to explore segments that do not currently exist. That is the framework's one door out of its own remit. That's the portal for circularity transformation. At scale, incumbents today are behaving well according to the linear industry map, and they are being rewarded for it. The problem is the map. It is past its expiration date. When Crest expanded from toothpaste to a full oral-care regimen, that was a border adjustment — smart, incremental, and entirely inside the old projection. A circular industry map is a change of projection. A category difference in segments, success criteria, and shape. The proof of the old map's obsolescence is the new territory beyond its borders: the conscious non-consumers who communicate through absence, economic dark matter for linear brands. They live past the edge of the incumbent's map, out where the old cartographers wrote their warning. Here be dragons. To brands transformed for circularity, they appear as an underserved segment with potent cultural power. How this extension sits with Martin, I honestly do not know. I hope to ask him one day. ## The Last Moment of Truth Among the tools P&G has wielded to good effect is a pair of moments of truth: the first, when a consumer encounters the product on the shelf; the second, when she first uses it at home. A former colleague of mine at Google, Jim Lecinski, wrote ZMOT and defined the Zero Moment of Truth — the research a shopper now does before ever reaching the shelf. P&G later added a third, when a delighted consumer becomes an advocate. Notice where every one of these moments lives: at the beginning of a product's life. That is the linear economy's field of vision. It sees the courtship and the wedding, and nothing after. Circularity's moment arrives at the other end. Call it the **Last Moment of Truth** : the moment when a product's first life ends and something must happen next. The repair. The refill. The return. The resale. The name works on three levels. Marie Kondo has written a liturgy for the last moment you are with the product: thanking the object for its service, a parting with intention and grace. Circularity as the transformation after which no further transformation is needed. And closing the loop — the final stage in a process. In a circular economy, the Last Moment of Truth is not terminal. One person's last moment restarts the sequence for someone else — and it can restart anywhere: at the listing, on the atelier shelf, or straight into a new home. The returned coat becomes a discovery; the refurbished phone becomes an unboxing. What linear thinking treats as an ending, circular thinking treats as a handoff. And where the linear funnel has one entrance, the loop has many. Last week's letter called for a vision worth choosing and a theory honest enough to avoid becoming dogma. PTW is the machine that builds both. And the Last Moment of Truth is where a circular strategist should point it first. _The rest of this letter is for Dynamo members — the people building plenty with us. If you're reading as a guest, you're welcome here. But the best seats are reserved._ Join the Dynamos_._ * * * ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
This week, I cover two books Roger Martin calls “required reading if you want to be a great strategist”: Karl Popper's The Logic of Scientific Discovery (1959) and Thomas Kuhn's The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1962).
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George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸 @gtconway.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
I was thinking for a moment there should be a drinking game where everyone downs a shot when the United States Attorney's office for the District of Columbia has to drop a frivolous indictment but then I realized only the United States Attorney herself could survive that game
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 20/07/2026
Donella Meadows built an exquisite analytical toolkit, then told us exactly where its utility ends. The future can only be envisioned, not analyzed.
circudyne.com
Thinking in Systems
> Systems thinking makes clear even to the most committed technocrat that getting along in this world of complex systems requires more than technocracy. > — Donella Meadows, _Thinking in Systems_ * * * Summer reading continues! In last week's Letter, we read the trio of founding texts that inform the substance of circularity: Biomimicry, Cradle to Cradle, and the Performance Economy. This week we pick up the book that gave us its mindset. _Thinking in Systems_ by Donella Meadows provides a shared vocabulary for everyone interested in circularity: stocks, flows, feedback loops, leverage points. ‎Thinking in Systems‎Business & Personal Finance · 2008Apple BooksDonella Meadows I finished it this week and found something new. The book ends, compellingly, with the message that the toolkit is necessary, but not sufficient, for making change. ## A toolkit that works Meadows diagrams capital stock as two loops in tension. Investment feeds the stock and compounds — a reinforcing loop. Depreciation drains it — a balancing loop. Whichever loop dominates decides whether the system climbs exponentially (and crashes when resources run out) or reaches equilibrium. Obsolescence is a peer to depreciation. You raise a stock by slowing its outflow as surely as by speeding its inflow. That statement is Stahel's "era of R" in systems vocabulary. Service-life extension _is_ outflow reduction. Repair, remanufacture, upgrade — every one of them