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Andrea Ghiselli

@andreaghiselli.bsky.social
2.8K followers 935 following 408 posts

Lived 10+ years in China, now University of Exeter and ChinaMed Project. Published a book on China, its military, and its interests overseas (OUP, 2021): shorturl.at/S2BjTo More at andreaghiselli.com 无巧不成书

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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Happy to be quoted in this Time article on the ongoing Iran/Hormuz crisis @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk @exeterspspa.bsky.social time.com/article/2026...
time.com
‘Just a Love Tap’: U.S. Insists Cease-Fire With Iran Is Holding Despite Attacks
Trump appears keen to reach a deal to end the war, which is unpopular with Americans, as he deploys both pressure and diplomacy, analysts say.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
My comments for Time on Iran’s “selective” closure of the Strait of Hormuz and China @exeter.ac.uk @spspa-uofexeter.bsky.social time.com/article/2026...
time.com
Why Iran’s ‘Selective’ Closure of the Strait of Hormuz Matters
Experts say that Iran’s effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, allowing certain countries safe passage, gives it leverage in the face of Trump’s threats—and potentially over the global economy a...
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Thanks to Ed White for including my comments in this @financialtimes.com article on China and Iran @cais-exeter.bsky.social @spspa-uofexeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk www.ft.com/content/afed...
ft.com
Iran war tests Xi Jinping’s plan to build China’s stockpiles
Beijing has driven major increase in reserves of oil and other strategic commodities but their scale remains secret
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Very happy to be cited in this @nytimes.com DealBook article on China and the war in the Middle East! @exeter.ac.uk @cais-exeter.bsky.social @spspa-uofexeter.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/b...
nytimes.com
Investors and Trump Face an Iran Dilemma
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
My comments for the @wsj.com on China's approach to the conflict in Iran @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk @exeterspspa.bsky.social www.wsj.com/world/iran-c...
wsj.com
Why China Is Doing So Little to Help a Friend Under Fire
Beijing sees risks in offering more than rhetorical support despite its longstanding friendship with the regime in Iran.
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
University of Exeter News @uniofexeternews.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Featuring analysis by Dr @andreaghiselli.bsky.social from @exeterspspa.bsky.social www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
scmp.com
Why China’s ties with Iran will endure despite death of Khamenei
Killing of Iranian supreme leader has sparked turmoil and triggered talk about an ideological shift to the West.
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
University of Exeter News @uniofexeternews.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Dr @andreaghiselli.bsky.social from @exeterspspa.bsky.social spoke to ABC News (Australia) about China's likely response to the situation in the Middle East www.youtube.com/watch?v=zSdl...
youtube.com
China is Iran's key ally, so how will Beijing respond? | The World | ABC News
YouTube video by ABC News (Australia)
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Must listen of a Trivium podcast on the US-China agreement and the history of the rare hearth industry open.spotify.com/episode/4UjH...
open.spotify.com
Ep 46 - What China really agreed to on rare earths + assessing US capability to end reliance on China
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Next week, join me and Mohammed Alsudairi in this online event hosted by the Sigur Center for Asian Studies at George Washington University. We will present and discuss the findings of our recent CUP Element book on Sino-Middle Eastern relations. www.eventbrite.com/e/nbas-narra...
eventbrite.com
NBAS: "Narratives of Sino-Middle Eastern Futures"
Join us as Dr. Andrea Ghiselli and Dr. Mohammed Alsudairi discuss their new book: "Narratives of Sino-Middle Eastern Futures."
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
What a treat! Many thanks to @billhayton.bsky.social for joining my students and I to talk about history and Chinese politics and foreign policy. Read his book “The Invention of China” 🔗 yalebooks.co.uk/book/9780300....
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
@thediplomat.com has just published an interview with Mohammed Alsudairi and me discussing the findings of our CUP Element on Sino-Middle Eastern relations. @cais-exeter.bsky.social @spspa-uofexeter.bsky.social thediplomat.com/2025/10/chin...
thediplomat.com
China-Middle East Cooperation: In the Eye of the Beholder
Insights from Mohammed Alsudairi and Andrea Ghiselli.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
Many thanks to Bonny Lin for having Mohammed Alsudairi and me on her ChinaPower podcast to present our CUP Element book on Sino-Middle Eastern relations, and discuss how China and regional powers look at each other. @cais-exeter.bsky.social chinapower.csis.org/podcasts/the...
chinapower.csis.org
The Future of Sino-Middle Eastern Relations | ChinaPower Project
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Mohammed Alsudairi and Dr. Andrea Ghiselli join us to discuss their newly released book Narratives of Sino-Middle Eastern Futures. They challenge prevail...
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Do not forget to register here forms.gle/NbfQ71MsuHf6... (or send an email to chinamed@tochina.it) to attend @jonathanfulton.bsky.social's ChinaMed talk on the logic and limits of China's presence in the Gulf! The event will take place on Friday (Oct10), 10:00 – 12:00 (CEST).
