iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 21h

How can cities tackle public security amid climate change? I will speak on this at the Berlin Climate & Security Conference on 06 October. I'll share findings from a project w/ UN Climate Security Mechanism. #BCSC2026 @climate.diplo.bsky.social berlin-climate-security-conference.de/en/bcsc-2026...

berlin-climate-security-conference.de

BCSC 2026: Building inclusive and peaceful cities on the frontlines of climate change

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

‘Illiberal leaders worldwide target cities because they often act as strongholds of democracy: fertile ground for popular opposition figures and movements, alternative centers of political power’ @ambnina.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

foreignaffairs.com

The Autocrat’s Worst Enemy

Despots hate cities and the mayors who run them.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

The installation of military assets in urban areas places civilian housing and infrastructure at the frontline of armed conflict. Armed forces should consider the long-term damage and grievances that housing destruction causes.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

In a new report, I examine the ways in which climate change is increasing organised crime in cities. I cover three areas: - Human trafficking in rural-to-urban migration; - Water scarcity and mafias; - Land grab, illegal construction and corruption globalinitiative.net/analysis/a-c...

globalinitiative.net

A climate of insecurity: Climate change and organized crime in cities

This report examines the intersection of climate change and organized crime in cities. The relationship between these issues is a critical area for policy and programming in governments and multilater...

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 16/01/2026

Got my hands on the physical version of this important book - a must-read for everyone trying to understand the vulnerability of urban communities to long-term patterns of violence. @stanleycenter.org

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 06/01/2026

My goodness. Words of Stephen Miller, influential Trump adviser: “We live in a world, in the real world, Jake, that is governed by strength, that is governed by force, that is governed by power (…)These are the iron laws of the world since the beginning of time.” www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/u...

nytimes.com

Stephen Miller Asserts U.S. Has Right to Take Greenland

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

Interesting that in The Atlantic interview Trump says the ‘Donroe’ doctrine - kidnap threat against heads of state that displease him - is not restricted to Western hemisphere. It applies to any country that he decides it should.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

If Trump’s claim that Venezuelan VP has been talking to US about handing in power to a steering group of sorts led by Trump, this would be (I believe) unprecedented in world history: an overnight special ops mission resulting in the takeover of a country without boots on the ground.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

So that’s interesting. Trump said Rubio had a conversation with Delcy Rodrigues and that she is willing to cooperate with this steering group he’s putting together.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 25/11/2025

It's wonderful to see this groundbreaking edited volume out - and the digital version is FREE! The book introduces identity-based urban violence - types of violence that disproportionately affect certain groups concetrated in urban areas. link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

link.springer.com

Identity-Based Mass Violence in Urban Contexts

This open access edited book brings together research and creative contributions to explore a new concept of identity-based mass violence in urban contexts

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 07/11/2025

I had the honour of contributing to this incredible volume by the Inter-American Development Bank on Amazonian cities. Gabriel Funari and I describe how urbanisation is affecting security in the Amazon, and point to potential policy solutions. publications.iadb.org/en/cities-am...

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 23/10/2025

There is growing concern about climate change intensifying security risks, especially crime. But in current global context security policies need to do + w/ - resources. Challenging issues at #BCSC Berlin Climate and Security Conference.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

Had the pleasure of contributing to Monocle Radio, commenting on the top stories today w/ @andrewmueller.bsky.social @burcuozcelik.bsky.social. Particularly important discussion on the impact of urban warfare on Gaza.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 16/05/2025

It’s Friday and even before I finish work I got a treat: this dog sitting next to me in a cafe came to say hi several times. Why can’t life (and humans!) be as simple as dogs?

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Excavators are an integral part of current military activities in Gaza - the role of urban destruction for control of cities in current urban war is high (also seen in Syria by Assad regime). www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

nytimes.com

Gazans Once Escaped To Rafah. Now Israel Is Razing It.