slows the discharge. Now consider our status quo. Planned obsolescence speeds the outflow on purpose. Accelerated depreciation does the same thing on the balance sheet. Two faces of one coin, both shortening the working life of the stock. Meadows describes the balancing loops of a house, a furnace, and a thermostat. The furnace runs according to the weather outside. Make it artificially colder and the furnace runs harder. The harder it runs, the earlier it meets its "breakdown point." That describes the linear economy's relationship with everything it builds. We manufacture a hostile climate for our own capital stock and act puzzled when nothing lasts. Premature breakdown points proliferate. As Dark Helmet exclaims in Spaceballs: "...even in the future, nothing works!" Meadows strikes a subversive note. She ranks the interest rate among humanity's worst ideas, because it biases financial analysis against the long view. Manufactured dependence does the same thing. ## System understanding does not confer control Her concluding message in the book is a confession of sorts, about her own failures to influence systems under her direct control. She (and her colleagues) lectured on the structure of addiction and could not quit coffee. They mapped the trap of eroding goals and watched their own routines erode. They taught the dynamics of escalation, then built escalation into their marriages. The substance underneath that revelation is pertinent to all who would apply system analysis to the real world. Self-organizing, nonlinear, feedback systems are unpredictable. They cannot be controlled. Any objective worth pursuing is complex enough to defy predictive analysis. We cannot optimize because we don't know what variable to optimize, or even which direction to move it. Then she takes this observation to its logical endpoint. _Understanding_ a system and _managing_ one is a category difference. Analysis can only take you so far. This is a rather important point that you seldom see in the literature of the circular economy. ## Aristotle figured it out a while ago Regular readers will know how much I have come to admire and depend on Roger Martin and his work. He has an essay I keep returning to, about epistemology and its application to strategy. Its memorable takeaway: "There is no data about the future — ever." Martin cites Aristotle's two kinds of knowledge. * Part of the world where things _cannot_ be other than they are. Drop a ball and it falls. It will fall the same way tomorrow, so a sample from the past represents the future perfectly. Analysis works beautifully there. * The rest of the world is where things _can_ be other than expected, because it involves people, and people change. A survey about smartphone use in 1999 tells you nothing about what will happen in 2020, since in 1999 nobody knew what a smartphone was. Martin's lament is that business education in its current state trains people to apply Aristotle's first method to the second world. Look at Meadows through that lens and the two perspectives lock together. Her definition of a system — self-organizing, nonlinear, unpredictable — _is_ Aristotle's second category. They mapped the same boundary from opposite directions. Martin found it through strategy. Meadows found it through ecosystems. The road to the Circular Century runs through far side of that line. It offers opportunities for people to own different, buy different, want different. No amount of past consumer data will tell you how that is going to work out. "The Circular Century offers opportunities for people to own different, buy different, want different." ## Both of them prescribe imagination Martin invokes Aristotle's remedy. Imagine the possibilities, then choose the one you can argue for most compellingly. After that, prototype: build a small version and turn the future into the past, so that at last you have data about it. Meadows lands in a similar place. The future cannot be predicted. It can be envisioned, and brought into being with care. Her conclusion waxes lyrical: > Systems thinking... says that there is plenty to do, of a different sort of “doing.” The future can’t be predicted, but it can be envisioned and brought lovingly into being. I think she uses that word "lovingly" with a rigorous intention. Which raises a stubborn objection. So let's talk about it. Imagination without discipline is daydreaming. What separates the two is judgment, theory, and the scientific method. Finding truth starts with a hypothesis. Building a better future starts with a dream. Envisioning a future we would choose to live in wastes nobody's time. It is the first step of progress. Circularity owns a surplus of models and runs a deficit of dreams. Meadows told us which one was missing. More of us should read this book to the end. _The rest of this letter is for Dynamo members — the people reading along with us. If you're here as a guest, you're welcome at the table. The marginalia is reserved._ Join the Dynamos_._ * * * ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Circudyne summer reading continues! This week, we revisit three #CircularEconomy foundation texts, viewed as a set. It's their struggle to see and tell the truth that really shines through. It's an inspiration to those of us who work in their shadow. www.circudyne.com/circularity-...
circudyne.com
Circularity Summer Camp: The Movement's Founding Texts
The founding texts of circularity — Benyus, McDonough & Braungart, and Stahel — read together. Three merit badges earned, and one still on the table.
