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Ben Glasner

@benglasner.bsky.social
1.3K followers 317 following 430 posts

Senior economist with the Economic Innovation Group. Ex-post-doc with the Center on Poverty & Social Policy (CPSP). Ex-Ex-Grad Student at the Evans School (UW). All good posts are from my dog. Links: linktr.ee/bglasner

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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
It is wild to lump the CTC (and expanding it to the lowest-income families/children) into the same bin as UBI. Just sloppy. Only citing the mixed results on UBI while completely skipping the work on the CTC expansion's impacts.
wsj.com
Opinion | The Road to a Universal Basic Income
An expanded child tax credit is the first step. The bidding is underway.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Women at 35, in 2025 dollars. With a degree: $56,854 → $72,757 Without: $28,814 → $36,158 Up on both sides, and by more than men, while still lower than men in terms of $ levels.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Split the men at 35, in 2025 dollars. With a degree: $88,137 → $99,814 Without: $53,727 → $52,473 But ... ~20% of Boomer men had a degree at 35 and ~40% of Millennials did. The lines are not actually the same "group" and we shouldn't conflate based on easy coded labels.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
US wage earners at 35, in 2025 dollars: Boomer $46,023 → Millennial $60,630. Obviously the workforce has changed and expectations around quality of life changed with it. A median, 40 years apart, is not in fact the same mix of people. What about men and women by education?
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Academics/researchers/anyone really. If you haven't updated your personal site in a while it just keeps getting easier. A few minutes for integrated GitHub, refresh publications/citations automatically, and animated scroll wheel. bnglasner.github.io
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Meanwhile prices rose 3.5% through June and have outpaced pay every month since April. It will be interesting to see what we find when the next round of price data comes out...
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
A frozen job market means no outside offers, limited bargaining, and low leverage. When the tight labor market disappears, so does the wage growth. Average hourly earnings rose just 3.2% over the past year — the weakest reading since May 2021.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Where did the drop come from? Not private employers, they added 30,000 in July (still an under performance). Government payrolls drove the decline, local government education declined by 50,000 in July.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
The revisions did more damage to the story than the print itself. BLS cut May's gain 66,000 and June's 37,000. About four and a half times July's own −23,000 decline. It is worth caution on the read since a single-month move is noisy, but still worth thinking on.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
July payrolls fell 23,000, so it might be a good time to reevaluate the hiring pickup narrative. The three-month average is now just 20,000, against a pre-pandemic normal near 177,000.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Definitely recommend checking out our old analyses: open.substack.com/pub/agglomer... open.substack.com/pub/agglomer...
open.substack.com
Economic geography and the 2024 elections
The geographic breadth of Donald Trump’s gains in the 2024 presidential elections was remarkable.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Well, if we are rehashing the election, friendly reminder that the biggest declines in vote shares for Harris took place in the most expensive and most populous counties. The drop was a huge break from the trend line.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
So, just keep the math clear that comparing "household income" across 55 years partly compares who lives together and not just how much they earn.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
what if 2024 income (via 2025 CPS ASEC) was kept at the 1969's household mix? Median household income would look about $22,000 higher. That is huge. It is equivalent to ~75 percent of the actual real gain since 1969.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Household income is about who shares a home. In 1969, married-couple households were a far higher percent of all households. Over the same span, one-person households rose. So if the typical American household got smaller, that will likely mechanically "lower" household income.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Are your single friends making us "poorer"? Obviously not, but the way we count household income means more one-person households *can* look poorer than a world with more married couples even if no single person earns a dollar less.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
The CPI-U is up 0.5 percent (seasonally adjusted) after rising 0.6 percent last month. Year-over-year the all items index increased 4.2 percent before seasonal adjustment. Not a good look compared to wages (AHE)
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
California's jobs grew 3.4 percent. Take out healthcare and social assistance, and the rest of the state economy actually declined by 0.3 percent. One in six California jobs is in healthcare. The question is what holds up the job market in California when the money pulls back.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
The EO creates a TSP-like option for uncovered workers and supports the newly eligible workers with improved savings. It is just a first step though. Legislation needs to follow!
agglomerations.eig.org
Fixing the U.S. Retirement System: A Q&A
The Trump administration’s new policy is a first step in the right direction.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Trump's new EO is a real step toward fixing the U.S. retirement system. We spend hundreds of billions a year in tax breaks to fund retirement savings and the top 20% of households capture more than 60%. 54 million private-sector workers, nearly half, have no plan at work.
whitehouse.gov
Promoting Retirement-Savings Access for American Workers by Establishing TrumpIRA.gov
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, and to ensure that every American worker has
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Seeing people who dismissed real wage gains in government data now eager to cite the same data showing declines. Tight labor markets drove gains, but that got waved off to preserve a stagnation story. Keep it simple: when wages rise, that’s good; when they fall, that’s bad.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Where you work shouldn't bar you from being able to invest in your own retirement. We need to expand retirement access so that everyone can save for the future. #Retirement #CSPAN #RetirementSavings
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Same image. Same quality. Totally different value. AI’s not likely to replace the human touch.
