John Burn-Murdoch
@jburnmurdoch.ft.com
119K followers 1.1K following 1.3K posts
Columnist and chief data reporter the Financial Times | Stories, stats & scatterplots | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com 📝 ft.com/jbm
Columnist and chief data reporter the Financial Times | Stories, stats & scatterplots | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com 📝 ft.com/jbm
![John Burn-Murdoch: The top line of the press release mentions the 44tn
[GDP figure by 2030] and the possibility of 15 per cent annual GDP growth by 2030. Given the whole mood at the moment - there are a lot of strong feelings around Al, and it feels like the most likely explanation for why everyone hates data centres is because they don't love what's going on inside the data centres and the implications of that. So when a report comes out that says we might have 15 per cent annual growth in 2030, that's going to wind up some people. When it's also saying we might have double-digit knowledge-worker unemployment, that's going to scare some other people. I'm curious, when you put together a piece of work like this, are you thinking about how that might come across? What's your intended impact?
Jack Clark: We build this stuff driven by a pure research goal of figuring out what's actually the truth. I lead the Anthropic Institute, which is a series of research teams here, and our mandate is to take information, or in this case, assumptions, that only the Al labs have, and get that information and that set of assumptions out to the public, so people can better understand the different views that Al companies have about the future. Some scenarios look like Al as a normal technology, other scenarios look like the singularity is nigh and very, very significant things are going to happen to the economy. So we built a tool that captures all of these different views. We don't build this stuff with a particular narrative in mind at the start. We're sharing this because if these scenarios end up being right, you probably want to make a bunch of different choices about the world. Part of why you share this is I think it's going to help focus the minds of economists, policymakers [and] others who study Al on how we may need to make very different policy decisions about this technology.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ho34pe25d3ywc6g6vxugre2i/bafkreigyknpummab6nxxmgedl2dq5ygubu2pgx7zrfjs4oytngjlustlue)
