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Anderson Frailey

@andersonfrailey.bsky.social
111 followers 97 following 59 posts

(Assistant) econ professor. Interests include privacy, cybercrime, and talking about the 2006 Rose Bowl andersonfrailey.github.io

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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Texas football owes me compensation for that game
Evidence the Texas football team is attempting to kill their fans
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Sarah Jacobson @sarahjacobson.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Jr economists attending ASSA 2027! Are you interested in a mentoring opportunity w/ leaders in the field? Are you from a group historically underrepresented in econ? Apply for @aeacsmgep.bsky.social small-group breakfast featuring AEA Pres Katherine Abraham Jan 5 8am! www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
aeaweb.org
Small Group Breakfast Meeting for Underrepresented Scholars
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The “my girlfriend lives in Canada” approach to policy making
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Fantastic juxtaposition
Notification from the Washington post reading “Alarm Over 'Agents'
For years, they warned Al could kill all humans. Now people are listening.”
Above a notification from the New York Times reading “Breaking News Anthropic said it halted potential plots by scientists who used its A.l. models to do research that could have helped develop biological weapons.”
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
www.theverge.com/policy/97933...
theverge.com
Flock CEO: ‘We got this one wrong’
Garrett Langley has changed his mind on the company’s policy approach.
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Job market paper: submitted ✅
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
I love sports so much 🇨🇻
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Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Latest post, on the extremes of trying to making life mathematical: kucharski.substack.com/p/solving-ma...
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
Turns out, even if you use generic country identifiers, like numbers instead of country names, Copilot will still find differences where they don't exist. It may even assign countries to each identifier!
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Reupping this because early registration ends today!
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Interested in the economics of information security? Come to the Workshop on the Economics of Information Security in Berkeley, CA this June! The conference will feature interdisciplinary work on information, security, and privacy. It is also hybrid if you would prefer to attend remotely #EconSky
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Going back to beamer after a semester of exclusively using typst to make slides is...rough. Almost instant compilation and the ability to navigate through the source code using the preview window is such a quality of life improvement
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Every day I'm reminded why my FanGraphs membership is worth every penny
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
With Opening Day upon us, I have my projections for the year! A few notes: - Milwaukee almost always over performs. On my todo list is figuring out why. - The Dodgers are favorites to win the World Series, but the field still has an 80 percent chance - The AL East is projected to be very fun
Three tables showing full season projections for MLB's American League
In the AL West: SEA: 89 wins, HOU: 83 wins, TEX: 81 wins, ATH: 79 wins, and LAA: 70 wins.
In the AL Central: DET: 7 wins, KCR: 81 wins, MIN 79 wins, CLE: 76 wins; CHW: 69 wins.
In the AL East: TOR: 89 wins, NYY: 88 wins, BOS: 87 wins, BAL 86 wins, TBR: 79 wins.

Toronto has the highest probability of winning the World Series at 7.2 percentThree tables showing full season projections in MLB's National League.

In the NL West: LAD: 99 wins, SDP: 82 wins, SFG: 81 wins, ARI: 80 wins, COL: 63 wins

In the NL Central: CHC: 86 wins, MIL: 81 wins, PIT: 79 wins, CIN: 77 wins, STL: 74 wins

In the NL East: NYM: 90 wins, PHI: 89 wins, ATL: 87 wins, MIA: 72 wins, WSN: 66 wins.

