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Nurlan A Aliyev

@anurlan.bsky.social
41 followers 10 following 33 posts

Researcher, learner & educator, dog man, sea lover & mountain walker; Researching IR & international security, strategic studies; Focuses on geopolitics & geoeconomics of #Russia, #Eurasia and #Arctic;

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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
My interview to War on the Rocks’ Rewind and Reconnoiter newsletter, discussing Russia’s dual-use research fleet and the blurred line between scientific activity, intelligence gathering,potential sabotage beneath the ocean’s surface, and maritime robotic systems warontherocks.com/russias-blur...
warontherocks.com
Russia’s Blurry Line Between Science and Sabotage Beneath the Ocean’s Surface
In 2025, Nurlan Aliyev wrote, “The Mayhem of Russia’s “Research” Fleet,” where he argued that NATO must act decisively to safeguard critical undersea
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
How does Russia support #Iran today? Are there reliable data on supplies of Russian weapons? Where according to Washington, is the “red line” in the volume of Russian aid to Iran? What benefits does Russia gain from instability in the Middle East? @anurlan.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhDd...
youtube.com
Война с Ираном: плюсы для Москвы - Russia Talk S02E16(Нурлан Алиев)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
My new piece explores how Russia's unmanned surface & deep-sea systems are reshaping reconnaissance, seabed operations, and infrastructure security. Arctic, Baltic, North Atlantic are key theatres. Constraints remain, but the trajectory is clear centerformaritimestrategy.org/publications...
centerformaritimestrategy.org
Russia’s Expanding Robotic Sea Capabilities - Center for Maritime Strategy
Russia’s Expanding Robotic Sea Capabilities Recent reports on Russia’s research fleet and its underwater surveillance network, Harmony, highlights a trend that deserves closer strategic attention: Mos...
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
New joint article in Small Wars & Insurgencies: “Kaliningrad: the strategic challenge for NATO’s eastern flank and German–Polish perspectives.” www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Kaliningrad: the strategic challenge for NATO’s eastern flank and German–Polish perspectives
This paper explores the strategic importance of the Kaliningrad region for Russia, as well as its implications for German and Polish military strategies. It analyses how Germany and Poland, individ...
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
What comes next with #Iran? What consequences will this war have for the participants, for countries in the region, and how might it affect #Russia ’s invasion of #Ukraine, #China ’s interests, and international security more broadly? @anurlan.bsky.social for ridl.io ridl.io/war-in-iran-...
ridl.io
War in Iran: What Comes Next? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on a war with goals but no strategy
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
My comments for #YLE We discussed Russia’s view on Greenland, Russia–EU and Russia- U.S. relations in the Arctic & Eurasia, and Moscow’s policies in the South Caucasus & Central Asia. Thanks to Heikki Heiskanen and @yle.naamio.social Segments: 6:25 & 18:27 areena.yle.fi/1-76900913
areena.yle.fi
Ukrainaa hamuava Venäjä yrittää pitää Trumpin tyytyväisenä | Maailmanpolitiikan arkipäivää
Venäjä pyrkii hyötymään Yhdysvaltain presidentin Donald Trumpin ulkopoliittisista irtiotoista. Trump painostaa Ukrainaa alueluovutuksiin ja repii Naton yhtenäisyyttä mutta on toisaalta iskenyt Venäjä...
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RAAM – op Rusland, Oekraïne en Belarus @platformraam.nl · 22/01/2026
For Russia, the dispute over Greenland is both gratifying and unsettling. As Trump clashes with allies, Moscow sees NATO divisions but also new uncertainties in the Arctic. @anurlan.bsky.social explains for Riddle Russia how the Kremlin is reading the moment. platformraam.nl/uit-andere-m...
platformraam.nl
How Moscow sees the current U.S.-EU spat over Greenland
RAAM – op Rusland, Oekraïne en Belarus. Platform voor kennis, analyse en debat.
