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Avery Tomasco

@averytomascowx.bsky.social
1.7K followers 6 following 141 posts

I'm here because I lost a bet. Follow me for occasionally unhinged forecast content for Central Texas

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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
Fresh augmented reality update on our overnight storm chance. Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Ain't nothin' like last week, but keep your eyes peeled for severe storms LATE tonight (after midnight) primarily to the northwest of Austin. Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
SWEET SWEET VICTORY 2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
No sorry I got logged out for a while but finally got this back up and running. I've sinned and will atone with new updates here I promise
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
The third and final day of severe weather this week is poised to be the most widespread & significant. Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
WEATHER ALERT DAY - Severe storms are likely for more of us Thursday afternoon->evening. Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Storm chances are back on the menu, but the first course is... questionable. Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
A project months in the making finally hits the airwaves TONIGHT on CBS Austin. "Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
A necessary ingredient for better storm chances comes with an unfortunate side effect: Mosquito population boom for the next ~6 months. The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/04/2025
No major changes to our weekend storm plan. 🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely 🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Windy through Friday, stormy by Sunday? Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow. What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
Another melancholy cold front day in Central Texas. Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Did some data digging and the results are nausea-inducing. Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin. That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Happy cold front day I guess. It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
HI I'M BACK And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later
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Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Kathy Zab @kathyzab.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Crabapple Fire in Gillespie County giving some terrifying sunset vibes in Bee Cave. @averytomascowx.bsky.social
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Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Alex Wild @alexwild.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Heads up, central Texas. Extreme fire danger tomorrow. Not sure if OP @averytomascowx.bsky.social was planning to post this here as well, so I'm passing it along.
Screen cap of meteorologist Avery Tomasco social media post: "Have not seen a wildfire setup like this for Central Texas in many years.
Folks, this is as bad as it gets tomorrow. Howling winds, extreme drought, dormant fuels following extreme cold in late February... Be extremely vigilant and mindful of anything that could spark a fire"
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
Won't see much weather content from me on bs for a while 🐥 Navy Joe joined us on Wednesday, much ahead of schedule. See y'all again in April!
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
Coldest morning in more than a year has arrived. Life-threatening wind chills now dropping to/below zero. My recommendation: Wear every layer you own, like Randy from "A Christmas Story"
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Pssssst. It's snowing in Austin and much of the I-35 corridor. Sneaky, saturated low-level atmosphere behind the cold front is what is producing these flurries. It's mostly falling as needles, a specific kind of snow formation unique to this atmosphere.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Brutal, brutal, brutal cold this morning. Put on every layer you've got. Single-digit wind chill temperatures already as of 5:30 AM, and we'll keep dropping through about 9 AM. Odds are, we won't get above freezing this afternoon
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
First look at the first of two dangerously cold nights in Central Texas. WEDNESDAY MORNING 🔹Air temps: 15-25° 🔹Wind speed: 15-25 MPH 🔹Wind chill: 0-15° B r u t a l. Genuine concern for hypothermia if you're outside for too long without the right gear
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Everything you had to do back in January. Pipes prone to freezing need to be covered. Drip a few interior faucets. Keep pets inside. Cover up outdoor plants. Protect yourself with lots-o-layers, and check on friends/neighbors/family that may need some help
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
Buckle up, scallywags. Dangerous cold whips through Texas TUESDAY NIGHT. Single-digit wind chill temperatures expected Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Pets, pipes, people, plants, and pants. Please wear pants and make good choices
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
It's cold today. It could get MUCH colder next week. Early heads up that our coldest temps of the season will be possible next week (Tuesday -> Wednesday) due to split in the polar vortex and strong signals for Arctic air to break loose down into Texas
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Friends don't let friends leave home without a jacket. MUCH colder this morning, gang. Near freezing on the thermometer, feeling like teens/20s on the skin.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
A lot going on in the next week. 🔹Cold front #1 arrives tonight. Wind chill in the 20s Thursday AM 🔹Cold front #2 arrives Saturday night, more of the same behind it. 🔹Cold front #3 mid-next week needs to be monitored... Could be much stronger
