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Ben Golub

@bengolub.bsky.social
16K followers 1.2K following 1.1K posts

economics and computer science professor at Northwestern bengolub.net social and economic networks originally from Ukraine

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Reposted by Ben Golub
Econometrica @ecmaeditors.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Why are the wealthiest so wealthy? 27-year panel: top 0.1% wealth gap reflects higher saving (36%), inheritances (31%), returns (28%). Calibrated to cross-sections alone, models miss "New Money" or "Old Money"; our dynamic facts pin down the mechanism. buff.ly/1Z1N36N
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
If you don't think this is creative and intelligent, I believe you have a very flawed idea of both concepts!
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Here's a full exposition without abbreviations acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:...
acrobat.adobe.com
Adobe Acrobat
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
The exposition is basically an illustrated version of @thomasfbloom.bsky.social's - erdosproblems.com/548#proof-ex... 5/5
erdosproblems.com
548 | Erdős Problems
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
The proof was obtained by Astra (in Lean) as part of experiments for FrontierMath Erdos, a new benchmark by Epoch AI Research. epoch.ai/latest/annou...
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Now for Lemma 2 proof: We start with marked pairs whose prefixes contain T₁ and miss T. There are C(T₁) − C(T) such pairs, because every rooted copy of T contains T₁. We will turn these into distinct marked pairs missing T₂, discarding at most n! inputs. 3/5
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Proof of Lemma 1 (root lemma). 3/
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Here are the key lemmas, which are proved in the next two tweets. This image shows how they inductively prove the key counting claim (1) above. 2/
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
The Erdős–Sós conjecture is a shockingly simple statement about graphs that we did not know was true: a (simple) graph with average degree > t−2 contains every tree on t vertices. A few days ago, OpenAI's Astra proved it as part of an Epoch AI project. Here's a simple exposition. 1/
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
I would expect so for a number of reasons. But I think it wouldn't be that informative on the question of how predictive SAT scores are.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
There are definitely enough high schoolers in the country who can perform very well in Berkeley calculus classes, and Berkeley is admitting much less mathematically qualified students over them, when they have a tool to do better. Let me know which part I'm getting wrong.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Seems like the current shitshow at the top UCs with a ton of kids not being prepared for college math is pretty cleanly separable from the pandemic?
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
I'm interested in the views of social scientists who made arguments that standardized tests did not provide a valuable incremental signal of preparedenss in college admissions over HS record. What do they think now? Would love to see some discussion.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
No - I don't think so. Very common Ukrainian Jewish last name.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
I think they're often still pretty nasty at least in my limited observation
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Reposted by Ben Golub
Erzo F.P. Luttmer @erzoluttmer.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
1/5 AEA journals have run a pilot using Refine, and author reactions were overwhelmingly positive: >90% favored incorporating Refine into the editorial process. Think of Refine not as a referee, but as a detailed technical proofreader. @aeajournals.bsky.social #EconSky
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
YAY - delights me/us to hear this!
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Reposted by Ben Golub
Henry Yuen @henryyuen.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Some initial thoughts, and a complicated mix of feelings. Wow. I mean, Erdos problems are cool (I genuinely mean that), I didn't know about the Jacobian conjecture before it got disproved. But this newest batch from OpenAI hits home in a way the previous announcements did not.
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Reposted by Ben Golub
Alex Falcone @alexfalcone.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
The place I donate blood gives points that you can exchange for gas cards which means I actually know the current exchange rate of blood for oil. Blood is going for 20.618 times an equivalent amount of oil.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
And similarly no amount of saying " go read these five other things" will change the fact that what is on the page is deceptive relative to what is on the other page. And repeating that the other context matters a lot is not going to change that simple fact of scholarly deception.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Agreed. But another difference is that Quinn's field is such that it's considered very rude to point out obvious misuse of evidence - being worse than social psychology takes some real effort.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
With Gino, it wasn't the consensus -- it was the in-your-face evidence of dishonesty, just as in Quinn's case. Gino, btw, has ardent defenders TODAY who say exactly what you say - you must study the whole corpus to have a right to judge. So you are very analogous - it's kind of beautiful!
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Do you need to study social psychology to know that Francesca Gino is a fraud?
