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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

Trump’s rhetoric gets in the way, but there are good reasons for Europe to help in the Gulf, as Ukraine already is. Jorn Fleck & I make the case. x.com/ambdanfried/...

x.com

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 03/03/2026

Ukrainians have withstood their hardest winter of the #RussiaUkraineWar and are still standing, both willing and able to keep fighting and talking. Amb. Daniel Fried, fresh from his latest visit to Kyiv: www.justsecurity.org/132845/russi...

justsecurity.org

Russia’s War at Four: Ukraine Keeps Fighting and Keeps Talking

Ukrainians have withstood the Russian onslaught and, thanks to Europe, have managed despite the reduction of U.S. military assistance.

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 19/02/2026

“Some wars change the world, and history illuminates how the Russia-Ukraine War might do so.” From Amb. Daniel Fried on the impending 4th anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine: www.justsecurity.org/131874/russi...

justsecurity.org

Ukraine’s Long War and History’s Lessons for the West

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 08/01/2026

The bold (Venezuela), the bad (Greenland) and the constructive (Ukraine) in Trump’s foreign policy moves this first week of 2026. I try to unpack: www.justsecurity.org/128167/trump...

justsecurity.org

Trump’s New Year Foreign Policy: A Mix of Bold, Bad, Constructive

Trump’s foreign policy remains an inconsistent array of initiatives and adventures including in Latin America, Greenland, and Ukraine.

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 08/01/2026

Pres. Trump’s foreign policy, on full display over multiple fronts in the year’s first week, remains an inconsistent array of initiatives and adventures, writes @ambdanfried.bsky.social. Assessing the bold, the bad, and the constructive actions to date: #Venezuela #Greenland #RussiaUkraineWar

justsecurity.org

Trump’s New Year Foreign Policy: A Mix of Bold, Bad, Constructive

Trump’s foreign policy remains an inconsistent array of initiatives and adventures including in Latin America, Greenland, and Ukraine.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 01/01/2026

The Emancipation Proclamation came into effect on this day, 1863. Lincoln transformed the Civil War from a war of restoration into a war of liberation. The Stars & Stripes became “the flag that makes you free.” Lest we forget.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 29/12/2025

To end the Russo-Ukraine, the US & Europe will have to push Russia more. The tools - economic and otherwise - are available.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 29/12/2025

The 20-point plan the US & Ukraine are working could work. That’s why the Kremlin is trying to spike it with accusations that Ukraine is attacking one of Putin’s palaces. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | Trump looks surprisingly close to securing a good Ukraine deal

When Putin balks, Russia should pay the price.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 03/12/2025

Putin stiffed the US peace plan. Here’s how the US should respond: stop negotiating with ourselves and increase the pressure on the Kremlin. time.com/7338224/trum...

time.com

Why the U.S.-Russia Ukraine Talks Failed

President Trump is right to push for peace. But his administration are bad at negotiating with Vladimir Putin, writes Daniel Fried.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 22/11/2025

Secretary Rubio is in Geneva to work through the weak plan with key Europeans and the Ukrainians. Good to sort out (& hopefully improve) the plan w/o yet more Russian input. Steep path to that goal, but Rubio has depth on the issues.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 22/11/2025

The US peace plan for Ukraine is a hot mess. Ukraine is under pressure to accept. But they don’t have to chose between surrender & defiance. Here’s how: www.justsecurity.org/125365/ukrai...

justsecurity.org

Ukraine’s Zelenskyy Has Options in Response to Latest U.S.-Russian 'Peace Plan'

The plan is a mess, but Ukrainians are right to try to work with the draft rather than reject it out of hand.

