iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

A new episode of The Football Data Revue is live! In this episode we look at my "Fun Index", see which teams had the most "fun" in 2025 and predict 2026 "Fun Index" scores⬇️⬇️ The Football Data Revue | Episode 3: Quantifying Fun For 2026 youtu.be/o2xJYlnqm-c?...

youtu.be

The Football Data Revue | Episode 3: Quantifying Fun For 2026

YouTube video by The Football Data Revue!

111

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Random Friday graph: Average position adjusted size (height/weight) by offense and defense for each FBS team. Syracuse has some basketball size on offense, Wisconsin has some big dudes on defense

1132

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 30/07/2026

Lunchtime viewing!! In the newest episode of the Football Data Revue, I look at CFB win totals and create team strength ratings with those numbers. Come check it out! The Football Data Revue | Episode 2: Examining CFB Win Totals youtu.be/BPlP3X6iaeQ?... via @YouTube

youtu.be

The Football Data Revue | Episode 2: Examining CFB Win Totals

YouTube video by The Football Data Revue!

010

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

Attempting something new this year: The Football Data Revue! A visual podcast on all the fun things in the football data world. This gives me a new way to talk about my graphs and football in general. The first episode is LIVE where I go over CFB QBs! www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWiX...

youtube.com

The Football Data Revue | Episode 1: A Pilot Show On QBs!

YouTube video by The Football Data Revue!

040

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

Popping on here to say im taking a little break as we just welcomed in the birth of our little boy almost a week ago! There is truly no greater experience than becoming a father. Yes I have shown him the Tavon Austin highlight tape before you get concerned!

2280

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

This man went for 200 total yards and 2 TDs against my college football team

1100

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/04/2026

Might not be an all time class but id be shocked if it was anything like this year!

020

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/04/2026

Way too early consensus* 2027 NFL Draft QB rankings 1. Arch Manning 2. Dante Moore 3. Darian Mensah 4. Brendan Sorsby 5. CJ Carr 6. Drew Mestemaker 7. Jayden Maiava 8. LaNorris Sellers 9. Julian Sayin 10. CJ Bailey *consensus of my own vibes + some numbers

491

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/04/2026

In terms of total draft pick value (based on the Fitzgerald-Spielberger Chart), 2026 Ohio State had the 5th best draft class since 2007, just passing their 2025 draft class

030

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

2nd annual tradition of putting out my draft preferences for my beloved Miami Dolphins. I didn't even have Kenneth Grant last year so what do I know lol

030

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

First round mock NFL Draft for the laughs but also the giggles

150

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

🎶 Its the most wonderful time of the year🎶 Its time to cluster together the 2026 NFL Draft QB prospects with prospects of the past. Come check it out! cfbnumbers.substack.com/p/its-cluste...

cfbnumbers.substack.com

Its Clustering Time! 2026 NFL Draft QB Cluster Analysis

It might not be the most fun class but clustering is always fun!

010

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Number one overall QBs (and Fernando Mendoza who is going to be the first pick) and their career point rating along with percentiles. Mendozas point rating ranks in the ~89th percentile of drafted QBs since 2008, and in a normal range of previous 1st picks. Send the card in!

010

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 20/04/2026

Most PFF Wins Above Average (WAA) among Safeties in the PFF Era: 1. Caleb Downs - 1.23 2. Jordan Battle - 1.09 3. K'Von Wallace - 0.81 4. RJ Mickens - 0.79 5. Dillon Thieneman - 0.77 6. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren - 0.76

020

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

A look at the average and total Approximate Value added to the team that drafted the player by college. Not saying the college matters after they get to a NFL camp but still an interesting look nonetheless!

222

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

Looking at CPOE by pass depth, but instead of QBs its WRs when they are targeted. These are the ~top 12 WRs in the draft based on consensus boards. Bryce Lance as a deep threat🔥

130

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 03/04/2026

Looking at draft QBs and how often they put the ball "into play" under pressure (so aimed passes regardless of outcome. No sacks or scrambles). Miller Moss and Garrett Nussmeier lead the way with putting balls in play under pressure, with Nussmeier having the higher CPOE

061

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Not an April Fools joke!! My 2026 NFL Draft cards are now LIVE and ready to go! The cards have everything from little blurbs based on film study to stats and other fun things! Its 100% free! Ill link an article explaining it further + the draft guide link [1/4]🧵

161

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

Have to finalize some numbers but im doing a draft guide that is Pokemon cards for the ~top 40 prospects (atm, maybe ill get to 50 if there is interest!) If this interests you let me know! Should be good to go early next week!

