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CFBNumbers

@cfbnumbers.bsky.social
12K followers 638 following 741 posts

College Football analysis through the good ole fashioned computer! | Senior Media Research Associate: PFF The CFB Analytics Newsletter: cfbnumbers.substack.com Buy Me A Coffee!: buymeacoffee.com/cfbnumbers

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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Also available on Apple Podcasts/Spotify etc. if you just want to listen! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
podcasts.apple.com
The Football Data Revue!
Football Podcast · A lighthearted chat about the world of football data and analytics. Starting out as a podcast but want to do long form videos in the future. Come hang out and enjoy the show!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
A new episode of The Football Data Revue is live! In this episode we look at my "Fun Index", see which teams had the most "fun" in 2025 and predict 2026 "Fun Index" scores⬇️⬇️ The Football Data Revue | Episode 3: Quantifying Fun For 2026 youtu.be/o2xJYlnqm-c?...
youtu.be
The Football Data Revue | Episode 3: Quantifying Fun For 2026
YouTube video by The Football Data Revue!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
i hope they continue to not stunt or blitz or anything other than line up and demolish
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Random Friday graph: Average position adjusted size (height/weight) by offense and defense for each FBS team. Syracuse has some basketball size on offense, Wisconsin has some big dudes on defense
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Lunchtime viewing!! In the newest episode of the Football Data Revue, I look at CFB win totals and create team strength ratings with those numbers. Come check it out! The Football Data Revue | Episode 2: Examining CFB Win Totals youtu.be/BPlP3X6iaeQ?... via @YouTube
youtu.be
The Football Data Revue | Episode 2: Examining CFB Win Totals
YouTube video by The Football Data Revue!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Attempting something new this year: The Football Data Revue! A visual podcast on all the fun things in the football data world. This gives me a new way to talk about my graphs and football in general. The first episode is LIVE where I go over CFB QBs! www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWiX...
youtube.com
The Football Data Revue | Episode 1: A Pilot Show On QBs!
YouTube video by The Football Data Revue!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Popping on here to say im taking a little break as we just welcomed in the birth of our little boy almost a week ago! There is truly no greater experience than becoming a father. Yes I have shown him the Tavon Austin highlight tape before you get concerned!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
This man went for 200 total yards and 2 TDs against my college football team
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
I think hes under 6 foot and under 200 lbs. Would be happy to be wrong about both
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
I just can't get past the size i don't buy him being 6'0 - 205
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Might not be an all time class but id be shocked if it was anything like this year!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
All have the potential, would set an O/U line at 3.5 from this list in the top 12
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Way too early consensus* 2027 NFL Draft QB rankings 1. Arch Manning 2. Dante Moore 3. Darian Mensah 4. Brendan Sorsby 5. CJ Carr 6. Drew Mestemaker 7. Jayden Maiava 8. LaNorris Sellers 9. Julian Sayin 10. CJ Bailey *consensus of my own vibes + some numbers
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
In terms of total draft pick value (based on the Fitzgerald-Spielberger Chart), 2026 Ohio State had the 5th best draft class since 2007, just passing their 2025 draft class
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
2nd annual tradition of putting out my draft preferences for my beloved Miami Dolphins. I didn't even have Kenneth Grant last year so what do I know lol
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Thanks! It really is just a matter of can he stay healthy
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
First round mock NFL Draft for the laughs but also the giggles
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
🎶 Its the most wonderful time of the year🎶 Its time to cluster together the 2026 NFL Draft QB prospects with prospects of the past. Come check it out! cfbnumbers.substack.com/p/its-cluste...
cfbnumbers.substack.com
Its Clustering Time! 2026 NFL Draft QB Cluster Analysis
It might not be the most fun class but clustering is always fun!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Number one overall QBs (and Fernando Mendoza who is going to be the first pick) and their career point rating along with percentiles. Mendozas point rating ranks in the ~89th percentile of drafted QBs since 2008, and in a normal range of previous 1st picks. Send the card in!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Most PFF Wins Above Average (WAA) among Safeties in the PFF Era: 1. Caleb Downs - 1.23 2. Jordan Battle - 1.09 3. K'Von Wallace - 0.81 4. RJ Mickens - 0.79 5. Dillon Thieneman - 0.77 6. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren - 0.76
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
A look at the average and total Approximate Value added to the team that drafted the player by college. Not saying the college matters after they get to a NFL camp but still an interesting look nonetheless!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Looking at CPOE by pass depth, but instead of QBs its WRs when they are targeted. These are the ~top 12 WRs in the draft based on consensus boards. Bryce Lance as a deep threat🔥
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Unlocking new levels of sore tomorrow morning