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Mona Charen @monacharen.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Quick and unexpected isn't the worst way to die. Sympathies to Lindsey Graham's family and friends. RIP. My colleague Will Saletan wrote the best analysis of Graham's transformation in the Trump era. www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
youtube.com
The Corruption of Lindsey Graham - Audio Adaptation - YouTube
This audio adaptation of The Corruption of Lindsey Graham is narrated by author Will Saletan. For more on this special project go to specialto.thebulwark.com.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 12/07/2026
Lindsey Graham was one of the main subjects of a @theatlantic.com cover story I wrote in 2020, on why people collaborate with regimes they know are immoral. Here's a gift link: www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
theatlantic.com
History Will Judge the Complicit
Why have Republican leaders abandoned their principles in support of an immoral and dangerous president?
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Star City is this year’s Andor. tv.apple.com/us/show/star...
tv.apple.com
Watch Star City - Apple TV
Step into a thrilling chapter inspired by For All Mankind. Same alt-history universe. Different perspective: the Soviet Union’s. Go behind the Iron Cu…
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Circudyne @christian.circudyne.com.ap.brid.gy · 06/07/2026
The summer reading season opens with Walter Stahel's introductory text — a book that reaches for what's still missing: a longing for the circular economy.
circudyne.com
The Circular Economy: A User's Guide
Summer is here, and that means it's time for a new season of _the Circudyne Letter_. I've decided to start a new tradition that lives in harmony with the season: summer reading. My school mandated a slate of books to be read over the vacation. I suppose that while the compulsory aspect was not so welcome, it was nice to have another reason to settle down with books amidst all the celebratory and sensual delights of the season. I intend to make summer reading an annual event here at _the Letter_. This year, I'd like to revisit some of the canonical texts informing the conceptual framework of my practice. The best place to start is at the beginning. The book we'll look at today had the working title _Circular economy for beginners_. It's by Walter Stahel, who has been mentioned often in these letters and who subsequently reached out on LinkedIn with a link to it. ‎The Circular Economy‎Business & Personal Finance · 2019Apple BooksWalter R. Stahel I decided to build a larger list around and behind it — a few core circular-economy texts first, and then some volumes underlying some of the themes of Circudynamics: systems, strategy, Lean, the philosophy of science, the science of beauty and aspiration. If you'd like to follow along, please do. The complete reading list is outlined below. So the season starts where the field starts. _The Circular Economy: A User's Guide_ is Stahel's summary of his work leading up to the concept of circularity as we know it today. In the very beginning of the book, he invokes his muse. He quotes Saint-Exupéry: > When you want to build a ship, do not begin by gathering wood, cutting boards and organising work gangs, but rather create the longing for the sea, awaken within men the desire for the vast and endless sea. The shift to a circular economy, Stahel says, depends on that same longing — a bottom-up desire strong enough to make the whole transition self-propelling. He sets the question at the front door of his own book. Does he answer it? Hold that thought. ## An economy built around "YOU" Stahel thinks in epochs. For most of the human story, circularity needed no advocate, because scarcity compelled it. When a castle outlived its politics, its stones became bridges. Then coal and iron broke the constraint, leading to what he calls the _Linear Industrial Economy_. With that framing, he strips the linearity of any vestige of being the natural order of things. It's one epoch among several — a 250-year experiment, bracketed on one side by the circular society of scarcity and, if he has his way, on the other by a _Circular_ _**Industrial**_ _Economy_ of abundance. The old circularity was imposed. The new one must be chosen. The work happens in two theaters. "The era of 'R'" keeps objects at their highest value and utility: _re_ use, _re_ pair, _re_ manufacture; technological upgrade. "The era of 'D'" recovers molecules at their highest purity: _de_ -polymerize, _de_ -alloy, _de_ -laminate, _de_ -vulcanize. I was struck by how completely these two era-names carry this book on their shoulders, far more prominently than in any of the later literature on circularity I've encountered. The theme runs through every chapter. Manage stocks. Maintain value. Let _use value_ take the throne that _exchange value_ has held since the beginning of the industrial age. Stahel's device against thesis sprawl is a recurring line, and it is endearing and somewhat startling: _"The centre of the circular economy is YOU."_ His emphasis. Then he specifies: * YOU, the owner-user, keeping what you own in service instead of tossing and replacing. * YOU, the owner-manager of used objects, dismantling and remarketing. * YOU, the salesman, backing your goods with lifetime repair. * YOU, the policymaker, closing the liability loop. * YOU, the manager of a fleet. By the closing pages it is simply _you and me_. The book calls us where we are. Every reader leaves with an assignment, and nobody gets to be a spectator. ## A certain kind of caring And what is the nature of the assignment? A shared remedy: _caring_. A specific kind of caring, to be precise. His origin story is the Saxon foresters of 1713, where the word _sustainability_ was coined by men who tended forests because forests were the source of their wealth. His household example is Pirsig's motorcycle. His industrial example is Rolls-Royce, watching its engines in flight enabling repair while on the wing. This is husbandry — a long, custodial, economically