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Aaron Schatz

@aaronschatz.com
64K followers 222 following 8.5K posts

Chief Analytics Officer, FTN. ESPN NFL writer. Former radio DJ. Founder of Football Outsiders, creator of DVOA, All-Pro/MVP voter.

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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 22h
Football Card of the Day: 1980 Topps Vikings Team Leaders The Vikings went 7-9 in 1979 and finished 17th out of 28 teams in points allowed but apparently they weren't popular enough to do cards for any defenders. Paul Krause and Jim Marshall retired before 1980, which is part of the reason.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 29/09/2026
Here's a table that didn't make it into this week's DVOA commentary. The Falcons have one of the biggest gaps ever between pass and run offense at this point in the season -- the biggest since 2003.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 28/09/2026
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 28/09/2026
The Patriots are now last in offensive DVOA. This table shows the biggest drops in offensive DVOA from one year to Week 3 of the next year, only including teams where the previous year's QB started all 3 games. Some QBs like Brees and Favre dug out of these holes.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 25/09/2026
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 24/09/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1980 Topps Louis Wright The 1980 cartoons are weird because they are based on team and sometimes have nothing to do with the player. Hey, did you know that this guy who played for Denver SIX YEARS AGO has a brother who plays baseball? I doubt Louis Wright cares.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 24/09/2026
Also, look, if you try a 58-yard field goal and miss it, you're going to hand the other team the ball at their own 48. The Texans' decision to kick from 58 in the third quarter was terrible. Fourth-and-1. Come on.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 22/09/2026
Football Cards of the Day: 1980 Topps Giants and Chiefs checklists It's interesting to me how these old Topps checklists let you know who the popular teams were. Look how many more players got cards for NYG (6-10 in 1979) than for KC (7-9).
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 22/09/2026
Falcons with fifth-worst pass DVOA through 2 weeks, ever. Atlanta fans say "Thank god for Michael Penix Jr." It's kind of amazing how many teams on this table had wins. I went to 13 teams because... the 1997 49ers? Yes, the 1997 49ers.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 22/09/2026
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11/09/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1980 Topps Charley Hannah John's brother, Charley was a defensive end for two years and had 4.5 sacks in 1978, but then the Bucs moved him to the offensive line and he became their starting right tackle! Later he started at left guard for the Raiders for six years.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 10/09/2026
Football Card of the Day: 2021 Donruss Drew Lock, for obvious reasons.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 01/09/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1998 Topps Derrick Rodgers I had forgotten about this guy until I bought the 1998 set and started going through it. Great story, he never played in HS and picked up the game serving in the Air Force, then went to college and eventually the NFL.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 28/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1995 Topps Steve Lofton "Despite lake of superior bulk, Steve played on season as prep on defensive line." Editing! From now on, Lake Superior will be known as "Lake of Superior Bulk."
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 26/08/2026
It's a huge draft weekend in fantasy football, and nobody helps you compete better than FTN. www.ftnfantasy.com
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 26/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1992 Topps Mike Utley Utley was paralyzed during a game against the Rams in 1991. Instead of just a block of text like most offensive linemen, Topps gave him space to reminisce about his favorite football memories. Poignant with the recent NYT concussion story.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 20/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 2000 Topps Todd Husak The 2000 Topps set ends with 40 draft picks and a few of them are QBs. They did Husak, Tim Rattay, Tee Martin, and of course Chad Pennington. They forgot to do the guy who went 199th.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 18/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 2021 Donruss Russell Wilson. The 2021 sets will always exist as a relic of the weird COVID year, featuring very COVID things like masks, goiters, and Zach Wilson as a top prospect.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 14/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1978 Topps Bill Lenkaitis 1978 CARTOON WEEK I had to finish 1978 week with The Dentist, Bill Lenkaitis. He really was the Patriots team dentist when he wasn't playing center. Let's see Tyler Linderbaum do THAT.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 13/08/2026
Yes, but that's not as fun a quote from our book! ftnfantasy.com/almanac
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 13/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1978 Topps Alan Page 1978 CARTOON WEEK Did you know that Alan Page goes to law school in the offseason? I hope that works out for him.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 12/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1978 Topps John Ebersole 1978 CARTOON WEEK John owns his own beverage company! I couldn't find any information about it online but I did discover that he is fraternity brothers with Chris Berman.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1978 Topps Nat Moore 1978 CARTOON WEEK Nat is the producer of a disco group! Moore played until 1986 and was the third receiver for the Marino Dolphins behind the Marks, Clayton and Duper.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 10/08/2026
I've gotten two questions about the list of the best 5-year spans without making a SB: 1) What about teams that lost SBs? 2) What if you get rid of the overlapping 5-year periods. So I've done both those things here. Note that the 90s Bills don't make the list. Not high enough in DVOA.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 10/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1978 Topps Nick Mike-Mayer 1978 CARTOON WEEK I love these 1978 cards, which are a great reminder of the time when players had to have other jobs in the offseason. Also, that Topps couldn't pay licensing fees for helmet logos. Nick Mike-Mayer is a car salesman!
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 08/08/2026