The Dodgers have the highest odds of winning the World Series at 19.76 percent
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Monique E. Davis, Ph.D. (she/her) @moniqueedavis-phd.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
📢 NEA @ ASSA 2027 Submissions open for sessions & papers (Jan 3–5, 2027 in DC) 🗓 Due By: April 19, 2026 🔗 nea.submittable.com/submit Topics include stratification economics, inequality, labor, public policy, and race & economic outcomes. Encouraging grad students & early-career folks to submit!
nea.submittable.com
National Economic Association Submission Manager
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
This is a very good post. My current approach to using LLMs is to split tasks into those that help develop the idea (e,g., writing and exploratory data analysis) and those that check a box (e.g., writing code to pull data from a well documented API)
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Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
An obscure methodological tweak -- a change in the source of data on the price of legal services -- resulted in meaningfully lower monthly PCE inflation in January. That's prompting questions about why the change was made and why it wasn't disclosed publicly. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/13/b... #EconSky
nytimes.com
Change in Data Sources Led to Lower Inflation Reading
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Meg Rowley @megrowler.fangraphs.com · 11/03/2026
Opera, espresso, fancy jacket, little kisses - Team Italy is winning because they've embraced a philosophy of nice treats.
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I’m making some final edits to my job market paper before submitting it (‼️) and 1) it’s quite good imo. 2) I’m so excited to, at least temporarily, have it off my desk
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CarbonPlan @carbonplan.org · 10/02/2026
Today we’re launching Open Climate Risk, a fully open option for U.S. building-level climate risk data. It’s unique because it allows you to see not only risk scores, starting with wildfire, but also the complete underlying dataset, methods, and codebase. carbonplan.org/research/cli...
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
I need the curling equivalent of statcast. I want stone spin rates. Break. Exit speed. Give me all the data
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FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs.com · 20/01/2026
They Don’t Make Pitch Models Like They Used To blogs.fangraphs.com/they-dont-ma...
blogs.fangraphs.com
They Don’t Make Pitch Models Like They Used To
As the arms race for unhittable stuff intensifies, it’s harder for stuff metrics to tell which pitches will be successful.
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Anna Gifty @itsafronomics.blacksky.app · 20/01/2026
I went to go look for Census data this morning and.... y'all. #econsky
NOTICE:
Due to the lapse of federal funding, portions of this website will not be updated. Any inquiries submitted will not be answered until appropriations are enacted.
You will be redirected in 10 seconds...
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
What I’ve learned from SEA and #ASSA2026 is that every session on DID needs to be in the biggest room possible. Perhaps the nearest stadium or arena
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AEA Information @aeainformation.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
The AEA has imposed a lifetime ban on Lawrence H. Summers’ membership and participation in AEA activities. See the full statement here. www.aeaweb.org/news/aea-sta...
aeaweb.org
Statement from the American Economic Association
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 29/11/2025
Broadcasters every time Arch targets Livingstone
media.tenor.com
a woman is standing on a sidewalk next to a car and a bicycle .
ALT: a woman is standing on a sidewalk next to a car and a bicycle .
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
Exactly the man I’d ask for this advice from
Picture of a TV guide highlighting “Mike Huckabee’s Secret To More Energy After 69!”
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CSWEP @aeacswep.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
CSWEP strongly condemns Larry Summers’ behavior as revealed in the email correspondence with the late Jeffrey Epstein. While abuse of power in the economics profession is not new, rarely has the intent behind such abuse been so clearly stated.
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ArtButMakeItSports @artbutmakeitsports.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
Abduction of Proserpina, by Giambologna, 1579 (from the @NortonSimon Museum in Pasadena), 📸 by @nturchiarophoto
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
If I were a fan of the Dodgers or Blue Jays I'd simply be dead
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
Kinda nuts that we're interviewing managers during play in game 7 of the World Series. I think the viewers could survive without it
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
“In play, run(s)” feels a bit redundant here
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 26/10/2025
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 26/10/2025
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
I don’t want to hear another bad word about Arch 😤
media.tenor.com
a man wearing a green sec vest stands behind a football player
ALT: a man wearing a green sec vest stands behind a football player