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Let me make an analogy. If someone said that Francesca Gino's research is okay because the studies replicate, they would be completely missing the point about what went wrong with her scholarly practices Your defenses of S have the same quality.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Just to be clear, the quotation practices were deceptive even fully accepting all the arguments you're making about broader intent. The idea that sufficient understanding of the broader picture would make S's behavior not malpractice is beneath contempt and I'm not going to pretend otherwise.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
thank you for amplifying it! I think he is absolutely full of shit (and you too, if you agree)
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Again, I am frankly shocked that people like you are apparently committed this kind of lawyering. Any undergraduate that did what Quinn did with an instructor who was awake would get a terrible grade, and if you deny that you are, forgive me for my bluntness, full of shit.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
You can read Phil's rebuttal here. I'm convinced based on reading his linked paper that he understands the work he's discussing and CEH here is in my view clearly in the wrong - his piece should certainly not be desk rejected x.com/i/status/206...
x.com
Phil Magness (@PhilWMagness) on X
This morning's "defenses" of Quinn Slobodian are trying to paint the misquotations as isolated incidents and accusing me of focusing on narrow technicalities while ignoring his larger argument. False...
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
What S does can't be fully defended -it's at a minimum EXTREMELY SLOPPY work, even if he has a point on the broader meaning. it's crazy that people will defend what's on the page in Magness's demos
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Great response, thanks! I agree this is the weirdest passage and the most ambiguous case of S's behavior. Now let's consider all the other screenshots?
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
very nice
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Reposted by Ben Golub
Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
To me (someone w/ no dog in this fight) your reply shows you are not a good scholar: rather than publicly confronting the clear evidence of your misrepresenting your sources, you turn to (perhaps correct) personal criticism of Magness. This is the behavior of (bad) politician, not a scholar.
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Reposted by Ben Golub
Wojtek Kopczuk @wwwojtekk.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Unsurprisingly, it's mostly a shrug here except for a few people who pretend it is ok. I'll add another one in this genre that made my jaw drop.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
It's interesting that all the replies have this flavor as opposed to explaining/defending the specific problems with Slobodian's use of sources that are staring us right in the face.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Interesting that Slobodian being full of shit has hurt your feelings somehow!
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
But, just to be clear, no publicly available reply that you can point me to by Slobodian in which he explains these things outside a closed review process.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Could you point me to where>
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Have his issues been satisfactorily addressed, in your view?
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Fair point! They are related but there's no easy implication.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Then I think we have genuinely different views on a scholar's obligations! I personally could not ignore such an issue, regardless of where the criticism was coming from, and I view this as part of my obligations as a scholar. But I get that some others might not.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Let's just take it to the object level - do you think Slobodian is a careful, rigorous scholar?
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
The criticism of his source usage is not in bad faith, so I stopped reading there.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Analogy: I think Francesca Gino's response to the Harvard process conclusively proves she is a bad scholar, because even if she was framed, a decent scholar would react differently in addressing the trash that got published. I see Slobodian as a similar case of much smaller severity.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
There are many reasonable responses: apologizing for misleading people, explaining how this failure of good practices happened, withdrawing or correcting your article... But dissing the guy for his politics and who pays/rewards him? That's not an honest response.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
To me (someone w/ no dog in this fight) your reply shows you are not a good scholar: rather than publicly confronting the clear evidence of your misrepresenting your sources, you turn to (perhaps correct) personal criticism of Magness. This is the behavior of (bad) politician, not a scholar.
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
And, kicker
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Can you rebut the clear evidence of malfeasance? It seems pretty straightforward from the perspective of an academic who doesn't care about either side's camp.
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Reposted by Ben Golub
Manasvini Singh @vinisingh.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
New WP, just in time for #ASHEcon26! What started off as a project to learn LLM use for text analysis turned accidentally into a paper about stigma. [1/n]
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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Meanwhile, Quinn Slobodian bsky.app/profile/beng...
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