iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 14h

Currently watching a Great Courses series of lectures Sun Tzu's Art of War. It is quite clear that Pete Hegseth has never read the book. He has no clue what it takes to be a mediocre general let alone a great one.

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James Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I'm taking my "Norway's wealth tax didn't reduce tax revenue" victory lap.

Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021–2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an “exodus” of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times, 2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners’ firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners’ savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms. Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms, nor is there any evidence that the reform induced more bankruptcies. ...

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

I agree with her point in general but strongly disagree with her self-centeredness at not bowing out. She is costing us an opportunity to remove a Republican-Fascist Senator. Politically dead? Absolutely.

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Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

The National Association of Evangelicals has now aligned itself fully with the statement of Archbishop Coakley for the US Conference of Catholic Bishops, condemning Hegseth's plans for a live-streamed execution at Ft Hood. religionnews.com/2026/10/09/h...

religionnews.com

Catholic, evangelical leaders condemn public execution plan of Fort Hood gunman

(RNS) — ‘The public execution even of one who has done grave harm will only further undermine the moral fabric of our nation and be a blight on the conscience of its people,’ Archbishop Paul S. Coakle...

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DC Council @councilofdc.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

This is clearly not acceptable

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Women's National Twister Association game

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Second that. Great book! Should be required reading.

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Sam Antonacci doing Sam Antonacci things!

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Sam Antonacci doing Sam Antonacci things.

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

From your lips to Robert Johnson's ears.

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Just had mine earlier today. What fun!

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Sam Antonacci doing Sam Antonacci things.

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

It just hit me reading Molly's comment. I've seen better teams. I'm just not sure I've ever seen one as magic as this one. Contemplating come home to Chicago for the ALCS next week.

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

If the White Sox win the World Series will there be white smoke coming from the Comisky scoreboard?

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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 05/10/2026

Holy shit.

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Republican turnout in my county was down 9% last year. Unaffiliated voters were down around 6%. These numbers would normally be 2-4% in a year in which Republicans held the White House. To be down 9 and 6 was unprecedented. And things have only gotten worse for Republicans since last November. 3/3

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Partisan sorting has been growing for decades but it's far more hardened now (whether it will remain so is a big question) and there is no question that Trump activated people didn’t vote before… the sort of people that are now disillusioned with him and will likely stay home in droves. 2/

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

I think Martin is on the right track here. I generally agree with Elliott and agree with his basic point about predictive skewing being fools gold but wasn’t crazy about his citing older data to support his case. Things are simply different now... 1/ martinlongman.substack.com/p/on-g-ellio...

martinlongman.substack.com

On G. Elliott Morris and the Upper Midwest

We both think past polling error favoring Democrats may not be repeated, just for wholly different reasons.

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 05/10/2026

this cycle we might get blue iowa better known as bliowa (gov + sen), blalaska (gov + sen), blexas (gov + sen), blohio (gov + sen), and blansas (sen)

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StrictlyChristo 🇺🇦🌻 @strictlychristo.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Chuck D: "This concert is not by Ed Sheeran’s promoters. Free Palestine, free Haiti, and please free a closed mind." Flavor Flav: "And fuck Donald Trump!"

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Jeff Passan Bot @jeffpassanbot.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

As Mune goes, so go the White Sox. And Mune went.

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Mark Jacob @markjacob.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Because my Chicago White Sox are playing the Cleveland Guardians in the playoffs, I was subjected to a dishonest anti-trans TV ad that Republicans are running in Ohio to distract from their vandalism of the economy. There are no limits to what Republicans will do for money and power.

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

... though he had his own problems, was always respectful and loving of my mother and never even hinted at the kind of thinking it takes to participate in something like this. He would not have tolerated it out of me. 2/2

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Andrew C. White @andrewcwhite.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

What was different about my upbringing that so many men would do this and I am horrified by it and could never have been a part of it? Yes, I had a loving mother and sisters I adore and respect but I think more importantly I had a father who... 1/2 amandalitman.substack.com/p/on-cornell