iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 07/01/2026

On 1/29 Eric Horvitz, Microsoft Chief Scientific Officer, Mike Miles, HoustonISD Superintendent, David Samuelson, Alliance for Decision Ed Executive Director, and I will discuss how Decision Education can connect classroom learning to real-world success. Join us! bit.ly/TheHumanAdva...

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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 11/08/2025

Games help us understand life, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social—the best games involve the two things that characterize life and provide the context for the decisions we make—skill, and luck: buff.ly/yMQsF7u

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Jenny G. Rankin, PhD @jennygrankin.bsky.social · 15/08/2025

Ever wish you could hack #DecisionMaking? Expert @annieduke.com shares practical and powerful strategies for making better choices for a better life! Her @psychologytoday.com interview starts here: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #Thinking #SelfHelp #CognitiveScience #Success @AllDecisionEd

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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 18/08/2025

After every decision we make, we have an opportunity to learn how we can reduce uncertainty when making future decisions. Great insight by @annieduke.com in conversation with @jennygrankin.bsky.social: buff.ly/m8HslTO

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Jenny G. Rankin, PhD @jennygrankin.bsky.social · 19/08/2025

It’s VITAL we teach students 🎓 to make quality decisions.🧠 Learn more in this powerful @psychtoday.bsky.social interview 🎙️with scientist+pro @annieduke.com ♠️: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... ...& from her nonprofit @AllDecisionEd (loaded with resources & support)! #TellEWA #EdChat

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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 22/08/2025

Persistence is not always a virtue. A good heuristic: when you consider quitting is likely the point at which you should quit, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social: buff.ly/Q43aQQ4

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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 02/09/2025

“For something as important as decision making, we spend remarkably little time teaching people how to do it.” Matt Grawitch’s latest post builds on @annieduke.com’s framework, suggesting it embraces more explicitly real life emotion, complexity and change: buff.ly/NJECv7R

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Jenny G. Rankin, PhD @jennygrankin.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

Thinking about quitting? 🤔Hold that thought 💭and check out this @psychologytoday.com interview,🎙️ where the brilliant @annieduke.com ♣️helps you decide what to do about it: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #DecisionEd #IQuit #DecisionMaking @AllDecisionEd

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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 07/09/2025

It may go against your intuition, but good decision making is not measured by its *outcome*—it’s a case of adopting a sound framework as a basis for the *process*, argues @annieduke.com: buff.ly/ciaElUt

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 22/03/2025

Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty." www.forbes.com/councils/for... h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership

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Jenny G. Rankin, PhD @jennygrankin.bsky.social · 29/09/2025

For Anyone Following Netflix’s Success: I just finished (& ❤️d) @reedhastings.bsky.social’s 📕No Rules Rules (re. Netflix), where Chapter 6 is about thinking 🧠in terms of placing bets. A FANTASTIC🤩 book for learning such decision strategies is @annieduke.com's 📕Thinking in Bets.🏆⭐️ #Netflix #GreatBooks

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 07/08/2025

Enjoyed collaborating with @jennygrankin.bsky.social for @psychologytoday.com on how to help you make winning decisions. Hope you enjoy the 7-part series, too.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 03/04/2025

Join me tonight on Zoom for an "ask me anything." I'm so excited for my next live, 3-week cohort-based course on Making Better Decisions with Maven from April 28- May 15. If you have any Qs about the course-please come and ask! Register here! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

docs.google.com

Annie Duke's AMA for Maven Course: Make Better Decisions

Ask Me Anything! Event Timing: Thursday, April 3, 2025; 6:00 PM ET Event Address: A Zoom link will be sent to registrants Course Dates: April 28-May 15

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 22/03/2025

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Pawel Brodzinski @pawelbrodzinski.bsky.social · 07/03/2025

One thing to learn from Thinking in Bets by @annieduke.com is how every product-related decision is a bet. Building a feature, defining experiments, scoping MVP, you name it. What follows, in the vast majority of cases, smaller bet will be smarter. In other words: build less.

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Pawel Brodzinski @pawelbrodzinski.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

“When we finally quit, we realize we should have done it long ago.” ~ @annieduke.com It always surprises me in how many contexts it stands true. Pulling a plug on a new product idea? Check. Finally, letting an underperformed go? Check. Heck, my marriage... Check.

