iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Expect more of this. AI will take more and more resources to advance safely. Plus DeepSeek just released a REALLY good flash model that costs 60 cents per 1 million output tokens. Further proof that AI power usage will stall out. www.slashdot.org/story/457676

slashdot.org

Altman Considers Slowing Down AI Development - Slashdot

Bloomberg reports (paywalled) that Sam Altman told OpenAI employees the company is open to slowing the pace of AI development alongside other leading labs as concerns grow over increasingly capable sy...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

"...[feedback loops] set to amplify global heating by 20% to 30% by the end of this century." "Under a worse case higher emissions scenario, 0.4C will likely be added." "Rob Jackson, a Stanford University scientist and study co-author" @mzjacobson.bsky.social www.slashdot.org/story/457664

slashdot.org

Climate 'Feedback Loops' Could Worsen Global Warming By 30%, Study Finds - Slashdot

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Rising global temperatures caused by the burning of fossil fuels are transforming the world's forests, wetlands and tundra to the point they are ...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Further proof that the AI data center build-out will cap-out in the next 5 years. Expect Fable level intelligence on a $1000 computer in 5 years... I think that AI will be regulated and the data centers will be capped or else wage growth will not keep up with inflation. youtu.be/IH8XmxiwliQ?...

youtu.be

Is Frontier Class Local AI Finally Practical?

YouTube video by Codacus

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

So rare Earth magnets aren't needed to run a super efficient EV at all! I've even seen research that suggests that no permanent magnets are needed to run EV engines, but I'm not sure that this engine actually uses zero permit magnets. youtu.be/td0lyo8hLJo?...

youtu.be

Tesla's New Motor: No Rare Earths, 25% Lighter, More Efficient, Built In 10 Seconds

YouTube video by The Electric Viking

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

If I recall correctly that battery guru Goodenough was pushing a glass battery in his 90's. I wonder if that will ever make it into airplanes. It's supposed to be revolutionary like air batteries.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

The people most hurt are the ones that believe that nonsense. Meanwhile my energy bill is around zero $/month.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

That's amazing considering electric container ships with a couple hundred containers were cutting edge about 10 years ago.

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Mark Z. Jacobson @mzjacobson.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

Nothing like competition China’s electric ship rollout scales up "In 2022, China had 4 electric cargo ships. By 2025, 42" Fleet has diversified..with bulk carriers, containerships & cargo ships. Max size has climbed to 14,000 dwt; operating range, to 500 km splash247.com/chinas-elect...

splash247.com

China's electric ship rollout scales up - Splash247

China’s electric shipbuilding push is accelerating rapidly, with new data showing the country is moving battery-powered cargo vessels from experimental projects into real commercial operation at a pac...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

🤣 Man what a waste of time/money SMRs have been to the world.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Wait until Social Security and Medicare start to be cut. People are going to wise up to how much money billions of dollars actually are.

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Mark Z. Jacobson @mzjacobson.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

California pays the 13th-lowest grid electricity bills per capita in the US despite having the 2nd-highest electricity price. Texas pays the 38th-lowest bills per capital (21% higher than CA) despite half the electricity price as CA. Why, because TX consumes 2.5x the electricity per person as CA.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Geothermal (enhanced, etc) has great potential to make nuclear and baseload FF plants go extinct.

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Mark Z. Jacobson @mzjacobson.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

EV's use 1/4th the energy in electricity as ICEs use in gasoline or diesel, so even if electricity is from coal, energy use & CO2 emis decrease 75% with every EV. Plus, the intake fraction of vehicle exhaust is 25x that of power-plant exhaust, so human pollution mortality goes down 99% with an EV

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Looks like the greatest hope-ium deception in history is being put to rest. 1.5C was always a pipe dream as pollution has a cooling effect. Expect 3C around the equator, and much higher around the poles before we get our act together. www.slashdot.org/story/457512

slashdot.org

Global Heating Will Hit At Least 1.8C, UN Warns, and There Are 'No Good Outcomes' - Slashdot

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Global heating will reach at least 1.8C under even the most optimistic future, well beyond the Paris agreement goal of 1.5C, according to a UN re...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

AI helped me save 241 kg CO₂e by helping me fix my home dryer. I talked to it, texted with it, and uploaded images. It also correctly identified the product and sent me videos for my model. I probably saved $600 bucks too as the heating element is only $20. This is how AI helps the environment...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

Peak summer demand on the grid is going to be so easy to solve. There is almost no complexity to that issue. When the sun is hottest air conditioning is the greatest load. But also solar panels work pretty well when the sun is hottest. That's a simple arithmetic problem that solar deployment solves

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

Just to clarify my position on massive datacenters. I made a bold statement that large AI datacenters would peak within 5 years for many reasons, chief among then that AI will probably be mostly done locally. So we'll not likely see less electricity going to compute, just less centralized compute.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

A couple years back Newsom said that removing Diablo could lead to blackouts. Now it is time to get serious about shutting it down. We have enough batteries. Newsom is in his last term. No need to maximize butt coverage for a once in a thousand year blackout event. Time to pull the bandaid off.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Home battery companies are creating Virtual Power Plants by giving home owners very affordable ways to lease the batteries they install on owners properties: youtu.be/WJrHpN1Fz98?...

youtu.be

The $700 Home Battery That Pays For Itself — By Selling Power Back To The Grid

YouTube video by The Electric Viking

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Progress is being made to synthetically manufacture magnets that can compete with (and possibly surpass) rare earth magnets. youtu.be/UGxebJSUrTs?...

youtu.be

Are Rare Earth Magnets About to Become Obsolete?