interested relationship with a _stock_. You take care of the thing because the thing takes care of you. Somewhere in the margins of chapter one, I made this note: _caring is a substitute for planning._ It may be the book's hidden message. Nature has no master plan, Stahel observes, and neither did the circular economy of scarcity. What it has instead is millions of custodians, each holding a long relationship with a stock of things (and presumably, with each other). Caring acts as, or at least stands in for, the distributed governance that hasn't fully shown up yet for a transition to a circular industrial economy. ## Reflections Read through the lens of Circudynamics, the book grounds arguments in systems language that I have been making, if I'm honest, from intuition and experience. His account of premature obsolescence and restricted repair is his characterization of manufactured dependence. His regional workshops remanufacturing mass-produced goods parallel the atelier. And one sentence near the end was striking: if users had a voice and were heard, he allows, they could become the major change agents of the shift. There is the Circudyne hypothesis, endorsed in passing. He plants the flag and moves on. We differ, honestly, in two places. He expects the circular economy to substitute labor for energy; I think energy and machine intelligence are getting too cheap for that trade to pencil out. He files desire under sentiment — vintage-car rallies, heritage pride — and treats it as a minor driver. I think joy is the major one. But these are quarrels inside an agreement. ## Longing for the sea — not quite. Stahel is modest. He concedes his invocation to the muse goes unanswered. The book has structured and illustrated the principles of the circular industrial economy, he writes — but it may not have answered how to create the longing for the sea. His remaining suggestion: perhaps moving the legal gateposts — depreciation schedules, liability rules, taxing resources instead of labor — is how policymakers might spark some interest. A great economist walks to the edge of his discipline, and sees in the final step a choice between persuasion and compulsion. He chooses regulation. I'm more interested in where he started: by creating a longing for the sea. The concession matters, because the metaphorical longing to which he refers is a stand-in for something fundamental. Stahel admonishes us to remember that the circular _economy_ is about economics, and it's hard to argue against that. But economics involves the study of the relationship between supply and demand, and this book — like the field its author helped create — is a supply-side masterwork. Reverse logistics, remanufacturing returns, liability loops, mini-mills: supply, supply, supply. Demand is delegated to policy and to poetry, and so nobody owns it. My operating hypothesis — for this essay and for Circudyne — is that this is the field's debilitating blind spot, and it explains much of why a sensible, profitable, natural next epoch keeps failing to take hold. It's worked out backwards: the engineers built the ship. But hardly anyone is longing for the sea. ## No showroom As Stahel puts it: the circular industrial economy has no showroom. The linear economy is practically made of showrooms — the auto salons, the launch keynotes, the whole luminous apparatus of the point of sale. Circular work as presently conceived and practiced is quiet, local, dutifully whispered mouth to ear. No stage. No window display. No place where longing gets manufactured. Past epochs handled this differently. When the industrial future needed to spark demand, it built showrooms the size of cities. The great expositions — above all in 1939, where the World of Tomorrow turned a picture of prosperity into a dream that a nation later fulfilled and surpassed — did for their century exactly what Stahel says our century is missing. The Circular Century deserves one of its own. That is a longer argument, and readers of this letter have watched me make it for over a year now. Stahel's honesty is instructive. The field's user's guide ends by calling for a longing it fails to create. Creating that longing is the work of this moment. * * * ### Summer Reading 2026 1. Stahel, _The Circular Economy: A User's Guide_. 2. McDonough & Braungart, _Cradle to Cradle_ + Benyus, _Biomimicry_ + Stahel, _The Performance Economy_. 3. Meadows, _Thinking in Systems_. 4. Forrester, _Industrial Dynamics_. 5. Popper, _The Logic of Scientific Discovery_ + Kuhn, _The Structure of Scientific Revolutions_. 6. Martin, _Playing to Win_. 7. Christensen, _The Innovator's Dilemma_ + _The Innovator's Solution_. 8. Womack/Jones/Roos, _The Machine That Changed the World_ + Ohno, _Toyota Production System_ + Deming, _Out of the Crisis_. 9. Alexander, _A Pattern Language_ + Brand, _How Buildings Learn_. 10. McLuhan, _Understanding Media_. 11. Fadell, _Build_. 12. Hall, _Where Is My Flying Car?_ * * * _Image prompt: First-person point of view from a quiet New England beach looking out to sea, an elegant modestly-sized sailing sloop plowing the waves in the far distance, a single closed navy-blue hardcover book resting on the pale warm sand in the near foreground, dune grass at the margins, calm bright summer daylight, gentle surf and a broad open sky, mid-century travel-poster illustration style, 1960s World's Fair poster aesthetic, bold confident graphic design, flat color areas with clean edges, warm optimistic palette anchored by citrine yellow (#FEC400) sunlight with teal (#00B7B0) sea and sky, deep space navy (#1B2951) for depth and the book, a small coral red (#F14432) spot accent on the distant hull, pearl gray negative space, gouache and screenprint texture, serene and inviting, no people, no text_ * * * _Below the line: the equipment — three arguments this book puts in your hands — plus the takeaway and a preview of next week's reading._ ### This post is for subscribers only Become a member to get access to all content Subscribe now
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Why the next era or progress might be different than the others.