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Read: How To Blow Up A Pipeline @blowen.bsky.social · 06/02/2025

Critical Thinking skills are sorely lacking in the West. Probabilistic resources: alliancefordecisioneducation.org @annieduke.com book "Quit" The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (David Spiegelhalter 2025) Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions (Gerd Gigerenzer)

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Jenny G. Rankin, PhD @jennygrankin.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

Did you know former pro poker player ♠️ @annieduke.com has her PhD in #CognitivePsychology & writes about #DecisionScience? I'm so pumped to read her books! 🤩📚🔖 www.today.com/video/annie-...

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 25/02/2025

Decision-making in venture capital is filled with cognitive traps. I had a fascinating conversation with @aurenh.bsky.social about loss aversion, mental accounting, and knowing when to trust your gut. Check out our full discussion on World of DaaS: www.worldofdaas.com/p/annie-duke

worldofdaas.com

Author & Poker Champion Annie Duke

winning bets: decision science in venture capital

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Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

"I am not in the business of telling people what to decide, but in helping people with how to decide," @annieduke.com writes. "That is what I did this week when two government workers (independently) sought me out for help." wapo.st/4jJg0mW

wapo.st

Opinion | Should you take the Musk buyout? Here’s a test.

How to decide whether the “deferred resignation” offer makes sense for you.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 05/02/2025

You don’t want to miss my conversation with journalist & author Bina Venkatarama on this week’s episode of The Decision Education Podcast! We explore the difficulty of delaying gratification, the power of gamification, & more. Listen now! alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

alliancefordecisioneducation.org

Episode 035: Your Future Self Will Thank You with Bina Venkataraman

Annie Duke speaks with journalist and author Bina Venkataraman about the barriers to making long-term decisions.

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Adam Grant @adamgrant.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

The highest compliment from someone who disagrees with you is not “You were right.” It’s “You made me think.” Good arguments help us recognize complexity where we once saw simplicity. The ultimate purpose of debate is not to produce consensus. It’s to promote critical thinking.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 04/02/2025

There are currently 2.3 million people working for the federal government who have until Feb. 6 to decide whether to take a “deferred resignation” offer. So, if you're one of them, should you take it Let's discuss. My latest in the @washingtonpost.com. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | Should you take the Musk buyout? Here’s a test.

How to decide whether the “deferred resignation” offer makes sense for you.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 04/02/2025

Join me tomorrow at 2 p.m. ET for a live chat online with @washingtonpost.com. Are you a federal worker considering whether to accept a "deferred resignation" offer? Join the chat and let's discuss. #WhenToQuit www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | Should you accept a ‘deferred resignation’ offer? Annie Duke takes your questions.

This live chat with readers will begin at 2 p.m. ET on Feb. 4. Submit your questions.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 22/01/2025

I had a fabulous time talking to author and entrepreneur @sethgodin.bsky.social for the latest episode of The Decision Education Podcast. We covered how both social identities and systems shape our behavior—and ways we can reclaim our agency. Tune in! alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

alliancefordecisioneducation.org

Episode 034: The Systems That Shape Us with Seth Godin

Annie Duke and Seth Godin, renowned author, entrepreneur, and marketing expert, explore the role of systems in shaping our choices.

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Helen Reynolds @helenrey.bsky.social · 19/01/2025

This is an excellent book that I really wish I'd been able to read 40 years ago. Fantastically useful in all sorts of areas of life. Thank you @annieduke.com

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 13/01/2025

How to See ➡️ the Future. If making better decisions is something that’s important to you (and I hope it is), make sure to check out Philip Tetlock's interview with @shaneaparrish.bsky.social on #FS's podcast. One of my all-time favorites. fs.blog/knowledge-pr...

fs.blog

Philip Tetlock: How to See the Future [The Knowledge Project Ep. #6]

Philip Tetlock shares the 15-minute exercise that radically improves forecasting accuracy.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 08/01/2025

I had a great conversation with cognitive neuroscientist Dr. Tali Sharot on the latest episode of The #DecisionEducation Podcast! We explore the challenges of updating our beliefs & so much more. Give the episode a listen! alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

alliancefordecisioneducation.org

Episode 033: The Neuroscience of Optimism with Dr. Tali Sharot

Annie Duke welcomes cognitive neuroscientist Dr. Tali Sharot to explore her groundbreaking research on optimism bias, memory, decision-making, and human behavior.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 07/01/2025