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 21/11/2025

The draft US-Russia “peace plan” for #Ukraine is a “hot mess,” writes @ambdanfried.bsky.social. But Ukrainian Pres. Zelenskyy is right to try to work with it rather than reject it outright, Fried says, offering some possible negotiating pointers: www.justsecurity.org/125365/ukrai...

justsecurity.org

Ukraine’s Zelenskyy Has Options in Response to Latest U.S.-Russian 'Peace Plan'

The plan is a mess, but Ukrainians are right to try to work with the draft rather than reject it out of hand.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 28/09/2025

Good that JD Vance shows exasperation w/Kremlin stonewalling on Ukraine. Better still if the US acts to increase pressure on Russia and support for Ukraine, which it can. x.com/wartranslate...

x.com

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Tess Bridgeman @tessbridgeman.bsky.social · 19/08/2025

Always read @ambdanfried.bsky.social for nuanced, sober, historically-informed, pragmatic analysis that doesn't skimp on values or justice either. Here's his latest on how the #Russia-Ukraine war could end and, crucially, what security for #Urkaine really means in practice: 👇

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Ryan Goodman @rgoodlaw.bsky.social · 20/08/2025

1/3 A revealing twist in the Ukraine diplomacy. On the left: On Tuesday, @ambdanfried.bsky.social anticipated that Witkoff may have missed a deceptive offering by Putin on security guarantees. On the right: On Wednesday, @antongerashchenko.bsky.social identifies the Russian move.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 19/08/2025

US policy is a roller coaster. But after yesterday’s WH meetings, there is a path to greater security for Ukraine, the most critical part of ending Russia’s war of aggression. www.justsecurity.org/119273/trump...

justsecurity.org

Trump, Zelenskyy, European Leaders in White House Meeting: Progress Toward a Deal?

Getting to any deal between Ukraine & Russia will require the United States & Europe to stand by Ukrainians & stare down Russia's demands.

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Foreign Policy @foreignpolicy.com · 04/08/2025

A new version of realism is establishing itself in Washington. But two models from the past can reveal a better way forward, writes Daniel Fried.

foreignpolicy.com

Kissinger, Brzezinski, and the Promise of Realism

A cynical realism resonates today, but there is a model for fusing power and values.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 25/06/2025

NATO’s Hague Summit Declaration reaffirms Article 5, notes the threat from Russia, commits Allies to 3.5% 1.5% defense spending by 2035, and reaffirms commitment to contribute to Ukraine’s defense. Not glorious but good enough. Sometimes that’s what you need. www.nato.int/cps/en/natoh...

nato.int

The Hague Summit Declaration issued by NATO Heads of State and Government (2025)

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 24/06/2025

The Trump administration often dismisses #HumanRights as a serious factor in #ForeignPolicy. @ambdanfried.bsky.social on history’s lessons about the risks such thinking poses to solidarity and strategic interests: www.justsecurity.org/115191/trump...

justsecurity.org

Trump's Sidelining of Human Rights in Foreign Policy

Weakening the U.S. commitment to human rights and the tools to advance them undoubtedly will prove costly.

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 05/06/2025

Amid pride over recent successful strikes against Russian targets, Ukrainians are realistic about what it will take to end the war – from them, Putin, and President Trump. @ambdanfried.bsky.social reports from his latest trip to Ukraine: www.justsecurity.org/114139/trump... #RussiaUkraineWar

justsecurity.org

Can Trump Seize a Win in Ukraine?

It’s in Trump’s hands to deliver the logic of force: to rally the West, to back Ukraine, squeeze Russia, and set the stage for victory.

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 13/05/2025

The US & Europe were just getting a handle on how to reduce the influence of malign foreign information operations. With the Trump administration’s retreat, can Europe step up more? From @ambdanfried.bsky.social: www.justsecurity.org/113163/is-us...

justsecurity.org

Is the U.S. Abandoning the Fight Against Foreign Information Operations?

The Trump administration's policy shift paves the way for foreign propaganda to flourish, leaving Europe to step into the breach.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

Key Europeans, the US, & Ukraine converge around a push for a 30-day ceasefire between Ukraine & Russia. Will Putin blow it off again? If he does (or fakes & spins), will the West (incl. US) turn up the heat on Russia & send more arms to Ukraine? www.nytimes.com/2025/05/10/w...

nytimes.com

European Leaders Visit Kyiv and Press Russia for a 30-Day Cease-Fire

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

A slow and immense shift: the US in the 1980s could not convince Europe to avoid dependence on Russian oil & gas. But Putin - in his aggression - has managed to do so.