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
War in Ukraine collapse of Russia - EU ties and lingering hope of cutting some kind of deal with USA have left Moscow with limited room to maneuver. Those realities have kept RU officials from taking too harsh a public line toward US plans for #Greenland @anurlan.bsky.social ridl.io/how-moscow-s...
ridl.io
How Moscow Sees the Current U.S.-EU Spat over Greenland – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on Moscow’s Mix of Schadenfreude and Caution in the U.S.-EU Greenland Dispute
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
My new at Riddle Russia: Russia’s pivot to the eastern route of the INSTC shows a shift in Eurasian logistics and geopolitical balancing between Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan ridl.io/russia-s-piv...
ridl.io
Russia’s Pivot to the Eastern Route: Balancing Azerbaijan with Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on the International North-South Transport Corridor Eastern Alternative
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
Truly honoured to have my book Reassessing Russia’s Security Policy reviewed @foreignpolicy.com by Edward Lucas, a legendary voice on Soviet and Russian security affairs. #Russia #SecurityPolicy 7 Books That Reveal How Kremlin Decision-Makers Think foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/17/r...
foreignpolicy.com
7 Books That Reveal How Kremlin Decision-Makers Think
Don’t read these new titles on Russia’s wars before bedtime.
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
I shared comments with #BBC on Moscow’s icebreaker capabilities in the #Arctic: The main is: Sanctions have significantly weakened its ability to build new vessels. www.bbc.com/russian/arti...
bbc.com
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
My book Reassessing Russia’s Security Policy now out in paperback If you’re interested in a grounded analysis without exaggerated claims about “information warfare” or “propaganda”, this book explains When, why, andhow Moscow could intervene militarily in CIS states www.routledge.com/Reassessing-...
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
Can US seemingly increasing involvement in South Caucasus drastically affect Russian interests in the region? Can Moscow resist this shift and how it might attempt to do so? @anurlan.bsky.social ridl.io/trump-s-rout...
ridl.io
Trump’s Route Instead of Putin’s Corridor? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on How Increased U.S. Involvement Can Erode Russia’s Remaining Influence in the South Caucasus
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
My new joint paper examines the role of civil-military cooperation in the war in Ukraine. Te theoretical framework of the paper is based on asymmetry in strategic interaction theory. Grateful to Martijn Lak & Michael Coffey @josms.bsky.social , and the reviewers www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The Role of Civilian-Military Cooperation in the Ukrainian Asymmetric War Strategy
The aim of this article is to understand one of the main characteristics of asymmetric warfare, i.e. cooperation between Ukrainian military personnel and civilians, and how it contributed to the as...
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 05/07/2025
How far can the confrontation between Russia and Azerbaijan go? What are Russia's interests in Azerbaijan and Azerbaijan's interests in Russia? What is the possible outcome of this escalation? Russia Talk with Nurlan Aliyev youtu.be/JjJR8XK6Vqk?...
youtu.be
Российско-Азербайджанская эскалационная лестница - Riddle Russia 81(Нурлан Алиев)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
Why are Russia and #Azerbaijan seemingly go all out against each other? What does it tell us about reginal dynamics? What might happen next? @anurlan.bsky.social for ridl.io ridl.io/what-is-happ...
ridl.io
What Is Happening Between Azerbaijan and Russia? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on the motivations behind Baku and Moscow’s actions amid the ongoing downturn in relations and potential trends in their future development
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
It would seem one project we can completely bury is Russia's North-South transport corridor to Iran ridl.io/russia-s-vit...
ridl.io
Russia’s Vital (and Fragile) New Trade Artery To Iran – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev sees the launch of Iran and Russia’s International North-South Transport Corridor as a major strategic move in a region fraught with complex risks and divergent interests
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
There seems to be a bit of confusion about Russian security guarantees to Iran. Here is an explainer Russia is not in fact obliged to come to the rescue ridl.io/iran-russia-...
ridl.io
Iran-Russia partnership: Friends forever? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev analyses the extent of Moscow and Tehran’s ‘comprehensive strategic partnership agreement
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
the Geoeconomics and Geopolitics of the International North-South Transport Corridor: Connecting or Competing with the Belt and Road Initiative? muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
The map was designed by Nurlan Aliyev and Oleh Skrynyk
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
My latest on #Russia - #China #Arctic relations, from #LNG projects to NSR development, and military cooperation, amid geopolitical shifts and environmental concerns. ridl.io/russia-china...