Excited to share that I'm once again offering my live, 3-week cohort-based course to help you "Make Better Decisions." If you're looking to improve your decision making abilities in this new year, I hope you consider joining me. Learn more or reserve your spot today. maven.com/annie-duke/m...

maven.com

Make Better Decisions by Annie Duke on Maven

Beat decision paralysis. Master a repeatable process for making better decisions in business and life.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 06/01/2025

We humans are just not very good at updating our beliefs in the face of new information, 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛 𝑎𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑙𝑒 𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑢𝑡 ℎ𝑜𝑤 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑤ℎ𝑦 𝑤𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑦 𝑔𝑜𝑜𝑑 𝑎𝑡 𝑢𝑝𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑏𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑓𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛. My latest Substack #confirmationbias annieduke.substack.com/p/oops-i-rea...

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John P. Hussman, Ph.D. @hussmanjp.bsky.social · 05/01/2025

This piece by @annieduke.com is fun and useful - like her books. If you haven’t read one, start with Thinking in Bets and go from there. and Happy New Year Annie! www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | How poker players keep New Year’s resolutions

Gamblers know how a bet can change our behavior.

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Katy Milkman @katymilkman.bsky.social · 01/01/2025

Thinking of making a New Year’s resolution? You’re in good company. Lots of people use fresh start dates like new year’s to motivate goal pursuit. If Jan 1 gives you a sense that your past failures are history and makes you think big picture about your goals, you may benefit from leaning into it! 🧵

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 20/12/2024

"Even though it is in my area of study, I am still surprised by the extent to which our tribal instincts can rock our moral foundations, as they did in these cases." @kurtjgray.bsky.social and I discuss the psychology of victimhood and harm in this op-ed. 👇🏻 www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | Why so many people celebrated the death of Brian Thompson

What the killing of the UnitedHealth CEO tells us about our morality.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 19/12/2024

Cool graphic from Maven about my year in review and impact of my live, cohort based decision education courses and lessons. My next live, masterclass for decision education begins Feb 10th, and you can reserve your spot today. Looking forward to a great year ahead! maven.com/annie-duke?u...

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 12/12/2024

I spoke to Josh Kopelman of First Round, for the latest episode of The #DecisionEducation Podcast! We discussed the importance of making the implicit explicit, the necessity of truth-seeking and humility for effective decision-making, and much more. alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 29/11/2024

My next live, cohort-based course with Maven is now open for enrollment. ♠️ Classes will be Feb 10—27, 2025. Use code #BlackFriday when you register to get 25% off course fee: BLACKFRIDAY25. Learn more or register today. #DecisionScience #MakeBetterDecisions maven.com/annie-duke/m...

maven.com

Make Better Decisions by Annie Duke on Maven

Beat decision paralysis. Master a repeatable process for making better decisions in business and life.

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Neil Bage @neilbage.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

This is such a fabulous conversation. ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 28/11/2024

When beliefs trump facts, Thanksgiving becomes less fun: What a sudden change in consumer sentiment says about us. (@annieduke.com) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/241127-top...

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 29/11/2024

I recommend to follow this list and starter pack. #StarterPack bsky.app/starter-pack...

bsky.app

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 26/11/2024

When our identities and the facts conflict, the facts lose out. My piece on why consumer sentiment flipped among Republicans and Democrats the day after the election, even though nothing changed about the current economy. Gift link 👇👇👇 www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | When beliefs trump facts, Thanksgiving becomes less fun

Democrats and Republicans flipped on a dime when Donald Trump won the election.

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Annie Duke @annieduke.com · 26/11/2024

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | When beliefs trump facts, Thanksgiving becomes less fun

Democrats and Republicans flipped on a dime when Donald Trump won the election.

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Rob Johnson @rejohnson.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

@annieduke.com’s book “thinking in bets” is a game changer. It’s one of those books that enlightens you while filling in the gaps in your life’s experiences and makes sense of it all. It’s a great read and re-read.

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Tim Wilson @tgwilson.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

I ❤️ this from @annieduke.com's latest Mailbag: "We spend a lot of time...collecting more data than we need to decide in the service of defending ourselves if we get a bad outcome...When a bad result happens, we think we...should have spent more time deciding." annieduke.substack.com/p/mailbag-an...

annieduke.substack.com

Mailbag Answers

Thank you for submitting your questions

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