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
This morning's rain/storms was icing on yesterday's cake. And we ate GOOD. 1-3" along/east of I-35 produced the biggest daily rainfall at the airport in more than a year, all in what is typically the driest month of the year. Liquid gold
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Reposted by Avery Tomasco
Lance Ellisor @ellisor.net · 11/02/2025
beautiful bounty here in east Austin cc @averytomascowx.bsky.social
My rain gauge showing right at 3”
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
It's raining, and more is likely (in waves) over the next 24 hours. You love to see it
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
6 AM - Grab the rain gear! BEAUTIFUL view of radar as much-needed rain slides in. Widespread rain and non-severe storms are most likely between now and early afternoon. Some 1"+ totals are possible
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Hey, uhhh Okay bye
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
This likely comes in stark contrast to other forecast information you've seen... But this is almost a lock. Cold front drops down SUNDAY with a 30-40° drop in temperatures. Super Bowl backyard fire now looking likely at the Tomasco Casa
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
My reaction when someone says "you know I actually like this heat" NO, you scallywags. 80-90° in February is stupid when we have 6 months of summer ahead of us
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
I can help! In 9 months, they will die again. Between now and then, your blood donation to the environment appreciated and nonconsensual
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
I'm forecasting our warmest first week of February in 114 years. ...But winter still has some fight left in her. "The Rodent" is our newest theme park attraction, please keep hands and feet inside the vehicle at all times
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Haven't missed any significant wx event since joining BS However, time is a dwindling resource for me at the moment. Still need to get in a rhythm that allows me to post here as often as I post on other outlets. It's a lot to juggle along with general real life things.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Stormy night getting started! Already an inch and counting in the Hill Country, and the best is still to come. Gotta keep an eye out for some rotating storms and a tornado threat overnight, but this is otherwise MUCH NEEDED skywater.
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Storm chance game-plan: Complex rolls through from west to east beginning late Wednesday evening. It'll exit stage right by noon Thursday. Still an isolated severe weather threat in the mix, but should be a healthy soaking more than anything. Some spots cash in on 1-2"+
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Atmosphere slowly transitioning ahead of our next storm chance (Wednesday night->Thursday morning) That means today is blech. Drizzle, fog, mist, ~*wetness*~ this morning
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Apologies for my lack of updates here this morning. Between no sleep and 5.5 hours of live storm coverage, I was stretched very thin. Road conditions are improving at the moment, but could worsen tonight as leftover moisture refreezes. Check back before you hit the road Wednesday morning
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Here we go! As of 8 PM Monday, widespread (but light) sleet and graupel is now coming down and slowly accumulating on elevated surfaces. Eventually, some roads will get slippery. Still expecting this to transition to snow overnight (1-5 AM)
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
After a chaotic 24 hours of data analysis, I think we're finally getting a better handle of tonight's winter storm. Here's the play-by-play. Snow remains likely, especially between midnight and 6 AM Tuesday. Totals will vary between a dusting to 3", higher amounts SE of Austin
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
It's happening.gif WINTER STORM WARNING or WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY in effect 6 PM Monday to 6 PM Tuesday Higher snow accumulation of 1-3" in the winter storm warning area, lighter accumulation in the Hill Country. Hazardous travel is the only concern #atxwx #txwx
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
WINTER STORM WATCH now up for most of Central/East/Southeast Texas. Some will be upgraded to winter storm warnings, others down to winter weather advisory. Snow/sleet accumulation begins Monday night and lasts through Tuesday morning with travel impacts likely #atxwx #txwx
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
First look at hi-res data: It's happening Mix of sleet and snow begins late Monday evening. Main event will be midnight through late morning Tuesday with more snow than sleet likely. Totals subject to change, but a dusting to as many as 3" of snow possible in spots
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
Game-plan... Subject to change. All signs point to accumulating snow from Central to Southeast Texas Monday night through Tuesday morning. Disaster? No. Hazardous travel? Yes. Winter wonderland? Here's to hoping
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
So, uh, next week... Escalating quickly. Show chances:📈 Fresh forecast coming up from 4:30 to 7 AM on CBS Austin
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Avery Tomasco @averytomascowx.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Getting more consistent answers now for our next batch of Arctic air. 🔹First piece arrives Saturday 🔹Coldest temps are here Sunday->Tuesday 🔹Winter weather is *possible* but still very much in question. Snapshot of Monday morning temps shown here, coldest since Jan 2024
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