130

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 24/03/2026

This graph shows how valuable a QB was in his career (y axis), and how much his offense used things like play action, screens RPOs etc. (X axis). Mendoza in a fine spot on both axis

140

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/03/2026

Assembling a dresser with a hurt back

0170

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Comparing my QB point rating system to Next Gen Stats Production Score (0.52 R2 among QBs since 2008 for those interested). Both systems have Fernando Mendoza clearly above the rest of the QB class

250

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Another installment of Game Managers and Gunslingers, including the 2026 draft class. Things like ADOT, throwing past the sticks create the gunslinging metric, while comp %/negative play rate shape the game manager metric. This class features 0 QBs in the top right quadrant

150

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

The most important piece of draft information out there: The top 40 prospects (by consensus board) by what Pokemon they are close to in height and weight (removing duplicate use of Pokemon)

0266

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

Post Combine Mock Draft for (once again) the laughs and also the giggles

130

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

Im trying really hard to "see it" with Arvell Reese's pass rush abilities and im just not seeing it

130

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

For combine week I am highlighting the best Ironman competitors by position (guys that completed each drill in this table) using average percentile grouped by position

140

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 21/02/2026

Looking at completion percentage over expectation and average depth of target, but from the WRs perspective. Carnell Tate lands in the top 5 in CPOE when targeted among WRs drafted in the first 2 rounds since the 2017 draft class

280

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

2026 NFL Draft QB prospects completion percentage over expectation by how far they threw the football down the field. Capped at 40 yards because its wonky after that. Yes that is Cole Payton and NDSU you are seeing👀

1131

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

Explosive rush rate and missed tackles forced per attempt among RBs taken in first two rounds since 2017 + what I believe are the top 3 RBs in this class (Love, Price, Coleman). Jeremiyah Love and Jonah Coleman in good company next to Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker

031

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 09/02/2026

For a measly $450 on Fanatics you can get Sam Darnold to sign Bo Nix's name on a picture of him holding the Lombardi trophy

0170

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 07/02/2026

Im sad to see the Dakotas get split up (for now) but I am interested to see how fast NDSU can plant themselves in the CFP conversation. They have been one of the best non P4 teams at getting guys drafted high in the past 15 drafts

1142

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 06/02/2026

The annual look at where players on the active rosters for the two Super Bowl teams started in terms of their HS recruit rating. Feels like there is a lot more non blue chip/unranked players than usual

051

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 03/02/2026

Expected Points added per play from this season and last season among FBS QBs with 150+ plays (and 75+ pass attempts) in each season. Jayden Maiava, Diego Pavia and Joey Fagnano among biggest improvers year over year

040

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 30/01/2026

Booted up Road to Glory last night...... what is this schedule lmao

5120

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

2026 NFL Mock Draft based on my advanced AI model* *Pure vibes

9180

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

cfbnumbers.shinyapps.io/spiderapp/

152

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

Run their ass out of the stadium

1282

Reposted by CFBNumbers

treb @treblaw.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

RUN THE BALL

4141845

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

Jets offense in the regular season: -0.172 EPA/Play Patriots offense in the playoffs: -0.171 EPA/Play

170

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

Now that the 2025 season is over we can see where the career QB ratings stand for QBs active in the 2025 season. Jayden Maiava reigns supreme with Julian Sayin and Trinidad Chambliss finishing out the podium

060

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

Way too early 2026-2027 CFB bracket for the laughs (at how wrong it will be) and anger. JKS/Cal win ACC Chaos, GJ Kinne finds defense and becomes the hottest coach candidate. No USC-Notre Dame in the regular season? No problem! I am once again saying Texas is back

2120

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

A big ole QB graph showing how often QBs face "pass downs" (2nd and 7+ yards to go, 3rd and 5+ yards to go) and how efficiency they are on those downs via EPA/Play. Fernando Mendoza doesn't face many of these downs but is efficient when he does

151

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

Among FBS Head coaches with 15+ games (that have spreads/point totals), this is how many points they are favored/not favored pregame, and their avg point differential above/below that pregame expectation. Curt Cignetti is on a whole other level

3142

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 29/10/2025

Havent shared my consensus power ratings in a while, so here they are heading into week 10. The B1G holds the top three spots, Ohio State + Indiana are in the top tier (standard deviations) while Oregon is like decimal points off that line

2211

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 23/10/2025

Everyones favorite: Completion Pct Over Expectation by pass depth for some of the top QBs expected in the 2026 NFL Draft class

2201

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 23/10/2025

Expected points added per play divided up by above 50th percentile defense vs. below. Basically bottom right = better against worse defenses, top left better against better defenses

181

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 21/10/2025

Thought maybe Carson Beck would be dethroned in the QB point rating system, but he narrowly holds onto the top spot. Top 3 highest climbers this season: Gunner Stockton, Jayden Maiava, and the newest in the top 30: Julian Sayin!

070

CFBNumbers @cfbnumbers.bsky.social · 20/10/2025

Highest Comp Pct Over Expectation in the CFB Playoff era. We still have a pretty small sample size for some of the active players on this list, but for now: Julian Sayin has been every bit of the ultra accurate QB we thought he would be

070