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Do not forget to register here forms.gle/NbfQ71MsuHf6... (or send an email to chinamed@tochina.it) to attend @jonathanfulton.bsky.social's ChinaMed talk on the logic and limits of China's presence in the Gulf! The event will take place on Friday (Oct10), 10:00 – 12:00 (CEST).
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
I look forward to visiting Glasgow!
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
New post on Substack! open.substack.com/pub/thoughts...
open.substack.com
China's MFA: Reformed before rising?
Hi there!
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
My comments on Xi Jinping’s (virtual) BRICS speech, the SCO, and the Global Governance Initiative for The Straits Times @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-as...
straitstimes.com
China doubles down on Brics to defend free trade, but grouping’s divisions remain
Brics leaders had to walk a tightrope between criticising US tariffs while avoiding a confrontation with Mr Trump. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
My comments in this @telegraphnews.bsky.social article on China and Russia @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk @uniofexeternews.bsky.social www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
telegraph.co.uk
Access Restricted
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
Mohammed AlSudairi and I talked with Eric Olander about our new @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org Element book on China-MENA relations (free here cambridge.org/core/element...). It was a great fun! You can listen to our @chinagsproject.bsky.social discussion here chinaglobalsouth.com/podcasts/chi...
chinaglobalsouth.com
China and the Middle East: The Future in Three Scenarios
China's rapidly expanding presence in the Middle East has sparked a mix of anxiety and excitement, depending on one's perspective. Washington regards Beijing's support of Iran and the Palestinian caus...
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
Adam Posen @adamposen.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
You have to see the whole board. Trump's policies are a regime shift from the US as insurance provider to protection racket, creating The New Economic Geography. It isn't just about any one tariff or Fed official - the implications are far broader www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
foreignaffairs.com
The New Economic Geography
Who profits in a post-American world?
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
Jonathan Fulton @jonathanfulton.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Nice to see @abuaardvark.bsky.social reviewed my book alongside the excellent recent one from @andreaghiselli.bsky.social and Mohammed Alsudairi.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Mohammed Alsudairi and I wrote a book on Sino-Middle Eastern relations! Permanently in OpenAccess as part of @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org's Elements in Middle East Politics series. 🔗https://www.cambridge.org/core/elements/narratives-of-sinomiddle-eastern-futures/9ED65BBD5309CF1D7943B0B604E5F8A5
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
In this new piece for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social I talk about how Beijing’s decision making shapes its actions and, thus, outcomes in the Middle East t.co/sSUrtbRLI5
t.co
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/did-the-israel-iran-war-expose-chinas-middle-east-policy/
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
New post in Substack! Does joining the Belt and Road Initiative help Chinese construction firms? Not always. substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com
Does joining the Belt and Road Initiative help Chinese construction firms? Not always.
A few days ago, the Financial Times published an article where it was reported that some recent studies have found that “The value of Chinese companies’ new investment and construction contracts in co...
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
New post on Substack! I review a great paper published by Tyler Jost and Yucong Li on the promotion dynamics among senior Chinese diplomats. open.substack.com/pub/thoughts...
open.substack.com
Do you want to become a senior diplomat in China? Do not go abroad.
About one month ago, Tyler Jost and Yucong Li published a very cool paper in China Quarterly. From the data to the findings, this article is really interesting. I wish I was the author! The paper cont...
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Like many, I've created a Substack. I will be mostly sharing reviews and comments on articles and books on China that I read. If you publish something, share it with me! I'll include it in the review pipeline. In the meantime, this is the first post. thoughtsonchina.substack.com/p/article-re...
thoughtsonchina.substack.com
Article review: Disappearing Research: Academic Control and Self-Censorship in China
This is a fascinating article that was published recently in The China Journal. It deal with an important topic, of course. While the part on the effects of censorship on Englihs-language journals is ...
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Submitted!
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
I was quoted in this South China Morning Post article on Li Qiang's recent visit to Egypt @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
scmp.com
China, Egypt deepen ties as Beijing ups influence in bid to solve Mideast crises
Premier Li Qiang pledges more Chinese investment in Egypt during Cairo visit as China seeks to expand influence in region amid US rivalry.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
Will Iran get Chinese weapons? Never say never. However, two other experts and I are quite skeptical at the moment. @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk www.rferl.org/a/iran-china...
rferl.org
Iran Pivots Toward China, But Is Beijing Ready To Play Ball?
After a devastating war with Israel exposed the weakness of its air force, Iran is reportedly turning to China for advanced military hardware. But Beijing’s reluctance -- and Moscow’s inaction -- high...
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
The large and growing use of electronic trucks saves China a more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, that’s also Oman’s daily oil production. The saving will grow by 600.000 barrels over then next 12 months.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
After a long gestation, this @universitypress.cambridge.org Element on Sino-Middle Eastern relations finally has a page and a publication date! This new work by Mohammed al-Sudairi and I will be in Open Access. www.cambridge.org/core/element...
