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Brun

@brunfpl.bsky.social
1.3K followers 392 following 451 posts

Analytically (ill) informed sports fan. FPL player. Inaugural winner of Elite Analytic 64 League. EV chaser, jam hoarder, variance hugger.

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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
GW5: 49 and a green of ~100k. 2FTs already used for GW6 with FH and Wc to fall back on if issues arise.
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
GW5: Rolling. Will have 2 FTs in 6 which leaves lots of paths open to me and that’s far more valuable than any singular move I can make this week. Good luck all, especially those with the same team or a triple Leeds stack.
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
GW4: 74 points and a green arrow. Not sure how sustainable relying on Salah injury time returns will continue to be but happy to take the points. Rolling into GW6 would be ideal but will be dependent on Murillo’s injury. FH6, WC6 or saving those chips for later all on the table
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
GW3: Green arrow to just outside top 1mil. 3FTs to see what crops up at end of transfer window and through the IB. Can fall back to WC in worst case scenarios. Enjoy the break all
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 30/08/2025
GW3: Rollin. Variance will determine whether this is Chamillionaire or Weird Al Yankovic version of the early 2000’s classic. May be valuing info too high but hoping the squad is strong enough for this GW. Will review paths in GW4 post window closing & IB. Kermit gif ready incase
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
GW2: FPL is so back baby. Not gonna complain as many very good players have been FPL’d far worse than I so far this season. Stay safe out there everyone and remember there are cup games midweek too before so don’t start getting all twitchy with that transfer finger
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
GW2: Rolling, Palmer captain and benching Paq over Thiago after bringing my own mins to the party. Good luck gang.
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
GW1: Took the ~14EV on BB which sets me down a flexible path with a bit of a hybrid team. BB didn’t come through in terms of RP but rest of the squad carried me to an OK week. Aim is to roll as much as possible with GW4 a nice point to assess timings for other chips
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
Blud
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Been a while since I’ve posted for a variety of reasons but if anyone still cares (please touch grass and reassess your life) I’ve dropped to 50k and will be going into GW34 with the below. Now drop this here a like and seriously, go touch some grass
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Logging in after the longest GW ever. Enjoying the TC posvar and a green back into top 100k. Decisions for this week rest on Watkins’ fitness and chip strategy. Been an age since I whirred up the Dell Inspiron but could be time to dust it off once again for some heavy solves
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
Real life getting in the way of an update for last 2 GWs.You’ve not missed much. Horror show in 21 has me almost tripling my rank in that time period. Solanke injury taken me off initial path and means a certain Swede has finally joined the lineup up front. No FH so navigating 29 will be interesting
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
GW20: Return of the posvar. 50% green. EV isn’t great next week but really hoping to roll for next couple going into a period of both high EV (doubles, AM chip?!) and low EV events (blanks and some low scoring GWs). With FH spent already will likely need more FTs than paths other people are on.
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 04/01/2025
GW20: Went early to bring Trent in for Gabriel. Price changes & it meaning less transfers down the line vs ~EV paths were main reasons. The way my recent transfers have gone this all but guarantees the Pool game will be off due to snow. EV of 45 in that case. Warra game we play
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
Reposting as OR hadn’t updated for me. 65k red after a big captaincy swing. Posvar almost fully gone vs AE64. Injuries, bans and some poor moves have impacted predicted EV gains over last few too. Trent already in so no Isak for foreseeable. Hoping to pump these rookie numbers in next month or so
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
GW19: Flekken to Becker with 1FT. Team bad, EV bad. Captaincy not finalised but likely to go Palmer because why not. Time to throw up some serious prayers to the FPL Gods for a Raul start and a cheeky brace
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 27/12/2024
GW18: Bruno red, GKers injured & don’t own the only 2 forwards doing the points. Chunky red arrow & team is a mess with only 1 FT. Tis the season to fire up the Kermit gifs
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
Bah fucking humbug
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 24/12/2024
