homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 06/10/2026i think the likelihood that schumer is the senate majority leader in 2029 is pretty small 120
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/20261) you know voters aren’t going to remember or care about any “bad” stuff you do 2) you know you’re gonna lose power to the right in an election cycle 3) the best thing you can do is moderate the right you’re about to lose power to 4) the best way to do that is to ruthlessly cull the far right 010
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/2026this is true and, given the likely state of the world for the next5 years, it also means that the “correct” move for any liberal government that does manage to get elected is extremely bleak 130
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/2026it’s becoming more and more clear that the only model of voter behavior with any explanatory power is “they all want it to be 2019 again” and they are going to punish government after government - left, right and center - who fail to make it 2019 again 16319
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/2026what that says about the level of suffering that may be required to re-establish this cordon sanitaire is extremely bleak 0666
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/2026the thing is, there does exist a level of fascist horror that creates a durable impression among voters that this is a monstrous ideology that can never be allowed near power, and they vote accordingly. we know this because it was the prevailing state of affairs for seventy years. 1594
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/2026the problem with trump and his group isn’t how they took power but what they’re doing with it. do you plan to do the same things if you take power? you don’t? well alright then. 100
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/2026i want these morons convinced that if they vote again gas is going to $20 a gallon 020
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 05/10/2026i never get bored of seeing zionists incredulously ask questions like “oh i suppose you were equally up in arms when RSF ethnically cleansed el-fasher?!” 010
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 04/10/2026to be fair “is ta’izz about to fall” is a question that can readily be answered with a map, and i assume this account can read maps 150
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 03/10/2026really non-evangelical protestant congregations are mostly fine and even getting better, relatively speaking, over time. but evangelicals are just a sucking vortex of nihilistic evil 0221
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 02/10/2026frankly the bill should be a overall judiciary reform act with a lot of components: 1) SCOTUS 9->19 2) Double the number of district/appellate/magistrate judges 3) end QI 020
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 02/10/2026one thing that, to me at least, is obvious, is that whatever bill expands the court must at the same time fill the new open slots. you cannot do court expansion if there is any period in which the law is passed but the court is still run by the Gang of Six. 120
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 02/10/2026i am also EXTREMELY skeptical of this recent habit of separating “MAGA GOP” and “non-MAGA GOP” - not because I don’t think those are distinct analytical groups, but because I think self-reporting is extremely unreliable and introduces a heavily confounding variable 090
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 02/10/2026i think every single LV screen this time around is guesswork, wishful thinking, or maybe even just an outright attempt to put a thumb on the scales. i’m not saying they’re uniformly too R-friendly, I just think they’re particularly useless this time around 150
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 02/10/2026to be honest giving it an insultingly stupid name might just be part of the humiliation ritual the EU will insist on before allowing the UK back in 011
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 02/10/2026i see no reason why that case should not be decided on a 7-6 vote, or even a 13-6 0300
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026like, my understanding is something like: "rationalists believe that adding more data to any dataset will always cause the best-fit curve to converge towards truth, regardless of the quality or bias of the input data" and also believe "arguments i find personally convincing are a form of data" 150
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I recognize this is a difficult, perhaps impossible, task, but i would pay money for an "information theory 101" primer that explains enough so i could then understand a takedown of the rationalist/EA approach 270
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026in fact the single most high-profile and impactful example of this conduct is biden himself, who refused to allow harris to distance herself from him and thereby doomed her electoral prospects 070
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026the centrist/biden wing of the party has, over the past decade, pursued the suicide bomber strategy with far more passion and consistency than the left flank 160
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026i actually find the reasons for that negative polarization fascinating, given that most of the people involved don't have anything to gain from the party's right wing winning the intra-coalition squabble; i think it is parasocial attachment to members of the party's right wing (clinton, etc.) 1100
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026he didn't, he's just the current locus of fixation for people whose actual politics are "negative polarization against the left flank of the democratic party" 1110
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026an entire nation of people who believe that they will not die if they are killed 010
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 30/09/2026no, the schism was caused by a bunch of people deciding they could just live in 1830 forever. the schism will end when they are presented with a choice: enter the 21st century willingly or do so in chains. 090
Reposted by homerus heresyMichaela Joffe @joffeorama.bsky.social · 30/09/2026not sure why I made this but now you have to see it 10895453641
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 28/09/2026“we’re called rationalists” “why, because your thinking is so rational?” “…yes” 0361
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Ok, I get that, but of course this is all just an exercise in sophistry; if you presented them with the board scores from a Somali-American doctor they would of course have an explanation for *why* those scores fit their model. 120
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 28/09/2026doesn’t that just move the goalposts to “a single Somali-American doctor disproves your entire thesis?” 120
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 27/09/2026i think bruenig does believe in the importance of empathy and is horrified at the rejection of it, i just think she personally has less empathy than she thinks she does. 060
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 27/09/2026no, that’s weird and yeah basically i think both biden and harris’ teams wildly underestimated how unpopular biden was; i think her criticizing him and him hitting back hard would maybe have made her more popular, not less. but we can’t run it back and try again. 000
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 27/09/2026yeah there’s been a lot of reporting that his team basically told hers that if she made any effort to substantively or rhetorically distance herself from him they’d go berserk and make it a murder-suicide 170
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 27/09/2026propaganda is pretty powerful but, here’s the thing, you have to be good at it! 050
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 27/09/2026it was both. he was always a bit of a troll, but pre-stroke it read as a “play up the things i believe” bit, where the trolling followed the beliefs; since the stroke it seems like a form of adult onset oppositional defiant disorder, where he chooses positions to piss off people he doesn’t like 020
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 27/09/2026fetterman was literally the sitting lieutenant governor of the state 010
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 27/09/2026it must kill him that del toro beat him to the overlong, cerebral remake of frankenstein 000
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 25/09/2026if they’re allowed to do this, even if only for anthology shows, there’s really no excuse for The Terror season 1 to not make the cut 020
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 25/09/2026jennifer and lisa were hilarious in this group because they’re both clearly still on the trump train out of pure bigotry but social dynamics have made it impossible for them to be out and proud about their support of him, even in texas, so they’re just passive aggressively seething the entire time 0580
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 24/09/2026a lot of liberal hawks have It Can Only Good Happen brain just as bad as their conservative counterparts 010
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 24/09/2026guy who looks at collins’s corruption scandal and thinks “now there’s a lady who knows how to bring home the bacon” 030
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 21/09/2026You are not the arbiter of the “customs” of NYC, a city of 8.5 million people. And of course you aren’t claiming to be - you mean your own customs and those you’ve decided reflect “authentic” New York values. Every nativist in history has made the same argument. 140
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 21/09/2026New York isn’t your fucking house. It doesn’t belong to you, or to anyone. 1110
homerus heresy @choamchomsky.bsky.social · 20/09/2026reminds me of seeing pictures of an iraqi anime convention about 6-7 years ago. the comments were pretty evenly split between “wow, isn’t it great how anime brings people together even in iraq” and “oh no, that crap has made its way even to iraq” 110