ridl.io
Russia-China Arctic Cooperation Balancing – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Alyiev on Russia-China Arctic ties, from LNG projects to NSR development, amid geopolitical shifts and environmental concerns
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RichThompsonAK @richthompsonak.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Russia’s Arctic: what’s next? "Drawing on Russia’s Arctic strategies, projects, and approaches, this piece explores potential futures for a region central to Moscow’s ambitions." ridl.io/russia-s-arc...
ridl.io
Russia’s Arctic: what’s next? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on Scenarios for the Development of Russia’s Arctic Policy
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
How has 2022 invasion of UA altered RU economic plans in #Arctic, and can China or India fill the gap left by departing Western companies? From military buildup to shipbuilding aspirations, what paths might RU pursue—and what would that mean for Arctic? @anurlan.bsky.social ridl.io/russia-s-arc...
ridl.io
Russia’s Arctic: what’s next? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on Scenarios for the Development of Russia’s Arctic Policy
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
My book , Reassessing Russia's Security Policy, will be soon available for mass reading :) A paperback edition of the Book will be available for purchase soon, just 35 pounds Available for pre-order since April 15, 2025 @tandfhss www.routledge.com/Reassessing-...
routledge.com
Reassessing Russia's Security Policy
This book provides a detailed analysis of the evolution of Russia’s security policy. Based on extensive original research, including an analysis of official documents, political and military elite spe...
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
The review on my book, Reassessing #Russia 's security policy, has been recently published by the Defense & Security Analysis. Many thanks to a reviewer, Professor Zdeněk Kříž, Editor-in-Chief, Prof. Thomas-Durell Young and Reviews Editor Zsolt Lazar @tandfhss www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Is Russia ready to pivot away from #China for the U.S. in the #Arctic in the results of #RussiaUS talks? I bet it will not happen as Washington wants to see it I' m going to explain it here why 🧵1/ www.rbc.ru/politics/18/...
rbc.ru
Дмитриев заявил о необходимости совместных проектов с США
США и России нужны совместные проекты, в том числе в Арктике, но также и в других областях, они позволяют быть успешнее, заявил Дмитриев. Россия передала США предложения по развитию отношений в торгов...
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
Trump has spoken to Putin about ending war in Ukraine nypost.com/2025/02/08/u...
nypost.com
Exclusive | Trump reveals he’s spoken with Putin by phone, says Russian president ‘wants to see people stop dying’ in Ukraine war
In an exclusive interview with The Post aboard Air Force One Friday, President Donald Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin on the phone as he is trying to negotiate with him to end the…
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
Despite Western sanctions, Russia-Iranian trade and economic relations reportedlycontinue to develop in areas like nuclear and thermal energy, mechanical engineering, transportation, oil and natural gas, and agriculture. However @anurlan.bsky.social ridl.io/iran-russia-...
ridl.io
Iran-Russia partnership: Friends forever? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev analyses the extent of Moscow and Tehran’s ‘comprehensive strategic partnership agreement
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Had a great discussion on Russia's security policy—its key trends, potential threats to the EU and NATO, and the increasing pressure on CIS countries after the war in Ukraine. Video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=KTJz... Podcast: talkeasterneurope.eu/episodes/epi...
youtube.com
TEE Book Talk: Reassessing Russia's Security Policy
YouTube video by New Eastern Europe
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
A good piece on contrasts between strategy and grand strategy "States that triumph in war do not always benefit from a post-war peace, and in some cases, the demands of strategy actually work against grand strategy." warontherocks.com/2025/01/star...
warontherocks.com
Start Making Sense: Strategy and Grand Strategy in the Trump Administration - War on the Rocks
As he has told us many times, Donald Trump knows a lot about winning. But for all we know about the man and his methods, we still don’t know how he thinks
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
IIran has purchased Russian-made Sukhoi-35 fighter jets, a senior Revolutionary Guards commander said www.entekhab.ir/fa/news/8473...
entekhab.ir
معاون قرارگاه مرکزی خاتم الانبیا (ص): جنگنده «سوخو ۳۵» خریداری شده است/ سامانه‌های دفاعی آسیب‌دیده جایگزین و در رزمایش‌ها آزمایش شدند
معاون هماهنگ کننده قرارگاه مرکزی خاتم الانبیا (ص) از خرید جنگنده‌های پیشرفته «سوخو ۳۵» خبر داد و گفت: هر زمان هم که لازم باشد، برای تقویت نیرو‌های هوایی، زمینی و دریایی خود خرید‌های نظامی انجام می‌دهی...
