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Bill Brewster

@billbrewster.bsky.social
1.9K followers 71 following 106 posts

I know this game got valleys and peaks. For precipitation we stack chips, hardly.

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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
Happy Thanksgiving yall
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
I’m sure helping finance WBD will do very well for them…
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
This is a decent summary podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
podcasts.apple.com
Just Some Bill
Podcast Episode · The Business Brew · 11/21/2025 · 31m
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Word word. Well, I’ll try to login more frequently.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Thank you for the kind words.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
We back!
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Things are mostly good. Looking forward to a nice time with the fam this week.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
That does sound different.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Blue skying. How things over in these parts?
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
Sort of want to troll that person. Won’t. But the desire is big.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
Trading sardine though. For sure.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
Competitors have limited access to the capital markets. Eventually there will be a shortage for these vessels if no boats are produced. It’s basically a capital cycle call.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
~12 years. See s25.q4cdn.com/923634175/fi... Think your hatred makes sense. Investment hypothesis can be distilled to: Buying well below replacement value. Until TDW hits $3-4Bn in mkt cap or day rates go way higher there’s almost no incentive to build any new boats.
s25.q4cdn.com
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Yeah, I had some Mexico exposure that did quite well YTD. I like offshore services a lot right now. Especially after this past week. Trying to figure a smart way to play it. TDW is Robotti’s idea. I think it’s a layup here. Would sell around $90-105.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Ha. Prolly buy a ton of private credit and QQQ to fade my thoughts!
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Can you not search hashtags here? How does this place work?
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Idk. Just something Bessent cited as a reason for long delays around April. He advocated more of a flex staffing regime. Seems not impossible for basic Q&A.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
I don’t think I want that
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Interesting that the IRS has the same number of call center employees throughout the year. Flexing that makes sense.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Just got done with Berkshire. Sounds like Buffett will be on Earth for a while longer. Was worried we might be going the other way there. Time for him to get that sex change!
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Rumor has it the bots don’t exist here. Can this be true?
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
No doubt. I own a good amount of treasuries. So owning more doesn’t make a ton of sense. Kind of thinking of it as a business risk barbell.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
In 1999 real businesses weren’t terribly overvalued. It was speculative bullshit that was. Don’t think this is quite the same given where many quality businesses trade. Outside some liquidity draining event FANGM seems reasonable enough to me. If a crash happens equity isn’t where I’d wanna b
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
I’d rather own treasuries. Or cyclical equities. I’m leaning towards some cyclicals.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Hated has usually done well for me. Last year it was financials. Though, someone did that for me. Worked. Pretty damn well.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Yep. It does. Life sciences isn’t loved. And it isn’t “a value investor’s” part of the market. Something like offshore oil services, which is a value investor playground, will probably also do well.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Private equity returns are going to suck. Hated parts of the market will outperform over the next 10 years. FANGM is not overvalued. Private credit isn’t worth the risk. Patience will be rewarded. This isn’t 1999. But it’s getting close. And we will get there. Those are my thoughts.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
media.tenor.com
Banging The Table Dave Chappelle GIF
ALT: Banging The Table Dave Chappelle GIF
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
This is a great listen. Especially if you like capital cycle theory. youtu.be/jE9clg6TSVA
youtu.be
Robotti & Company Annual Meeting 2024
YouTube video by Robotti & Company, Inc.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
Please report as well. Scammers going to scam
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Not sure how likely that is.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Appreciate the mention. 👊🏻
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Reposted by Bill Brewster
Al Atencio 🦉 @theyounginvestor.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Here's a great Starter Pack of #investing #finance #markets Did I miss anyone important in this list? Recently added @datatrekresearch.bsky.social @bportnoy.bsky.social @billbrewster.bsky.social @elerianm.bsky.social @cullenroche.bsky.social 🔁 or ❤️ for reach Great to see Fin-bsky ✈️
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
This week’s podcast dropped yesterday. Fun convo. As an aside, Spotify has become a real pain in the ass to upload to. And the Spotify link wouldn’t copy to paste here. 🤷🏻‍♂️ podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
podcasts.apple.com
Ryan Dobratz - Real Opportunities
Podcast Episode · The Business Brew · 11/30/2024 · 1h 22m
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Don’t let some facts get in the way of a good story ser.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
SBC… You like accounting or making money?!
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Prolly a function of my age but I have a lot of people I interact with that are asking themselves “now what?”
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Skeet skeet. Lil John!
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Yeah. Just not sure where we are going with this. My point is the team that’s assembled now is more likely to accomplish Trump’s vision. They had 4 off years to find the “right” people for them. Not really about one guy. More about time to build a team.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Terrorists!
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Who hates anti money laundering?
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
I more just don’t understand your point.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Agree. Just think they’d argue they are doing their jobs. And I think they mostly are. I even think the Spirit decision wasn’t *that* stupid. Not sure what would have done as the judge.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Lots of government going away. Whether it ends up getting rebuilt remains to be seen. That said, no one wants to touch entitlements. And that’s where the real meat is.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
I don’t see how people could think this. The guy had 4 years to assemble a group of people that would work with him instead of against him.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Yes. That’s exactly what they must be doing.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Is Puru here? I need a Sherpa.
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Reposted by Bill Brewster
Kevin Zatloukal @kcz.at · 24/11/2024
Marcus notes in his post that, while synthetic data isn't nearly as valuable in general, you can use it to train step-by-step reasoning. That should let us to create an LLM that reliably adds large numbers, giving us the most expensive calculator ever created! garymarcus.substack.com/p/a-new-ai-s...
garymarcus.substack.com
The new AI scaling law shell game
Scaling laws were supposed to be, well, laws.
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
Got a 1,000 followers in this biatch Dolla Dolla Bills Yall
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Bill Brewster @billbrewster.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
I don’t mind them being brought for the purpose of moving law in a direction. Also think the arguments deserve to be heard. Even if they are arguably weak.
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