#AI #Economics #technology #ArtFraud
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Automation perfected recording and replaying music, but people still pay for the humans anyway. #AI #FutureOfWork #Economics #Jobs
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Yeah, the generation by age by outcome figures have a mixture of issues around smoothing across time and age, especially with differing year effects. Been a big topic of discussion among my team on how best to address it while still capturing an accessible visual
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
Yes! Embrace the age axis!
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Check out my upcoming appearance on C-SPAN’s Washington Journal to discuss Pres. Trump's proposal to create private-sector retirement accounts.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
High-skilled immigration reform is overdue.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Ignore inputs at your own risk!
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
We train talent, then lose it. That is a (bad) policy choice.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Five years from now token limit windows will have absolutely destroyed white collar commuting patterns. Hell, even weekend work schedules are going to be impacted. Reflections from a long weekend of playing with Codex and Claude code
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Today we launched our OZ housing and affordability initiative. Remember, we CAN build and we NEED to build. Let’s take the steps to make it happen.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Latest data & fast facts on who’s left out of America’s retirement system: eig.org/whos-left-ou... eig.org/rural-retire...
eig.org
The U.S. Retirement System: Fast Facts
Originally published on October 3, 2024, this analysis was republished […]
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Any serious response to the retirement savings crisis has to start with expanding workplace access, especially for low-income, rural, and part-time workers.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Geography matters too. Half of rural full-time private-sector workers don’t have access to a workplace retirement plan, and rural workers hold roughly $55,000 less in retirement savings than their urban counterparts on average.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Zooming out, about two-thirds of the bottom half of workers by income lack access to a workplace plan — versus just one-quarter of the top half. The system works primarily for higher earners.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Income drives who gets left behind. Nearly 80% of full-time workers in the bottom income decile lack access to a retirement plan, compared with just 18% in the top decile.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Even among full-time private-sector workers, access is far from universal: 42% lack access to any workplace retirement plan. In absolute terms, that’s 40.6 million full-time workers left out.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
More than 53 million U.S. workers don’t have access to an employer-provided retirement plan. That fact puts today’s “$955 saved” headlines in context — the retirement crisis is fundamentally about access.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Workers want us to tackle affordability - lowering costs and making home ownership achievable. What didn’t they want? Raising tariffs. www.instagram.com/reel/DUYZeRq...
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Yale making tuition free for families under $200k has sparked the inevitable take: “$200k is the poverty line now.” In 2024, only 16% of U.S. households earned $200,000 or more. Calling the other 84% “in poverty” is nonsense.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
People warn about desensitization to state violence. What they miss is that desensitization cuts both ways. The more threats are used, the less they work on protesters who stood their ground and keep recording.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Big city kid counts stopped falling in 2024, but the comeback is not here yet. 🧒 #Cities #Demographics #Housing
instagram.com
innovate_economy on Instagram: "Big city kid counts stopped falling in 2024, but the comeback is not here yet. 🧒 #Cities #Demographics #Housing"
Big city kid counts stopped falling in 2024, but the comeback is not here yet. 🧒 #Cities #Demographics #Housing
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
How prosperous it is where you live shows up in your life expectancy, and the gaps are huge.
instagram.com
Economic Innovation Group on Instagram: "Place shows up in life expectancy, and the gaps are huge. 🧭 #Inequality #Health #Policy #Economy"
1 likes, 0 comments - innovate_economy on January 22, 2026: "Place shows up in life expectancy, and the gaps are huge. 🧭 #Inequality #Health #Policy #Economy".
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
You can find my work, analyses, code, and video content here: linktr.ee/bglasner
linktr.ee
Ben Glasner | Instagram, TikTok | Linktree
Economist. Read, write, and research. Ex-post doc. Ex-Ex grad student. Ph.D. from the Daniel J. Evans School of Public Policy and Governance.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Excited to share I’ve been promoted from Economist to Senior Economist at @innovateeconomy.bsky.social!Grateful for the chance to work on research that connects real-world policy to the data—and for a team focused on building a more dynamic, inclusive economy. More work ahead. Let’s go.
linktr.ee
Ben Glasner | Instagram, TikTok | Linktree
Economist. Read, write, and research. Ex-post doc. Ex-Ex grad student. Ph.D. from the Daniel J. Evans School of Public Policy and Governance.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
It isn’t the bottom specifically, given the distortion by assigning 0s, but the median for prim age with $0 assigned wage would capture some of that employment effect.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Black unemployment is less a generic labor slack gauge and more a measure of the health of a specific segment. Still, a lot of research argues it’s more sensitive to the cycle than other groups, often rising faster early in downturns and sometimes serving as a warning sign.
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Black unemployment has risen rapidly since “Liberation Day,” up 31.7%, from 6.3% to 8.3% as of November. Compared to usual flows/changes, we are well outside the norm and in some concerning company... Source: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS14...
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Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
So I agree w/ @econberger.bsky.social, but with one caveat. Sept→Nov adds 909k to “part-time for economic reasons.” The shutdown likely does contribute. BPC estimated ~670k federal workers were furloughed. Even if half are in these numbers, the share still rises ~12.5%.
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