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
Reportedly, Saudi Arabia purchased 39 Pantsir-S1M air defence missile systems from Russia for over $2 billion, Atccording to he report, deliveries were made in 2023 www.occrp.org/en/scoop/san...
occrp.org
Sanctioned Russian Firms Sold $2B Air Defense System to Saudi Arabia, Leaked Documents Show
Russia has been exporting arms to countries including Saudi Arabia, bolstering its economy after a barrage of sanctions followed its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
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Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Strategic partnership agreement between #Russia and #Iran is a declaration of two countries largely estranged from the world, outlining their plans to join efforts and resist regional and global challenges they face. But it is not an alliance. @anurlan.bsky.social ridl.io/iran-russia-...
ridl.io
Iran-Russia partnership: Friends forever? – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev analyses the extent of Moscow and Tehran’s ‘comprehensive strategic partnership agreement
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
NATO announced a new mission to protect undersea cables in the Baltic Sea region. The mission dubbed Baltic Sentry would include frigates, maritime patrol aircraft and a fleet of naval drones to provide “enhanced surveillance and deterrence. apnews.com/article/nato...
apnews.com
NATO announces a new mission to protect undersea cables in the Baltic Sea region
NATO is launching a new mission to protect undersea cables in the Baltic Sea region after a string of incidents that have heightened concerns about possible Russian activities, the alliance’s leader s...
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
Amidst the hype on Greenland documentary filmed in 1963- "The City Under Ice", on pProject Iceworm, it was a top secret U.S. Army program of the Cold War, which aimed to build a network of mobile nuclear missile launch sites under the Greenland ice sheet ia800203.us.archive.org/14/items/gov...
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
My latest on Russia's research fleet It is on how and why Russia can attack NATO members' sea infrastructure in the Baltic and Northern seas, and other parts of the world ocean; History &characteristics of vessels, institutions run them and the challenges. warontherocks.com/2025/01/the-...
warontherocks.com
The Mayhem of Russia’s “Research” Fleet - War on the Rocks
Russia wields a formidable capability to target NATO’s undersea infrastructure in critical regions such as the Baltic, Barents, and North Seas, as well as
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
A very intersting interview of President Zelensky, he explaines Kyiv's vision on possible peace negotiations www.youtube.com/watch?v=u321...
youtube.com
Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Ukraine, War, Peace, Putin, Trump, NATO, and Freedom | Lex Fridman Podcast #456
YouTube video by Lex Fridman
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
What is happening between Aliyev and Putin? Is it a sign of cut of relations between Azerbaijan and Russia? Or perhaps is it just grievances between the "strategic partners"? None of them can be considered as a closed-ended question, and I'm going to explain it here: x.com/anurlan/stat...
A photo @ https://tass.ru/obschestvo/22757643
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
Azerbaijan Airlines has cancelled all flights to the North Caucasus after a plane crash. Russian military telegram channels report that the plane could have been shot down by Russia's air defense systems (pantsirs) around Grozny x.com/anurlan/stat...
x.com
x.com
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
Как после начала полномасштабной войны изменилось сотрудничество России с ЕС и другими странами? Как развиваются экономические проекты России в Арктике? Как на них влияют санкции? Russia Talk с @anurlan.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=FsOT...
youtube.com
Российская Арктика во время войны - Russia Talk 65(Нурлан Алиев)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
The signing of a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement between Moscow and Tehran could take place as early as mid-January 2025, an official representative of the Iranian Foreign Ministry said, reported Russian official media tass.ru/mezhdunarodn...
tass.ru
Тегеран и Москва могут подписать договор о партнерстве в январе 2025 года
Договор подпишут во время двусторонней встречи
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Nurlan A Aliyev @anurlan.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
My newest for @RiddleRussia Frosty relations: #Russia and the #EU in the #Arctic it explores the history and outlook of EU-Russia Arctic relations in 2025, spotting various points of contention and a few glimmers of possible cooperation ridl.io/frosty-relat...
ridl.io
Frosty relations: Russia and the EU in the Arctic – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev explores the history and outlook of EU-Russia Arctic relations in 2025, spotting various points of contention and a few glimmers of cooperation
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