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
TAKE DOWN THE TARP
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
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Julie Cohen ❌👑 @filmmakerjulie.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
You’re looking at a creation by Leo Argoti, Montclair New Jersey’s most accomplished, beloved pastry chef. Leo, who is from Ecuador, has a valid work permit, a pending asylum case, and no criminal charges. Yet on Monday, he was sent to An ICE detention camp in Buffalo. He’d been picked up at a
A beautiful creamy ice cream cone inspired desert topped with a magenta flower and flecks of gold.
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Todd Vaziri @tvaziri.com · 17/05/2026
Holy cow "The Sheep Detectives" (2026) is absolutely incredible. STUNNING visual effects work in an extremely charming movie.
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
The linear economy gave us products designed to be thrown away every two years. What we lost: the possibility of attachment. Imagine making baseball gloves like this. Or violins. The Companion Device — what we'll build instead, in the Circular Century.
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
To slightly adapt Orwell: The Supreme Court told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was its final, most essential command.
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
The energy status quo has put the household at the far end of a long fragile string. The geometry has changed. Solar, wind, and batteries are technologies, not fuels. They obey the learning curve. The solarpunk household owns a piece of it. This week's letter:
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
The new Circudyne Letter is up. The Living Home — a dwelling that gets better across the decades, and the kind of company it takes to serve it. Made to last. Made to grow.
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Reposted by Christian D. Rishel
Steven Beschloss @stevenbeschloss.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
Honestly, it’s exhausting to have such dumb, corrupt, incompetent, reckless and evil people currently running the country. What a sad expression of the failure of education and morality in a country that once could pride itself on advancing talented and capable people.
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Reposted by Christian D. Rishel
Jon Cooper @joncooper-us.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
This photo should be on the front page of every single newspaper in America today.
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
An easy pre-order!
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Reposted by Christian D. Rishel
Chris Kempshall @chriskempshall.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
I’m watching the latest episodes of ‘Maul: Shadow Lord’ and, I don’t know folks, I’m starting to get the vibe that the Empire might not be the good guys.
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Reposted by Christian D. Rishel
Judd Legum @juddlegum.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Articles about Jared Kushner's diplomatic role with Iran that mention Kushner has received billions from the Saudi government (2/28-4/19): NYT: 5 of 58 WashPost: 1 of 43 WSJ: 0 of 40 AP: 0 of 26 CNN Wire: 0 of 18 NY Post: 0 of 17 Chicago Tribune: 0 of 4 LA Times: 0 of 4 Boston Globe: 0 of 2
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Christian D. Rishel @christianrishel.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
For decades we tried to keep the mid-century promise — convenience, abundance, a neighborhood worth coming home to — on infrastructure that couldn't support it. The necessary pieces are finally in place. The third Carousel of Plenty essay is The Neighbors. ↓
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Reposted by Christian D. Rishel
Allison Gill @muellershewrote.com · 13/04/2026
I’ll have what Hungary’s having.
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an elderly woman is sitting at a table in a restaurant and looking at the camera .
ALT: an elderly woman is sitting at a table in a restaurant and looking at the camera .
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