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Avery Tomasco

@averytomascowx.bsky.social
1.7K followers 6 following 141 posts

I'm here because I lost a bet. Follow me for occasionally unhinged forecast content for Central Texas

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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
I tend to use it more for explainers (supercells, hail, winter weather, etc) but still like to break it out for other weather events. I agree that 2D info is less palatable in the 3D space, but still helps get a few more eyeballs to pay attention ahead of hazardous weather IMO
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
Fresh augmented reality update on our overnight storm chance. Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Preliminary timing of events, subject to change once storms have formed and we get a better idea of their progress
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Ain't nothin' like last week, but keep your eyes peeled for severe storms LATE tonight (after midnight) primarily to the northwest of Austin. Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Great forecast, great result. I won't have to hand out any more of these water bottles this week, thank tha lord
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Most importantly, similar rain totals occurred over the Lake Travis watershed. A combined 5,600 CFS (about 1.2 million gallons per minute) is flowing downstream as we speak. This should get LT to rise by a couple of feet at least. We'll see in a few days
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
SWEET SWEET VICTORY 2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
No sorry I got logged out for a while but finally got this back up and running. I've sinned and will atone with new updates here I promise
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
Plan your afternoon/evening travels around the storms. The last place you want to be in a hailstorm is in your car, stuck in traffic.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
Yes Jason, 30-50% chances the last two days inherently meant most wouldn't get storms. Today was always expected to be the main storm chance
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
The third and final day of severe weather this week is poised to be the most widespread & significant. Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
WEATHER ALERT DAY - Severe storms are likely for more of us Thursday afternoon->evening. Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Similar story on Thursday afternoon and evening, but the potential is there for an MCS (mesoscale convective system) to roll through. Friday is the peak of this week's storm chances courtesy of a "cold" front dropping in. Some strong/severe storms not out of the question
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Storm chances are back on the menu, but the first course is... questionable. Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
I climbed up a spider-infested ladder to get to the top of a beached boat dock for this shot. Plz make it worth my while
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
A project months in the making finally hits the airwaves TONIGHT on CBS Austin. "Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
A necessary ingredient for better storm chances comes with an unfortunate side effect: Mosquito population boom for the next ~6 months. The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/04/2025
No major changes to our weekend storm plan. 🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely 🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Long story short, it won't be a washout of an Easter Sunday. Morning plans could be pushed inside, but there should be plenty of dry time in the afternoon.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Windy through Friday, stormy by Sunday? Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow. What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
Another melancholy cold front day in Central Texas. Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Did some data digging and the results are nausea-inducing. Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin. That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Happy cold front day I guess. It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
media.tenor.com
a bald man is making a funny face and pointing at the camera while saying `` for now '' .
ALT: a bald man is making a funny face and pointing at the camera while saying `` for now '' .
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Just kidding we love him and he's perfect
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
HI I'M BACK And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later
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Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Kathy Zab @kathyzab.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Crabapple Fire in Gillespie County giving some terrifying sunset vibes in Bee Cave. @averytomascowx.bsky.social
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Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Alex Wild @alexwild.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Heads up, central Texas. Extreme fire danger tomorrow. Not sure if OP @averytomascowx.bsky.social was planning to post this here as well, so I'm passing it along.
Screen cap of meteorologist Avery Tomasco social media post: "Have not seen a wildfire setup like this for Central Texas in many years.
Folks, this is as bad as it gets tomorrow. Howling winds, extreme drought, dormant fuels following extreme cold in late February... Be extremely vigilant and mindful of anything that could spark a fire"
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
Won't see much weather content from me on bs for a while 🐥 Navy Joe joined us on Wednesday, much ahead of schedule. See y'all again in April!
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
Coldest morning in more than a year has arrived. Life-threatening wind chills now dropping to/below zero. My recommendation: Wear every layer you own, like Randy from "A Christmas Story"
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Pssssst. It's snowing in Austin and much of the I-35 corridor. Sneaky, saturated low-level atmosphere behind the cold front is what is producing these flurries. It's mostly falling as needles, a specific kind of snow formation unique to this atmosphere.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Brutal, brutal, brutal cold this morning. Put on every layer you've got. Single-digit wind chill temperatures already as of 5:30 AM, and we'll keep dropping through about 9 AM. Odds are, we won't get above freezing this afternoon
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY goes into effect at midnight tonight, lasting through noon Wednesday. Very dangerous cold if you aren't geared up for it with many layers
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
First look at the first of two dangerously cold nights in Central Texas. WEDNESDAY MORNING 🔹Air temps: 15-25° 🔹Wind speed: 15-25 MPH 🔹Wind chill: 0-15° B r u t a l. Genuine concern for hypothermia if you're outside for too long without the right gear
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Everything you had to do back in January. Pipes prone to freezing need to be covered. Drip a few interior faucets. Keep pets inside. Cover up outdoor plants. Protect yourself with lots-o-layers, and check on friends/neighbors/family that may need some help
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
On the plus side:
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
Buckle up, scallywags. Dangerous cold whips through Texas TUESDAY NIGHT. Single-digit wind chill temperatures expected Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Pets, pipes, people, plants, and pants. Please wear pants and make good choices
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
February 2021 repeat? No. Impactful cold and maybe some travel issues from wintry weather? Yes. You'll need to plan accordingly as details come into better focus. Stay tuned!
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Early signs point to dangerously cold mornings (teens around Austin) and wind chill values in the single digits by next Wednesday and Thursday, and perhaps highs below freezing as well. Wildcard to monitor: Increasing odds of ice/snow on Wednesday
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
It's cold today. It could get MUCH colder next week. Early heads up that our coldest temps of the season will be possible next week (Tuesday -> Wednesday) due to split in the polar vortex and strong signals for Arctic air to break loose down into Texas
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Friends don't let friends leave home without a jacket. MUCH colder this morning, gang. Near freezing on the thermometer, feeling like teens/20s on the skin.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
That was for Wednesday morning. Thursday's morning temperature on that forecast shows 34
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
33 or 34 for Austin, colder north and west of the city
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
A lot going on in the next week. 🔹Cold front #1 arrives tonight. Wind chill in the 20s Thursday AM 🔹Cold front #2 arrives Saturday night, more of the same behind it. 🔹Cold front #3 mid-next week needs to be monitored... Could be much stronger
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
This morning's rain/storms was icing on yesterday's cake. And we ate GOOD. 1-3" along/east of I-35 produced the biggest daily rainfall at the airport in more than a year, all in what is typically the driest month of the year. Liquid gold
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Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Lance Ellisor @ellisor.net · 11/02/2025
beautiful bounty here in east Austin cc @averytomascowx.bsky.social
My rain gauge showing right at 3”
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
It's raining, and more is likely (in waves) over the next 24 hours. You love to see it
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
6 AM - Grab the rain gear! BEAUTIFUL view of radar as much-needed rain slides in. Widespread rain and non-severe storms are most likely between now and early afternoon. Some 1"+ totals are possible
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