Sign in

Jordan Nafa

@ajordannafa.com
1.5K followers 364 following 4.2K posts

Staff Data Scientist, Bayesian Statistician, ML Engineer, and Software Architect | Bayesian Statistics, Experimentation, Decision Theory, Guitar | Former Political Scientist www.ajordannafa.com

PostsRepliesMedia
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 29/09/2026
The contractor's team started demolition on the downstairs tile today, and they sealed off the living room and kitchen. Still, they didn't seal off the atrium upstairs by the music room, so about an inch of silica dust is covering my entire upstairs, including the TVs in the music room and bedroom.
100
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 27/09/2026
FFS, it's not even Halloween yet 🤦‍♂️
020
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 26/09/2026
Fucking ~50lb boxes only contain 5 planks of flooring each. RIP my back.
010
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 26/09/2026
TBF, New York is the only city where I've ever seen a black mass that looked like small dogs rise from the shoreline at sunset, only to slowly realize they were actually rats...
041
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 25/09/2026
Et tu, Brute?
010
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 25/09/2026
These are the best days
090
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 24/09/2026
New personal record for most expensive planning session (this is the session that turns my data architecture spec into 60+ multi-step implementation plans).
130
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 23/09/2026
Aviation rules and regulations are written in blood. Shitty software engineering usually doesn't get people killed, it just costs money.
160
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 23/09/2026
I'm gonna be honest: I'm not entirely convinced this is a bad thing. Like, fuck Trump for causing it, but also, Wendy's is trash.
220
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 23/09/2026
As the first stop of the new tour, Dallas got the live debut of their new single.
000
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 23/09/2026
The median crowd age at punk rock shows makes me think I might be getting old 😢
050
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 23/09/2026
Southside Ballroom, Dallas, TX. One hour to showtime
130
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 20/09/2026
Used terraform for the first time last week to bootstrap all the AWS resources for a new from scratch and oh my god this shit is like magic
260
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 20/09/2026
Home reconstruction update: Met with our contractor yesterday to finish haggling, and we have a construction start date. All we have left is choosing flooring for the downstairs, and we're down to 2 options with enough red to avoid clashing with the upstairs.
000
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 19/09/2026
I just realized the new Pokémon titles are slated for 2027 and like I'm gonna have to play GTA this year instead, aren't I? 😢
000
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 19/09/2026
FelonyBench continues to be the benchmark to watch
050
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 19/09/2026
AI Safety is mostly a sex cult in the same way that observational causal inference is mostly bullshit. Sure, there are a handful of legitimate cases, but most of the time it's a cult.
030
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 19/09/2026
54th Street is basically TGI Fridays with a slightly better beer menu and slightly better food, but the same problem: everything on the menu is better somewhere else...
000
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 19/09/2026
Opus and Sol are arguing back and forth in the comments of a PR over whether AWS IAM allows a specific type of permission scoping for SNS, and I guess this is just engineering now 🤷‍♂️
040
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 18/09/2026
We're basically living the plot of dystopian B-movie 😮‍💨
030
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 18/09/2026
Google is apparently telling me this isn't actually an insane idea.
030
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 18/09/2026
I need to run some SQL on a schedule, and I'm too lazy/time-constrained to stand up an actual Airflow environment. It occurred to me that I could run ETLs via scheduled Lambdas, and that was when I realized it was time to call it a day.
360
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 17/09/2026
Me: Sets up SNS infrastructure alerts in AWS and leaves to go get dinner Also Me: Comes back to ~50+ new emails from AWS CloudWatch...
040
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 17/09/2026
This shit is just outright offensive.
150
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 17/09/2026
I didn't know I needed a rule to force Claude to use U.S. English spelling of things, but apparently I'm going to have to add that tomorrow 🙄
110
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 16/09/2026
True story. Sankey diagrams have been forever ruined for me.
010
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 16/09/2026
I had to explain the diagram™️ to my wife, who was not on Twitter back in the glory days, this evening, and her response was, "Okay....I've only ever heard the term 'fluffer' used in horse breeding"
040
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 16/09/2026
Man, this takes me back to the days of stats Twitter.
060
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 16/09/2026
That footage of Mitch McConnell having a near-life experience today was rough 😬
030
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 15/09/2026
"We default to the assumption that all values between - and + infinity are equally likely if the user doesn't specify their own priors" 🤡🤦‍♂️
120
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 15/09/2026
Man, if only AI could get people to stop throwing linear regression at rates and ratios. One can dream 😮‍💨
250
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 13/09/2026
TIL, there is a limit on the number of commits you can have on a branch when trying to do a rebase and merge onto another branch (i.e., feature branch into main)
000
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 13/09/2026
Apparently, Claude can ping you on your phone when it has a question in a coding session running on your computer, and I totally understand how this has completely wrecked people's work-life balance now.
190
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 11/09/2026
I handed Fable 5.1 a 300-line Markdown file outlining a general vision, some architecture details, and some strongly held opinions as a prompt, and it returned a 2,500-line spec that was almost exactly what I had in mind. It required a bit of tweaking, but not much.
1142
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 08/09/2026
Dear God, the AI discourse on this site over the last 24 hours has spanned some of the dumbest arguments imaginable, and people need to apologize to all the strawmen they've constructed just to savagely beat.
240
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 08/09/2026
I do feel like this pivot probably makes the "Skynet kills most of humanity" outcome quite a bit more likely than it otherwise would be 😬
120
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 08/09/2026
As an aside, if birth rates absolutely tank (globally, not just in developed countries) even harder than they have been over the next decade or two, that would probably be a positive long-term development at this point.
010
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 08/09/2026
On the one hand, this could mean the rise of active insurgent movements in developed countries, because sustained unemployment, the likes of which most countries have never seen, seems like a recipe for societal collapse and probably a couple of major wars.
150
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 08/09/2026
I'll take "what is a spurious correlation for $500," Alex
080
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 06/09/2026
People who aren't using AI for coding at this point aren't just delusional, they're unemployable. We passed the "adapt or retire" point a while ago.
5232
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 06/09/2026
I have yet to see a concert at this venue that wasn't absolutely spectacular, and tonight's was no exception.
000
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 06/09/2026
Tonight's concert
120
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 05/09/2026
There is a Google employee/data science influencer who keeps showing up in my LinkedIn feed and recycles the same post every few weeks with slightly different wording, and like, why would you do this? It seems like a mostly pointless exercise, and the original post wasn't particularly insightful
230
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 05/09/2026
Took a bit of trial and error, but a 40ms delay + room reverb seems pretty decent. Need to play around more with the dynamics settings (i.e., compressor).
100
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 04/09/2026
Finally got around to getting a pedal to use for vocal effects. We'll see how this goes 🤞
150
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 04/09/2026
Well, it's the end of my first week at the new job, and so far I can definitely say I haven't enjoyed work this much in a long time.
1160
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 04/09/2026
I guess its sort of close, maybe. I've been in Texas since 2005. Before that I lived in Indiana, Oregon, North Carolina, and California 🤷‍♂️
000
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 02/09/2026
"My model is deficient at handling data with an excessively high variance (outliers), so instead of using a model that is more capable of handling outliers, I'm just going to mutilate my data." - People who preach winsorizing 🤡
0120
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 01/09/2026
A decent chunk of the replies to this are just the most insufferable people imaginable. I'm honestly not sure who is more annoying, the pro-AI grifters or the anti-AI crowd.
270
Jordan Nafa @ajordannafa.com · 01/09/2026
Me: Self-identifies as chronically risk-averse. Also me: Started a new job as the fifth employee at a seed-stage startup today. Make of this what you will 🤷‍♂️😅
2130