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 30/04/2025

@ambdanfried.bsky.social lays out an option for the intense talks on ending Russia’s war on Ukraine: A ceasefire roughly along existing front lines, with de facto recognition of Russian occupation, and Western forces providing security for Ukraine. www.justsecurity.org/112463/ukrai...

justsecurity.org

How to Land the Emerging Deal on Peace for Ukraine

A ceasefire along existing lines, with de facto but not formal recognition of Russian occupation, plus security for Ukraine, could work.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 25/04/2025

The worst US proposal for Ukraine is to recognize Russia’s annexation of Crimea. No NATO for Ukraine also bad. The first is not certain (yet) and there can be workarounds to the second. And there are some solid parts of the deal. Nothing set but things are in motion.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 25/04/2025

Talks to end the Russo-Ukraine War are in an intense phase. David Ignatius sums up the emerging potential deal. Am told it’s accurate. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

washingtonpost.com

Opinion | Has Trump found a path to peace in Ukraine?

Security guarantees and other hard details remain, but there are signs of movement.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 11/04/2025

The EU appears poised to take on X & other social media platforms for problems with integrity & transparency. Censorship or content control is bad. This action is different but apt to trigger a big reaction nevertheless. @apolyakova.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/t...

nytimes.com

E.U. Prepares Major Penalties Against Elon Musk’s X

European regulators are considering fining X and making demands for product changes, after weighing the risks of further antagonizing Mr. Musk and President Trump.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

First-rate and (depressingly) well-timed cautionary piece by David Kramer & Albert Torres. The Germans learned the hard way that “change through trade” with Putin’s Russia is a sucker’s game. We should go back there.

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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 13/03/2025

Is Donald Trump right about William McKinley as a high-tariff and imperialist president? President McKinley’s foreign policy was more complex than his reputation for high tariffs and imperial acquisitions would suggest, writes @ambdanfried.bsky.social.

atlanticcouncil.org

Note to Trump: McKinley’s legacy is about more than tariffs and territory

President William McKinley’s foreign policy was more complex than his reputation for high tariffs and imperial acquisitions would suggest.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Steve Hadley, Frank Kramer, & I try to look ahead to what a sustainable peace for Ukraine would take.

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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 07/03/2025

To resolve the war in Ukraine, Europe should lead the way in strengthening security guarantees for Kyiv—and the United States should provide limited but important support, argue Stephen Hadley, Daniel Fried, and Franklin Kramer.

foreignaffairs.com

A Plan for Peace Through Strength in Ukraine

Europe must step up, but America still has a role to play in ending the war.

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Dan Fried @ambdanfried.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

“Scheduling issues”? What US interest is served by jerking around the pro-American, tough-minded, defense-minded @kajakallas.bsky.social? www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...

euronews.com

Kallas-Rubio meeting cancelled due to scheduling issues

Kallas was expected to meet Rubio during her two-day stay in Washington. #EuropeNews

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Just Security @justsecurity.org · 24/02/2025

The Trump administration’s plan to end Russia’s war on Ukraine was gaining traction, but chaos risks undermining the approach. @ambdanfried.bsky.social probes a possible internal split on strategy: www.justsecurity.org/108205/russi...

justsecurity.org

Trump Administration’s Mixed Signals on Russia and Ukraine May Reflect Internal Strategic Clash

Chaotic inconsistencies risk undermining its own approach and suggest splits between “peace through strength” and great-power appeasement.

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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 14/02/2025

⚡️U.S. President Donald Trump's special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, Keith Kellogg, said in an interview with Fox News on Feb. 13 that "formalizing Ukraine’s territorial losses" in a potential peace deal "will not equate to recognizing them."

kyivindependent.com

Ukraine’s possible territorial losses may be 'formalized without recognition by US,' Kellogg tells Fox News

"I think there will be a certain agreement on the potential loss of territory. But, look, you don't have to admit it," U.S. President Donald Trump's special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, Keith Kellogg...

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