GW18: Did Saka to Bruno earlier in the week now time to chill and drink some mulled wine ahead of Boxing Day eve and a full day of football. Merry Christmas to those with the exact same team as me. Bah Humbug to the rest of you. No EV for you sub optimal meeces
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
Yeah that Trent move was a killer. Basically I went the other way to you on that move and have regretted it ever since. Even Raul’s goal came when I FHed him out 🤦‍♂️ my posvar and somehow hitting these EVmins for those limited actual mins has kept me afloat
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
Yeah, what the hell is this 🤮
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
GW17: Bad week to be bad. 30k red arrow. Team bad but only 1FT so will be Saka out and reassess future paths now Jiminez’s mins look even shakier than before.
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
GW16: A jammy, tiny green thanks to Porro fluking the rare CS off bench & Gvard somehow scoring again. Team feels like it’s clinging on slightly, 2FTs & could do with Andersen being fit to open up option of rolling to 3. Porro out for cheaper def to enable upgrades elsewhere later also an option
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
GW16: Rolling, team bad
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
GW15: 58% green on FH but didn’t quite hit expectation vs prime and, thanks to a pretty big outlier GW from my regular team (78 points from 50ish EV), I actually would have been better off not playing the chip. Not sure where the assessment will land on decision to FH but OR is good so I’m happy atm
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
GW15: FH to gain +10EV on my regular team, hopefully gain a bit of EV over the engaged field and increase risk profile massively. Could easily backfire but Xfun/Xstress should be high and that’s why we play the game
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
GW14: Got 11 out,calling that a win. Big red arrow but rank wise in a good spot for this time of the season. Team is not in a good spot though. Ideally will try and roll next couple to save some FTs for some mini surgery in a few weeks time. Xmins concerns may make that less viable come deadline tho
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Me: I like a robust, 15 deep squad which allows EV to be brought in without wasting FTs. Also me, late at night in a state of delirium after too many solves: Saka do da points brrr let’s get him in for Bruno and pray on half my squad
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
More than happy with this, let’s pretend season 19/20 wasn’t a thing please
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
GW13: Palmer saving me from a significantly worse red arrow. Dibling autosubbed in after Solanke and Gvardiol no shows. Defence and squad are stretched thin so not sure the initial plan (Bruno to Saka this GW) is where I’ll land. Fun Sunday night ahead of me…
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
GW13: Went DCL to Pedro Saturday night to avoid price changes. Clinging on a bit defensively and need one of Gabriel or Dunk (preferably both) to be fit or I’ll be on my favourite formation of recent seasons: the very much not EV optimal 10-a-side lineup
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
GW12: Red arrow in a swingy GW but no major damage. Porro sat last on the bench looking up at two 0s from my starting defenders is peak FPL. Have moved already, slightly worried about injuries to my defenders but with my poor TV not bringing Pedro in now costs a lot of EV down a few paths
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
GW12: Good morning Blue Sky. First weekly update on the new app. 2 FTs used, Trent and Son to Gab and Palmer. Not about for any potential leaks so hoping Palmer is fit enough to start. GL everyone with the exact same team as me
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Inspired by @doctorfpl.bsky.social using his BB on this challenge I am contemplating FHing into this and would appreciate feedback before I pull the trigger:
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Introduce yourself with your 4 best FPL finishes
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Ask me tomorrow and this is completely different. Probably spent more time on this than WC8 😅
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Would love to have some secret sauce but process is the same as last season which yielded the below so gonna have to be honest and say variance innit
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Wake up babe, best season review tool around just dropped
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
My wholly unsustainable captaincy run has been a highlight this season, leading to this funky looking radar. Thanks @sertalpbilal.com as always for the site to check this out
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Brun @brunfpl.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Probably should post something FPL related after migrating here. 2FTs in the bank and plan is to hold off until end of break in case of further injuries. Ideally Palmer in for Son and Trent out to maybe an Arse def if nothing else crops up
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