YouTube video by Undecided with Matt Ferrell

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

ATM I'm really deep into how LLMs work and the future direction. Those data centers will probably not materialize or shutdown shortly after. LLM power demands will peak in the next 5 years unless the gov wants to put half the country out of work and send the country into a depression (my guess).

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Mark Z. Jacobson @mzjacobson.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

New plot showing the decline of fossil gas in CA For 7 days straight, fossil gas has met only 3-5.6% of demand. Gas down 62% in '26 v '23 WWS has provided a record 58.8% of demand in '26 so far. 92 of 93 and 158 of 183 (86.3) days in 2026 with WWS > 100% of demand for an avg of 5.4 h/day.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

The community PV number of only 33% cheaper than nuk is surprising. Guessing there's a gap between wholesale and retail prices where community PV would take advantage We'll definitely have to dig into this number as behind the panel electricity is a substantial win. So why wouldn't community PV be?

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

That's "as expected" as well. Nuclear can't handle heat. It needs cool water. Good luck finding that in the future 😉 Nuclear is actually the most finicky source of electricity. It's always the first to shutdown. RE is almost always the last to shutdown, and the first to come back online.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

The bad news: The Climate Crisis is getting worse faster than we had ever imagined... Expect 6C in 50 years y'all at mid to low/high latitudes.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

So the world is adding a "US" of RE every year! Nice!!! Of course that's nameplate, but still probably half a US in terms of kwhs (I think).

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Bond rates are going up-up-up! The US dept is mostly financed in short term bonds/notes/etc In other words the US is going bankrupt! So expect this corruption circus to end as Americans realize that most of their money has evaporated... It was good faith that held up the dollar. Those days are over

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Agreed! I'd improve on it and call it #RepublicanWildfires. Trump is but the figurehead of the true disease.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

I wouldn't be surprised if the Iranian War is the best thing to ever happen to RE. Bottom line: gas infrastructure (like nuclear) cannot survive the new age of drone warfare. In fact any centralized grid will most likely not survive the age of drone warfare. Localized solar, wind, batteries can.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

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Assaad Razzouk @assaadrazzouk.bsky.social · 02/05/2026

The data is in. Between 2023-2025, wind and solar slashed EU wholesale power prices by 24.2% on average. In Spain, the cut was nearly 40% This isn't a forecast, it already happened Renewables are the only cure for gas price insanity

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Mark Z. Jacobson @mzjacobson.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

California has the cheapest wholesale electricity prices in the country, and clean energy is the reason why Free sun, wind, water batteries produce low wholesale prices. CA's retail prices are high for a few reasons, but RE is not one. www.linkedin.com/posts/stanfo... @stanfordenergy.bsky.social

linkedin.com

#renewableenergy #california #energytransition #solar #windpower | Stanford Precourt Institute for Energy

Man bites dog article? California has the cheapest wholesale electricity in the country, and clean energy is the reason why. 🌞💨💧 The California ISO grid posted the lowest wholesale electricity price...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

I've been interested in focusing photons from the Sun to Earth since I was a kid. This is definitely a "no miracles needed" sort of thing, but throwing some satellites at a lagrangian point to focus photons onto Earth-based solar panels still seems interesting to me. m.slashdot.org/story/451268

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

From January. Jeeze... No bueno... "EPA To Stop Considering Lives Saved By Limiting Air Pollution" m.slashdot.org/story/451264

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Mark Z. Jacobson @mzjacobson.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

Big breakthrough! Worldwide, wind plus solar generated more electricity (22%, 531 TWh) than fossil gas (20%, 477 TWh) for the first month ever, April, 2026. Five years ago, gas generation was twice that of wind plus solar ethicalmarketingnews.com/for-the-firs... @ember-energy.org

ethicalmarketingnews.com

For the first time, wind and solar generated more electricity than gas worldwide in April 2026 | Ethical Marketing News

Wind and solar generated more electricity than gas globally for the first month ever in April 2026, according to data analysed by global energy think tank Ember. Together, wind and solar generated 22%...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Yeah, my understanding is that he's decided to bypass the courts and channel money from other funds to stop WWS projects. Basically bribe the companies to stop their WWS projects.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

This is really surprising to hear NY basically pushing nuclear corruption. If it wasn't coming from you I'd think there was some mistake. Makes zero sense.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

I hope you're including the average methane leakage rate of 2% from your paper with @profbobhowarth.bsky.social . I'm almost positive that there are other factors in there, like opportunity costs, that make the apples-to-apples comparison between WWS and CCS even less appealing.

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Mark Z. Jacobson @mzjacobson.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

Tests of sodium batteries in heavy-duty trucks over 15,000 km through extreme hot and cold impressive: At -40 C, the 339 kWh battery retained 90% of capacity Full charge: 20-25 minutes 8,000 cycle life with fast charging electrek.co/2026/06/21/f... @electrek.co

electrek.co

From labs to logistics: China tests sodium batteries in HD trucks

Sodium batteries promise more abundant and more affordable electric vehicles – but will they be practical for commercial trucks?

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Wow! 25 minutes! Jeeze that's fast.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

90% chance Trump bought stock in those companies days before he announced those handouts.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Yup, basically what I've heard as well in other places. That's the only way that corruption stays afloat: bsky.app/profile/berm...

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

I'll tell you why, because utility companies want you to think that prices need to go up. As long as they have that excuse in their back pocket they can give data centers almost free electricity and charge customers for it.

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bermdan.bsky.social @bermdan.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

LOL! Yet the FUD continues... Now critiques care more about a handful of birds than they do about the anthropocene.

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