In the last few weeks, Israel has demolished extensive areas of Gaza’s southernmost city, Rafah.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

The problem is not so much attacks on Maiduguri, but the insecurity of the myriad small and medium towns around it. They are all connected, and attacks in one sector or major road affect all of them. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...

theguardian.com

Fears of Boko Haram comeback stir in Nigerian birthplace of Maiduguri

Threat from jihadists had widely been perceived to be extinguished, but recent clashes suggest otherwise

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 02/04/2025

Khartoum residents speak of widespread fear, looting and rape during RSF forces' presence in the city, which is one of Africa's largest and has just been recovered by Sadanese military. www.nytimes.com/2025/03/26/w...

nytimes.com

Paramilitary Fighters Flee Sudan’s Capital, a Major Shift in Civil War

In dramatic scenes that appear to mark a turning point in nearly two years of civil war, Sudan’s military is driving fighters of its rival, the Rapid Support Forces, out of Khartoum.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 18/03/2025

Not another war, please. www.nytimes.com/2025/03/17/w...

nytimes.com

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 13/03/2025

Wonderful rainbow on my way home today. London does have its weather wonders.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

The @oecd-ocde.bsky.social States of Fragility 2025 report reflects the increasing global concern with urban insecurity. It says rapid urbanisation requires urgent attention to security provision and offers opportunities for organised crime in cities. www.oecd.org/en/publicati...

oecd.org

States of Fragility 2025

States of Fragility 2025 considers a world of shifting power dynamics, where the most severe impacts of crisis, conflict and instability converge in the 61 contexts identified with high and extreme fr...

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

What better news could China get today than that the largest country in Latin America is deeply concerned about tariffs on its steel exports to the US? Brazil is a top exporter and the tariffs would be a watershed moment for the bilateral relationship. oglobo.globo.com/economia/not...

oglobo.globo.com

Especialistas analisam ameaça de Trump de taxar aço: como fica o Brasil?

Presidente americano afirmou neste domingo que vai anunciar tarifas de 25% sobre aço e alumínio nesta segunda-feira; Brasil está entre os maiores fornecedores de aço para os EUA

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Urban areas are once again the frontlines of conflict in Sudan. This means more fighting in densely inhabited areas, more urban infrastrucutre and housing that will have to be rebuilt and more displacement to other urban areas unprepared to cope. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/f...

theguardian.com

Sudanese military reports sweeping gains in battle for capital

Army making rapid advances across the country and closing in on RSF-held Republican Palace in Khartoum

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Reposted by Antônio Sampaio

Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 03/02/2025

I suspect USAID is first because it's "foreign aid" and fewer Americans will object. But once the precedent is established, expect unilateral dismantling of domestic institutions too

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

One more city to add to the long list of those in war today: Goma, in the DRC, is again the site of battles between gov and M23 for control of strategic site of mining region.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 22/01/2025

Behind the personal tragedies unfolding in Gaza, this story is a very concrete evidence of urbicide - the destruction not 'only' of lives or buildings but of cities and communities. www.nytimes.com/2025/01/22/w...

nytimes.com

One Family in Gaza Returned Home. But Home Was Gone.

“It took us a few minutes to accept that this pile of rubble was our home,” said Islam Dahliz, whose family was ordered by Israeli forces to evacuate Rafah in May.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

Urbanisation has made secondary cities even more critical for armed conflict trajectories. In Syria, fall of Aleppo was a key moment in Assad regime's fall. Now same seems to be happening in Sudan w/ the army capture of Wad Madani, country's 2nd city. www.middleeastmonitor.com/20250114-sud...

middleeastmonitor.com

Sudan’s military victory signals the imminent defeat of the RSF and its UAE backers

In comments posted on X, Sudanese commentator Taj Al-Sir Othman compared the liberation of Wad Madani to that of Aleppo in Syria: “If Aleppo was the beginning of the collapse...

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 13/12/2024

Cheesy but sincere post: I’m cautiously hopeful about Syria. After so much bad news in world affairs not just lately but over the past decade, this is a rare opportunity for a genuine success in transitioning from conflict to peace. Many challenges remain.

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

I'm looking fwd to moderating this panel on criminal governance and transnational crime in the triborder Amazonian city of Letícia/Tabatinga on 04 Dec. Come along! gitoc.heysummit.com/talks/illici...

gitoc.heysummit.com

Global Initiative's Conference Room

A Talk by Gabriel Funari & Catalina Niño

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Antônio Sampaio @antoniosamp.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

New report shows how transnational organised crime has affected governance and security in cities on tri-border area of Brazil, Colombia and Peru. Analysis by our Amazon Basin Observatory of Illicit Economies. globalinitiative.net/analysis/ill...

globalinitiative.net

Illicit frontiers: Criminal governance in the Amazon's tri-border region

Transnational organized crime has turned cities of the Amazon region like Leticia (Colombia) and Tabatinga(Brazil) into strategic hubs for criminal governance. Historically used as logistical stopover...

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