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Aaron Bergman

@aaronbergman18.bsky.social
878 followers 230 following 107 posts

👎: suffering | 👍: EA, AI alignment, decoupling, R, cringe, amateur pharmacology + programming | Georgetown '22 (math+econ+phil) | Career status: 🤷‍♂️

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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Gossip lol
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
Thank you! 🦅🫡
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
@moskov.goodventures.org it’s not too late
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
Nice good job everyone
$69k nice
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
Hello Bluesky I’m here bc someone linked goss
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
So true
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
Omg cat
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
but I’m far from certain Could be doing some motivated reasoning here too idk
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
Intuitively to me, at least, removing good takes and likes and such causes the whole system to get worse, not better (although yeah it gets messy if you think that you joining causes other people to join who then see misinformation. My intuition is that this effect is smaller than the other one
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
Maybe this is a naive analysis and idk what people actually care about but object level on your point, it’s not at all obvious to me which direction joining points in terms of non-monetary social consequences Like you contribute your take and vote with your likes!
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
(By all means, check the math chatgpt.com/share/68031c...)
chatgpt.com
ChatGPT - Elon Musk Twitter MAU Estimate
Shared via ChatGPT
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
And FWIW I’m personally making about $30/mo = $360/year via monetization and premium on sale was $100 IIRC Doing my part to bankrupt the man, all in a days work
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
Use Twitter or don’t, whatever you think is right for you, but know that benefitting Elon should basically not be part of the calculus
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
And perhaps more importantly, having good correct takes on ~X~ has positive externalities It’s a relatively big and influential social network *Almost none of the value is captured by Elon*
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
If the point estimate is off by an OOM and you use Twitter for 10 years, that’s $15 If you(‘d) get nontrivial value from it, as I really think I have, there’s virtually no chance that an altruistic boycott checks out
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/04/2025
Alright, a few times recently I’ve made the case that it’s fine to use Twitter actually and finally thought to check how much your use personally enriches Elon Musk o3 estimates $0.15/year. It’s basically just not a thing
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Legally obligated to share this now that it has 1000 likes
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
I did really buy the rabbits treats for the charity via their Amazon gift registry unironically hope the rabbits enjoy them Learn more and join me in making an impact: animalsasnaturaltherapy.org
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
My new cost effectiveness model (details forthcoming) robustly indicates that purchasing treats for therapy bunnies is the single best use of time and money
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Twitter down, who’s up
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
Oh huh, weird idea
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
I’ll keep using twitter predominantly, but may as well share things that do well there that people find interesting
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
RIP
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Import tweet
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
@posit.co RStudio app plz
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
llm-est-c18067b91d3b.herokuapp.com aka bit.ly/llm-est If I actually make a nontrivial amount of money, I will buy a real domain lmao
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
New LLM wrapper just dropped Multiple models estimate a single figure, see the stats and results Link below
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
Watch out Dustin, new big money donor is coming through
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
You could have both of these and potentially more? Could be yours for only $2989
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
If you are a potential big money donor ($3k) please suggest incentives that would get you over the finish line? - want to be a guest on the world famous pigeon hour podcast? - A bunch of sticker ideas that are slightly cringe to make for yourself?
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
We are near the finish line and need just $3k to turn my room into an EA Paradise (which will of course be posted on twitter) If there ever was a time for manifesting aka evidential decision theory (u donating is evidence that others will) aka acausal coordination, it’s now!
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Peter Wildeford @peterwildeford.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
Interesting: According to The Information, OpenAI and Microsoft's agreements had formally defined AGI as reaching $100 billion in profits. OpenAI has told investors they expect to reach this in 2029.
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Matt🔸 @spacedoutmatt.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
The fundraiser is now over $12.5k! To celebrate, here's a look back at all the crazy antics we did as a result of last years, which raised $35k in the end:
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Sean O hEigeartaigh @sean-o-h.bsky.social · 21/12/2024
This is absolutely spot on by @Miles_Brundage . It should be read by as many people as possible. milesbrundage.substack.com/p/times-up-f...
milesbrundage.substack.com
Time's Up for AI Policy
AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built and deployed in the next few years. We need to act accordingly now.
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oh beloved lion 🦁🔸 @tortle.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
I was the one who came up with "Vegan Hot Ones" so if we don't hit that goal it means you personally hate me
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Matt🔸 @spacedoutmatt.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
It's that time of year again 🎉. @absurdlymax.bsky.social, @aaronbergman18.bsky.social, @laura-duffy.bsky.social, and I are returning to raise funds for the EA Funds Animal Welfare Fund! Donate to help the animals and create some silly antics! www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/...
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Here are some of the banner designs that lost out 😢 (this tweet will stay up until someone gets mad and me and tells me to delete)
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Please note that at $35k I will have to sleep under a literal bed net
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
(Donate here 👀) www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/...
givingwhatwecan.org
Giving What We Can
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
It’s back and it’s not exactly bigger than ever yet but hopefully it will be! @spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
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Max Alexander @absurdlymax.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
It's that time of year again 🎉 Another virtual fundraiser for the EA Animal Welfare Fund! Help reduce the suffering of animals while maybe increasing ours a bit (drinking huel)
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Binyamin Appelbaum @bcappelbaum.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
One consequence of the housing crisis: Every year, roughly one electoral vote shifts from blue states to red states. www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Blue States are Unaffordable. The Price Will be Political.
Americans are fleeing unaffordable blue states — and they’re taking the electoral college with them.
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Grace @gracekind.net · 11/12/2024
New term for programmers just dropped
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
Marinating tofu instead of turkey? Baste
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
Same
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
I think making it usable by others is like significantly harder than what I did Kinda just wanted to throw up what I had in case ppl were curious but maybe this is actively bad
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
😢
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
For my fellow ignorant people
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Aaron Bergman @aaronbergman18.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
I’m not sure there’s a better option For-profit governance is hard too when it comes to everything but making a profit lol
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