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Looking at draft QBs and how often they put the ball "into play" under pressure (so aimed passes regardless of outcome. No sacks or scrambles). Miller Moss and Garrett Nussmeier lead the way with putting balls in play under pressure, with Nussmeier having the higher CPOE
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Finally here is a link to my Buy Me A Coffee if you wanted to support the work that went into this. With a little baby on the way, my wife and I would greatly appreciate any coffees we can get😅 buymeacoffee.com/cfbnumbers
buymeacoffee.com
CFBNumbers (Jason) is creating college football analytics articles
Hi everyone! I want to always keep my newsletter free so that is accessible to everyone, but if you wanted another way to support my work you can always buy me a coffee here!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
[3/4] Here is an example of a card and a direct link to the cards! 100% free to download dropbox.com/scl/fi/bjxet...
dropbox.com
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
[2/4] Here is the article that shows how we got here and what the cards will contain: cfbnumbers.substack.com/p/gotta-draf...
cfbnumbers.substack.com
Gotta Draft Them All! 2026 NFL Draft Player Cards
My first ever "Draft guide" in the form of Pokemon cards!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Not an April Fools joke!! My 2026 NFL Draft cards are now LIVE and ready to go! The cards have everything from little blurbs based on film study to stats and other fun things! Its 100% free! Ill link an article explaining it further + the draft guide link [1/4]🧵
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
I wanna be the very best, like no one ever was
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Have to finalize some numbers but im doing a draft guide that is Pokemon cards for the ~top 40 prospects (atm, maybe ill get to 50 if there is interest!) If this interests you let me know! Should be good to go early next week!
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
In a way yeah, it shows you can be effective without needing too much in terms of scheme
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
This graph shows how valuable a QB was in his career (y axis), and how much his offense used things like play action, screens RPOs etc. (X axis). Mendoza in a fine spot on both axis
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Assembling a dresser with a hurt back
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Working on some things
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Meant to put draft prospects since the 2020 cycle so they wouldn't have been included. Both near the top of both metrics
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Comparing my QB point rating system to Next Gen Stats Production Score (0.52 R2 among QBs since 2008 for those interested). Both systems have Fernando Mendoza clearly above the rest of the QB class
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Another installment of Game Managers and Gunslingers, including the 2026 draft class. Things like ADOT, throwing past the sticks create the gunslinging metric, while comp %/negative play rate shape the game manager metric. This class features 0 QBs in the top right quadrant
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
The most important piece of draft information out there: The top 40 prospects (by consensus board) by what Pokemon they are close to in height and weight (removing duplicate use of Pokemon)
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
I haven't watched that much Iheanachor tbh I have seen a lot of people mock him to the Lions tho
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Post Combine Mock Draft for (once again) the laughs and also the giggles
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Im trying really hard to "see it" with Arvell Reese's pass rush abilities and im just not seeing it
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
For combine week I am highlighting the best Ironman competitors by position (guys that completed each drill in this table) using average percentile grouped by position
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
The model is built to look at QBs so I excluded drops for that reason. Just using the same data but looking at WRs just out of curiosity
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
This is the top 15 WRs in CPOE when targeted. Pretty decent list
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Looking at completion percentage over expectation and average depth of target, but from the WRs perspective. Carnell Tate lands in the top 5 in CPOE when targeted among WRs drafted in the first 2 rounds since the 2017 draft class
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
I kinda get it tho past the first round i feel like im focusing solely on tools and hoping the coaching staff can get him in a decent spot
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
2026 NFL Draft QB prospects completion percentage over expectation by how far they threw the football down the field. Capped at 40 yards because its wonky after that. Yes that is Cole Payton and NDSU you are seeing👀
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
The arm pat is killing me man i cant stop rewatching
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Explosive rush rate and missed tackles forced per attempt among RBs taken in first two rounds since 2017 + what I believe are the top 3 RBs in this class (Love, Price, Coleman). Jeremiyah Love and Jonah Coleman in good company next to Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker
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CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
For a measly $450 on Fanatics you can get Sam Darnold to sign Bo Nix's name on a picture of him holding the Lombardi trophy
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