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
Can confirm that playoff baseball is significantly less stressful when your team isn’t in it. I’m having a great time
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
This guy rules
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Zack Whittaker @zackwhittaker.com · 30/09/2025
New: Last night in the Senate, Ted Cruz blocked a bill that would have prevented data brokers from selling personal data on anyone in the United States, and not just federal lawmakers and government officials.
techcrunch.com
Ted Cruz blocks bill that would extend privacy protections to all Americans | TechCrunch
The Texas senator blocked a bill that would have prevented data brokers from selling personal data on anyone in the United States, and not just federal lawmakers and government officials.
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Since the Mariners hired their Etsy Witch they're 15-1. Over the same timeframe the Tigers are 4-11. It doesn't perfectly line up, but it seems like the witch may have simply transferred their misfortune to Detroit
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
www.theverge.com/internet-cul...
theverge.com
Anonymity is dead and we’re all content now
Your 15 minutes of fame may be more unpleasant than you ever imagined.
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
I can’t wait for the discourse after a receiver toe taps on the jutted out portion to blow a critical 4th down conversion
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 30/08/2025
media.tenor.com
a man in a suit and tie is sitting at a desk with a pen in his hand
ALT: a man in a suit and tie is sitting at a desk with a pen in his hand
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
We’re so back
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Trevon Logan @trevondlogan.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
I delivered my first lecture as a college professor today and didn’t sweat through my shirt. Huge W for me
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 03/08/2025
He's promising to protect the integrity of the data by firing statisticians who follow established methods of data collection and processing whenever those methods yield numbers that don't please the boss.
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
According to my model, both the Padres and Astros improved their World Series odds by about 4 percentage points yesterday. Most of those 8 points came from the Dodgers, Brewers, and Blue Jays. San Diego in particular increased their playoff probability from ~60% to 85%!
Chart showing how the probability each MLB team wins the 2025 World Series changed during the trade deadline. The biggest gains were the Astros (+4.31 percentage points) and Padres (+4.09 percentage points). the biggest losers were the Dodgers (-3.24 percentage points), Blue Jays (-2.06 percentage points), and Brewers (-1.95 percentage points)Chart showing how the probability each MLB team makes the playoffs changed during the trade deadline. The Padres saw the biggest gain (+26.18 percentage points).
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Unquestionably the most dangerous and corrupt attack on the independence of US economic data in American history. Trump is firing the head of the BLS, a longtime civil servant confirmed 86-8 by the Senate, simply because the job numbers came in below his expectations today
I was just informed that our Country’s “Jobs Numbers” are being produced by a Biden Appointee, Dr. Erika McEntarfer, the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, who faked the Jobs Numbers before the Election to try and boost Kamala’s chances of Victory. This is the same Bureau of Labor Statistics that overstated the Jobs Growth in March 2024 by approximately 818,000 and, then again, right before the 2024 Presidential Election, in August and September, by 112,000. These were Records — No one can be that wrong? We need accurate Jobs Numbers. I have directed my Team to fire this Biden Political Appointee, IMMEDIATELY. She will be replaced with someone much more competent and qualified. Important numbers like this must be fair and accurate, they can’t be manipulated for political purposes. McEntarfer said there were only 73,000 Jobs added (a shock!) but, more importantly, that a major mistake was made by them, 258,000 Jobs downward, in the prior two months. Similar things happened in the first part of the year, always to the negative. The Economy is BOOMING under “TRUMP” despite a Fed that also plays games, this time with Interest Rates, where they lowered them twice, and substantially, just before the Presidential Election, I assume in the hopes of getting “Kamala” elected – How did that work out? Jerome “Too Late” Powell should also be put “out to pasture.” Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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nilay patel @reckless.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
Just a killer story about MAGA vs the tech right by @tinanguyen.bsky.social www.theverge.com/politics/704...
theverge.com
The unholy alliance that killed the AI moratorium
‘Ted Cruz was the biggest loser in this,’ said Bannon.
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Anderson Frailey @andersonfrailey.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
There was a spotted lantern on my balcony yesterday and my attempts to kill it were unsuccessful. Today it’s back with three buddies. I’m afraid I may have started a turf war
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