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Ari Cicurel

@aricicurel.bsky.social
85 followers 373 following 41 posts

Associate Director of Foreign Policy, JINSA. University of Michigan and King's College London grad. Views are my own. RT/Like ≠ endorsement jinsa.org/person/ari-cicurel

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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
US and Israeli air defenses intercepted the majority of Iranian ballistic missiles during the June 13-24 war, but Iran was able to hit Israel by adapting “how, when, and what” it fired. I spoke with @wsj.com about the JINSA data featured in today's print edition.
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
Iranian proxies resumed attacking US troops in Iraq and Syria shortly after Israel began Operation Rising Lion. Iran wants to test Trump’s red line against attacks on US forces, deter a US strike on Fordow, and drive the US to pressure Israel against further strikes. t.co/w5NVm82e2r
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
During the early morning hours today, Iran launched 30 ballistic missiles, its largest single ballistic missile attack since 6/16. Iran has launched roughly 491 ballistic missiles at Israel since 6/13.
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
According to JINSA estimates, Israeli strikes could eliminate 1/2 of Iran’s missile launchers, resulting in Iran’s rate of fire dropping below 20 ballistic missiles per day, as soon as 6/19. Iran’s missile stockpile could be reduced to <500 ballistic missiles as soon as 6/23.
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
In just the opening phase of Israel's Operation Rising Lion, 200 Israeli aircraft struck 100 targets using 330 munitions, hitting military locations, nuclear sites, and killing >20 Iranian military leaders and nuclear scientists. A 🧵 with my analysis for JINSA. jinsa.org/jinsa_report...
jinsa.org
Israel’s Operation Rising Lion: 6/13/25 Update - JINSA
The Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Iran Projectile Tracker presents regularly updated charts and graphs on missiles, rockets, drones, and mortars that Iran and its regiona...
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
As Israel & the US prepare for an Iranian retaliation, a JINSA report out last week offers key lessons from the 2 previous Iranian attacks against Israel. In both attacks, the US played a central role in helping defend Israel. The same should be true if Iran attacks again. jinsa.org/jinsa_report...
jinsa.org
Forged Under Fire: Middle East Air Defense After Iran’s 2024 Attacks on Israel - JINSA
The scene: Two combat jets race through the night sky on opposite sides of the Saudi-Jordanian border. In one cockpit, a pilot from the Royal Saudi Air Force. In the other, one of Israel’s top air com...
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
The Trump admin is already distancing itself from Israel’s strikes. This is a dangerous mistake. Rubio doesn’t signal if the Trump admin supports the strikes or if the US is prepared to help defend Israel against an Iranian attack as it did in April and October last year.
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Fred Guttenberg @fredguttenberg.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
In a week where the reality of antisemitism resulted in the gun violence murder of two people in DC, the Secretary of Defense just made a known antisemite his new Deputy Press Secretary. For the Jewish people who voted for this, help me understand why? www.npr.org/2025/03/06/n...
npr.org
A Pentagon press secretary has history of pushing antisemitic, extremist theories
Members of Congress and civil rights groups are condemning past comments from Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Kingsley Wilson, including some which critics called antisemitic.
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Amy Spitalnick @amyspitalnick.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
I want to underscore the vulnerability that the Jewish community is feeling today, following years in which we were already pretty scared (and in some spaces, gaslit about the reality of the threat). This was a Jewish event, at a Jewish museum. It feels like it could have been any of us.
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
The truce Trump announced with the Houthis will leave the terrorist threat intact, without any indication it will bring an end to Houthi strikes on Israel or restore shipping in the Red Sea. A🧵with my analysis & charts from JINSA’s Houthi Projectile Tracker below. 1/10
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Large fires around Jerusalem have led to multiple areas being evacuated and the cancellation of Independence Day events throughout Israel due to weather caused by the fires.
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
The latest JINSA data on US strikes against the Houthis appeared in this morning’s @axios.com future of defense newsletter: The US launched at least 612% more strikes in March than during all operations targeting the Houthis since November. @demarest-colin.bsky.social www.axios.com/newsletters/...
axios.com
Axios Future of Defense
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
Compared to Biden's limited operations against the Houthis that focused on targeting capabilities, the Trump's strikes in Yemen expanded the scale, scope, and persistency of efforts against the Iran-backed terrorist group. A🧵with the latest charts and data from JINSA:
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Chris Vannini @chrisvannini.com · 16/03/2025
After a few Purdue years, the Big Ten is back to being run by the state of Michigan.
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Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 16/03/2025
A federal court’s jurisdiction does *not* stop at the water’s edge. The question is whether the *defendants* are subject to the court order, not *where* the conduct being challenged takes place. Were it otherwise, the government could act lawlessly overseas and courts would be powerless to stop it.
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Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Slotkin: While we are on the subject of Elon Musk, is there anyone in America who's comfortable with him and his gang using his own computer servers to poke to your tax returns, your health information, your bank accounts?
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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 05/03/2025
hey guess what trump's numbers about social security are total horseshit www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
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Kyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Trump again confirms that DOGE is "headed" by Elon Musk, which undermines the administration's position in a few of its court cases against DOGE's effort to access agency systems.
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Kevin O'Connor @therealkevino.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
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Karen Schwartz @pithywidow.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Is this about personal freedom or the free market
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
As Blaise Misztal and I recommended in @breakingdefense.com earlier this week, the Trump admin has invoked an emergency waiver to push through critical weapons packages for Israel that were frozen under Biden. Now, it should deliver the weapons ASAP. breakingdefense.com/2025/02/pres...
breakingdefense.com
President Trump must use every tool to speed up arms for Israel - Breaking Defense
Blaise Misztal and Ari Cicurel in this op-ed argue that President Donald Trump needs to be willing to go around Congress to get arms to Israel more quickly.
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Jewish Dems @jewishdems.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Ukraine was brutally invaded by Russia and is fighting to maintain control of their country. The Kremlin must be celebrating President Trump’s disgusting parroting of Russian propaganda. We won’t hold our breath waiting for Republicans to condemn this gross display.
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Haley Stevens @haleyformi.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Jewish Americans are welcome in the Democratic Party. Full stop. Comments like these are antisemitic & based in harmful tropes that fail to recognize the broad spectrum of Jewish belief & political engagement. www.detroitnews.com/story/news/p...
detroitnews.com
Candidate to lead Michigan Democrats says, 'This is not the Jewish party'
A candidate for chairman of the Michigan Democratic Party was asked recently if the party's stances toward Israel and Palestine needed to change.
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David Shor @davidshor.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
Explicit antisemitic attitudes are now much more common among young voters - 18 year old registered voters are now ~5x more likely to say that they have an unfavorable view of the Jewish people than 65 year olds.
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Amy Spitalnick @amyspitalnick.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
For the Jews who think the attacks on diversity, equity, and inclusion won’t impact them — make no mistake, they will. It’s not accidental that Holocaust Remembrance Day is included here.
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Yashar Ali 🐘 @yasharali.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
1. We already knew how evil Bashar al-Assad was, but what has been revealed in the past 36 hours confirms that he, along with his family, is one of the biggest and cruelest criminals of the 21st century. It will take decades to rebuild Syria, and Syrians will carry this trauma for generations.
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
JINSA's latest Northern Escalation Projectile Tracker out today shows the IDF significantly weakened Hezbollah, Israel expanded ground ops but decreased airstrikes against Hezbollah, and Iran continued to turn to its proxies in Iraq to target Israel. jinsa.org/jinsa_report...
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Ari Cicurel @aricicurel.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
As I told Fox News for this article detailing data from JINSA's Iran Projectile Tracker, "Iran could also further escalate its proxies’ attacks against US forces in Iraq and Syria to try to convince Washington to exert pressure on Israel." www.foxnews.com/world/iran-l...
foxnews.com
Iran-linked attacks against US skyrocket by 600% since Oct 2023 Hamas attack on Israel: report
Iran-sanctioned attacks on U.S. personnel has surged since the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attacks on Israel as Iran may pressure Washington to ease Israel's fight against Hamas and Hezbollah.
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