It's fantasy draft season and FTN has you covered. We've got the elite projections, premium content, articles on draft strategy, and the team name generator. You should check it out! ftnfantasy.com/fantasy-pro
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 06/08/2026
Football Cards of the Day: Hall of Fame Game Edition! 2004 Topps Larry Fitzgerald 2012 Topps Luke Kuechly I just picked up the 2004 Topps set a few days ago and it's a nice, clean design. The 2012 design makes Kuechly's name hard to see in the photo but it's there.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 05/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1996 Fleer Erik Kramer One of the great one-year wonders, Kramer had the best QB season in modern Bears history in 1995. At age 31 had nearly twice the DYAR of any other Bears QB season, then hurt his neck after four games of 1996 and was never the same.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 04/08/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1978 Topps Larry Csonka. This set came in the mail today, the oldest cards I've bought so far. So old that Csonka's card has both AFL and WFL stats on it. My eventual goal is to own at least one set from each year that I've done DVOA (back to 1977).
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 31/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1992 Topps Carl Banks Interesting set for many reasons. 1) Disagreement with NFLPA meant Topps couldn't do most star players in the regular run. They all got done in a "high number" series released late in the year. 2) First set with higher quality white card stock.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 30/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1988 Topps Billy Ray Smith. Passed away yesterday at the age of 64. Every fanbase has its linebacker.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 28/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1987 Topps Mike Reichenbach. This is a card that originally did not exist. You can tell from the Topps numbering scheme, which goes by team and then position. So why is the first Eagles card a LB? My guess: this was supposed to be Ron Jaworski before the Eagles cut him.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 24/07/2026
Interested in FTN Football Almanac 2026? A reminder that there is a SAMPLE CHAPTER available for you to read so you can get a feel for what the whole book is like! ftnfantasy.com/almanac
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 24/07/2026
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 24/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 2006 Topps Domonique Foxworth Hey, I know this guy! I bet I could get this signed sometime @domoniquefoxworth.bsky.social This is Domonique's only Topps card but not technically his rookie card as other companies did him in 2005.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 22/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 2005 Topps Luke McCown McCown was traded to the Bucs in the 2005 offseason, so a Photoshop job had him playing in Tampa Bay's home uniform... in the snow.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 21/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 2005 Topps Derrick Brooks. This is a beautiful design with the gold foil stamping on it for 50th anniversary but I do prefer years where the action photos also show the opponents. These are all solo shots. Aaron Rodgers rookie is the big card from 2005.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 20/07/2026
Will always remember Chris Spielman on a Wheaties box as a high school player for Massillon (Ohio) High School.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 20/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1999 Topps Chris Spielman Nice sweat pants, buddy. Seriously, one of the greats. Spielman's tackle numbers are not pumped-up BS. PBP really lists him with 195 in 1994 which is the highest total season in my data back to 1988. Got injured, never played for Browns.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 18/07/2026
Stop scrolling and post two characters who bring you happiness.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 17/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1999 Topps Michael Sinclair Just got this set in the mail today. Sinclair isn't remembered by many fans but he worked himself up from a sixth-round pick to post three straight years with a dozen sacks.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 16/07/2026
"Football" (?) Card of the Day: 1993 Pro Line Portraits Ann Stark What's better than a punter card? The punter's wife! Pro Line actually did these inserts with player wives for a couple years in the early 90s. The junk wax era was wild, my friends.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 15/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1995 Upper Deck John L. Williams. 1995 cards are fun because of the 1994 75th anniversary throwback uniforms.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 14/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 1993 Upper Deck Willie Roaf. Look at that dapper young man on the back! Also, blocking win rates! (courtesy the Lousiana Tech PR department)
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 13/07/2026
Football Card of the Day: 2014 Topps Tyler Warren. In 2014, Topps did an insert set of Punt, Pass, and Kick champions. This kid looks familiar. (Check the hometown.)
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11/07/2026
Have you purchased the FTN Football Almanac 2026 online? You can now return to ftnfantasy.com/almanac and re-download a version which fixes a number of typos and the incorrect ranks for red zone/late and close defense.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 11/07/2026
Today's football card of the day is 1995 Upper Deck Collector's Choice Ronnie Lott. What, you don't remember Lott's long career with the Kansas City Chiefs? He got injured in the 1995 preseason and that was the end of his career.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 10/07/2026
Today's football card of the day is 1994 Sportflics Deion Sanders. This is the most 90s thing that has ever 90s'ed. Lenticular printing Multiple fonts going in different directions Random pastel graphics Deion in his prime Neon Deion phase I can practically hear it singing 2 Legit 2 Quit.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 08/07/2026
Football card of the day: 1991 Topps Darion Conner. This is what I was talking about yesterday with the crazy tackle numbers from team PR departments. Falcons PR told Topps that Conner had 8 tackles and 7 assists against the Browns in Week 16. The Browns scorers gave him 3 tackles and 1 assist.
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Aaron Schatz @aaronschatz.com · 07/07/2026
This year's FTN Football Almanac sample chapter is now available for download on the bottom of the FTN Almanac page. It is the Indianapolis Colts by @brykno.bsky.social. The Almanac itself will be out very soon! ftnfantasy.com/almanac
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