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Some comments about the SCO MOD meeting in Qingdao for @en.afp.com @exeter.ac.uk @cais-exeter.bsky.social www.france24.com/en/live-news...
france24.com
China hosts Iran, Russia defence ministers against backdrop of 'turmoil'
China hosted defence ministers from Iran and Russia for a meeting in its eastern seaside city of Qingdao on Thursday against the backdrop of war in the Middle East and a summit of NATO countries in Eu...
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
My two cents on the Chinese reaction to US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in this @financialtimes.com article along those of other experts in the field @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk www.ft.com/content/6e89...
ft.com
US strikes on Iran force China to reconsider Donald Trump’s isolationism
President’s willingness to use military force prompts rethink in Beijing over Taiwan
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
Yanis Varoufakis @yanisvaroufakis.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Is Spain's PM the only European leader who has NOT lost his marbles? Is it possible that the rest committed such a crime against their own governments' finances as to commit to a ludicrous military budget of 5% of GDP? Pure bonkers! www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
theguardian.com
Spanish PM rejects Nato’s ‘unreasonable’ 5% GDP target for defence spending – as it happened
Pedro Sánchez reportedly says move would be ‘counterproductive’ and harm Spanish economy
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
Must read open.substack.com/pub/adamtooz...
open.substack.com
Chartbook 393: Whither China? - World Economy Now, June 2025 Edition
... or "Quality into quantity": how to see China's historic development through the veil of macroeconomics.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
Excellent piece foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/19/w...
foreignpolicy.com
What Regime Change Means in Iran
A new Iran may emerge from the current conflict, but don’t expect a democracy.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
Available data indicate that the stock value of Chinese FDI in North Africa and the Middle East platoed in 2020 and started declining in 2023. Given how things have been in the region in the past two years, how unlikely is that that was the peak?
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
My comments on the mysterious cargo flights from China disappearing in Iran in this @telegraphnews.bsky.social article @exeter.ac.uk @cais-exeter.bsky.social www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
telegraph.co.uk
China sends mystery transport planes into Iran
Flight plans indicated a final destination of Luxembourg, but the aircraft appeared to have never flown near European skies
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
My comments for Channel News Asia on China’s interests in and potential approach to the Israel-Iran conflict @cais-exeter.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/ch...
channelnewsasia.com
China’s bid to mediate Israel-Iran conflict: How much sway does it really have?
Analysts say China's calls for de-escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict reflect not just diplomatic ambition, but concern over its own vulnerabilities - from oil routes and regional projects to tensi...
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
Very happy to announce that Todd Hall and I have just signed the advance contract for a new @universitypress.cambridge.org Element book in the Global China series. Stay tuned 😎
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Reposted by Andrea Ghiselli
Thomas Juneau @thomasjuneau.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
If the Islamic Republic of Iran falls*, the most likely successor is a hardline, nationalist, no less auhoritarian military regime. *I don't think it's about to fall, unfortunately **Caveat: we are all bad at predicting any regime's collapse ***The other likely scenario is chaos
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
Very happy to announce that Todd Hall and I have just signed the advance contract for a new @universitypress.cambridge.org Element book in the Global China series. Stay tuned 😎
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
Getting ready to fly to Brussels for this very timely event organized by @egmontinstitute.bsky.social
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
My comments for the South China Morning Post on China’s possible reaction to the Iran-Israel clash @exeter.ac.uk @cais-exeter.bsky.social amp.scmp.com/news/china/d...
amp.scmp.com
China warns of fallout from Israel’s strikes on Iran, eyes role in easing crisis
Beijing voices ‘grave concern’ over Israel’s attacks, while analysts say future of conflict depends on how the US and China intervene.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
I was quoted in this @thenewarab.bsky.social article on the presence of foreign fighters, especially Uyghurs, in the Syrian army, and China’s approach to them @cais-exeter.bsky.social www.newarab.com/analysis/reb...
newarab.com
From rebels to soldiers: Foreign fighters in Syria’s new army
Formally integrating foreign fighters into Syria’s new army is viewed as a pragmatic political move, but one which alarms many in Syrian society
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
It’s in the hands of the gods now…
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
I’ll be in Shanghai for 1-2 months! If you are around, let me know!
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
Light at the end of the tunnel!
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
Well done, Ethan.
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Andrea Ghiselli @andreaghiselli.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Miriam Verzellino and I have written a short piece on the reaction of Chinese commentators to the recent protests in Turkey and how their perception of Turkish politics has changed over the past few years. chinamed.substack.com/p/turkiyes-p...
chinamed.substack.com
Türkiye’s Political Turmoil: Shifting Chinese Narratives between 2023 and 2025
The protests across Türkiye have led Chinese scholars to reassess the sustainability of Erdoğan’s rule, despite their recently more favorable views of Turkish foreign policy.
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